Evaluating Julius Jones
Hello Seahawks fans. I'm here to get some clarification on something that has been bugging me lately, that is an evaluation of Julius Jones. It seems to me that he has been pretty overrated by Seahawks fans as a group. Now, obviously I'm not speaking for all of you but I am basing this off three seperate evaluations. The first is John Morgan's 2008 season retrospective where he writes:
I don't think Jones did or will suck. He's an average rusher, very good blocker and a good receiver.
It makes sense to me that if a RB is an average rusher and above average at blocking and receiving (the three primary responsibilities for a RB) then he would be an above average player. Yet in the very same article John states that for most of the season Jones was outclassed by Maurice Morris. Nothing against Morris, but I don't see how you can be outclassed by him and be considered even an average running back.
The next comes in John's positional breakdown of the Seahawks running back's:
Seattle's Julius Jones and TJ Duckett are just average rushers, maybe better, but that both are average, and that Jones can contribute as blocker and receiver, makes them together a bit above average.
Again it seems that Jones is at least average at everying needed out of a RB, this time John even says that Jones is may be above average at running the football.
And the final evaluation is from a conversation I had with Fearless Frog at Niners Nation today where FF said of Jones:
Great pass blocker and receiver, average to below average rusher
At least time FF leaves the possibility that Jones is below average at something.
It seems to me that RB's benefit from the same thinking that first baseman do in baseball. That is that despite the fact an individual first baseman may not be very valuable to his team because of position scarcity, his teams fans still think he's good because he's nearly always one of his teams 4-5 best hitters. As for running backs it seems that they get the ball so much on offense that their fans have a hard time rating them as below average. Here's just a quick, rough list I compiled ranking staring NFC RB's on rushing ability, using nothing but my own subjective opinion:
Adrian Peterson
Steven Jackson
Deangelo Williams
Julius Jones
The exact rankings aren't important, the point is calling Julius Jones an average runner, let alone above average, is just completely unjustifiable. If yo think he's average you have to think he's legitimately better at running the football than at leas 7-8 of these 16 backs. I don't think people realize how good a back needs to be to be average. Someone like Marion Barber or Clinton Portis is an average runner, maybe even Frank Gore depending on how you rank guys, but Julius Jones is certainly nowhere near average. In fact it's hard to call him anything but an awful runner for a starting running back.
Now, obviously his blocking and receiving ability helps him if we are talking about overall running back ability. He might move ahead of a couple guys on the list if we were to rank running backs that way. But to me there's just no way you can call him anything near an average runner. And let's be honest, how many of these teams would trade their running backs for Julius Jones if we're just talking about 2009? I think it's pretty clear that Julius Jones is far below the standard of an average NFL running back, and I'd love to hear your guys' opinion on this.
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Friendly contract.
4.4 YPC, higher than several of the RBs you list above Jones and several can’t block or receive.
In conclusion: Julius Jones = budding Hall of Famer, feel free to crown his ass.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 20, 2009 10:41 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
As for below average rusher,
I still don’t think Julius Jones is some game-breaking tailback, but he’s pretty solid all around.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 20, 2009 10:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's obviously not a game breaker
But the point is that he’s not even close to average, he’s just downright bad when it comes to rushing the ball. Even in 2007 he was worse than everyone on that list who qualified except for Jackson. His teammate Marion Barber (somewhere around an average runner himself) had an 18.0% DVOA compared to Jones -6.7% DVOA. This is with them running with the same players around them.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 20, 2009 11:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Some players skillsets favor different blocking schemes.
Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.
by BrettJMiller on Aug 20, 2009 11:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
True
But Jones hasn’t shown he can be effective in any scheme yet.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 20, 2009 11:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I know this is a dumb and rudimentary way of looking at it,
but 819 yards in 8 games his rookie year implies he can be a good back. Maybe he gets injured, or maybe he needs to have a second back in his lineup, but I think he’s been effective. Just not dominant.
by LantermanC on Aug 21, 2009 12:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's true
He was effective his rookie year. He hasn’t been since though, I’m not sure why.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
His contract is irrelevant for this exercise
His rushing DVOA was lower than every one of those guys except for Hightower and Grant, who maybe should be below him as well. Still, given Grant’s 2007 I think ranking him above Jones is fair. Even Reggie Bush had a higher DVOA than Jones.
Jones isn’t who you thought he was. ;-)
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 20, 2009 11:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Also have to keep in mind that Holmgren did not really like Jones, did not play him often, and with a broken O-Line he wasn't really set up to succeed.
Jones is not great, but he’s better than his 2008
Yesterday's Pants
A blog-thingy about the Mariners and stuff.
by BrettJMiller on Aug 20, 2009 11:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So which of those guys would you rank him above?
If you truly think he’s an average runner.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 20, 2009 11:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Average doesn't mean middle of a power ranking
by Nate Dogg on Aug 20, 2009 11:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It definitely doesn't mean the bottom.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:44 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And I'd really like to know
How he can be average if he’s not in the middle.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:48 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Because if he is AVERAGE...
that means he does not excel simply running with the ball, whereas some of the backs on this list are quite electric.
Jones is serviceable, i.e. average, and part of what makes him such, are things like his blocking ability and relative versatility. Remember too, you are only listing starters above. Each team has 2-4 additional running backs that are not getting a full compliment of carries because they are backups and not good enough (below average) to start— even if they were traded to us, to replace our “below average” [your eyes] running back.
Some backs are great receivers. Others great at short yardage. Others run well out of a single back formation, others need a fullback. And others yet need a particular blocking scheme to maximize their potential.
If you were to rank those same backs as blockers, Julius would come up in the top 2-3, maybe the best.
If you were to list those backs as receivers, he’d be in the upper half.
You are taking one thing— running— and putting him at the bottom of the list of running backs because of it.
Dude is an average back. Not great, not bad. If you’ve heard any Hawk fan say he’s great, you’d have heard it before I have….
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 3:02 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You are taking one thing— running— and putting him at the bottom of the list of running backs because of it.
Yes, that’s exactly what I’m doing. And it’s because in the quotes above in the OP John and FF both call him an average runner. I don’t see how that can be the case.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 3:36 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Again...
he is an average runner. Not great, and not bad.
You want to put him in the “bad” category because he isn’t great. In truth, he is an average runner. There are guys in the league better, and guys in the league worse. Most the guys better are starting, most the guys worse are backups. He has earned the ability to start given past numbers, but he lacks the ability to dominate once starting.
Again, this goes back to his being… what’s the word?
Average.
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 8:58 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
But you don't compare him to backups
You compare him to other starters. If someone says a RB is average at everything shouldn’t that mean that he is an average starter?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:02 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, because you're narrowing the pool of running backs and skewing what is average when you only look at starters.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 11:04 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Isn't that what everyone does?
Who is an average QB in the league? Someone like Jake Delhomme/Kerry Collins wouldn’t you say? That is an average starter, not an average of all QB’s. If we were to do it that way than the average QB would be some middling backup.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, most people look at the entire pool of available talent when labeling players as "average" "above average" and so forth.
Looking only at players slated to start on an NFL team is arbitrary and doesn’t really give you the full picture.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 11:34 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I actually agree with you here.
Except for RB, maybe the top 50, because there are so many teams with 2 backs.
by LantermanC on Aug 21, 2009 12:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
4.4 ypc behind a second-string OL facing defenses that didn't respect the pass
He’s no superstar, but he doesn’t suck and he has a chance of being relatively effective if we can get the ZBS working.
Brett Favre is the Kenny Powers of football.
by ninjasocks on Aug 20, 2009 11:58 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
So once again
which of those guys is he better than at running the ball?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:45 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Tim Hightower, for one.
But again, just because the guy is at the bottom of a list doesn’t mean he’s bad… just means he isn’t elite. And none of us ever said he was.
Can you acknowledge that running the ball isn’t the only skill of a back?
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 3:06 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How could that not mean he's bad
Being 15th out of 16 isn’t bad anymore? Do you happen to be a college teacher or something?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 3:37 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"15th out of 16th" are you effin kidding me?
You come with an arbitrary number of 16. If each team carries three running backs, that’s 96 total. So he’s 15 out of a class of 96 who make the roster. Yeah, I’d say that’s average. Actually, I’d say that’s above average and a solid B. Hell, even if you take the starter of all 32 teams, amongst the starters he’s 15 out of 32. Dead middle of the pack for a starter.
Any more pieces of straw men you wanna dangle? Cos that was a little easy.
by B.B.Finnegan on Aug 21, 2009 7:40 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Also, I see you're only including NFC
So taper that down a bit. You need to include the whole NFL, which would put him at below average starter, above average Running back, I would guess.
by B.B.Finnegan on Aug 21, 2009 7:44 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or in other words
exactly where we think he is.
by B.B.Finnegan on Aug 21, 2009 7:46 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
As a matter of fact...
No, but I am a teacher. And I’ll give you an educational analogy that may perhaps assist you in your comprehension of “ratings.”
Did you take any A.P. classes?
You can be the worst in your class in the A.P. classroom, but still be an above average student in every sense of the word.
Kind of like you can be the worst STARTING running back in the league, but still be an average runner compared to the backups…
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 9:04 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Very well articulated.
An above average refutation good sir.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 9:07 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Kind of like you can be the worst STARTING running back in the league, but still be an average runner compared to the backups…
Exactly! But if you are the worst starter, then no one calls you average!! This is exactly my point.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:15 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
ever played tennis against a wall?
they’re relentless.
"I'm tired of chasing after my dreams. I'll just find out where they're going, and catch up later." - Hedberg
by jteckmann on Aug 21, 2009 11:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
They would...
if average means average.
You don’t have to have “Great-Good-Average-Weak-Horrible” or whatever else you would chose as classifications.
As someone says below, the difference between most backs is very very minimal. Much more so than the differences between, say, QB’s. Therefor, you may have “Great-Good-Average” and not have weak and horrible starters.
Because if you said Julius Jones was a horrible starter (using my rubric here) you would be overplaying your hand a little. It isn’t a bell curve here, you don’t have to have one good for one bad… you can just have elite … and average.
And Julius Jones is not elite. He’s average. Honestly I would coin flip having Julius with pretty much anyone in the list above outside Turner, AP, and Forte. The rest each have questions of their own.
Or am I wrong and Brandon Jacobs is always healthy, Westbrook is still 25… hell, even Turner went above the dreaded 370 mark, which Eric Dickerson aside has been death to RB’s.
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 11:24 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is actually a solid point.
We aren’t gonna call Shaun Hill an “average” QB even though he’s probably better than a good chunk of 2nd stringers and almost every 3rd stringer….
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 11:26 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Except that the falloff...
between QB’s is much greater.
You can plug pretty much any RB from about the 8th best in the league to the 50th best in the league and get surprisingly similar results. Hence the frequency in which we see a back go down and a new young blood successfully take his place.
QB just doesn’t operate that way.
There are probably 5 elite QB’s or so… another 8 above average/very good, and about 8 more average to servicable. After that it’s an ugly craptastic mess. Hill is in that craptacity until he proves otherwise (he hasn’t yet).
If you compare him to every QB in the league and base his rating simply on numbers, then yes, he is “average” due to the number of QB’s. However, if you look at performance as an indicator I just see a much greater gap… an actual curve in QB’s that have a very few at the top, a very few at the middle, and a ton of ugly…
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 11:34 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Example - Denvers running game
Plug anyone with the ability to move one leg in front of the other and BAM! Success!
