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SBN Mock Draft: Pick No. 55


No. 55

Pick by Field Gulls

Michael Bush
Running Back
Louisville

Blame me. With the 55th pick in the 2007 SB Mock Draft Seattle takes a dude with a busted leg that some experts are starting to whisper "second day" about. Blame me...but don't expect me to apologize.

When Seattle drafted current stud running back Shaun Alexander they already had a perennial thousand yard rusher on their roster: Ricky Watters. Watters had just turned 31. Watters went on to have one of the best seasons of his career in 2000, inspiring, no doubt, more than one booze-fueled screed on local sports radio, but by 2001 the torch had been passed. Alexander responded with 1,650 combined yards and 16 TDs. The rest, as they say, is the good kind of history.

Alexander is now 30 and every indication is that he's squarely in the teeth of a decline. He recorded a punishing 370 regular season carries in 2005 before losing much of 2006 to ineffectiveness and injury. His receiving numbers are comically bad.

Michael Bush has dropped down most boards because a freak injury he suffered against Kentucky has failed to heal fast enough. As foreboding as that sounds, a broken tibia is almost entirely irrelevant to a player's future. Bones, unlike tendons, ligaments or cartilage, heal. When Bush returns there is no good reason he shouldn't be able to reassume the impressive track to stardom that he was on prior to the injury.

Bush is a rare athlete: A dangerous inside rusher where his burst, vision and size make him a linebacker's nightmare. Surprisingly, he's equally dangerous outside. Despite a massive 240 pound frame, Bush is quick enough to consistently turn the corner but still possesses the strength to flatten DBs in the open field.

Unlike workout warriors like Chris Henry, Bush has excelled at the highest level. In 2005 he averaged 5.6 yards a carry and recorded an NCAA best 24 touchdowns. Entering 2006, he was touted as a potential Heisman winner. That's because Bush performs best with his pads on. Scouts rave about his footwork and vision, his intelligent route-running and ability to take advantage of cutback lanes. Bush may be a freaky athlete, but he's first and foremost a football player.

That's what the Hawks need, a football player. A running back. Bush is also a terrific receiver and is experienced lining up wide and in the slot. His presence immediately gives the Hawks a sorely needed threat out of the backfield and with time, a potentially devastating weapon in the passing attack.

With a mid-second round pick, the Hawks are forced to play the market. While guards, tight ends and defensive tackles can be had at almost any point in or after the draft, running back is squarely a first day need. The lure to find the next Willie Parker might be tempting, but don't be fooled, 88% of starting running backs were acquired on the first day of the NFL draft. Bush is a first round, perhaps top-ten, talent. A player whose upside is as high as anyone's in this draft. His injuries upon closer inspection are much less concerning than top pick Adrian Peterson's. Bush has suffered one major injury in his career, one freak injury that should neither hurt his future performance nor portend any future susceptibility to reinjury. Peterson has had consistent, nagging injuries that have plagued him throughout his college career. History is replete with running backs who slid because of one major injury, both recent (Willis McGahee, Frank Gore) and semi-distant (Thurman Thomas). Bush hasn't joined that group, yet, but he has the same pedigree and potential.

This pick gives the Seahawks a bright future at a marquee position for a terrific price. Needs at guard and tight end can be addressed later in the draft and with the top talents at each taken, with minimal drop-off in quality. After Bush is a sketchy list of low upside rushers who may compete for third down duties on an NFL team.

So blame me. Revile me. I've certainly made sport of your picks. But, frankly, I think I may have just taken the steal of the draft.

0 recs  |  Comment 9 comments

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Morris has maxed out his potential.
He runs up his blockers heels too much and is essentially a one cut rusher without much speed. He's also rotten in the passing game. Besides, he's 27 and not likely to have a late career breakout. Morris is valuable in the role he has, but he's not a feature back.
so it goes

by John Morgan on Apr 18, 2007 1:05 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Love the pick
Sure we need a TE, G, DT, and maybe CB, but Bush a freak athlete who has good attitude.  Instead of reaching for a TE or getting Tank Tyler, someone no one wants, we drafted the best guy available.  This would great in real life, because Bush can slowly get more carries this year, take half the carries next year, and then be the full time number one the year after that.  I hope Bush falls enough for us to draft him, and I hope the Seahawks don't look a gift horse in the mouth if it happens.

by LantermanC on Apr 18, 2007 1:26 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree on the pick
but kinda wish we woulda done this as a collective and discussed it somewhat John.
Didn't DMZ make fun of your dad? - Scruffy Lefty to Coach Owens ...... - Coach Owens to Scruffy Lefty

by Christian on Apr 18, 2007 2:33 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Yeah, sorry about that, and I agree...
I would have preferred it to have been a community effort, too, but this mock draft sort of got away from me.

I didn't even know until a couple of days ago the second round was going on, and when I did find out I emailed Shrug and asked if I should try and do something about updating the draft for Field Gulls (which I ended up not having time for) and then suggested that we should draft Bush. Admittedly, I was a little wary about talking too openly about Bush because I thought someone might try and snatch him up, but, seriously, I emailed Shrug late Monday/early Tuesday suggesting the idea and got home Tuesday night to find out it had been done.

We have one, maybe two, more picks and I would really like to get some discussion going about whom to take. I'm a big fan of Allen Barbre and Paul Soliai as I've made clear, but with lots of needs we could go lots of ways.

Also, I'm desperate for ideas of what to do with Darrell Jackson. Two of the teams who could use him most, NO and SD, don't have SB affiliates. A fact that is really cramping any attempts to trade him. What do you think is fair value? What's the minimum you'd take in return? Is it stupid to trade him to a division rival like the 49ers?

so it goes

by John Morgan on Apr 18, 2007 5:32 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I love the pick by the way
and don't disagree with it at all.
V. 1.0, mutherf***er, know what I'm sayin'?

by Scruffy Lefty on Apr 18, 2007 6:44 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

n/s
It's partially my bad. Well, it's all my bad, it's not anybody else's -- I just got really wrapped up in a busy month, including a family trip to Cali and several work initiatives, not to mention inheriting hosting duties for the SBN Mock Draft in exchange for page views. (Which paid off, and how, although strictly in terms of stats and not, um, revenue.) When it came to be #55's turn, I just quickly e-mailed John and told him to do what he thought was best, as Allen would do with Ruskell, or Clay Bennett would do with Bekins moving vans. Ba-dump!

I trusted John to make the pick because he has more than proven he knows his stuff here, but I should have been more proactive in soliciting everyone else's input as well. That will hopefully happen with the remaining rounds.

I should also state for the record that I totally underestimated how huge the mock draft (in general) has become in terms of an internet/community phenomenon. Geez, this stuff's humongous.

I liked John's pick as well after reading his logic.

Anyway, please feel free to push your pencils around for subsequent drafts. We made no trades, although we accepted one proposal. One of the other teams backed out.

Sorry for my periodic inattention. I feel like Ken Behring.

--Shrug

by Shrug on Apr 19, 2007 1:56 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

I also love the pick!
Josh Brown is better than you.

by MFAN on Apr 18, 2007 3:04 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Bush v. Gore twice a year
I can't wait.

by Captain Morgan on Apr 18, 2007 5:50 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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