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Feelings on OLINE.

 A good friend of mine thinks that the oline in the NFL is overrated.

This statement seemed BONKERS to me...I couldn't even barely find the energy to muster up a response.  Saying the oline is overrated is saying that Sean Alexander is great.  Saying that SEA's QB play is based solely on Matthew's shoulders and not the terrible play calling and oline play is insane to me.  IMO the Olinemen are the most important people on the field.

For some reason the last time I post this it was deleted so I reworded it.  I hope I didn't offend anybody.  I'm truly curious to get you guy's opinions on this subject.

A place to bury strangers.

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The debate rages on!

How’d the Vikings’ pro-bowl caliber line fare against the Cards on Sunday? I think we all saw the aftermath.

A good o-line is not a team’s panacea for all problems offense. And I am a firm believer that Seattle’s o-line is not responsible for the team’s offensive woes. When an opposing team scouts our offense, they see:

1. No legitimate down field threat (aging QB with shaky arm and relatively slow WRs)
2. No legitimate run threat (a starting RB that can’t hit the hole and a backup with no 3rd gear)

This is, I believe, why teams have been playing so aggressively on defense. Blitzing over and over again, or dropping LBs into short cover are not likely to be punished by big plays.

And guess what: a new awesome o-line isn’t going to solve the fact that our QB can’t throw down field and our RBs simply can’t make big plays.

An oline helps playmakers make plays. But if you’ve got no playmakers, pointing the finger at the o-line is blaming the wrong squad.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 8, 2009 10:05 AM PST reply actions  

Panacea

Excellent word. It made me think about Final Fantasy for 10 minutes or so.

by DJ C-Raig on Dec 8, 2009 2:31 PM PST via mobile up reply actions  

Amazing game

And thanks. I’m partial to it. The word, not necessarily O-lines :P

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 8, 2009 2:34 PM PST up reply actions  

Of course not.

I was just proving an extremely recent example.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 9, 2009 9:29 AM PST up reply actions  

Oh my dear friend, there are exceptions to every rule. Are you saying you believe that Jamal Lewis is the best RB in NFL history? Or Sean Alexander earned the MVP on his own?

Every team is built around the Oline…Obviously it’s a 53 an roster…And every team has shaky games…We all know that MIN’s Oline is amonst in the league…hence their 2 loss season…but not playing great vs the Cardinals doesn’t mean that it’s not the most important position on the field. Ask David Carr how important they are…Or Tom Brady, you don’t think Brady is the QB he is because of the oline? Look at all his games where he faces even a little bit of pressure. L’s.

by rjmcc01 on Dec 8, 2009 10:15 AM PST reply actions  

You're speaking in generalizations

and they’re generally true. Nick is assessing our team right now, which may not have been the topic you specifically were talking about, but he’s making some very good points, and he’s spot on.

by jacobstevens on Dec 8, 2009 10:35 AM PST up reply actions  

No, I don't think that Brady is a function of his line.

Brady is a good QB because he’s a fantastic decision maker, he has a strong arm and he’s very accurate. He will be a good QB on any team behind any O-line. Aaron Rodgers will, as well. Hell, Rodgers is putting up pro-bowl numbers behind a line that has allowed the most sacks in the league. He’s already been sacked 10 more times than he has all of last year.

Sacks, sometimes, are actually the fault of the QB. But Rodgers, historically, doesn’t seem to be a sack prone QB and thus I don’t believe he’s the reason, it’s his lack of protection.

Of course o-lines are important. There’s no arguing that. I simply think that the majority of fans over-value the offensive line and are far to quick to point the finger once the offense starts to struggle.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 8, 2009 2:43 PM PST up reply actions  

crap, far too* quickly point the finger

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 8, 2009 2:44 PM PST up reply actions  

I don't think it's overvalued.

You’re right that Brady isn’t a function of his line, but Matt Cassel certainly was. I’ve always felt that there are more average QBs in the league that look above-average because of their O-line (2008 Cassel, 2007 Derek Anderson, 2007 David Garrard off the top of my head) than there are great QBs that look great/good despite their O-line (Rodgers).

by SeaTownBlueDevil on Dec 8, 2009 3:33 PM PST up reply actions  

I'll grant you that.