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:39 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm pretty sure I would be terrible in Denver's system.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 11:42 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think you could get a yard.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:44 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It would be the happiest moment of my life.
I’d be smiling all the way to the emergency room.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 11:45 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I agree.
However, just because the falloff is greater doesn’t mean that the same term shouldn’t apply. The bottom line here: I think almost everyone agrees that Jones is a below-average rusher for a starting RB. How far below can be a point of contention, because Brendan used some harsh words, but if we can agree on that I think we’ll be better off than arguing semantics like we are now.
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly.
No one compares a player to every player in the league when they call someone “average”, because the baseline would be way too low. Someone who is called “average” would be an average starter, and it seems that John has change that definition solely to not label Jones what he is.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:39 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So really
this isn’t so much an argument on Jones as it is an argument on semantics. What do you really mean when you say someone is an “average player”
It appears that you have a different definition than the rest of us.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 11:43 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think anyone else has your definition
A player with average skills is an average starter.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:50 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Based on this thread, it would appear that many people share my definition.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 11:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Apparently
Because they are so intent on calling Julius Jones average, instead of just saying he’s below average. that’s what he is, he’d be a good backup though.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh
And this is only judging running ability, not the other factors, which he is good at.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why would you do that?
That’s like saying a WR is an average receiver because he’s decent at catching the ball, completely ignoring his YAC or his ability to block, or his height.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You make it sound as if backs that are better than Julius Jones are freely available.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 12:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No I never said that
Only that they are better than he is.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think he's average to slightly above average
How can you justify calling him below average based on one season with a patchwork offense to deal with?
Mo Morris’ running style fit Holmgren’s system well because he’s been in it all of his career.
It’s not his fault that MoMo was in a contract year and absolutely had to perform.
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think most people have his definition.
If you were to poll a large pool of knowledgeable NFL fans and ask them to rate Frank Gore, Clinton Portis and Marion Barber, very few people would rate them as “average to below average” as you rate them.
As pointed out above, you’re grading on a curve, most people do not look at it that way. If you were to grade them all as a letter grade, you’re trying to tell us that most people would give Brian Westbrook, Ryan Grant and Derrick Ward a “D” and Kevin Smith is boarderline on a “D” or “F”. That’s just stupid.
by Mind of no mind on Aug 24, 2009 9:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Overrated? You're kidding, right?
Have you actually talked to any Seahawks fans? In my experience Jones is probably the most controversial figure on the team, outside of Kelly Jennings or Brian Russell.
by djafrot on Aug 21, 2009 12:43 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Did you read the fanpost?
I clearly gave examples of when I thought people were overrating him.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:45 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Dudes got a point
Jones sucks. Stop rubbing it in our face.
by SPENCEMAN on Aug 21, 2009 2:09 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm not trying to rub it in at all
I just don’t understand why people here at Field Gulls seem to think he’s average.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:11 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Brett and ninjasocks
already gave you reasons why. Especially considering the injury situation of last year and the fact that Holmgren wouldn’t give him any kind of consistent playing time aside from a couple games, its harder to evaluate him.
Glenn Beck likes argument, but has a deap-seated hatred for logic.
by Cheddar28 on Aug 21, 2009 2:14 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not really
Is he better than half of those guys or not? If he really deserves to be near the bottom of that list, then he’s way below average at running the ball for a starting RB.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 3:41 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would rather have JJ in 2009 than:
Pierre Thomas
Tim Hightower
Clinton Portis
Ryan Grant.
In addition, Westbrook is on the wrong side of 30 (and we’ve all seen how quickly things change for RBs), Ward is unproven as a starter, and Frank Gore is a major injury waiting to happen. To me those guys have major question marks next to them, and I would put the reliability of JJ in the same neighborhood as those three. So (subjectively) he’s in the middle third of NFC runningbacks. Average.
by cro-mag! on Aug 21, 2009 9:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't forget Turner.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You're really underselling the importance of blocking and receiving, if you ask me.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If when you say he's awful, you mean awful starter
Then yeah he’s near the bottom. But he’s obviously a more valuable player than a great number of backups.
Glenn Beck likes argument, but has a deap-seated hatred for logic.
by Cheddar28 on Aug 21, 2009 2:12 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
That is, his performace in 2008
shows him to be near the bottom. But see post above^^.
Glenn Beck likes argument, but has a deap-seated hatred for logic.
by Cheddar28 on Aug 21, 2009 2:15 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
Obviously he’s better than most backups. But I think when someone says average they mean an average starter.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 3:33 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No.
That is a straw man argument. I only said average. A team’s starting running back is more than likely above average. That’s one reason he is a team’s starting running back. Factor
by John Morgan on Aug 21, 2009 3:42 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm sorry, but that is just wrong.
Someonw who is average is an average starter. Otherwise, I can say that Shaun Hill, even though he may be the 30th best QB in the league, is still WAY above average. Because each team carries 3 QB’s, he’s still in the top third in the league (30 out of 90).
That’s obviously not the way anyone uses average. If a team is filled with average starters they should be exactly average. Using your method a team full of average starters would be way below average.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 4:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You're wrong about that
“Average” doesn’t mean “average of the top half of the position,” it means “average for the position” — and the position includes everybody playing at that position, not just the starters.
Conversely, a team with nothing but average starters would be below average unless their backups were also average starters.
by The Ancient Mariner on Aug 21, 2009 6:45 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You aren't quite correct here...
because you are assuming Sean Hill is the 30th best QB in the league simply because he’s a starter.
Some problems with this. First, you’ve assumed he is the worst starting QB in the league, and that may actually be debatable. Second, you’re assuming he’s better than ever backup in the league, which again is quite debatable. There are some backups I would consider ahead of him, including his own teammate (otherwise why is there a competition in camp this year for you?)
Also, putting him at 30th of 90, does that make him “still WAY above average?”
If I have a single backup I think is better (Jeff Garcia, Mike Vick, Derek Anderson, Sage Rosenfels all come to mind off the very top of my head— but let’s just take Garcia and put him above, and assume Hill is the worst starter in the league… okay, so now he’s 31st. Does that single slot move make him now “Average” because he’s now in the 2nd grouping of 30?
Average (via dictionary.com): a quantity intermediate to a set of quantities
If you only include starters in your argument, then yes, Julius Jones is a below average RB at running the ball, if you A) don’t include his additional skills that rate higher than many backs better at running the ball B) don’t include any backups in your argument.
That is of course an incredibly narrow view of RB ratings however…
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 9:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well said.
Sam Bradford, future Seattle Seahawk.
by Carl Shinyama on Aug 21, 2009 11:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
As ninjasocks said
He got 4.4 ypc last year, underutilized doesn’t mean incompetent. Nobody here thinks he’s overly talented at rushing, but a 4.4 ypc average is certainly serviceable. You overlook that this has become a 2 back league, and though most of the rushers you have on this list are better rushers than Jones, carries are always split and Jones’ blocking and receiving abilities are much better than a lot of NFC rushers. I couldn’t be bothered looking up the stats but I’m sure a large amount of the list you provide didn’t manage 4.4 ypc, the bulk of your argument seems to be that you don’t rate him and can’t fathom why everyone doesn’t agree with you
by ciarannh on Aug 21, 2009 2:17 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
No
If you want to then you rate them. I think it’s pretty obvious that he’s poor at running the ball by the fact that no one is willing to do that. He was 14th out of 16th in DVOA among the group, he was way below average. I’m not just making that up.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 3:40 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
DVOA is not a measure of a running back
It is a measure of a team’s ability to run the ball.
by John Morgan on Aug 21, 2009 3:43 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Correct
So which of the backs on the list are worse than Jones at running the ball? There still hasn’t been an answer on this. 15 out of 16 is not average.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 4:13 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
My question is:
Why are you focusing on just Julius Jones, when it’s already been established that he will be sharing carries? I think it would have been a more objective look at the picture when you include those who he will sharing carries with: T.J. Duckett and Justin Forsett.
Personally, I’m not worried about the running game one bit. The Seahawks don’t need a spectacular running back. They simply need a solid rushing attack. They should have one this year. Besides, half of the past 10 Super Bowl champions did not have a top 10 rushing offense. 3 of those teams finished in the bottom third of the league.
Sam Bradford, future Seattle Seahawk.
by Carl Shinyama on Aug 21, 2009 2:27 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm focusing on him because of the statements above
It seems like he is being overrated. I never said anything about the Seahawks being unable to run the ball this year or that their team would be bad.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 3:43 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I know what you said.
And I know what you did not say. But in your fanpost, the basis of your contention was John’s article, not because of the statements above, which came AFTER your fanpost.
If he seems like he is being overrated, so what? It’s no different than Fooch’s grades for most of the positions in the NFC West Roundtables. I don’t see you taking issue with that and posting that here.
Sam Bradford, future Seattle Seahawk.
by Carl Shinyama on Aug 21, 2009 10:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
On another note...
You’re the first person I’ve ever seen who is arguing over something as dumb as one fanbase calling their starting RB as average, and taking the position that the fanbase is overrating their starting RB.
Sam Bradford, future Seattle Seahawk.
by Carl Shinyama on Aug 21, 2009 10:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
More bagging on JJ.
God I hope he has a great year to shut people up. Same goes for DHB.
It's Great to be a Florida Gator!
by Wayward Llama on Aug 21, 2009 2:53 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I wouldn't be "bagging on him"
If he wasn’t talked about the way he is.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 3:38 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's probably the most shit-on back in the NFL
It's Great to be a Florida Gator!
by Wayward Llama on Aug 22, 2009 4:48 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Heyward-Bust
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Heyward-Bust
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
To clarify, since it seems people are having trouble understanding
That list is there to show how good a RB has to be to be average. If you disagree with me and think Jones is an average runner, you also think he is as good as Barber and Portis at running the ball. Anyone think he’s as good as those guys?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 4:16 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Barber and Portis are above average running backs
If you are going to talk about ONLY starters then you need to be more clear in your original post. An average running back is someone who’s in the middle of the pack of ALL running backs. I don’t understand why you don’t understand the difference. Just simply saying that someone has to be GOOD to be average means you are skewing the scale. Good cannot mean average, only average can mean average, unless you wish to redefine for all of society what the term “average” means.
by B.B.Finnegan on Aug 21, 2009 8:43 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sigh
I think I made it clear I was only talking about starters by only listing starters and and saying multiple times, “Jones is a below average starter”.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:06 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
O rly?
I think it’s pretty clear that Julius Jones is far below the standard of an average NFL running back
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 11:08 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is the first post you've ever said "Jones is a below average starter"
If you can’t even quote yourself correctly, how do you expect your argument to be taken seriously?
Only once do you use the term starter, near the end, when you describe Jones as “awful runner for a starting running back,” which many may agree with. Everything else in your post alludes to taking in account all running backs. Which is what John Morgan, whom you started out quoting, was talking about, which immediately leads as all in that direction. So you prop up John, who is taking in account ALL running backs, and use that in an argument where you’re taking in account only the starters? You can’t do that, Apples and Orangutans.
Either enter the discussion on the same page as the people you’re quoting, or don’t quote them at all, because you’re using them out of context to your point.
by B.B.Finnegan on Aug 21, 2009 11:32 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wouldn't even agree...
that he’s an “awful runner for a starting RB.” I just think he’s a plug-him-in average guy…
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 11:35 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So you think
Of those 16 players there, he’s as good as half of them?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:36 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh my god.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:39 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
When you factor...
blocking, receiving and running, yes I do, I’m quite comfortable putting him up there.
