Official Field Gulls Endorsement: Craig Stevens
Ever since the Jerramy Stevens experiment started producing noxious fumes, fans have cried for Seattle to take a top tight end in the first round. Seattle has needed a tight end since time immemorial, or at least since big papa Walrus took the reigns in `99. I mean, c’mon, we all know how essential the position to Holmgren’s offense. Funny thing is, Seattle has never needed a tight end, well, ever. They’ve done just fine with the Itula Milis and Marcus Pollards of the world.
In 2007, Seattle had the 9th best passing offense in football. The key skill position players in that offense were: Bobby Engram (20.0% DVOA), Marcus Pollard (27.4% DVOA), Leonard Weaver (16.7% DVOA), and Maurice Morris (22.2% DVOA). With all due respect, scrubs all. Matt Hasselbeck, a very good pass blocking line, two never healthy wide receivers, and a bunch of scrubs. That shouldn’t be a surprise. Perhaps the foremost reason for the West Coast Offense’s success is how undemanding it is on its receivers. If look at some of the most successful WCOs of all time, their ranks are filled with scrubs. MOR skill position players enjoying an unexpected big year. If we isolate it to the three coaches in the NFL with the most Holmgren like offenses, Jon Gruden, Andy Reid and, of course, Mike Holmgren, in year’s that team's finished in the top 10 passing DVOA, and list those teams' top 3 (as ranked by DVOA) receivers (WR, TE or RB) with 5 or more DPAR, you’ll see a less than star-studded collection of talent:
2007
Sea:(9th) Pollard, Weaver, Morris
2006
Phi:(5th) Reggie Brown, Greg Lewis, Correll Buckhalter
2005
Sea:(4th) Jerramy Stevens, Darrell Jackson, Joe Jurevicius
2004
Phi:(10th) Terrell Owens, Brian Westbrook, Todd Pinkston
2003
Sea:(4th) Morris, Mili, Mack Strong
2002
Sea:(10th) Engram, Koren Robinson, Mili
2001
Oak:(2nd) Jerry Rice, Tim Brown, Charlie Garner
2000
Oak:(5th) Randy Jordan (FB), Rickey Dudley (TE), Brown
Three legitimate HOFers that, with the exception of Owens, were all well past their prime; one superstar rusher, Charlie Garner and scrubs. The best tight end of the bunch, maybe Stevens, maybe LJ Smith (not listed). You can’t forget Rickey Dudley. 8 top offenses over 8 years and not a top tight end between them.
The next thing to consider is, why take a tight end in such a weak class? You have to wonder about a class in which Brad Cottam is receiving first day consideration. (Cottam is kind of the tight end equivalent of Jordan Kent.) If Seattle jumps into the second round run, lets need and scarcity dictate their pick rather than value, they’ll almost certainly be stuck with a tight end that couldn’t crack the third round next year. Yeah, next year is a pretty sweet tight end class.
So, in light of how little Seattle needs a tight end, and how poor this class is, is there someone Seattle could grab that would be cheap, have little downside, can contribute immediately, and won’t get in the way when Seattle drafts their starter in 2009? Better believe it.
Craig Stevens.
The fast, brutish, vicious blocker from Cal. This guy:
No, he’s never going to be much of a receiver, but he’ll enter the NFL a top ten blocking tight end. He’ll stick. When the Hawks reach the red zone and Jeb Putzier takes a powder, Stevens is the perfect compliment. When Seattle finally finds their "tight end of the future", Stevens will still be around, a better, faster, more talented Will Heller. And when the Hawks are on the clock in the 4th, this is who I think they’ll take, Mr. Knockdown Block, Craig Stevens. And I'd be cool with that.
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I think it is misleading..
to claim Pollard excelled last year. Looking at his DVOA you might think, oh – 27% – nice.
But watching the games the guy was terrible. He could never get open, had stone hands, and seriously faded as the year went on. I cringed everytime a pass was thrown his way.
It is telling that Will Heller had more TDs (3) than Marcus Pollard (2) did.