That wasn’t the best example to use, but others that come to mind are 2008 Kerry Collins (least sacks in the league) and 2006 Eli during his second full year starting.

by SeaTownBlueDevil on Dec 8, 2009 6:46 PM PST up reply actions  

I see all sorts of discussions

all the time where folks try to extrapolate what kind of impact any given unit has on another unit. The line on the RB & QB, the WR on the QB, the RB & QB on the line, and so on.

Talent, in aggregate, is better. Nearly to a man, guys perform better with better talent around them. It’s logarithmic.

Steve Hutchinson did not make Walter Jones. Nor vice versa. And McKinnie is no slouch. But Walt and Hutch were both better, beside each other, than any other time. Alexander benefitted greatly from them, but so too did Alexander’s running abilities maximize the opportunities that their blocking provided. A lesser back would have rendered some of their blocks not quite good enough.

Your observations are correct. Doesn’t mean we can conclude a general valuation with it, though. There are examples for both sides. Lines making QBs better than they are (relative to position) and QBs making lines better than they are (relative to the units across the league). In each case, they have to have certain abilities, in the first place, to be enabled by the other entity.

by jacobstevens on Dec 9, 2009 9:36 AM PST up reply actions  

Agree.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 8, 2009 10:19 PM PST up reply actions  

We’ve had no more speed in previous years and have been able to pass well…I think that Knapps stubborn approach to what has worked well for him in the past is wearing thin. Butler has speed to stretch, Carlson does as well in the seam…Housh is not utilized near his abilities under 15 yards…Burelson is meh…but Knapp has us so tied to this zone- 1 cut and go scheme that we are just not built for.

Butler was AMAZING in camp this year…yet Knapp throws him in there so sparringly…The first play of the game on Sunday Butler streaked…was open…and Hass hit him…but there was a false start…he hit him semi deep later on as well…But taking the shot early and strectching the field is somethign Knapp doesn’t agree with and its’ killing us IMO.

by rjmcc01 on Dec 8, 2009 11:32 AM PST reply actions  

Is it Knapp's stubborn approach?

Or could it be an acute awareness of his team’s QB, and his QB’s limitations?!?

Bird Law in this country isn't governed by reason.

by whiskey chainsaw on Dec 8, 2009 12:27 PM PST up reply actions  

I believe yes.

He’s simply limiting plays that our offense can’t realistically pull off.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 8, 2009 2:45 PM PST up reply actions  

In the first half of the season, we took the downfield shot every game

on 3rd and 2, and the types of situations where a downfield shot was quite unexpected.

They failed. Every. Time.

The majority of the time the pass was just off. Either underthrown, WAY overthrown or defensed. Hass just don’t got. He never really was much of a deep threat QB. Why would be one going on 35?

In regards to Knapp, I tend to agree with Whiskey, below. I believe Knapp slowly changed the playbook after he recognized that our offense is incapable of the ‘down field shot’ or the ‘big play’ (haven’t seen an end-around in a few games now, and the SeneCat is rare and conservative). He’s playing to our team’s relative strengths (short pass game), strengths that sadly aren’t very effective unless they’re executed perfectly and very consistently.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 8, 2009 2:28 PM PST up reply actions  

This

right here, makes me like Knapp:

He’s playing to our team’s relative strengths

I get the same feeling. He calls what works, he plays to our strengths, and he adapts mid game and between games. I love that.

by Fear on Dec 8, 2009 4:21 PM PST up reply actions  

In the beginning of the season, the 'long shots' excited me

Now they just pissed me off.

First few games, I remember either in the first or second quarter, we’d always try a shot down field on a unpredictable down, like 3rd and 2.

I’d think to myself “Nice play call! totally caught em off guard; it’s a shame we couldn’t complete the pass. Next time though!”

Ten “next times” later and zero big plays later, I got pissed when we tried the play. Now, we don’t really try it anymore and it’s probably a good thing. Go with what works. Maybe next year or the year after we’ll have the talent to make the big plays. Right now, we simply don’t.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 8, 2009 5:13 PM PST up reply actions  

And how is "Go with what works"

Working out for us? Oh that’s right…It’s not. Every time we’ve spread em out…generally behind late…we’ve moved the ball with moderate ease and scored points….Really. We have. And I don’t believe that you, a quite logical guy…believes that Brady would succeed on another team behind another line…As you so eliquently stated…Let me list an extremely recent example…Sunday…Do not blame the D. Every time he loses it’s the D’s fault.

by rjmcc01 on Dec 9, 2009 2:40 PM PST up reply actions  

I do believe he'd succeed behind another line.