Again, I believe pretty much every guy on that list outside of the first couple are pretty interchangeable and they all have different warts, it’s a matter of choosing your warts. I’ll take the guy that doesn’t excel as purely a ball runner but does a ton of things well, is complimented by the other guys on his own roster, fits his team’s system well, and is younger and more likely to stay healthy than several of the listed alternatives…
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 11:46 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
blocking, receiving and running, yes I do, I’m quite comfortable putting him up there.
No, I’m talking only running ability.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, I'm still okay putting him up there...
Although I think it’s silly to call him below average because of one part of a RB’s role, while narrowly defining average in the way that best suits your argument.
Pretty damn narrow argument overall, my 49’er friend.
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 11:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's the only part of John's evaluation I disagree with
That’s why I used it. If he had called Jones a “world class receiver” I would have argued that as well.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"No, I’m talking only running ability."
That’s the problem.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No I'm not
I should have made it more clear that I was talking about starters, but I thought by only ranking him among starters made it clear that’s what I was doing. Clearly it didn’t work.
Pretty simply, when a player is rated as “average” that should mean he plays as an “average starter”.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:36 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, that's what YOU PERSONALY thinks average means
Well, not everything’s about you. JM and FF were not using your own personal definition, they were using the one that everyone else on here uses, therefore their quotes are invalid to your argument.
Look, you’re on here amongst a whole group of people, only one of whom believes “average” equates to “average starter” (you) while everyone else believes “average” does in fact equal “average.” So I ask you then, which “average” definition would you think to be the correct one?
by B.B.Finnegan on Aug 21, 2009 11:42 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ah-hah....
So if we average the average definitions of “average” then OH NO I’VE GONE CROSSEYED.
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 11:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Apparently yours
So Shaun Hill is an above average QB then right? I mean, those are the kind of wacked out evaluations you get when you compare all players to determine who is “average”.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:52 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Shaun Hill is an above average QB
That’s not wacked out, that’s the truth. But he is also a borderline awful starter. This isn’t all that hard to comprehend, buddy.
by B.B.Finnegan on Aug 21, 2009 11:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No one would call Hill an "above average QB".
Well, I take that back, some Niners fans would. But no one who isn’t biased would call Hill an average QB, even though he is clearly one of the top 50 QB’s in the world, because they are only comparing him other starters.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How do you know, did you poll everyone who isn't biased
No you did not. Quit stating your own opinion as fact. This is where you head right into troll territory
by B.B.Finnegan on Aug 21, 2009 12:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Obviously not EVERYONE
It’s just a general statement. I’d say 98% of non-Niner football fans would not call Hill an above average QB. Pretty fair, no?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No it's not fair
Because if you were talking about starters, you would call him an awful QB. But this is off point.
The point is this simply, the people you are quoting were taking in account the average running back to mean not just starters. You, for some reason, limit to only starters. Which is fine, if that’s what you want to do and that’s the discussion you want to have, but if you’re going to quote other people and slam them and have it be a valid argument, you have to use THEIR definition, not your own narrower one. Otherwise, apples and orangutans. Does it make sense yet?
by B.B.Finnegan on Aug 21, 2009 12:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I didn't slam anyone.
What they said was not right to me, so I tried to refute their points. I very much respect John and FF’s opinion though.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
After doing some research
4.4 YPC isn’t too bad.
Alot of RBs averaged less YPC than that.
He’s never really been outstanding in total production. But his YPC has been pretty consistent around 4 YPC. Your boy Frank Gore averaged only 4.3 last year and 4.2 the year before. Even Adrian Peterson went from 5.4 to 4.8 YPC but had more total yards and carries which probably hurt his average.
RBs seem to have up and down careers. Julius Jones has been in a two back system most of his career. He has produced fairly average results. Not the highest in the league, but often not the lowest from year to year.
J Jones will get a chance to carry the ball alot of this year if he can stay healthy. If he average about 4 yards plus a carry, that should put him over a 1000 yards and near the middle of the back.
He’s not a stud that will have 5 YPC years like some of the best years for Frank Gore, AP, or Steven Jackson. But he should be able to be consistently productive to match most RBs average years.
We’ll have to see what he does with a full year under his belt. But aveage in the NFL seems to be about 4 YPC.
Steven Jackson has averaged about 4 YPC throughout his career with one year with 5 YPC during his rookie year. He has made up for that with receiving production, but his running ability is about 4.3 YPC.
So I think when most Seattle fans say Julius Jones is an average RB we mean he’ll get us about 4 YPC give or take .2 YPC, a few hundred receiving yards, and do a good job blocking. We can win with that production.
by ASeahawkfan on Aug 21, 2009 6:04 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I happen to agree with John, he is speaking in "scout-speak."
If you are evaluating a college player and you say he has only “average ability to run the ball in the NFL,” You are saying that if he is behind an average line, he will give you average numbers, behind a good line he will give a little better numbers, but at no point do his skills show great ability to outperform his line.
There are precious few running backs in the NFL that are without the ability to at least run the ball ok. A guy with below average ability to run the ball is borderline going to be out of the league. If he said average starter, he would actually be comparing him to other players.
If you were to be speaking like a scout and saying the Bills Fred Jackson only has average ability to run the ball, or that Mo Morris, while being athletic and possessing good hands has only average ability to run the ball, you are not saying they would be an average starter, but saying that in “NFL ability” rankings they would be average or ordinary.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 6:09 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
This thread is an absolute masterpiece of trolling.
I commend you OP, well done.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 7:42 AM PDT reply actions 1 recs
Yes
This post is trolling the guise of reasoned discussion.
Brett Favre is the Kenny Powers of football.
by ninjasocks on Aug 21, 2009 9:25 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
A simple IMO could have prevented this whole mess.
But in order to be a successful troll, one must disguise a personal opinion as an accepted fact and then cling to that argument like Roethlisberger on a Vegas cocktail waitress.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 9:32 AM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
Lawlz
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's actually done that...
on his home site with his home team. I think he’s just a semantically challenged football junkie, that’s why I’ll participate in the debate.
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 9:35 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't fault the participation of my fellow Field Gull'ers in this thread.
You all systematically dismantled his argument piece by piece. Furthermore, I believe most of you were motivated to defend logic rather than JJ. My commendation was in jest because Mr. Scolari is either “semantically challenged” or a very motivated troll.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 9:41 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Debate is only productive if the other party is willing to listen
Brent seems like a nice-enough guy that has a tendency to say something dumb once in a while (don’t we all) and then stick to his idiotic contention well beyond any semblance of reason.
As an example, I would point you to his contention (in the NFCW ILB roundup) that the Niners’ ILBs are better than ours because ‘Takeo Spikes is better than DD Lewis’.
Brett Favre is the Kenny Powers of football.
by ninjasocks on Aug 21, 2009 9:47 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Wow
Speaking of unwillingness to listen…. I don’t know how many times I said that wasn’t my argument, and yet still, you are failing to grasp it. My point was “each individual Niners LB is better than their corresponding Seahawks counterpart”. But, it seems that is incomprehensible.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:10 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh my dear god.
each individual Niners LB is better than their corresponding Seahawks counterpart
Dude, you have a concussion, go to the ER for a CT scan.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 11:13 AM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Rules are rules.
Going back to DefCon 4.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 11:16 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Dude, seriously
Patrick WIllis > Lofa Tatupu
Takeo Spikes > D.D. Lewis
Therefore 49er LB’s > Seahawks LB’s
That is just my opinion, but it’s an opinion that I’m sure a lot of people would share. And because of that “I have a concussion” ???
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:20 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You did it!
Prefacing your arguments with “in my opinion” will foster a civil discusion. Humility is golden. Cheers.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 11:22 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why is Spikes being compared to our backup?
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh no...
not this again.
Because he ranks them by the order of the LB’s in depth chart, not by LB positions.
I find this ironic given the RB argument, where he counts our backup vs. his starter at LB, but he doesn’t want to count all the backups in the league against our starting RB.
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 11:27 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe he is the woodchuck kid in the FG crew pic.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:28 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Because we are discussing if a player is average
I’ve never head an “average player” to be anything but an “average starter”.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:33 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No
Apparently it’s yours, because that’s the way it’s done.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:39 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Okay, you are either dense or you are a troll.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 11:44 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Neither
But when people call a player “average”, they mean he is an average starter. That’s just the way people use the description. I’m not sure why it gets warped for Julius Jones.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:48 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You remind me of VBJohnson
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Alright, that's off topic but still pretty screwy.
You’re basing this RB argument on excluding backups but bring a backup into the LB argument to bolster your point….I don’t think you’re a troll, I actually think your point here is a solid one, but that LB argument makes no sense.
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 11:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Okay
Well it’s irrelevant to the discussion. But I’m using the backups to compare teams, that’s all.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:34 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Except that...
you use a backup at a different position to compare him to a starter on your team, which is a different beast entirely, albeit one that suits your argument that your LB’s are better.
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 11:37 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Basically I'm saying
Fair or not, If the teams switched LB’ers the Seahawks would get better and the Niners would get worse. But we’ve already been over how I’m a troll for thinking that and I should just GTFO so it’s probably better not to discuss it.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No we wouldn't
We end up with a very unhappy 4th LB. We aren’t going to sign a starting caliber LB to play ST.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:47 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why not?
That seems like a fantastic use of cap space.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 11:48 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I mean, think of the media spin.
Our LB corps is so good we have to use this monster LB with a huge contract on special teams!
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 11:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's just a dumb argument to make.
The two teams play completely different defenses, obviously the niners are going to look to have 4 quality starting linebackers because their defense requires 4 starting linebackers.
by MFAN on Aug 21, 2009 11:49 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe
Just the way I look at it. The Niners guys are better for whatever the reasons.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:58 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You're a jackass.
Andrew Raycroft for backup? Does not compute.
by Woodinville_12thMan on Aug 21, 2009 12:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Come on man, we're better than that.
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 12:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
True, my bad.
Just getting angry.
Andrew Raycroft for backup? Does not compute.
by Woodinville_12thMan on Aug 21, 2009 12:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It happens.
Use your words! Erm…your nice words….
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Will do.
Andrew Raycroft for backup? Does not compute.
by Woodinville_12thMan on Aug 21, 2009 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What makes me a jackass?
That I disagree with you?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"The Niners guys are better for whatever the reasons."
There, it wasn’t hard was it? We knew all along that this is what you felt. Its important, though, that you admit it to yourself. There’s no shame in being a homer.
Brett Favre is the Kenny Powers of football.
by ninjasocks on Aug 21, 2009 12:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm confused
How does that statement make me a homer?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well this for starters:
The Niners guys are better for whatever the reasons
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Since it seems Woodinville thought I was saying otherwise, I meant that it may be because of scheme (or something else) that they have signed end drafted more quality ILB’s, but for whatever the reason is those guys seem better than the Seahawks ILB’s to me.
That’s what I meant, not that the Niners guys are better no matter who they are.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I stand corrected.
/pats you on back
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I still don't understand why anyone would think Willis is better than Tatupu.
Because he ran a faster 40 time and was drafted higher?
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
But he has lots of tackles!
Which are basically the RBIs of Football.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
To clarify
Since it seems Woodinville thought I was saying otherwise, I meant that it may be because of scheme (or something else) that they have signed end drafted more quality ILB’s, but for whatever the reason is those guys seem better than the Seahawks ILB’s to me.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Of course it's because of scheme.
