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2007 Field Gulls Community Draft: Beta Test

Before I present the beta test for my Mock draft, here's the how a couple marquee offensive linemen's Pro Day's look when translated through the The System.

Ben Grubbs

Thrust Burst Bench Shuttle
115.70* 176.70 35 4.78

Joe Staley

Thrust Burst Bench Shuttle
124.92 174.92 27* 4.40

*Combine Performance

First I would like to say that Pro Day stats should be slightly discounted because unlike the combine the environment is not standardized. Not surprisingly, those stats are both pretty dang awesome. Grubbs' in line power is by far the best I've recorded, besting Justin Blalock's by as much as Blalock bested Allen Barbre. Grubbs also really improved his bench, moving from MOR to lower elite. A pretty big cause for concern, though, is Grubbs continued poor performance in the shuttle and cone drills. For a guy touted as being an excellent athlete, his agility has yet to show up in any measurable fashion.

Staley's performance was also very impressive, but while his bench was merely good, his absolutely excellent Thrust rating makes me feel confident that he would be able to stand up rushers and effectively hold the pocket. Staley also excelled in the criminally underrated shuttle and cone, putting Joe Thomas to shame. Both of these guys are first round talents, the upshot for the Hawks is that my man Blalock just got a little more attainable in the second round.

Unlike my alpha test, where I was just feeling out some players I have a good feeling about, this time I'm using a specific methodology to determine who I draft. In short, I'll pick players based on the percentage of NFL starters at their position chosen at that round. In other words, 88% of RBs were picked in the first three rounds, so unlike in my alpha test I won't wait until the seventh round for a rusher. Also, the NFL has announced its supplemental picks and Seattle has gained a 6th rounder that I will account for. I got a lot of excellent feedback on my last mock, I would be thrilled to get that kind of community participation again. Thank you.

This time, we send D-Jack along with a fifth round and conditional 2008 pick packing to San Diego for their first round pick.

1. Greg Olsen TE: I love everything about this guy, including the fact that he decided his exceptional Combine performance wasn't quite good enough, adding two inches to his vert at his Pro Day. Agility, check, strength, his 23 reps at the bench were better than offensive tackle Doug Free, and perhaps best of all, his separation speed (20 yard dash minus his 10 yard dash) was a wonderfully round 1 second. 1st round TEs almost never flop and Olsen should be no exception. I have my doubts he will fall this far, but if Green Bay and Cincinnati pass, the Hawks have a shot.

2. Marcus McCauley CB: The Hawks are set for starting cornerbacks, but could really use a developmental DB with good upside. McCauley has the size/speed combination that makes scouts drool and he can offer depth at safety right away. Players who can be starting cornerbacks in the NFL rarely escape the first two rounds and virtually disappear after the fourth. He's certainly a few years away, but could get some time at Dime right away.

3. Chris Henry RB: Need a running back? Don't wait until the second day. 88% of starting running backs in 2006 were picked in the first three rounds. Henry has very little ware on his legs, a huge plus for a grueling position, great initial burst (don't underestimate the force it takes to project 230 pounds 10 yards in 1.54 seconds), but about a thousand question marks. One can't ignore the fact that his college coaches didn't think he was fit to start. May be a late bloomer, may be a complete bust.

4. Allen Barbre OG: Played tackle, but showed the upper body strength to play guard. Real sleeper who was hardly on the radar before his excellent combine performance. It's safe to say, I like this guy a lot. Guards can be acquired throughout the draft, starters were nearly equally as likely to come from any of the first four rounds.

6. Brent Curvey DT: High character pick who fits the system well. Undersized. Good motor, is able to pressure the QB from the tackle position. Seems like a Ruskell guy.

6. Selvin Young RB: When you take a risky pick, it's smart to grab insurance. The world seems to disagree, but I think Young has the makings of a solid NFL running back. Should be able to step in as a 3rd down back immediately.

7. Dallas Sartz OLB: Super reader WAB mentioned Sartz and upon looking into the lanky man from SoCal, I tend to agree. Great initial burst, toughness and instincts. Will take a few years to develop into an NFL regular, but can definitely contribute on special teams right away.

So there you go, lots of small school guys; this time I picked guys I think can definitely fit within Seattle's system and have a chance of getting drafted. What do you think?

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Excellent.
No qualms at all.

Cept I would like to see us use our two sixth round picks on another CB who can return hopefully and a big bodied DT ala Terrill.  

Didn't DMZ make fun of your dad? - Scruffy Lefty to Coach Owens ...... - Coach Owens to Scruffy Lefty

by Christian on Mar 28, 2007 3:43 PM PDT reply actions  

I wet my pants thinking of Greg Olsen
coming to Seattle. (Wet my pants in a good way)

John how likely do you think it is that we get Olsen? It seems like a lot of things have to go right in order for this to happen, but if they do..we may have a chance.

Oh I also like Marcus McCauley.  I saw him play a few times when I stayed with my buddy at Fresno st for a week.  Obviously you can't tell much from two games, but everyone there really liked him (obviously) and he seems to have a lot of potential.

I wish I would of know about all this when I went, I would of watched him on every play, instead of just catching him when he was involved with a play.

Josh Brown is better than you.

by MFAN on Mar 28, 2007 4:04 PM PDT reply actions  

Well, first we need a first round pick.
To be honest, I have no idea if we'll end up with one or what pick it will be, so, naturally, it's really hard to say right now. But, considering his stock and the way tight ends are being valued, pretty unlikely.
I've always been considered an asshole for about as long as I can remember. That's just my style.--Royal Tenenbaum

by John Morgan on Mar 28, 2007 4:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

Lovin' it!
Olsen is a great WCO TE prospect.  He'd be an awesome complement to Pollard for a year or two...

McCauley would be an absolute dream pick.  He's by far my favorite DB in the draft, and I think his physical potential and ceiling is unmatched by any corner in this draft.  Certainly plausible IMO, given the amount of rising talent at the position and the possibility of teams being scared off by his poor senior year.  Everything about him says "beast"...

Interesting pick with Henry.  While I tend to think that going with a lower-end option (like Selvin) for 3rd-down/SA speller is just fine, Henry does offer an intriguing amount of upside and he has the tools to be a great complementary back.  At any rate, Mo Morris has run his course in Seattle, IMO, and finding someone to challenge him as the no. 2 should be somewhat of a priority.

As for Young, I think he's solid all-around.  He can also return.

If Sartz can kick the injury bug, he could be a player on the strongside.  He can blitz and be an immediate ST guy.  He fits the profile of the player that doesn't stack up athletically with the premier guys, but he's got the "it" factor and intangibles to be a fixture on a NFL roster.

by WABronco on Mar 28, 2007 9:36 PM PDT reply actions  

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