Because he’s a damned talented quarterback.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 9, 2009 3:00 PM PST up reply actions  

I trust Knapp

the guy has been doing it a long time. Produces between teams. Doesn’t have fossilized ideas like Holmgren. He’s really constricted in what he can do with his offense.

Though they sink through the Sea, they shall rise again...Death shall have no dominion...

by Cheddar28 on Dec 8, 2009 9:58 PM PST up reply actions  

This offense in particular*

Though they sink through the Sea, they shall rise again...Death shall have no dominion...

by Cheddar28 on Dec 8, 2009 9:59 PM PST up reply actions  

Whom else?

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 8, 2009 5:13 PM PST up reply actions  

Back down.

It’s an internet forum..not the Declaration of Independence. The spelling of a football players name whom we all know should not rise up an attitude. Virtual hug coming your way, it’s needed.

by rjmcc01 on Dec 9, 2009 2:42 PM PST up reply actions  

Touche.

But seriously. Way to encourage activity in your community amongst new posters…I thought the crowd was a little more mature than calling out misspelling…Sorry I have work to do Scruffy, and I’m popping my head in when I get a moment…

by rjmcc01 on Dec 9, 2009 2:49 PM PST up reply actions  

I think that we have to back up and look at the premise of the post...

Since it is phrased as a generality (Oline is overrated in the NFL), I think it should be debated in that context.

I would have to say that as a “Rule of Thumb”, offensive line is not overrated. Good pass protection, and solid run blocking are fairly obvious staples of executing a consistent scoring offense. There are many other ways that the argument could have been stated that would have made it far more true. For example:

High priced offensive linemen are overrated…. yeah, I could agree here.
Highly drafted O-linemen are overrated….. sure, I might agree here as well.
A team doesn’t need highly rated o-linemen to succeed…. this could also be true.

however…

A team (in general) certainly DOES need good o-line play to succeed. That good play doesn’t need to come from highly paid players, or guys drafted in the higher rounds…. but a team without run blocking or pass protection surely will have troubles winning games.

Pure Opinion to Follow
I believe there are other positions far more overrated than O-line:

1. Running Back: A great o-line can make any average RB look good. Not every great RB could make any average OL look good (apologies to super-humans like Barry Sanders). I personally feel the RB is the most interchangeable part of any team.

2. LinebackerJohn and others here have chronicled this many times.

… to name a couple.

Bring Your Game, Leave Your Name.

by iverson2169 on Dec 8, 2009 6:37 PM PST reply actions   1 recs

Well stated. I think you're pretty much right here.

I don’t think the o-line is overrated (this is what sparked the debate between him and I) per se, I just feel that too many fans are over-reliant on the o-line and tend to point fingers quite quickly at the line if the offense falters.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 8, 2009 10:21 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah.... I knew exactly where you were going with the points you hit on....

Level of importance doesn’t infer level of investment. Very true. One can be very very important without being very very expensive.

Bring Your Game, Leave Your Name.

by iverson2169 on Dec 8, 2009 11:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Well my friend...I quote you...

“Olines are overrated”…

I’m just saying ;). There isn’t a long list of offenses that are successful without at least 2 dominant members on the Oline. All most QB’s need is time.

by rjmcc01 on Dec 9, 2009 2:44 PM PST up reply actions  

Very well stated.

Bout that opinion of yours, though…. : )

Do you realize, for RB your maxim is a complete reciprocal of John Madden’s? He said many times, a great back can make a line great, but not the other way around.

Now, hearing Madden over a long period of time, it’s clear he still recognizes bad blocking can hold any RB back. But I think his point is a little more focused, in context, about great backs, that they transcend the circumstances and just play great. Probably the most pertinent example is Emmitt Smith. I can’t think of a back who has had so much credit taken away for having a great line. As though he was on par with Chris Warren but was set apart by his line. The guy was a great back.

