Aaron Curry at Four
Aaron Curry
Birthdate: April 6, 1986
Height/Weight: 6'1 3/4"/254
Position: LB
College: Wake Forest, 51 games played
College Stats: 275 tackles, 44.5 tackles for a loss, 15 passes defensed, 6 interceptions, 9.5 sacks, 8 quarterback hurries, 5 forced fumbles, 3 touchdowns, 1 punt return for 13 yards.
My Take: So what if Seattle does select Aaron Curry? The history of first in class linebackers is not sterling. Excepting rush linebackers, a position so apart it might as well be defensive end, the best first in class linebacker in recent history is Patrick Willis. The 49ers defense barely budged his rookie season, and though after five consecutive seasons of dismal play it moved towards mediocre in 2008, that could be Willis, Nate Clements, Justin Smith, Takeo Spikes, the ouster of Mike Nolan, the ouster of Alex Smith and JT O'Sullivan, the appointment of Mike Singletary, all of the above, regression towards the mean, or all the above. However you slice it, Willis has not been transformative in the way Albert Haynesworth, DeMarcus Ware or Jared Allen have been.
That's the only reason Curry is even available at four. He's the best prospect in the draft. Curry is the consensus best linebacker in a strong linebacker class. If he were a running back, his Speed Score would compare to Ronnie Brown. He was productive at Wake Forest, performed well in individual drills at the combine, gives a good interview, is terrifically athletic and punches every criterion one could want in a prospect. If Seattle selects him they will have effectively escaped the loser's curse, drafting a safe prospect with exceptional talent that should contribute for the life of his contract. Curry might be modestly overpaid, but short of calamity, that's about as bad as I can see things working out for the team that drafts Curry.
The rest of the information about Curry is freely available. Excluding an injury there's no evidence he will suffer, Curry's an asset for now and the future. The consummate linebacker without a weakness and as many strengths as scouts can categorize. And yet, I don't find him exciting at all. Of the 18 Hall of Fame enshrined linebackers of the modern era, only three were selected in the first round. Only two of those three were selected first in their class, and both were rush linebackers. The one Hall of Fame linebacker selected in the first round that wasn't a rush linebacker is Dick Butkus. And even Butkus was hardly transformative. He was selected by the Bears in 1965. That Bears team was the best defense in football just two seasons earlier. It was not again the best defense in football any season Butkus played. The Bears alternated between mediocre and awful. Butkus only played nine seasons, and the Bears never made the playoffs in any of them. Low risk and likely to be productive, Curry is, but a franchise player to build the next contender around, Curry is not.
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25 comments
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Comments
Orly?
2/3 of the world is covered by water. The rest is covered by Marcus Trufant.
by Chickadee on Apr 15, 2009 1:48 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Fuckwit!!!!
Nice reference.I dig it John.
"I call the big one Bitey."-Homer J. Simpson
by Willie Mays Haze on Apr 15, 2009 8:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I didn't expect any more profiles on top 10 picks.
I thought it was just going to rotate from 2nd, 3rd and 4th round, and then maybe a massive late round collection of interesting players.
by LantermanC on Apr 15, 2009 2:27 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I really don't like this pick.
Sure, he may be a great player, but we have two great LB’s already, when we had 3 of the better LB’s in the league, we didn’t return to the superbowl. In fact, we did go to the superbowl with our projected starters. If we had the linebacking corps like in 04/05 or prior I could understand it. I think I’m just so sick of defensive picks from Ruskell I want an offensive pick in one of the EARLY ROUNDS. Much like John Carlson was last year.
by Trepidation on Apr 15, 2009 2:32 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Honestly Curry is near the bottom of my list of players I'd like to see taken at #4.
by BrianL on Apr 15, 2009 2:46 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
my list of 4...
stafford, smith, monroe, curry.
by cro-mag! on Apr 15, 2009 3:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't like the idea of making him the highest paid LB in NFL history,
which he would probably be if taken within the first 8 or so picks. I think we can succeed just fine with two above-average LBs and one average one. There are too many positions where we need help to invest so much money into three LBs.
by SeaTownBlueDevil on Apr 15, 2009 2:52 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Great Pic
Whatever may or may not happen to Aaron Curry during the draft, he’s a class act. Taking a kid with leukemia with you to the draft? Amen, brother. Good move.
by robbbbbb on Apr 15, 2009 3:13 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I want to want Curry
but I always come away from him thinking all the things you said in this post, he’s just not going to improve our defense. Maybe he won’t bust the way Crabtree or Brown/Orakpo could but I’m willing to take more risk with those guys when the reward is Fitz or Rice.
by Nate Dogg on Apr 15, 2009 4:39 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
"and punches every criterion one could want in a prospect."
