Community Projection: Julius Jones
by John Morgan on Jun 6, 2008 1:17 PM PDT
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PrintWe didn’t get through community projections last season, so I want to start them early this season. It’ll take some wrangling to project non-skill positions. Instead, let’s start simple by projecting Julius Jones. Voting is open until next Friday. PAR, Success Rate and Catch % are explained here. I will hand record drops and blocking.
Rushing
Carries
Yards
Success Rate
PAR
Receiving
Catches
Yards
Catch %
Drops
PAR
Total
TDs
Fumbles
First Downs
Blocking
Good Blocks
Blown Blocks
My projections after the bump. Feel free to add any commentary you want.
Rushing
Carries: 277
Yards: 1,243
Success: 45%
PAR: 23.2
Receiving
Catches: 38
Yards: 324
Catch%: 74%
Drops: 3
PAR: 6.4
Total
TDs: 11
Fumbles: 2
FDs: 58
Blocking
Good Blocks: 17
Blown Blocks: 5
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Good lord.
If that happens…wow, what a dramatic improvement over last season.
pretty optimistic
Wow John, thats a pretty optimistic outlook. You are really expecting several things to happen:
1) Jones will be the ‘marquee’ back in Seatown.
2) Jones will stay healthy.
3) Jones will play well.
I’ll throw in my projection:
Rushing
Carries: 255
Yards: 1071
Success Rate: 40%
PAR: 20
Receiving
Catches: 33
Yards: 240
Catch : 71
Drops: 4
PAR: 5
Total
TDs: 7
Fumbles: 1
First Downs: 49
Blocking
Good Blocks: 14
Blown Blocks: 6
In other words: A so-so year, but worlds better than what we’ve gotten used to the last couple years.
Why not
Rushing
Carries – 280
Yards – 1299
Success Rate – 43%
PAR – 22.4
Receiving
Catches – 47
Yards – 400
Catch % 79
Drops – 5
PAR – 5.9
Total
TDs – 6
Fumbles – 2
First Downs – 61
Blocking
Good Blocks – 18
Blown Blocks – 5
TD’s less because I think we will find a role for Duckett. Receptions up because with our WR core I can see a lot of plays where no one gets open and Hass checks down to Jones.
Coach Owens = No Fun Zone
My PAR for receiving should probably be higher.
Coach Owens = No Fun Zone
by Scruffy Lefty on Jun 6, 2008 4:05 PM PDT up reply actions
Ugh.
Rushing
Carries: 260
Yards: 900
Success: 38%
PAR: 10
Receiving
Catches: 35
Yards: 290
Catch%: 75%
Drops: 4
PAR: 7
Total
TDs: 9
Fumbles: 3
FDs: 45
Blocking
Good Blocks: 15
Blown Blocks: 5
I reject your reality and substitute my own!
Also, I'm always down for some online Grand Theft Auto IV or Rock Band. Gamertag: Phildopip
by Phil Hatzenbuehler on Jun 6, 2008 5:08 PM PDT reply actions
Pip?!
Going with a pessimistic projection? Wow, I wouldn’t have expected that. I wish you weren’t usually right…oh wait, we’re talking Seahawks, not Mariners. Ruskell>Pip, though Pip>>>>Bavasi. And Fontaine, apparently.
Rushing
Carries: 235
Yards: 1000
Success Rate: 45%
PAR: 22
Receiving
Catches: 44
Yards: 400
Catch : 80
Drops: 4
PAR: 8
Total
TDs: 14
Fumbles: 4
First Downs: 64
Blocking
Good Blocks: 16
Blown Blocks: 6
Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.
Not sure why the % thing didn't show up after catch and the number...
Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.
You're making up for your lack
of optimism about the M’s, eh? Ah, if only we had Paul Allen and a Ruskell-like GM running the show.
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