Seattle Seahawks 81% of Winning

by John Morgan on Nov 5, 2009 3:03 PM PST Comment 48 comments

Brian Burke calculates Seattle to be heavy favorites at home against the Detroit Lions. Seattle hosts the younger bust brother, Field Gulls favorite Matthew Stafford. Stafford turned 21 about three months before the draft. Using PFR's research on quarterback peak, that projects Stafford at 12.4% of capacity -- far away the lowest projection of any listed age. Stafford has played poorly this season and that shouldn't end in Qwest. He will be facing an attacking defense, a roaring crowd and in all likelihood, an early deficit. There's no gimmes in the NFL, but hosting a struggling 21 year old quarterback at home is pretty close. These are the games to get amped for, because even the pessimists are likely to overestimate the Seahawks after Sunday's coming beatdown.

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Argh!

by Matthew on Nov 5, 2009 3:04 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Wow John, if we lose it's your fault! :P

by GarethLewin on Nov 5, 2009 3:05 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

A few less mistakes vs. the Bears and we'd be undefeated at home

with SENECA AT THE HELM.

The Lions are progressing, but they need a near-miracle to win at Qwest.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Nov 5, 2009 3:08 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Shit, forgot about the Cards game.

sigh i’m dumb.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Nov 5, 2009 3:09 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Andron's advanced betting odds predict:

Seahawks: 30 point favorite

O/U: 30

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Nov 5, 2009 3:07 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

I'll take the under, actually.

Sure, we obliterated the Jaguars with more than 30 points, but we didn’t obliterate the Rams by more than 30. So based on that sound logical reasoning, we have a 50/50 chance to obliterate the Lions by 30 points. It’s a good sporting bet!

Fans are typically idiots.

by The Typical Idiot Fan on Nov 5, 2009 4:24 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Best

Logic
Ever

And all the land was in ruin, and burnination had forsaken the countryside.

by Cheddar28 on Nov 5, 2009 8:15 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

I am very excite!

by Nate Dogg on Nov 5, 2009 3:09 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

This, much like before the Jags game, has me excited.

Excited knowing we have a real chance to win, perhaps convincingly.

Early prospect watch: RB C.J. Spiller, OT Ciron Black, DT Gerald McCoy, S Eric Berry, DT Ndamukong Suh, CB Ras-I Dowling 6'2, 200, RB Jonathan Dwyer, Sam Bradford*.

by Misfit74 on Nov 5, 2009 3:17 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Double Calvin Johnson?

Looks like he’s playing after a full practice today. That guy, along w/ Stafford’s arm is a deadly battery. I hope we cover him correctly – the entire game, and put the heat on Stafford. Major heat. We know the fans will bring it. So must our front seven.

Early prospect watch: RB C.J. Spiller, OT Ciron Black, DT Gerald McCoy, S Eric Berry, DT Ndamukong Suh, CB Ras-I Dowling 6'2, 200, RB Jonathan Dwyer, Sam Bradford*.

by Misfit74 on Nov 5, 2009 3:21 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

Correction:

Calvin was ‘limited’ in practice Thursday.

Thursday limited practice for Detroit:
RB Jerome Felton (ankle), DE Jason Hunter (ankle), WR Calvin Johnson (knee), RB Kevin Smith (shoulder), QB Matthew Stafford (knee), DE Dewayne White (elbow)

by Misfit74 on Nov 5, 2009 6:04 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

First time I get to go to a Seahawks regular season game.

I’m amped beyond belief.

by Fear on Nov 5, 2009 3:31 PM PST reply actions 0 recs

They utterly wild. Get there hours in advance and just soak in the atmosphere

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Nov 5, 2009 3:58 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

they're*

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Nov 5, 2009 3:59 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

I'd suggest that the reason to get there early is so you can tailgate and get very drunk.

by BrettJMiller on Nov 5, 2009 5:20 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Well, hanging around the SeaGals next door can be fun.

Especially if you know how to control an erection.

by Misfit74 on Nov 5, 2009 6:06 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs

I was there for the Bears preseason game

when Forsett went off, and it was a blast. I was hoarse for 3 days. I can’t imagine what’s going to happen during a regular season game.

by Fear on Nov 6, 2009 12:55 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs

I'm usually a bit light headed by the end of a game

by Nate Dogg on Nov 6, 2009 3:46 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Yeah, I had one beer at the season opener and it was more than enough

I finished it in the first half and had no desire to drive back to Portland 3 hours later.

"Its not that I can't read and write, its just that I don't like to read and write."
-Charlie

by ninjasocks on Nov 6, 2009 9:32 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs

Hey me too!

And all the land was in ruin, and burnination had forsaken the countryside.

by Cheddar28 on Nov 5, 2009 8:16 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

12.4% has a lot of significant figures

and also refers to potential peak production over an arbitrary replacement value (not total peak production).

I feel a lot more confident saying that Stafford will play poorly based on the ideas that (1) he’s young and (2) playing away at a noisy stadium on (3) a crappy team missing his WR1 against (4) a defense that desperately needs a win and chews up marginal teams.

"Its not that I can't read and write, its just that I don't like to read and write."
-Charlie

by ninjasocks on Nov 5, 2009 3:35 PM PST reply actions 0 recs