Now, the idea that RB is fungible has risen in recent years, but I think that’s quite overstated. The position demands a lot of talent. It isn’t as demanding of exquisite skill as several other positions, but it’s still one of the more important positions. And can skill can still make a difference. There is a modest glut of capable backs, and that’s why it feels so interchangeable. There are a lot of guys that can do the job, it’s true. But it’s probably the closest part of football to basketball. Like a point guard. People think receiver is, but there’s a lot more skill involved, that can make or break you. In b-ball, transcendent talent alone can be a game-breaker, can set you apart. RBs touch the ball more than anyone but QB, so the impact that a transcendent talent can make is more maximized there than anywhere but QB.

A team, especially a talented team elsewhere, can do just fine with a back that’s anything above replacement level. But the impact in resources invested there rather than, say, thinned out to bolster depth elsewhere, can be much greater, so this throwaway mentallity of the RB position is really neglecting the impact it can make.

It’s as though people look at Michael Jordan and say, yeah, great point guard. But expensive, and hard to find. I can find a lot of decent point guards all over the place, so I’ll get them to do a decent job and spend the rest of my money on getting easier to find good players at the other positions around him, to build a very good team. Sure, that works, too, but don’t ignore the difference that a Michael Jordan can make. You have an opportunity to get a guy like that, a transcendent player at RB, there’s little excuse to ignore it.

by jacobstevens on Dec 9, 2009 10:17 AM PST up reply actions  

I think after QB, OL is the most important part of a team

I’d give OL the nod because it impacts both the running game and the passing game substantially. WR is very important but barely impacts the running game, so I’d put it a notch lower. DL affects both the running game and passing game, but according to football outsiders, passing offense is more valuable than passing defense, and running offense is more valuable than running defense in terms of regular season wins.

You can look here at football outsiders advanced OL measuring metrics, adjusted sack rate and adjusted line yards. You’ll notice there is a strong correlation between the “push” a line gets and the average rushing yards per carry a RB gets.

With pass protection (same link), you’ll notice some big names at the top of the list. The Colts are #1 in adjusted (lowest) sack rate, the Patriots are #2, and the Saints are #4. How is it that 40 and near 40 year old QB’s Favre and Warner are having great seasons? Their team ranks 11th and 6th in pass protection. Matt Hasselbeck has been battered and plagued by injuries since 2006. During precisely that same period, the Seahawks ranked bottom 5 every year in pass protection.

For most teams, 90% of their run yards can be accounted for by adjusted line yards: the OL itself is the running game. There is also a very strong correlation between pass protection and potent passing offense, and injuries. The franchise QB is undoubtedly the most valuable part of a football team. Keeping that piece safe and productive is of massive importance.

by kearly on Dec 8, 2009 7:24 PM PST reply actions  

Wow.

I’m kinda surprised that we were bottom five in pass pro in ’07 when Matt was tearing the league a new one through the air.

by thebyron on Dec 9, 2009 7:43 AM PST up reply actions  

Seattle wasn't bottom five in 2007

it was ranked 19th in preventing sacks. Sacks are not a great overall measure of pass protection. Holmgren had abandoned the run. Hasselbeck was running the offense through Engram, Pollard, Weaver and Morris. Opponents were loading up against the pass, but the line was still creating enough of a pocket for Hasselbeck to survey and find the open man underneath. It was good pass protection. I don’t know exactly how good, but I would say above average. It was good pass protection minus Morris and Alexander.

by John Morgan on Dec 9, 2009 12:12 PM PST up reply actions  

That makes more sense.

I should have checked the site and their methodology; we were bottom five in run blocking but not “pass pro”/sack prevention.

by thebyron on Dec 10, 2009 7:59 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm not a fan of adjusted line yards

and, not to be prickish, I am pretty sure you made up your statistics and correlations.

During precisely that same period, the Seahawks ranked bottom 5 every year in pass protection.

For most teams, 90% of their run yards can be accounted for by adjusted line yards: the OL itself is the running game. There is also a very strong correlation between pass protection and potent passing offense, and injuries. The franchise QB is undoubtedly the most valuable part of a football team. Keeping that piece safe and productive is of massive importance.

Pretty much everything you stated here is unfounded or factually inaccurate. In fact, since 2006, Seattle has never ranked bottom five in pass protection.

by John Morgan on Dec 9, 2009 12:17 PM PST up reply actions  

You are correct

I misread the statistics on pass protection. They’ve typically been in the 20’s, not bottom 5.