This is my problem with your LB argument. We don’t have ILBs, we have one MLB. One. If you think that Willis is better than Tatupu, you’re not necessarily insane. Willis is great. Tatupu is too. We can debate who’s better all day. But this part gets me:
"each individual Niners LB is better than their corresponding Seahawks counterpart"
Then you compare Takeo Spikes to D.D. Lewis. They aren’t corresponding counterparts because Lewis doesn’t start.
Alright, I just took a deep breath and am done with this tangent. Back to RBs….
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 1:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
wouldn't the logical continuation of this argument...
be averaging the talent of both ILBs when comparing them to our MLB? ie: (Willis+Spikes)/2
by cro-mag! on Aug 21, 2009 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, but apparently Mr. Scolari doesn't seem to understand that.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Frank Gore > Jordan Babineaux?
Andrew Raycroft for backup? Does not compute.
by Woodinville_12thMan on Aug 21, 2009 12:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I bet putting Babs at tailback would be pretty messy.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 12:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
But he's big play babs!
He’d run for 500 yards on pure mystical awesomeness alone!
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
But Curry could do it!
He can do ANYTHING!
/sighs dreamily
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 12:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Messier than putting Gore at Nickelback or Safety?
Glenn Beck likes argument, but has a deap-seated hatred for logic.
by Cheddar28 on Aug 21, 2009 3:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
D.D. doesn
Andrew Raycroft for backup? Does not compute.
by Woodinville_12thMan on Aug 21, 2009 11:58 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
doesn't start*
Andrew Raycroft for backup? Does not compute.
by Woodinville_12thMan on Aug 21, 2009 11:59 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Lofa Tatupu is better than Patrick Willis.
This isn’t much of a debate. Willis’ only claim to fame is an unusually large amount of tackles. That’s easily explained by the crappy defense around him. Match, set.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How about this one?

Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 2:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fission Mailed.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No one is seeing what I did there...
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 2:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you right click and open in another window it appears.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is really quite simple.
Takeo Spikes does not correspond with a backup ILB. Takeo Spikes and Patrick WIllis both combine as a starter.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Where?
When I showed that Hill probably isn’t very good? That’s trolling to you, to point out the facts? I just have to be an irrational homer?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You don't have to be an irrational homer
Just don’t skew statistics and use flawed logic to make an argument that JM and FF’s arguments are invalid.
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Seriously?
That’s just absolutely nuts.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:17 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Indeed.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why the fuck is everyone talking about Julius Jones at 3am?
As a rusher I’ll take him over.
Ryan Grant
Derrick Ward
Kevin Smith
Pierre Thomas
Tim Hightower
Include receiving I’ll add these guys.
Frank Gore
Clinton Portis
Marion Barber
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 10:01 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Hahahahaha! For me...
it’s because I got drunk golfing, passed out at 6, woke up at 11 and couldn’t fall back asleep until 4:45 in the morning…
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 10:23 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sounds about right.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 10:30 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I think the whole premise of your argument is incorrect.
Most of us do not feel that Jones is an average RB. Even with his pass blocking and his pass catching ability (which is probably overrated anyways), I think most of us will admit he is in the bottom 1/3 of starting RB.
However, it doesn’t really matter. The difference between the best and worst RB I think is pretty small if you exclude the top 5 RBs. Would you rather have Julius Jones and Peyton Manning, or Shaun Hill and Adrian Peterson? I think everyone would say Jones and Manning (I’m not so sure Addai is much better than Jones anyways).
Also of importance is the fact that we WERE a pass friendly offense, and we currently have 3 (in our minds) stud WRs. The importance of a RBs ability to pick up a blitz when pass blocking is amplified in a pass-oriented offense (whether or not we have a pass-oriented offense remains to be seen, I think we will still, despite Knapp’s previous tendencies).
Also, in short yardage situations, it really doesn’t matter how good of a back Julius Jones is. He won’t be used. Duckett, one of the best short yardage (and more than just that really) backs in the league will be doing most of the goal line and 3rd and 2 carries.
Lastly, Jones has flashed the ability to take over games with his running. You don’t have to ask Seahawks fans about that. He was a high school track star, and he has burned the 9ers and the Hawks before.
by LantermanC on Aug 21, 2009 10:17 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Oh I agree I'd take Jones and Manning for sure
The point was that the evaluation of Jones was incorrect, not what kind of effect it will have on the football field.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:08 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
One thing...
I consider Jones a slightly below-average rusher, assuming we’re talking about NFL (or NFC) starters. Your post calls him “an awful runner” which is overdoing it. He did get 4.4 YPC behind a banged-up O-line and with little threat of a passing game.
Now, Jones is a very good blocker and a good receiver, as mentioned. Rushing is certainly the most important responsibility for an RB, but these should factor into the overall evaluation. Let’s do a hypothetical exercise. If an RB ranks about a 3.5/10 for rushing, 7/10 for receiving and 9/10 for blocking and we weigh the value of those responsibilities at 60%, 20% and 20% then that RB would be slightly more valuable than one with rankings of 5, 5 and 5. This RB would probably be considered “average” overall and might look a lot like Julius Jones. (I think rushing is more important than that, but you get my point.)
I second Scruffy Lefty’s list of “worse” starting rushers: Ryan Grant, Derrick Ward, Kevin Smith, Pierre Thomas, Tim Hightower. That would place Jones 11th out of 16, slightly below the average. Include the AFC and I’d add Cedric Benson, Jamal Lewis, Correll Buckhalter, Fred Taylor, Willie Parker and maybe his brother Thomas Jones. That’d make him 21st out of 32. Yes, he’s below average, but he’s not awful.
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 11:10 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
It also depends how you define "average"
Is there only one average RB (or starting RB) in the NFL? Are there 2? 5? 10? 15?
Does normal RB production fit a standard Gaussian curve? Are the “average” RBs the guys within one standard deviation of average?
Brett Favre is the Kenny Powers of football.
by ninjasocks on Aug 21, 2009 11:40 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
There's not 30 average runners
And that’s how far you’d probably have to get to get to Jones.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:57 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
There are probably about 50 guys who get significant carries in this league, if not more
In a normal curve, one standard deviation from the mean is about 68%, which would be about 34 NFL RBs.
Brett Favre is the Kenny Powers of football.
by ninjasocks on Aug 21, 2009 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think 50 guys
Will get 225-250 touches, but I am not positive on that.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, fewer than 20 players had over 225 touches last year
(ESPN LINK) So that would suggest that 225 touches is maybe too high of an arbitrary bar. Brandon Jacobs, Justin Fargas, Willie Parker, MJD, Lendale White, Derrick Ward, and Joseph Addai fail to make the list. Julius Jones only had 158 carries last year, which put him at 32 on the list.
Brett Favre is the Kenny Powers of football.
by ninjasocks on Aug 21, 2009 12:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Funny thing is if Jones run for 1500 yds this year
I would still call him average.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:30 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Same
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good point.
I don’t think anyone considered Thomas Jones an elite back last year.
by LantermanC on Aug 21, 2009 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is an example of how people cannot grasp "average ability"
To all people thinking that Jones should be compared to all the backups you are not understanding how players are judged. To take an example from baseball, a 2 WAR player is an average starter. If my team’s outfielder has average hitting ability and average fielding ability he will be a 2 WAR outfielder. In other words, if all your abilities are average then you are an average starter.. It’s not comparing you to backups, which so many people here are doing to show that I’m incorrect, it only means that you are average for a starter. That is because a talent scale in the NFL would look like this.

Obviously there are a very small number of top players in the NFL and the lower down the skill level you get (i.e. backup players) the more players there are. When someone says a player is “average”, they are not comparing him to every player on this chart, just the starters. Hence why people would say a player like David Garrard or Jake Delhomme has average skills. They are being compared against other starting QB’s, not the whole QB pool, where they would clearly be way above average.
That is all I’m saying about Jones. John and FF’s evaluations make it seem like he is an above average starter, because they rate all of his skills as average or higher, when he clearly is one of the worst starters.. Clearly he is better than most backups, but that is not really relevant to the discussion.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:32 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Hey look a chart!
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:36 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well now you're talking about all of his skills.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:38 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Nope
Just the running ability is what I’m talking about. His running ability compared to other starters.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:42 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You sure?
That is all I’m saying about Jones. John and FF’s evaluations make it seem like he is an above average starter, because they rate all of his skills as average or higher, when he clearly is one of the worst starters.. Clearly he is better than most backups, but that is not really relevant to the discussion.
You seem to emphasize starter a lot. Instead of rusher.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:44 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well then
I should have said “average running ability for a starter”. That’s how it should read, I was just trying to write relatively quickly.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:47 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Keep moving the goal posts
Brett Favre is the Kenny Powers of football.
by ninjasocks on Aug 21, 2009 11:56 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Microsoft Paint for the win!
You just won the argument!
Andrew Raycroft for backup? Does not compute.
by Woodinville_12thMan on Aug 21, 2009 12:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I just found it on Google actually
Because it seems people were having a hard time grasping what an average RB should be.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Scolari,
you are taking quotes from someone who is talking about 1st and second string RB’s (placing him in the average category) and you are talking about a community that does the same thing. Because that’s the norm when evaluating RB’s. But you are taking those same quotes, and applying them to your own view of RB’s (comparing them solely with 1st stringers), then you are ignoring or downplaying the auxiliary benefits that Jones provides. Thus, your argument has no merit because you are pulling statements meant in one context, and applying them to a different context. Arguments don’t work that way.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 11:34 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
A chart may help him explain his argument.
I suggest Scolari use this one.

NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:41 AM PDT up reply actions 11 recs
Nice
Way to be a jerk because someone disagrees with you. Really wonderful.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:42 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He woulda done it to any one of us FGs
Take it easy brotha.
Glenn Beck likes argument, but has a deap-seated hatred for logic.
by Cheddar28 on Aug 21, 2009 11:43 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I can't...stop...laughing...
A rec for not just being clever and humorous, but also nailing the point I was making.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 11:44 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Rec'd x 1,000,000
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
then you are ignoring or downplaying the auxiliary benefits that Jones provides.
I’m not ignoring them, I just don’t have a problem with those evaluations. Jones is a good blocker and receiver, so I agree when John calls him that.
you are taking quotes from someone who is talking about 1st and second string RB’s (placing him in the average category) and you are talking about a community that does the same thing.
Well then the question is why are you doing that? You all howled over Fooch’s B rating for the Niners QB’s, yet under your criteria they Shaun Hill has above average skills. I can’t think of another instance where an “average player” doesn’t mean an “average starter”.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:46 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Because...
I wish I was so technically savvy that I could create two charts.
My first would be QB, and it would exponentially adjust due to the lack of quality QB’s in the league (including many starters.)
Then I would show a chart of RB’s, and it would start with the elite, adjust and stay very stable for quite some time due to the incredibly large number of “average” backs in the league, then it would fall off when we get around 50 players in…
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 11:52 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That is true
But when almost every team in the conference has a better runner I think you have to call that player “below average” at running the ball.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's your take...
again, I don’t think there is a significant gap between him and, say, Ryan Grant, who could be rated way up in the top 4 or so by some.
Meanwhile, back at metropolis, there is a tremendous gap between Mr. Hill and, say, Donovan, who could be rated 4th best in the NFC.
