Auditing Last Season's Offseason Checklist, Pt. 1
I plan on rolling out my offseason checklist sometime next week. To repeat myself from last season "I prefer this to a "plan" because it accepts that I, as a blogger, do not know all the factors in play, and therefore can not endorse a team signing nor chide a team for not signing a specific player." In other words, I could say "cut this guy and this guy and this guy and throw so much damn money at Albert Haynesworth he breaks into money-seizures and begins vomiting Krugerrands!" But there's a legitimate chance Haynesworth isn't interested in playing for Seattle at any price.
Anyway, I thought it would be interesting to audit last season's offseason checklist a little over a year after writing it. In the spirit of seeing if I knew what the hell I was talking about then and if it looks silly or spot-on in retrospect. Let's tackle the "priorities" today, the "to do" tomorrow and the "considerations" on Friday.
Draft a Long Term Replacement for Walter Jones
For most priorities I do not define exactly how the team should fill a need, but left tackle is an obvious exception. Top left tackles rarely see free agency, and when they do, are frightfully expensive. Further, this is a gangbusters draft for offensive tackle talent. If Seattle does not acquire a young offensive tackle this offseason, it will be hard to rate this offseason as anything but a failure.
I'm full of bluster, aren't I? Well Seattle didn't draft a left tackle and by season's end was dependent on something called a "Na'Shan Goddard" to prevent its quarterback from being blindsided into dust. To Tim Ruskell's credit, the best tackles went very fast. Before Seattle's 28th overall pick, Jake Long, Ryan Clady, Chris Williams, Gosder Cherilus, Jeff Otah, Sam Baker and Duane Brown were drafted. That's a lot of top talent and at least one Gosder Cherilus. Seattle traded up to select John Carlson, expending their third round pick in the process and so doing lost out on another tackle I was pretty gaga over: Anthony Collins. Following, Seattle could have selected Breno Giacomini, Barry Richardson, Geoff Schwartz or Kirk Barton, but the opportunity to pick a "long term replacement" for Walter Jones was pretty much past.
In retrospect, I think I was right about tackle being a paramount need, but I also think Seattle failed to draft a tackle mostly because it refused to reach on an inferior talent. Sometimes, it would seem, things just fall apart without anyone to blame.
Re-sign or Franchise Marcus Trufant
Tru is among the very best talents on this roster, add to that his age, his progression and the time it takes to develop a young corner, and this is a slamdunk no-brainer. The team needs to retain Trufant or suffer an extreme drop-off at both corner positions.
Done. I think most fans will agree Trufant had another strong season on a Seattle pass defense with the rollover potential of a Suzuki Samurai.
Draft, Sign, Develop or Trade For a Starting Left Guard
This is not a key -> keyhole situation. Seattle has a definite need, but no one way of filling it. If 2007 draftee Mansfield Wrotto has shown enough on the practice squad, then Seattle may only be thinking depth. Wrotto certainly has the tools, but late as the 2007 NFL draft, none of the polish. If Seattle wishes to draft a left guard, Duke Robinson is one of the better guard talents to come around in a number of years. Behind him is a deep class, with some top-tier talent. It would not be inconceivable, nor inadvisable, for Seattle to draft two offensive linemen in the first 3 rounds.
Seattle didn't just sign a guard, they signed the left guard I commanded they sign. That's pretty cool, and yet...Eventually Mike Wahle was IRed due to injury, and though he was an awesome run blocker, he didn't always seem a great fit in Mike Solari's zone blocking system. His pass blocking was problematic. His injury is career threatening. Ruskell wants to assemble an offensive line out of well-coached spare parts, but that's typically a pretty poor way to create a power run game. I hear there's this guy named Duke Robinson. Four year starter in the Big 12. Atlanta native. Crafted in the zone blocking dream factory. Seems his stock is foolishly depressed. And Seattle with an early second round pick.
Ensure Stability at Head Coach
I'm not going to participate further in the speculation of whether Holmgren will retire or not. I've picked my horse, made it clear months back that I thought that this was Holmgren's last season with the team, and am not going to junior psycho-analyze his recent press conference. Be it Holmgren, Jim Mora Jr, Jon Gruden or Coach X, the Seattle Seahawks are a veteran club that needs stability in its coaching staff. All things considered, Mora would likely be preferable. One thing I definitely wish to avoid is Holmgren coaching one more season, and therefore being the proverbial "lame duck". If Holmgren wishes to stick around, I hope he signs an extension and recommits himself to the craft. When Holmgren says that Stump Mitchell is making the decision as to which running back receives carries, I question his commitment to fielding a winning team.
Oh boy.
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Duke Robinson
with our 2nd pick would be awesome. I don’t think he slips that far, but it’s possible. Do you think staying an extra year hurt him? Doesn’t seem to have helped much, draft wise. I’d almost prefer a defensive tackle for the 2nd, but will there be any good ones? Maybe, I haven’t really looked into it yet. OL or DL, which needs it more? Seems like a toss up at this point.
Wow, you should just quit your day job and become a fortune teller.
Every one of these things is pretty much the big 4 that we’re talking about this offseason. The only exception being we now feel that we need a QB to groom to replace Hass (hopefully) 2 years down the line.
With every passing day or report, it seems like Chung or Duke Robinson will be our 2nd round pick. You never know who falls though, perhaps Oher or Sanchez falls to round 2, or perhaps William Moore falls to round 3.