Line yards and rushing yards has a solid correlation.

by kearly on Dec 9, 2009 8:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Line yards is determined by rush yards

Line yards is nothing but an arbitrarily set truncation of rush yards—the supposed yards the line is responsible for.

by John Morgan on Dec 11, 2009 3:15 PM PST up reply actions  

I think there's substance to it.

But it’s incredibly arbitrary. Not only arbitrary, but unreasonably so. It’s the 0% accreditation for runs over 11 yards that flabbergasts me.

by jacobstevens on Dec 11, 2009 3:22 PM PST up reply actions  

The offensive line is five players that comprise

nearly half the offense, and assuming skill position substitutions, account for more than half of the total snaps.

Obviously it’s important.

The discussion is not how important an offensive line as a whole is, but how much in resources should be dedicated to it and how much separates a first round guard, center or tackle and a later round guard, center or tackle.

The Saints, for instance, are starting a 4th round left tackle and right guard, a 5th round left guard and center, and 2nd round right tackle. That line is widely praised. Would it be praised if it was starting for Seattle? Would Seattle’s line be praised if it were blocking for Drew Brees, Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush, Jeremy Shockey, Robert Meachem, Devery Henderson, etc.

by John Morgan on Dec 8, 2009 7:51 PM PST reply actions  

This is the proverbial "nail on the head"
he discussion is not how important an offensive line as a whole is, but how much in resources should be dedicated to it and how much separates a first round guard, center or tackle and a later round guard, center or tackle.

Absolutely! Importance is unquestioned. How much goes into it (investment wise) is the key. You DONT need to break the bank to get O-line results. Scheme is nearly as important as personnel.

Bring Your Game, Leave Your Name.

by iverson2169 on Dec 8, 2009 10:04 PM PST up reply actions  

You're absolutely right

It’s about production and value, less about the round in which they were taken.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 8, 2009 10:28 PM PST up reply actions  

I would guess a team could get a lot out of a cheap OL

If only they remained healthy and were assignment correct. All-pro talent is just gravy. Cohesion (health)+competence+caliber.

Having a good QB helps too. Drew Brees does not hold on to the ball, he gets it out quick. That really helps both of his tackles, who are finesse blockers and typically struggle against the likes of Julius Peppers and John Abraham.

With the Seahawks, there is no cohesion because injuries have caused a non-stop turnstile for years now. The closest the team came to real cohesion was 2007, but even they could not run block to save their lives. You can’t really blame anyone for injuries, but it does bring into consideration if some of the more injury prone players are worth relying on (namely, Lock at LT).

Competence is another problem. Competence (assignment correctness) grows with experience. The entire Seahawks OL has about 30 fewer starts combined than Walter Jones.

Finally, caliber. The Seahawks OL has only one truly above average player: Rob Sims.

That said, I agree with John that an OL will look much better based on who is playing behind it. While there is no doubt that 2005’s line is superior to 2009’s, the difference between an in their prime pro-bowl Hass/MVP Shaun and game manager Hass/Julius Jones is pretty immense. Even Minnesota’s line would only get this offense so far.

I think the Seahawks should add more resources into the line. A good team does not aim for a serviceable, game manager QB, and neither should they aim for a mediocre OL. The impact of those two areas demands they be well constructed, regardless of the method or investment. However, improving the OL alone won’t mean much, even if those changes are a sweeping success. The Seahawks must add a real franchise QB, a big play RB and a big play WR (or a bevy of good, young, diverse WR like New Orleans) to legitimize the offense and allow the OL to maximize its value.

by kearly on Dec 9, 2009 2:44 AM PST up reply actions  

Well said. I especially liked the Vikings line playing for Hawks point.

As for investing in the line, we come to the chicken/egg dilemma:

Do we invest in the line and hope that it can make our average-at-best talent even better, or

Invest in star caliber skill positions (QB, RB, WR maybe) and hope they can make plays behind a line that may be average, at best.

That is the question, and I think really it’ll come down to opportunity this off season.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 9, 2009 9:33 AM PST up reply actions  

either/or

The needs are so great, the team should just take the best talent and think along the lines of a 3 or 4 year plan to assemble the offense. I’d probably prefer OL and QB taken first, if possible, since they both take a long time to develop, and we should focus on the long developing positions earliest and quick developing positions (like RB) last, so that the offense is hitting its stride all at once instead of progressively.

by kearly on Dec 9, 2009 9:10 PM PST up reply actions  

I agree with the idea of best offensive talent over "needs" since we've got so many.