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 11:58 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
But there is a big gap
Between Jones and Michael Turner or Brandon Jacobs (in pure rushing ability), guys who deserve to be in the top 4 unlike Ryan Grant. It isn’t as big as the gap between Hill and McNabb, true, but there’s still a big difference.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Are those players freely available?
A better question, out of the pool of freely available tailbacks, how many are better than Julius Jones?
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Probably not any
Out of the pool of available QB’s, are there any better than Hill though? I don’t even know who is available, but I imagine no, otherwise the Niners would have picked them up.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
There was this one guy
Not too popular tho, had some puppy problems….
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 12:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Lol
That is a bit of a special case though. And given San Francisco’s politics, I’m not sure he would have been “freely available” if you know what I’m sayin’…
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pehaps
You’d probably have to trade for him though.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"I don’t even know who is available, but I imagine no, otherwise the Niners would have picked them up."
Jeff Garcia.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Therein lies the rub.
Jones and our RBs got a “C” grade.
This has devolved into an argument over semantics….
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 11:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yep
I’ll just say this then. Do you agree that Jones is far below the typical starting NFL RB in running ability? If so, then I’m good with whatever label you want to give that, be it average or Superman-esque.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Far below? No.
Below, yes, that I will give you.
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 12:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Are you talking about 1st string RB's
or RB’s who get a significant amount of carries? Because there are a lot of “2nd” string RB’s who get large amounts of carries, due to the prevalence of the two back system.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Do you mean to tell me the raw numbers might not tell the whole story because different teams use different distribution setups?
Gasp.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Shocking, I know.
Who would of thought? It’s almost like Football is unlike many other sports in that individual performance matters a lot less than usual, making it extremely hard to predict future performance in new schemes. Or to arbitrarily say that one player is better than another.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I didn't use any raw numbers
I just ranked them on what I thought was their ability, or something close to it.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
But you only looked at rushing, then accused us of overrating Jones despite the fact we were looking at the entire player package.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 12:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No
I gave quotes above where John said “Jones is an average rusher, maybe better”. Please stop twisting the facts.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
We've already pointed out that that quote
comes with the understanding that we are talking about 1st and 2nd string RB’s throughout the league. Because that’s who you have to take into account when talking about RB’s: both the 1st and 2nd string. Because both are used extensively.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Then that's fair
That was not stated in either of the articles though, and that’s pretty counterintuitive.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is it?
That seems to be the general assumption that just about all of us here have made.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 12:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
When someone says a player is average
I think they are saying he’s an average starter. If you consider that to mean fringe starter material then I guess they just have different definitions up there in Washington.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, it's perfectly intuitive.
Here’s the problem: You are looking at the NFL as having 32 RB’s, 16 per league, who are NFL quality starters. That’s how the NFL worked 30 years ago (mostly) but not anymore. The emergence of the two back system has led to many teams running two RBs who are essentially starter quality. Look at Sproles and LT: I actually like Sproles over LT, blasphemy I know, as long as Sproles has a bruiser to allow Sproles to not get beaten up all season. So the pool of RB’s should be enlarged to a good 64 players at least. Good arguments could be made that you could add in 3rd string RB’s as well, as many of them could succeed behind their team’s line. For example, anyone could run behind Minnesota’s line. Oh and how many RB’s do they have? Because I remember Chester Taylor having a pretty damn good year the year AP showed up (I should know, I had BOTH of them on my fantasy football team).
The idea that there are only 32 starting RB’s is crazy, because a lot more than 32 RB’s are used in a given year. It’s probably closer to something in the 70s or 80s, once you take into account injuries.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So, look at the entire pool and not 32 arbitrarily selected RBs?
Novel.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 12:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Is it enjoyable for you to be an ass?
I can’t believe how many rude the people here are being because someone disagrees with them.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
*some people here
Others actually stated their case
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
When a Ass calls for a hole
I’m pretty good at filling it.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
...... Not gay sex.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
In before Fearless Frog gay joke
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You will die alone.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 3:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And...
I fail at grammar. Point still stands though.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's pretty benign.
Sarcasm if you will.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Your mocking my whole argument
Because I disagree with you and you don’t understand me. Anyway, it’s not my place to tell you what you should be doing here but I’m really surprised that people at a blog as good as this one would be so unwelcoming.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Do not ever step into LL
because if you think that kind of sarcasm is too much, you will hate it there. And that’s a very good baseball blog.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh, I've been there many times, I know.
It’s not that it’s too much. It’s that I’d expect people to argue with what I’m saying but the name calling and such is completely unneeded.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I never called you a name
I just said I would plug someones ass.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
So much win.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No one is being unwelcoming.
There was one ad hominem against you and it was called out and he apologized. If your going to post potentially incendiary topics than you have to be prepared for some good natured witicisms. Go look at Fox Sports or ESPN boards for comparison. You’re being treated fairly.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And now your poor grammar has me...
You’re is a contraction.
/beats head against keyboard
psijv m9o <—results
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Um okay
I remember you calling me a troll, semantically challenged, and that I had a concussion.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I have a concussion too.
But I celebrate it.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well I don't
And if you had said it as a joke that would be totally cool, but it was just meant as an insult.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I assure you it was in jest.
I am quite caustic when it comes to actually insulting people; which has no place on this blog. How does a nice shot of Jack sound?
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
My mistake then.
That sounds good, lol.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
5 shots coming up!
1 for you, 4 for me. I self medicate.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is an excellent community that's always been open to discussion
however debates over semantics get old in a hurry. In the end, all we’ve accomplished today is fight back and forward over what the “average” means. We all seem to be in agreement over Julius Jones’ abilities, but the problem has been what to label those abilities as.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Really?
Its not our fault that after we presented plenty of decent examples on why we think he is a average rusher. That you still don’t think he is.
You’re never going to agree with us. So we fuck around with you instead (all in good natured fun).
I got nothing against you I just really love charts. And if we ever meet I’ll buy you a beer.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You'll buy beer?
In that case, your face is below average.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I still don't see how he is an average rusher
But you don’t have to agree, all I ask for is respect.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What would he have to rush for this season to be considered average?
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
A positive DVOA would be nice.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ok if he doesn't post a positive DVOA or at least the top 16 in NFL starters.
I will come into this thread at the end of the season and Rec’d everyone of your comments.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 1:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Respect is earned brother.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm pretty impressed he hung in here this long.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 1:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Time flies...
I can’t believe it’s after 1 already.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I agree.
Definitely not a troll, but a true believer. I respect that.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I definitely would not waste my time trolling
I can assure you anything I say is what I believe.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I've done a hell of a lot at SBN
I think if you had seen how much work I’ve done you would think I’ve earned respect.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh huh.
Didn’t realize you were part of the SBN dodgers blog.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 1:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And MLB Daily Dish
Not that writing for them means I deserve more respect, but I have written a lot.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
A lot of time goes into making these blogs worth reading.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 1:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Indeed
I think the real truth to the matter is that I, and certainly most of you, are just desperate for some real football! :-)
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Pretty much.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 1:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Perhaps, as we've pointed out countless times already
because you have a different definition of average than the rest of us? This isn’t that hard to understand. It doesn’t appear that there is much controversy regarding Jones’ ability.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 1:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Skewing the numbers to prove a point.
*shocked.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The idea that there are only 32 starting RB’s is crazy, because a lot more than 32 RB’s are used in a given year. It’s probably closer to something in the 70s or 80s, once you take into account injuries.
Yes, but you can’t use all of them to justify calling a player average. If we’re going to include guys like Chester Taylor and Darren Sproles that only hurts Jones’ case because they are better than him, at least in my opinion.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"Yes, but you can’t use all of them to justify calling a player average."
Why not? There are way more than 32 backs in the league who get a significant number of carries.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 12:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly.
You have to take into account the entire talent pool being regularly used, not just whatever portion falls under an official classification that no longer means anything. That’s like talking about WRs and ignoring all the “2nd” string WRs because they are “only” 2nd string. The classification has more to do with assumed responsibilities, not with actual talent.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just like there are way more than 64 receivers who catch passes.
But an average receiver should be a decent starter, like say Justin Gage.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:39 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes. Exactly.
Although I have no idea who Justin Gage is. But whatever. We are saying, given his entire skill set, and compared to the RB pool as a whole, he’s an average starter. Good enough.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And to avoid semantics, I will amend my statement
to say, he’s an average RB (not starter). Because starter (in the context of 1st string vs 2nd string) doesn’t mean much anymore.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
QB's and RB's can not be evaluated in the same manner.
QB’s have a different way of being evaluated from every other position, because they have a lot of unique factors affecting them. So an “average” QB tends to mean a different thing from an “average” RB. But the basic underlying principle is the same thing. It’s a player who can be plugged in and give you decent results. Most RB’s fall under this category, due to a huge surplus of talent. Most 2nd stringers fall into this category. In fact, some would argue that there are only a couple RB’s that do NOT fall into this category. The drop off in talent from the top RB to the 40th best RB is just not that much. QB’s are the opposite. The top QB is leagues better then even the 15th best QB.
So, to clarify: When FGers call Jones an average RB, they are saying he fits into that general group of average RB’s that can be easily replaced with another RB. When FGers call a QB “average”, he is being considered good enough to not hurt the team, IE put up average results. Most FGers don’t think Hill can do that until he proves he can on an consistent basis on a large enough sample size (over a year). Because history is littered with QB’s who played great for 6 games, but sucked over their career.
You are trying to put places on the RB’s, ranking them. But we are saying, you can’t really rank them. Because they are all roughly equivalent on an overall skills level, they just all have different strengths which allow them to shine in the correct schemes. Stop trying so hard to put a rank on Jones as the 15th best RB or whatever.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough
That’s what I’m getting at.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I wouldn't say easily replaced.
Easily replaced is a replacement-level player that can be had off the scrap-heap. Average is valuable.
by BrianL on Aug 21, 2009 12:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sorry. What I meant is
by easily replaced was easily swapped between the two teams. Interchangeable. Granted, this doesn’t account for schematic differences in the teams, so we’re assuming that teams would change their schemes a bit for using the new players to take advantage of their skill sets (something that, in the real world, is not a given) but that comes with the territory in trying to arbitrarily lump players into an inexact group like “average” and “good”.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Weird that you should mention this,
because John said in once sentence I believe the JJ is an average rusher. But he gave our RBs as a unit a C, which means average, assuming that JJ and Ducket make an average RB. I could see a D or an F honestly, but I think RBs moreseo than most units (like QB or WR or LT) is clumped mainly around the middle.
This whole argument is over two little tiny stupid technicalities.
1) average, sure average is an average starter. Julius Jones is a below average starter. Even so, he is not noticeably worse/better than a lot of other running backs, listing a few rbs, I’d say Tampas RBs, Green Bay’s RBs, New Orleans RBs, and Arizona’s RBs.
2) Rushing ability. Jones is not a horrible rusher first off. He’s below average at times, sure, but he’s not horrible. He’s a fairly good running back, just in terms of running the ball.
No offense, but you’re not helping your case with your LB argument. Tatupu v. Willis? Let’s just call it a wash. Spikes v. DD Lewis? Lewis is actually pretty good, he was starting for our SB team. Spikes was good and is a bit washed up. But we don’t play the same system as you guys. That would be like comparing the Mariners DH to the pitcher that was batting for the Cardinals on the date of comparison. Apples and oranges. You build your team according to your scheme or vice versa, focusing on personnel without paying attention to scheme doesn’t make any sense.
by LantermanC on Aug 21, 2009 12:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Going to throw this out there as well.