I was wondering the same thing
I focus almost entirely on the pros, and don’t fancy myself a draft guru by any means, but my exposure to NFL fan draft speculation has had plenty of fans from plenty of teams talking about Duke Robinson, maybe more than any other player I can think of, in part because there seems to be a consensus that he’s more valuable than the consensus, which makes me think he’ll be gone before pick #20.
I gotta give props on the HC stability priority analysis, I didn’t come across anyone who framed the scope of the issue so well last year. I probably didn’t even realize it until I started reading prognostications about how our season wuold be doomed because Holmgren was a lame duck. Which was preposterous. Preposterous! Ahem.
2 of the 4 priorities from last year have carried over to this year
Seattle is still looking for a guard and a long term replacement for Walt, except now they’re probably up against a wall with finding a starting LT.
To be fair, they at least tried to address the guard issue.
It isn’t anyone’s fault that Mike Wahle, who had previously missed 3 games in a respectable 10 season career due to injury, would be IRed and miss the last quarter of the season.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Feb 11, 2009 4:43 PM PST up reply actions
To be fair
Wrotto, Porkchop, and others did not do as poorly as I expected them to. Maybe Wrotto or Willis (assuming we resign him) will be very good guards. They got game day practice in a season that meant very little. I think continuity is going to be important. I am still like the idea of drafting Alex Mack and moving Spencer over to guard but no matter how much I pray, it is hard to believe that we will have Alex Mack at 37.
Spencer wasn't too hot at guard in '06.
And I was excited about Wrotto until he started channeling Richie Incognito’s spirit in the season finale.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Feb 11, 2009 6:45 PM PST up reply actions
I would also state that was in '06
I hope he has improved since then.
by Built2Spill on Feb 11, 2009 11:36 PM PST up reply actions
True -- Mack may be off the board by then...
But this is a pretty deep draft at center. Both Unger and Luigs will probably still be on the board at 37.
However, I’m not convinced Mack is that much better than Unger, especially for the Seahawks , who could use a proficiently versatile lineman rather than a one-position gem. Furthermore, drafting Mack would be tantamount to abandoning Spencer, who, I believe, when healthy, has looked promising. Either way I’d be interested in hearing John’s thoughts on how the two (Mack and Unger) compare…
by tohereknowswhen on Feb 11, 2009 7:02 PM PST up reply actions
From what I've heard, Mack is more stout at the point of attack,
while Unger is uncommonly talented at pulling out and dishing fantastic blocks on the move. In any case, I’d rather have Unger for his versatility alone.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Feb 11, 2009 7:30 PM PST up reply actions
John, or someone else, I have a question regarding Duke Robinson that I need answered
I was debating well established blogger (he runs a draft blog) about Duke Robinson last week, and he said that Duke Robinson might be one of the worst zone blocking lineman in the top portion of the draft. He said that from watching tape Robinson showed very poor pulling skills and would probably be completely useless on pulling plays in the pros.
Zone blocking puts a premium on mobility and guards pull a lot in zone.
I argued in favor of Duke, because only ~10-20% of all offensive plays actually involve a pulling LG. A little less than half of all plays are run plays, and of those, about half go up the middle.
Anyway, it caught my eye that you said Duke Robinson was “crafted in a zone blocking dream factory.” John, I have tremendous respect for your tape evaluation. What can you tell me that can prove this other guy is wrong about Robinson being a terrible fit for zone blocking?
I think there's a little confusion here
"Pulling" is not common in a zone blocking scheme. When a lineman pulls, he’s pulling out of his "zone". It’s pretty immaterial if Robinson is a great pull blocker. I haven’t seen any evidence that pull blocking is really his strength, his feet aren’t exceptional and I don’t think OU asked him to pull or trap much, but pull blocking is not the same as blocking into the second level. Robinson is very good at blocking into the second level. Robinson is very physically dominant within his zone, very athletic within his zone (think "in a telephone booth"), and his true greatest weakness, ability to identify defenders and react to blitzes, is a de-emphasized because he’s not blocking a man, but a zone. So I wouldn’t worry too much about his pull blocking, Seattle is running, to my understanding, a pretty vanilla zone. The kind that needs smart, athletic and powerful blockers, but does not need great pull blockers.
That was a nice exchange there.
Good post to JM. I enjoyed the breakdown.
Is there anyone else other than Duke that would be worth targeting with our early 2nd if he is still available at that point? Obviously, it’s impossible to determine who else would be there, but based on your evaluation of the talent so far?
Let's go.
Offensive linemen?
Eben Britton deserves consideration. Max Unger has great awareness and athleticism, but lacks power. Herman Johnson is just too ridiculously large for words and surprisingly light on his feet, but my concern with him is at 380+, a severe injury could end his career.
by John Morgan on Feb 15, 2009 11:26 AM PST up reply actions
I was also curious about Britton being a 2nd round possibility for us.
Though Unger, Mack, and Robinson seem to be the favorites, they all could be gone by our 2nd pick. It is nice to have the bases covered. Britton is about what, the 5th-rated OT?
Side note: what is some recommended reading material to learn more about lineman, zone-blocking, schemes, etc. and football in general. The breakdowns at this site are sometimes fascinating, and I would like to improve my football IQ, if you will. Been a fan since Seattle’s inception, but I’m finding the need for detail like never before.

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