I’d like to think we’re closer than 3 or 4 years, but maybe that’s homerism.

by thebyron on Dec 10, 2009 8:02 AM PST up reply actions  

Superbowl 43 -- the bad O-Line Bowl

Pittsburgh won the Superbowl with an offensive line that was universally derided as sub-par. Not only did they win the Superbowl, but they won it on a long offensive drive in the final 2 minutes…so it wasn’t just a defensive victory.

 Meanwhile, the Cardinals O-Line was considered one of the weak links of their team. But they beat the excellent Offensive Lines of Atlanta, Carolina, and Philadelphia to get there.

I’m not saying offensive line play is unimportant. But it’s just one aspect of football. At this point, I’m of the opinion that in order to be an SB calibre team you just have to be great at something (and generally to have an above average QB).

The 2008 Steelers had a great defense. The 2008 Cards had a great passing offense.
The 2007 Patriots had a great passing offense. The 2007 Giants had a great pass rush.
The 2006 Colts had a great passing offense. The 2006 Bears had a great defense
The 2005 Seahawks had a great offensive line. The 2005 Steelers had Bill Leavy.

All of the above teams also had, at least, a very good quarterback…except the 2006 Bears and Rex Grossman (though Grossman was pretty good at times)

To quote Mike Sando in the ESPN power rankings, the 2009 Seahawks are not great at anything except kicking field goals. Fatal1ty.

by Keasley on Dec 9, 2009 8:41 AM PST reply actions  

Atlanta's offensive line isn't excellent but it just furthers your point

The Falcons started a right side of Tyson Clabo and Harvey Dahl, two undrafted free agents in their second year, and a center that was a 7th round pick. Despite that their running back ran for 1700 yards and their rookie quarterback was 7th in DVOA. To be fair they have invested a first and a second round pick on the left side of their line and Weiner is a solid vet, but the team jumped from 24th to 5th in adj sack rate and the only additions were in the backfield.

The Giants offensive line in 07 was hugely successful, to the point of FO talking about the unit deservice MVP votes, but has seen a huge drop with the decline of Brandon Jacobs and the loss of Derrick Ward. They’ve dropped from 3rd in run blocking in 2007 and 4th in 2008 to 12th in 2009 without any player changes.

Or watch the movement of Favre to see how much a QB can impact his pass protection. In 07 Green Bay ranked first in adjusted sack rate, in 08 they ranked 14th with Rodgers. In 08 the Jets ranked 19th in adj. sack rate, in 09 so far they rank 25th with Sanchez. Minnesotta ranked 28th in adj. sack rate with Frerotte and Jackson in 08, they rank 11th with Favre in 09. As Favre has moved and improved the QB play the offensive lines have also improved.

by Nate Dogg on Dec 9, 2009 9:31 AM PST up reply actions  

Sando's coverage is sketchy, at best.

Here’s something to be excited about:

Ignore Gore’s two long runs in our first matchup (which are outliers anyway; we were banged up defensively and miss our best DT), and the Hawks run defense is ranked 4th/5th in the league (based on yards allowed per game).

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 9, 2009 9:36 AM PST up reply actions  

True, but those outliers had a direct and unusual cause and not simply luck/noise

Perhaps a better way of wording it is: “in games with Mebane, the Seahawks run defense is a top 5 unit”

by kearly on Dec 9, 2009 9:13 PM PST up reply actions  

You don't need to consider them absolutely 4th/5th because of it

although it’s kind of moot, because in DVOA we’re pretty good against the run, regardless of those incidents.

The thing is, though, I’ve seen people adhere — I think, a bit dogmatically — to a straight numerical analysis for these kind of stats, even while recognizing that they don’t tell the entire story. We know that average often is more indicative of performances like this that total net yards. But average is not mean, nor mode, and we need not only look at teams through such a one-dimensional lense.

Here’s an example. The week-to-week graphs of selected teams’ DVOA. Is it fair to say that the Eagles’ DVOA is not a very accurate measurement of their performance, up to that point of the season? They mostly either played well above or below what their net average is.