Most Seahawks fans would call Shaun Alexander average even in his prime.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:50 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Clearly then
Your not comparing him to all players, just starters…
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:54 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
There is a lot of RB I would've taken over him.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:55 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You ignored me so I'll just state it again
Clearly then, your not comparing him to all players, just starters.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 11:56 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Any 2005 NFL RB could of had a good year behind that line.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I know
And once again, you are not comparing him to all players when you call him average, just starters. Hopefully the third time is the charm.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:21 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No I was comparing him to everyone.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's a faulty assumption.
I suspect Scruffy was comparing him to ALL RB’s, not just 1st and 2nd string RB’s.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The he was way above average
There’s what, 90 RB’s in the league. You think Alexander was the 45th best in 2005?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sure cause after the Elite top 5 RB - Guys that make people truly miss. (Lets just say LT)
You can pretty much clump the rest together and contribute their success to scheme cause they’re all generally fast and have good lateral movement. Alexander fit our scheme perfectly cause he was patient and had good vision. You plug him into another running scheme and may have only accumlated 800 yards that year.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ok
I disagree with your opinion, but that’s logical.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well then you didn't watch enough Shaun Alexander.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:43 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Perhaps not
I meant I disagree that after the top 4-5 RB’s most of them are interchangeable. Guys like Marion Barber or Frank Gore are better runners than Julius. Even platoon players like Jonathan Stewart or Darren Sproles are better.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:48 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And I disagree.
All of the runners you listed are flawed in someway.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No. I wouldn't bother ranking him.
I’d say that 90 RBs could have probably put up similar numbers to him during his prime, although the TDs wouldn’t have been as high. We just would of brought in a cheap bruiser RB to score those. Then again, with that we would of had better pass catching. So the trade off is even.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 12:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
After looking at both the AFC and NFC starters.
Jones is looking better. Hes moving on “up”
Let me pull out a chart to let you know what I’m talking about.
![]()
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 11:54 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
YOOOOOOUUUUU JERK!
I can’t believe you’d pull that sort of thing in a public forum! How can you just post graph after graph after graph for just anyone to see?!?! YOU HAVE NO SHAME!!!
Brett Favre is the Kenny Powers of football.
by ninjasocks on Aug 21, 2009 12:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He...he told me the graphs would just be for him....
I can’t believe I posed for you! You said you’d never show them to anyone else!
/cries hysterically
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 12:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It is a bit insulting
But I suppose it goes with the territory.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I should add - the man climbing the graph.
Is Julius Jones.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Julius Jones is the number one rushing running back, there I said it*
*number one in the context of High School football.
by B.B.Finnegan on Aug 21, 2009 12:01 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
He would be pretty damn amazing
I’d like to see Peterson or Steven Jackson play a high school game now, actually. It would be pretty enjoyable.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
13 TDs, 840 yards, 6 hospitalized kids.
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 12:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
Screw the kids though, they weren’t cut out for football anyways. ;-)
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Anyone care for some delicious watermelon?

Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:21 PM PDT reply actions 5 recs
I have the best picture for this. Especially cause its me in the picture.
Hold on.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ha! Why didn't I think of this before.

NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:23 PM PDT up reply actions 5 recs
The best self portrait ever!
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was auditioning to become Nicholas Cage's stunt double.

NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:27 PM PDT up reply actions 4 recs
A challenger appears!

Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 12:26 PM PDT up reply actions 4 recs
That is a cool picture.
I like this one.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No.
you have to think he’s legitimately better at running the football than at leas 7-8 of these 16 backs.
Because when the word average is used, it applies to 32 teams and the RBs of those 32 teams, not just the NFC. Unless I missed where someone was quoted as saying ‘average for an NFC running back’, then the list must be expanded your you’re just cherry-picking to prove your point.
Early prospect watch: RB C.J. Spiller, QB Jevon Snead, OT Ciron Black, DT Gerald McCoy, S Eric Berry, DT Ndamukong Suh, CB Ras-I Dowling 6'2, 200, RB Jonathan Dwyer
by Misfit74 on Aug 21, 2009 12:45 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
That's been obvious his entire thread.
He’s making a skewed argument so he can “legitimately” say that JJ is bad.
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Obvious...after one has read said thread.
Early prospect watch: RB C.J. Spiller, QB Jevon Snead, OT Ciron Black, DT Gerald McCoy, S Eric Berry, DT Ndamukong Suh, CB Ras-I Dowling 6'2, 200, RB Jonathan Dwyer
by Misfit74 on Aug 21, 2009 3:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thats google fight!
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 12:52 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I'm rec'ing this
Not because of the post itself (which I’ll get to later) but because of the arguments and great photos in this thread.
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:06 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Holy shit is this the inception of ClubFG?
by Nate Dogg on Aug 21, 2009 1:07 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Everytime I see that .gif
I feel like a bit of my soul has been sucked out.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 1:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sooooo close.
I went with charts instead.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 1:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And this entire argument is why
JM was hesitant about putting up arbitrary letter grades on positions. Because subjective letter grades like B and C come with connotations like “average” and “above average” that are themselves subjective. And all it of is essentially meaningless because all that matters is how a players particular skill sets work in the schemes of his team. It doesn’t matter if a RB can’t block if his team doesn’t need him too, similarily it can be a crippling weakness in a RB for a team that needs good pass blocking from their RB. Same with pass catching, or elusiveness, or ability to move piles, or vision, etc.
And all this leads to a vague sense of how a player fits in to the general scheme of players at their position, but it’s all so damn subjective that, for a position with as much interchangeable talent as RB, it means virtually nothing.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 1:20 PM PDT reply actions 1 recs
So this brings about my next question
Much more important this time, but would you rather have Deion Branch for T.J. Duckett in fantasy football? :-)
Branch is on my team but some guy is offering to trade me his upcoming pick (slow draft) and Duckett is probably the best player still on the board, although I like Mike Walker too. It’s a .5 PPR league, who do you like?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:25 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I'd stick with Branch and hope he is healthy.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 1:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agree
If he stays healthy, he’ll get more catches than Housh and he gets better YAC, so is probably more likely to get more TDs.
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Branch, more catches than Housh?
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You heard it here, first!
IF he stays healthy all season (or at least plays the same number of games as Housh).
I’ve been pretty damned good with predictions, recently:
1. While at a Hawks practice, I looked at my buddy and said “that’d be tight if Aaron Curry ran out those doors and onto practice field”. Not 3 minutes later it was announced he signed and he arrived.
2. Before the San Diego game, I was telling my buddy that Redding was going to be a sack monster this year. Ten minutes later, on the first defensive snap, Redding sacked Rivers.
But honestly, I think the opposing defenses will cover Housh more than he’s used to being covered and Branch will be the benefactor of that.
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 2:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
More receptions I doubt
more yards maybe.
by John Morgan on Aug 21, 2009 2:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Indeed
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 2:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I would take that trade.
More TDs forecasted for Ducket than Branch. Factor in Branch’s health and i say pulled the trigger.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Duckett immediately
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd take the trade.
Duckett is probably going to get the lions share of the rushing TD’s, and figures to be used more prominently in this offense so expect more rushing yards out of him too. And you just can’t trust Branch’s health.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 1:38 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Mora himself said that the rush will set up the pass
So I’m not sure about that.
Which is exactly opposite to what we had all thought when Knapp signed on.
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How is that the opposite?
Wouldn’t that mean the offense is going to be run-first?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yep
But if that’s the case, the goal then isn’t to do damage with the run, it’s do damage with the pass.
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 1:46 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
In the WCO, the pass sets up the run
No one would suggest that the point of the WCO is to do the damage with the run.
Brett Favre is the Kenny Powers of football.
by ninjasocks on Aug 21, 2009 1:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's more about opening up the run with the pass.
So in an offense that runs to set up the pass, it isn’t that they try to score TDs with the pass. It’s that they use the run to force the defense to cover the run at the expense of pass defense, then use that to gain yardage with the pass. Those early runs are setting up later pass plays. The red zone is a whole different ball game.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 1:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Well, I'm not sure...
accepting the trade is based on whether or not you can handle having an AVERAGE running back.
Err.. BELOW AVERAGE.
Meh.
Whatever…
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I can handle it
Tough, but possible.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Never take a Seahawks WR in FFB
The ball gets spread around too much. Duckett should be able to a few TDs and probably more yards than last year.
Brett Favre is the Kenny Powers of football.
by ninjasocks on Aug 21, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Sweet mother of Christ, what the hell happened here?
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:27 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I got involved.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 1:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh, that explains everything.
Carry on, good fellow.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I angered people
Julius Jones is a god.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I already made that clear, crown his ass into the Hall of Fame.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I know
I should have listened. I have failed.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Son, I am disappoint.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here, use my crown!

Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Now you're just being an ass.
We never called him Walter Payton. You illogically made him a below average back using statistics that you skewed to make your point.
Jones had some bad moments and good moments. He’s got a zone-blocking system where he can flourish if the team is healthy.
Relax, man.
Morris was in a contract year and was familiar with pretty much all of the schemes and systems long before JJ ever touched this place.
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I was joking dude.
Like how you guys kept joking with me (well maybe not you).
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Buy us all a drink!
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm only 20!
Wait ’til next March…
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
We'll keep it a secret.....
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:33 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I also don't have any money!
That’s the sadder part of the story…
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I swear to god if you buy us O'douls
I WILL EAT YOUR FACE!!!
/Lithgow’d
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That sounds scary
I won’t buy any of those.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'd drink it.
But I wouldn’t like it….
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 1:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No prob man
I just don’t find this to be a solid enough argument.
Epic thread though.
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Almost as fulfilling as 'Why Shaun Hill is Not a Good QB'
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:32 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Almost
Now I just need to know who hates me more, Seahawks Fans or Niners Fans. I’m thinking I should make a post about how much Marc Bulger sucks soon.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
But very few people are going to disagree with that.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ooh, go poke fun at Singletary, that should stir up the hornet's nest.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm thinking of writing about how far away the Niners are from contending actually
Now that there’s norcal81 to tell us how the Niners are destined for the Superbowl.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
We could help you out with this argument.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hell, I'll sponsor that thread.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:41 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm sure you could
It adly wouldn’t be hard. I was just going to compare their roster to two other contenders running 3-4’s, say the Chargers and Cowboys. Not even using Superbowl winners.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The chargers would be an ugly comparison.
And by ugly I mean the chargers are a very good team, with scary good talent. The 49ers will just end up looking terrible compared to them (which should prove your point rather well).
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 1:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Exactly
It should be pretty obvious the NIners aren’t ready to compete yet, but I am sure many people will argue the point.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:52 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not around here.
I think most Field Gulls readers believe the Rams are still bad, and the 49ers have been deluding themselves for 3 years and still arn’t that good. The more contentious question is how good are the Cardinals.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 1:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Done as soon as that bastard Greybeard injures himself or retires.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:55 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Definitely not around here
I meant at NN. I think the Cardinals will fall quite a bit this year. i liked the Seahawks to win the division, though I’m not sure if the injuries to Walter Jones and Trufant change that at all.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I thought you liked...
arguments that are difficult and ethereal, not easy and sound.