I am totally in favor of adding a guy like this on the depth chart and agree that if we sign someone like this blocking oriented, power TE, then we need to address the other half sometime soon. (Next year)
I just disagree with the “we’ve gotten by with scrubs” argument. If we go by traditional stats, we were the 8th best passing team in terms of yards and yp/g. One of the smallest contributions was from Pollard. It all came from the great play of Engram, and the ability of Hass to get the ball into the hands of whatever other receiver managed to get on the field that day. (Hacket 384, Branch, 661, Burleson 694)
I also think Putzier is more washed up than most people think. He has not had a productive season in over two years, and I think it is risky to expect too much from him.
by ASUBoyd on
Apr 23, 2008 1:26 PM PDT
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Holmgrens best years
as in his super bowl years, coincide with big years from his TE’s. Stevens career as a whole was a bust, but he had a good 2005.
You’re starting to confuse me on a lot of this draft talk. You say that OT and DT are the only needs for the Hawks, so you take Brohm over Laws in the SBN mock. You say that Seattle doesn’t need a TE because Holmgren doesn’t need one (even though this is Holmgrens last year), but you take Carlson in the second round in the SBN mock. Think you could iron that out for me?
by Nate Dogg on
Apr 23, 2008 9:59 PM PDT
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If Carlson is there in the 2nd round, you take him. If you read carefully he’s saying that were are just going to end up picking from what is left in the 2nd round and carlson probably wouldn’t be there. Plus, the seahawks don’t draft based on need if you haven’t ever noticed, they use a bpa system. That is why Ruskell fileld every position in free agency in order to keep away from being forced to reach and draft someone just because of position. Plus if you look at stevens he had the same amount of yards in 05 as pollard did last year.
I don’t really know about picking craig stevens, but if we don’t get a tight end in the 2nd this might be the pick. We really haven’t used a tight end at all anyway so it shouldn’t matter :P
by sonicwind on
Apr 23, 2008 10:17 PM PDT
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Stevens 05 / Pollard 07
Stevens had 554 yards and 5 TDs in 05. Pollard had 273 yards and 2 TDs last year.
by Nate Dogg on
Apr 23, 2008 10:37 PM PDT
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Not to mention...
that Pollard’s DPAR was 9.5 last year. His DVOA was 27.4%, which was higher than 2005 Stevens’ 23.3%, but Stevens had a 16.4 DPAR in ‘05. DPAR is cumulative, DVOA is on a per-play basis; I think this kinda illustrates that, yeah, Pollard was good enough last year, but they didn’t make getting him the ball a priority in the offense. They made Stevens a priority in ‘05. Pollard was targeted 35 times last year; Stevens ‘05 was targeted 68 times.
Subjectively, if you think back to the ‘05 games, Stevens did have quite the impact. The highlight I keep thinking of was that awesome 35 yard TD catch in the end zone against Atlanta in Week 2 of 2005 (with 35 seconds left in the half). I remember thinking to myself that Stevens had finally put it together around that point. I guess that was… premature.
And to get it out of the way, I am absolutely not defending Stevens—his catch rate was 66% in ‘05 while Pollard had the 2nd highest among TEs with 80% (behind only Ben Utecht). But the TE is something that Holmgren and/or Hasselbeck clearly emphasize in the offense when they feel it’s a strength.
by Strang on
Apr 24, 2008 7:16 AM PDT
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It's a pity
we didn’t know this a few days ago . . . we could have taken Andre Caldwell.
by The Ancient Mariner on
Apr 24, 2008 5:11 AM PDT
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I'm cool with it too
I love big program TEs who may not excel in the passing game but are useful to any team. If he really will be a top-10 blocking TE upon entering the NFL, it would be a wonderful selection. He reminds me of Sean Ryan of Boston College from that video, a monster who was a better blocker than receiver and could drag people 5 extra yards. Ryan has hopped around the NFL a bit as a #2 and #3 TE, most recently with the Jets I believe.
by NYCeahawks on
Apr 25, 2008 9:05 AM PDT
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