Then take a look at the Titans. Not a good DVOA, and rightfully so, but then they appear closer to their average, generally. They have a couple more outlier games, though. Without trying to change their ranking, or anything, wouldn’t it be fair to look at that and say, well, they were atrocious for a couple games, but otherwise, despite the losses, haven’t been that bad. And even coming back to stomp Jacksonville doesn’t really show a lot of encouragement because they’ve not been able to produce that kind of performance with any consistency.

The framing of the idea often makes it out to be, toss out these items, and the rest was pretty good! And I understand when people react with, hey, those runs counted. And yeah, though do count. They should count. I just think we don’t need to throw out the baby with the bathwater, and oppose any further scrutiny of the numbers, on account of ideological rigidity of how statistics should be considered. Usually there’s not much more to learn, but sometimes average just isn’t the most accurate reflection of performance.

by jacobstevens on Dec 10, 2009 4:56 PM PST up reply actions  

OK, here's a non-comparative stat:

Discounting those two runs puts our run defense at allowing 3.79 yards per carry.

That’s damned good.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 10, 2009 1:45 PM PST up reply actions  

That's because our pass defense is so bad

Why fight for hard-earned gains of 4 yards on the ground against Seattle when you can pass for 11. It’s an oversimplification, and Seattle’s run defense is pretty good, but the point remains that it doesn’t really matter how good one aspect of your defense is when the other is bad. Seattle’s overall defensive output is below average: partially because they give up a ton of yards in the air, and because they can’t stop teams (except San Fran) on 3rd down.

by Keasley on Dec 9, 2009 10:03 AM PST reply actions  

We can't consistently pressure the quartback

And if you can’t pressure the QB, you need to LOAD your backfield with elite talent. And even sometimes that isn’t enough.

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 9, 2009 10:48 AM PST up reply actions  

Someone recently was talking

like 2.5 seconds was the over/under on adequate pass rush. And I thought, that’s a little extreme. Maybe the standard isn’t 4, anymore, but that’s a little extreme.

But did you see how fast we were getting to Alex Smith, in some ways it looked like some of the best pass rush we’ve had all year. But it wasn’t remotely enough, didn’t even touch him, he got the ball out easily. So maybe we have reached an age of hyper-rush being being the only effective rush at all. But then maybe it also speaks to the difference that actual tight coverage can really make, if it’s become so difficult to shut down QBs by the rush.

by jacobstevens on Dec 9, 2009 11:12 AM PST up reply actions  

Well, yeah, that's the reason our pass defense is bad

But it remains the case that our pass defense is bad. The main reason is the lack of pass rush. The next reason is undersized corners that don’t match up well against tall WRs. That is followed by inconsistent play at safety (though Babs has improved) and capped off by our ‘shut down corner’ Trufant being injured early in the year and ineffective upon his return. Oh yeah, two rookies at LB have made for some blown assignments in the passing game too

by Keasley on Dec 9, 2009 11:10 AM PST reply actions  

I apalogize for having a career choice other than journalist...

I don’t see the spell check button…Maybe I’m missing it. I don’t understand the constant assault because of a puntuation error or misspelled word…I wanted to become an active member of this community but the welcoming commitee is failing.

by rjmcc01 on Dec 9, 2009 2:54 PM PST reply actions  

This is a blog

when you comment or post on a blog, you are adding to the content of it. As such, it is expected that you demonstrate a reasonable level of grammatical skill. Occasional errors are fine, but this fanpost is riddled with misspellings and grammar errors. That’s not acceptable.

We don’t expect you to know the MLA handbook from cover to cover. We expect a reasonable attempt to make your posts readable.

by BrianL on Dec 9, 2009 2:58 PM PST up reply actions  

It's not an assault, Ryan

They’re simple requests for proper punctuation and grammar. That’s all =)

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.

by Nick Andron on Dec 9, 2009 3:03 PM PST up reply actions  

Write well and have proper grammar

And you’ll be well received.

You don’t need to be a journalist to learn that basic functions of the English language need to be shown in a presentation of an argument or question to an audience.

ME! BANE!

by SSreporters on Dec 9, 2009 3:05 PM PST up reply actions  

I strongly suggest...

going to Word (or whatever you use) then cutting and pasting it in. That way you have a solid spell check running through your work before posting, and it adds to the quality of your words, hence strengthens your words.