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
My argument was easy
JJ isn’t a very good starter. Just compare him to the other starters. But… yeah…
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Most people are agreeing with you
You’re simply ignoring it. For some reason you’re trying to get us to say that he’s worse than the vast majority. Which he isn’t.
4.4 YPC is NOT worse than the vast majority.
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 1:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm saying he's worst than a large majority of starters
Not backups. I didn’t get the sense that most people agree with that but it was hard to tell because the thread got so convoluted. Also, I don’t think YPC is a very good stat, althought it’s better than most traditional ones. Still, I wouldn’t use it to flatly say Jones isn’t worse than most starters.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"Also, I don’t think YPC is a very good stat"
Actually, it’s a pretty telling one. Hence why people like Marion Barber and Matt Forte are overrated because their yardage totals are usually because they keep getting carries even though they aren’t doing much.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jerious Norwood has had a higher YPC than Peterson each of the last two years
I think Norwood is underrated, but he’s clearly not near the runner that AP is. YPC (as with most any football stat) is heavily influenced by how heavily a RB is used and his teammates. Peterson faces 8 men in the box on every run, Norwood gets a lot of 3rd down runs and draws.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You're right.
But Barber, Forte, and Jones are all starters, not scat backs.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I know
I’m just showing how YPC can be very misleading.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:06 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
...Yes, but in this case, it isnt'
Julius Jones was not used a lot, but when he was, he was productive.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And guys who aren't used a lot
Get their YPC’s articificially inflated. If he had 330 carries like Forte (or whatever Forte had) his YPC would go down quite a bit.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jones received the lion's share of carries when he did play.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Just make sure to bring a chart.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
The Rams suck
Bulger is like the Chief of Sucking.
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:35 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Albert Pujols is a below average RB
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
David Aardsman is a below-average closer
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't know why I put an "n" there.
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:36 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Because he sucks that much
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He probably would be
Too slow.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No no
I only argue things I believe to be true. ;-)
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I just felt like busting this out

Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:37 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I made it way back in April
Don’t remember why but I figured I’d create it.
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
It's very good
What did you use to make it?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
GIMP editing software
And this photo.

Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ah I see
Just wondering if they are easy to make.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Not particularly easy
But not hard either.
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
Well the fact that I’d have to buy the software eliminates me. ;-)
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
All you have to do is kick a coffee table.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 1:59 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh
I didn’t know. I have no idea what GIMP is.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
http://www.gimp.org/
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 2:02 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
GIMP is free
Open source, FTW.
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yup.
OSX version still hates me though.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 2:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Quoting myself, because I think this post was skipped over by the OP.
I didn’t use any raw numbers I just ranked them on what I thought was their ability, or something close to it.
I have never minded you, and even at this point I do not. But how many games have you watched Julius Jones play vs any of those “16 starters,” half of which are not going to be starting at the end of the year, in order to claim knowledge of their “raw rushing ability?” This is so subjective and unprofessional football-wise. I personally have seen maybe 5 snaps of Derrick Ward, Matt Forte, and Pierre Thomas, so whatever opinion I have of their ability is either completely flawed, or based on what other people say of them. And the same goes for certain guys on the list for you and almost everyone here who has argued.
In fact, few here have seen enough of Westbrook to give an accurate assessment of how often he is patient behind his blockers, whether he takes the hole in front of him 20% of the time, 50% of the time, or 80% of the time, because we have seen him on ESPN all the time, and seen him take a screen pass and make defenders fall down, but have not watched game after game of him.
Such an opinion is based too much on perception, highlights, and media perception, which is always 2-3 years behind as we know with Walter Jones still appearing in current best player lists the last two years…for example.
When someone says a player is average I think they are saying he’s an average starter.
“What people say,” is way too broad to be basing a huge argument on. The average non-madden playing football fan knows their own team and 3 players off of every other team that is not in their division…those people believe average to good is every player on their team except for a few elite players and a few garbage players.
The average madden-playing football fan believes roughly what they see in madden, except for the things they see on TV that contradict it…like their whole team(which is way better than what they are ranked), and an average running back before this year(since the rankings were shifted down) would be 89 speed, 70 strength, 82 BTK, 80 carry, or somewhere in that general neighborhood.
The person who knows something about most teams does something different, they actually compare what they see from player to player, and the average scout outlook is looking at whether the player has the skills to actually do something when they see the field, whether they have exploitable weaknesses, and whether they are better than the other players on the team.
The point of all that is that perspective is different between so many different types of people that there is no way everyone here could agree on what “average” means, because it is used differently in different circles.
Your basic arguments I believe I understand, but are mostly based on saying John Morgan is way overrating one specific player, and you are basing it on your limited knowledge of these players(without support) and the meaning of the word average in context of discussion about football players. It does not get any more subjective than that.
Here is what I think about it
If you are evaluating a college player and you say he has only "average ability to run the ball in the NFL," You are saying that if he is behind an average line, he will give you average numbers, behind a good line he will give a little better numbers, but at no point do his skills show great ability to outperform his line.
There are precious few running backs in the NFL that are without the ability to at least run the ball ok. A guy with below average ability to run the ball is borderline going to be out of the league. If he said average starter, he would actually be comparing him to other players.
If you were to be speaking like a scout and saying the Bills Fred Jackson only has average ability to run the ball, or that Mo Morris, while being athletic and possessing good hands has only average ability to run the ball, you are not saying they would be an average starter, but saying that in "NFL ability" rankings they would be average or ordinary.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 1:41 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I tried to break that up enough to make it readable.
Maybe it needed bold titles to organize it a bit better.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 1:42 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I have seen a lot of Julius Jones
I watched every game he played with the Cowboys. I haven’t seen as much of most of the other guys, but you don’t need to watch someone like Matt Forte or Brandon Jacobs much to know they’re better than Jones. I agree that average is somewhat subjective, but I thought average meant an average starter. Guess not.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:48 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And we're back to this:
What’s a starter? Because most would include a lot of 2nd string RB’s in the starter list, because they eat up a significant amount of carries and are “starting” in each game, even if they arn’t featured in every play.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 1:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Matt Forte is overrated.
Brandon Jacobs wouldn’t be nearly as successful if he wasn’t on the Giants.
See?
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 1:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Agreed
They are still better than Jones though, surely you see that.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 1:58 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jacobs has possibly the worst hands of any RB in the league, and is also a pretty bad blocker.
His main asset as a rusher, power rushing, can likely be explained by a ridiculous run-blocking line and fantastic FB. I severely doubt he’s even remotely as productive anywhere else.
Why would you say Forte is better? Because he had a higher yardage total? The Bears didn’t have an RB worth a crap to split carries, so they kept running Forte like a battering ram. His YPC was something in the 3s, pretty bad. Now, he’s certainly a good receiver, but he won’t be targeted as much without Kyle Orton’s noodlearm checking the ball down to him all the time.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:08 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jacobs is a terrible receiver and poor blocker
But he is clearly a great runner.
I don’t think Forte is quite as good as Jacobs at running the ball. As you said though his YPC is misleading because he was used as a battering ram. He also had no other real threats to turn the focus of the defense off of him. I think Jones would have been less successful in the same situation.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jacobs also a beast.
His power rushing is due to his own power as well as his line and FB. Guy’s a tank.
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 2:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, but do you really think he'd be considered an elite RB if he weren't on the Giants?
He would your typical power-guy, ie Lendale White, Duckett, Stewart, etc.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Come on
Guys like White and Duckett just aren’t near as quick and agile as Jacobs. Stewart isn’t as big.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:20 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What are you basing this on?
You’ve seen Jacobs break a lot of long runs but none of the guys I mentioned have the luxury of an elite line. White had the longest run from scrimmage, and Duckett is plenty agile.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I expected nothing less.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Depends.
How do we define “elite”?
/immediately regrets this
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's one of the best runners in the NFL.
Probably top 5.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:31 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So you must be talking about...
this guy?
Yr/Carries/Yds/TD’s/Fumbles Lost/Rec’s/RecYards/Rec TD’s
2007 200 1011 4 4 23 174 2
2006 96 423 9 1 11 149
2005 38 99 7 1
Wow. That’s certainly top 5 numbers…
They look so much better than this guy’s:
2007 166 584 2 23 203
2006 267 1084 4 1 9 142
2005 257 993 5 2 35 218
2004 197 819 7 3 17 109
That of course would be Julius Jones 2nd and Jacobs first. 2008 eliminated from both players. Personally, I would take Jones…
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 3:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How do you know Brandon Jacobs is unequivically better than TJ Duckett(a high 1st round pick).
Or is he just a very powerful back that happens to be behind one of the most perfect combinations of OL(who have been starting together for years, but are not aging yet), Powerful FB, and big strong double-TE sets sets, along with more sophisticated running systems than other teams have had in quite some time? In that system he has to make the right read, then break one tackle in order to get 10 yards plenty of times…which is not the same situation he would face in say San Fransisco, to choose another random team.
99-100% of average football fans you ask will say Jacobs is twice the runner Duckett is, but that is so heavily influenced by the system each plays in that the truth is not that clear. It is possible that Duckett puts up the same numbers or better in the same situation, and no matter what I think, or you think, the truth is we do not know their abilities well enough to be sure.
One fan that knows football very well that I know, believes that Kyle Orton may be a better QB than Jay Cutler, and that simple the HS-level system and WRs in Chicago vs the wide-open and great WRs and run game Cutler had in Denver are the true difference in their numbers, which is a large part of the percieved difference. That Cutler will never again approach those numbers, and that Orton will.
If you asked just about anyone, they will laugh in the face of this Cutler vs Orton argument, but does that make them right? The one thing I am sure Cutler has over Orton is his arm-strength, and I know Orton has more touch than Cutler…besides that I don’t know the two of them well enough to predict, but I am respecting this particular fan’s knowledge of the two QBs, and we shall see.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 2:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
One thing
Jacobs is a hell of a lot faster than Duckett is. It shows whenever he gets into the secondary.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
"Jacobs is a hell of a lot faster than Duckett is. It shows whenever he gets into the secondary."
That is clearly debatable. The one time that Duckett did get into the secondary, he juked a bunch of defenders for a very long gain. Who’s to say he can’t keep doing that if the line would actually let him get that far? Jacobs gets sprung for big gains all the time because of Chris Snee and co.
Also, Duckett ran a 4.4 40 yard dash at 250 lbs in the combine with less than 10% bodyfat.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Or maybe 240.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Maybe it's just because of the O-line
I won’t say for sure that’s it’s not just because my eyes (and internal bias) is misleading me. But Jacobs breaks a lot more long runs, whereas Duckett basically never does. I think if Duckett were as good s Jacobs he would be used a lot more.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's funny, because I believe Duckett had a 4.45 40 time.
And Brandon Jacobs had a 4.55 or 4.56.
Thoughts?
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 2:14 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Don't know
If Duckett ran that way at the combine, it doesn’t show in games.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How?
Duckett certainly doesn’t look slow in games.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He does not look like Jacobs
Do you watch many Giants games? Jacobs is incredible.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yes, he's nimble for a big guy, but he's not especially hard to tackle unless he gets a full head of steam going.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Great argument.
I won’t say for sure that’s it’s not just because my eyes (and internal bias) is misleading me.
Don’t forget what I said about his line, and opportunities.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I don't think it's a great argument either
But it’s all I have to compare the two. What are you using to compare them?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's my point, I am not.