I’m sure I speak for others when I say I certainly do not like how he wasn’t considered a first round prospect until last season. To me, Curry is a jack of all trades, master of none, and I would be livid if we drafted him because this alleged ‘hole’ was created by releasing a perfectly great player in Julian Peterson, and I couldn’t think of a more colossal waste of the first top 5 draft pick we’ve had in forever.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Apr 15, 2009 4:57 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
These two lines say it all.
“However you slice it, Willis has not been transformative in the way Albert Haynesworth, DeMarcus Ware or Jared Allen have been.”
“It was not again the best defense in football any season Butkus played.”
At #4, Curry would be a terrible choice. We don’t need a 3rd great linebacker. It’s a waste. It’s really unfortunate there are no stud defensive tackles in this draft. I know Curry gets penciled in for KC in all the mock drafts, but I’m not so sure even they pick him. They need a pass rusher. If they’re smart, they won’t. But then, who does KC pick and how will that effect us? Monroe or Crabtree? Maybe Orakpoe? It’s possible Curry won’t even be the top linebacker selected.
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 15, 2009 5:59 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
It makes all kinds of sense
For KC to trade down with Cleveland or Oakland or somebody who really wants Crabtree (or perhaps Curry or Sanchez). A few spots down, they could still grab Orakpo or Brown maybe.
But of course it takes two to tango and they might just have to stay where they are and suck it up and either “reach” a little bit for their favorite pass rusher or even just snag Crabtree themselves.
Put it this way: if you were KC, how many current non-hybrid NFL linebackers would you be willing to trade the 3rd overall pick for straight up? Even if you knew Curry was going to be (say) James Harrison; is he worth the 3rd pick? I don’t know.
I agree: I have no idea what KC is going to do, and thus no idea what Seattle’s options are going to be.
by busplunger on Apr 15, 2009 6:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I do think Curry is the perfect pick for Detroit
I’m not a Lions fan per se, but they don’t have a single exceptional unit and Curry is still an exceptional prospect. Barring injury, Curry has no foreseeable downside and that makes him exactly right for Detroit. No player in this draft is going to take that team from horrible to even mediocre right now. Detroit’s next few drafts need to be low on risk. They simply cannot afford to continue missing on top picks if they ever hope to change their fortunes.
Seattle is obviously a different story. They have competent players. They should perhaps be gambling on upside, trying to find a transformative player. For some, that will mean Matthew Stafford. (I still just don’t buy Stafford, and it’s all intuition. I’ll admit that.) I still think it means Crabtree. :)
"Those who fear disorder more than injustice inevitably produce more of both." -- Rev. William Coffin
by dcrockett17 on Apr 15, 2009 6:54 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
If Detroit drafted Curry...
They would officially be the worst run pro-sports franchise ever. A tackle or a QB would take their team a long way, and you simply don’t draft an out of position middle linebacker with the first overall pick in the draft, which is exactly what Curry would be in Detroit. What would they achieve with three great linebackers? They would be in the exact same position we were in before we shipped off Peterson, except with an exceptionally worse defensive line.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Apr 15, 2009 7:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How is Curry an out of position middle linebacker?
by Nate Dogg on Apr 15, 2009 7:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Correct me if I'm wrong, but he's an OLB.
And if Detroit drafts him, they’d move him to MLB because they have two established starters in Peterson and Ernie Sims at OLB. In essence, they would pull a Paul Poszluszny (however you spell it), Will Witherspoon, or Karlos Dansby and make him play out of position.
Forgive me if I didn’t originally make that clear.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Apr 15, 2009 7:39 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, he's an OLB
I see what you mean now.
by Nate Dogg on Apr 15, 2009 7:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Curry makes great sense for us...
…if we deal Hill during the draft. I’m suspecting that Hill is having a tough time with the idea of playing in Seattle for what we want to pay him, so why not deal him for a draft pick and draft his replacement in Curry?
Hill’s worth what, a late first?
by djafrot on Apr 15, 2009 7:36 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I can't fathom anything near that.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Apr 15, 2009 7:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He'll have a hard time playing for 8.3 million this year?
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 15, 2009 10:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, I think he would.
Who wants to play under the franchise tag? If you get hurt you’re screwed. Yes, I know Walter did this, but I’m not sure how happy he was about it.
I really don’t think Hill really, really wants to be here, and we’ll have to pay him big to keep him. Why not move him for a pick or two and at least get something for him while we can? At the same time we’ll move a ton of salary off the books.
I could be reading this wrong, certainly. I have no proof he wants to be somewhere else, it’s just conjecture.
by djafrot on Apr 16, 2009 1:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Didn't Walt once say he enjoyed being tagged?
Or was that someone else?
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Apr 16, 2009 3:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hah, yeah that sounds familiar.
But Walter’s a rare specimen.
by djafrot on Apr 16, 2009 8:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who is worth #4 money?
A third year pro bowl player is. If the Hawks draft Curry- they will play him at the right position.
Butkus never played in the West Coast Defense!
by Section 128 on Apr 16, 2009 8:24 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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