Your words are your voice. The stronger and more clear they are, the more they will resonate with the masses.

Bird Law in this country isn't governed by reason.

by whiskey chainsaw on Dec 9, 2009 3:51 PM PST up reply actions  

Agreed.

Firefox is dandy for basic grammar and spelling. Of course, it’s not going to catch capitalization and usage problems.

by redwolf75 on Dec 9, 2009 8:07 PM PST up reply actions  

Yeah, I personally would not be so dickish about it, but I think its for the best

This place can be tough for new posters, but its pretty much a situation where you will have to adapt to the communities values- the community is not going to bend to you. If you’re ok with that, then welcome!

But just be advised, you will need thick skin here if you go against the flow (as you can see already). Things can get heated here and some things are touchy subjects.

The content of your fanpost was a little thin but that’s fine- I think short, minimalist fanposts are the best for stimulating discussion. I think all they wanted was for you to get the names right and make sure the post would pass a 9th grade writing level. It only takes a little bit of effort to do so, and if you take the time to create a fanpost, its worth that extra 10% effort to make it correct.

by kearly on Dec 9, 2009 9:29 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

YOU Kearly.... are a Rockstar!!!

Did you just create your own adverb? Dickish… that must be rec’d

Bring Your Game, Leave Your Name.

by iverson2169 on Dec 9, 2009 11:58 PM PST up reply actions  

I'm a perfectly logical guy...

And I came here as recommended by a close friend of mine…I’ll be sure not to make that mistake again.

by rjmcc01 on Dec 9, 2009 3:17 PM PST reply actions  

We've all been new

and I do not think anyone is attempting to be rude or dismissive, but part of being new is learning the community. The community is not going to bend its standards around you and so you must uphold the standards of the community. Some members have attempted polite correction. If that is not something you can tolerate, than I do not think you’ll enjoy Field Gulls.

by John Morgan on Dec 9, 2009 3:30 PM PST up reply actions  

"Then" John. Than denotes degree/comparison...

I say that half in jest, though half to show our “new guy” that we call each other out too, and even the mighty John is not infallible.

Seriously though, we welcome you, but to keep the quality of the site high, we ask of each other in the community that we respect the community as a whole. One thing this community values is having a strong clear voice, and a significant aspect to that is using proper grammar.

It isn’t personal at all, don’t take it that way. Take it as a welcome, and if we welcome you, we expect the same from you that we do from ourselves.

Bird Law in this country isn't governed by reason.

by whiskey chainsaw on Dec 9, 2009 3:54 PM PST up reply actions  

I do understand your point having been "new" here last year.

For me it wasn’t a grammatical issue. It was my choice to use the word “stout”. I referred to the Seahawks use of undersized, penetrating linemen (Darby), as a contrast from what the focus appears to now be (“stout” linemen like Cole and Redding).

In the dictionary there are several definitions for the word “stout”. Obviously, I was using the first definition listed (thick and heavy); however, the 4th and 5th definitions (according to the online source I referenced, had “stout” meaning forceful, sturdy with staying power). Apparently, many took umbrage with Colin Cole being called sturdy, and forceful, and let me have it. I remember feeling very put off by the whole experience and actually logged off for nearly 2 months.

In retrospect, their comments weren’t all that harsh, but to a “new guy” they do come across as high-browed grammar snobs. I assure you that it will pass. You’ll come to appreciate the difference between a site like this, from the free-for-all’s that exist at places like FOX Sports. Coming from someone who DID take it personally…. don’t take it personally.

If nobody has done it yet… I want to welcome you here.

Grammar and punctuation aside, this has been a thought provoking Fan post that has attracted plenty of good debate. Stick around… take a few minutes to check the formatting next time (to ward off the grammar gargoyles), and enjoy one of the most in depth Seahawks analysis sites in the world. Hope to see you back.

Bring Your Game, Leave Your Name.

by iverson2169 on Dec 9, 2009 7:15 PM PST up reply actions  

I can't stand the Fox Sports comments, it's nonstop capital letters and exclamation points

Sadly, this is the most coherent and intelligent comment you’ll find on that website

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by SeaTownBlueDevil on Dec 9, 2009 7:45 PM PST up reply actions  

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