They have had such different systems and level of talent in front of them in their careers that it is impossible to. Brandon Jacobs on the Rams would not be 1/5th the back that Steven Jackson is, who ran pretty well behind some suspect blocking…although I forget that Madison Hedgecock(sp?) was blocking for Jackson all the years he was not injured and was a stud…he happens to be the Giants FB, has been for 2 going on 3 seasons now.
Coincidence? No. Ultimately that is why I have a problem with your list…it’s not a feasible list.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Perhaps
It wasn’t meant to be a perfect list, though I have a hard time imagining Jones being as successful as most of those guys in similiar situations. He’s just not a very good runner (IMO).
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:29 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
See, if you had used that IMO earlier
Everyone would have been in complete agreement with you.
What a shame.
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 2:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I'm sure they wouldn't have
Here’s just a quick, rough list I compiled ranking staring NFC RB’s on rushing ability, using nothing but my own subjective opinion:
I made it clear it was my own opinion, and that much should be obvious anyways. No matter what I did many people cannot handle an outsider criticizing their own team.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:53 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
No, people had an issue with you calling out JM over something he said based on you saying anyone would interpret the word average the same way.
No one is more careful about how their word choice/usage than he is…and upon further review few of us disagree with that particular word choice…despite your 100+ posts campaigning otherwise.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 3:01 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How did I "call him out"?
I disagreed with him, is that not allowed around here? It’s not like I called him an idiot or stupid, like many people called me.
No one is more careful about how their word choice/usage than he is
Um, okay, sounds like hyperbole. He wasn’t very clear in this instance, at least to me. “Average” shouldn’t mean “one of the worst starters in the conference”.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 3:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Perhaps you and I will disagree on the meaning of "call him out."
The was my way of saying you disagreed with him, but not just that, made that the basis of your argument. With a “John is wrong” central to your argument it seemed to me you were calling him out as biased.
And your use of the word conference when you argue above that JM meant average starter in the LEAGUE is funny. I think it is hypocritical to nitpick at one person’s use of a subjective word and use different criteria at different points during that argument.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 3:50 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
How much of Julius Jones did you watch last season?
I thought he was pretty effective and efficient last season, running behind Leonard Weaver(not a top run blocking FB who I loved very much), a line that always had half of it’s starters missing, and against an Adrian Peterson style of defense often, as we had street FA’s(translation, NOT average in any context) playing WR for Seneca Wallace.
He didn’t make something out of nothing like maybe Steven Jackson or Adrian Peterson would have, but he still contributed a very decent YPA, didn’t get tackled for negative yardage, broke the first tackle a reasonable amount of the time and followed his blockers. I have a hard time believing that every one of those backs in the exact same situation would perform at the level he did.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So which ones do you think would be worse?
I’m not claiming to be all-knowing, I’m sure not all of them would have performed as well, but in general I think the guys above him would have done better if I had to guess.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Look at what happened to Clinton Portis when he left the running friendly ZBS in Denver for a Dallas-style power-blocking scheme with slow big OL in Washington
He went from 5.5 YPC both seasons with 1500 yards, to between 3.8 and 4.3 YPC in all 5 seasons with the Redskins.
He has been the exclusive HB in both schemes, given the same opportunities(basically all of them, goal line, short yardage, counters, dives, single-back, I, ect…) but due to scheme difference(mostly) and despite talent difference(Broncos line was made up of later picks mostly I believe, while Redskins were high priced FAs and higher DPs) he has been completely different.
Julius Jones is making the exact opposite move. He left a Dallas team that transitioned into the Redskins style of line, which happens to be great for a Marion Barber type of back, and is now on a team that partly transitioned to a ZBS last year and has finished that transition this year reportedly. Perception will change on him a lot, and people will say he got better or more motivated, but he will be mostly the same back. It will be the situation and perception that changes.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 3:09 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
That sounds logical
It will be interesting to see how it plays out during the season. It’s certainly possible that I’m wrong and I’m open to changing my mind.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 3:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Portis is widely believed to be a better back than most on that list.
But he has not been efficient or particularly productive in the past 5 years on a per carry basis.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 3:51 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And yet I do not blame him one bit.
In my opinion he is the same running back. Despite not being big has above-average pile-pushing ability. Great cutting ability, very fast and quick. On top of that an exceptional blocker, gives effort in everything he does. Yet we have 5 years of numbers evidence that he is not a top 10 back, when most are convinced he is a top 5 back…including me.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 5:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
In 2007
Duckett had a run of 53 (longer than any in Jacobs career) and two runs of 32 yards in just 65 attempts.
by John Morgan on Aug 21, 2009 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions 2 recs
Please list for me the attributes of a running back that constitute running ability in your mind.
That way we can be on the same page before we begin to evaluate which of them JJ is below average, which he is average, and which he is above average at, if any.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 1:57 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who is the most efficient when running the football
Given the same situation, context, and team, who will be more successful, Julius Jones or (insert other RB here)?
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:00 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What's the situation, context, and team?
Is it a power run up the middle, where the RB has to push the pile? Or does the RB have to run through a whole on the right side, that’s only a foot wide? Or is there a massive 5 foot hole for the RB to run through, but he has to evade the secondary? Or have the recievers cleared that as well? Or is it a draw play on third and long? Because each situation plays to different strengths.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 2:04 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
All situations.
Obviously I’m not saying to judge them based on one particular running situation. Just based on the runs a RB will have to make over the course of the season.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:05 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
If you are talking about overall ability to run in all situations
then no I wouldn’t say many RBs are in any significant way better than him. Hence the term, average. Of course, no RB is asked to run in all situations or expected to be good in all of them (no RB is ever good at all of them) with the obvious exception of Barry Sanders. Because Barry Sanders is a freak and broke all the rules.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 2:07 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
So was....
Sweetness.
Walter Payton.
But we digress…
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 3:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
I am disappointed, I was hoping for something more like this.
Vision
Athleticism(overall speed, lateral quickness or agility, 1st, 2nd, and 3rd gear)
Power
Ball security
And those can be broken up into many subcatagories. Making an aggregate ranking of running backs based on combining all of their skills ignores what running backs do.
A back without good ball security may be taken out of the last quarter of games where their team is leading, a back lacking power may be taken out of goal line situations, and on and on it goes. Only a Steven Jackson, Adrian Peterson, LDT type of true complete back can be an “every situation back,” the rest are used situationally. And to say one is better than the other without even discussing which situations they are used in, and deciding which situations are most important for a running back is not accurate.
If we give grades or a number system for each of those four, or even more attributes, how does one determine how it is weighted?
Julius Jones is no better than average(of RBs on NFL rosters, of College starters he would be way above average, of NFL starters he would be below average) in athleticism and run power. He has enough power to break all the tackles he did in the “Big Sub” game against the 49ers, and enough athleticism to have runs over 20 yards in 5 games despite only having 20+ carries in 3 of them, and that on a bad offense. But not so athletic that he will break long runs routinely, or turn those long runs into even longer ones. Certainly not so slow that he couldn’t beat a power back on a run in space, and not so weak he goes down at first contact…but not above average at either.
His ball security was good for a while, then came the Cowboys game. But that is best judged over long periods of time, and in over 1000 carries, he has only 12 fumbles. Not perfect, but not a problem either…so average or maybe slightly above for an NFL running back.
His vision and following blockers looked pretty good to me, even though the Cowboys fans were complaining that those were his problems. I honestly think the spread the field/power run game with no athleticism from their OL didn’t suit JJ, because he was being asked to run over one guy per play, which suits Barber perfectly. But that is without a lot of Cowboys tape watching.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 2:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
And I didn't mean those were the aspects of a runner you should be talking about.
Just ones in a similar vein, where you actually break down attributes of runners and maybe even discuss which ones you value most. That way we could rate those attributes and decide who is average, above-average, poor, and what determines that.
by cashless on Aug 21, 2009 4:43 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You all care way too much about Julius Jones.
by John Morgan on Aug 21, 2009 2:09 PM PDT reply actions 2 recs
damned skippy
Future HOFer deserves to be bitterly defended
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
He's easily the best starting RB in the division.
YEAAAAAAAAAAAAH
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:09 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This is important stuff JM.
We MUST iron out whether Jones is average, slightly above average, or slightly below average as a rusher. This is vital to understanding how our season will go.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 2:10 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
What were we talking about again?
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 2:11 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why Aaron Curry sucks and how quickly we should run Ruskell out of town
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Its important John.
Here I have a chart for you.

NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 2:12 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Very telling.
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Minesweeper?
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 2:16 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Brilliant stuff.
I took some notes on this.
Beverly Hills 90210.......Denver Broncos 7.
by SSreporters on Aug 21, 2009 2:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Game thread tonight
I am going to slap myself awake and see if I can write anything.
by John Morgan on Aug 21, 2009 2:21 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
k.
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:21 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
We'll take the burden of charts and graphs off your hands.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 2:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Who are the Seahawks playing?
I assume that’s who your referring to.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Titans vs Dallas actually.
Hawks are tomorrow.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 2:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Favre vs. Chiefs
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Ah I see. Should be a good game.
For some reason my TV won’t show who is playing on the menu, it just says “NFL Football”.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That's good enough to earn my viewership.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 2:27 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hell
I could probably watchhigh school football at this point.
by Brendan Scolari on Aug 21, 2009 2:28 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Denver. DIE DONKEYS!!!
But that’s tomorrow. Tonight’s games are Tennessee @ Dallas, Atlanta @ St. Louis and KC @ Minnesota.
by thebyron on Aug 21, 2009 2:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You mean KC @ Favre?
Brett Favre
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This thread is blowing my mind...
Without saying whether I agree with Brendan or not…
Seems like quite a few people here are getting overly defensive about some pretty minute details…
He said in his OP that he was singling out rushing ability, but some people are having a hard time with that.
He clarified his omission that his (admitted) subjective assertion was based on starters, not the entire NFL talent pool.
Seriously, the only relevant discussion is about starters – who cares how JJ stacks up against the Ravens 3rd string RB?
He’s gone out of his way to be polite and at least present his point. If you don’t agree with it, just say so. But his premises aren’t nearly as outlandish as 300 posts worth of nitpicking semantics are.
Listen, the pick of JJ was about as good as it was gonna get through free agency. Most teams don’t go 5 years without drafting an RB in the first 5 rounds – and that is where most of the RB (especially rushing talent) is found. Experienced RBs are much more likely to be better at receiving and pass protection.
by PerryCollective on Aug 21, 2009 2:23 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
.....hold on let me get a chart.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 2:26 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jay-Z would like to contribute:

Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 2:34 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
hahahahahaa.
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 2:37 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Jesus
smaller!
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 2:39 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Here's a graph showing Jones contributions compared to
other RBs around the league. Normalized of course. Jones is red.

by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 2:44 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
You'll see there were a lot of angles to dispute him on...
including his semantics…
but also, including his premise .
I don’t see a great difference between Julius’ rushing ability and the guys he listed above Julius. In fact, as I said prior somewhere about 150 posts ago, I’d flip a coin to take any of them, aside from AP, who really is on another level. The rest are all relative. I’d take a healthy Turner or Jackson first, but Turner passed the dreaded 370 mark, and Jackson seems to never be healthy. But realistically, we disagree on both his semantics of what average are, and whether Julius is below that semantical designation.
But other than that, we see eye to eye. Most of us agree with him that JJ isn’t among the elite.
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 3:24 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Even AP has his flaws.
With his running style, there’s significant risk for serious injury. It hasn’t happened yet, but it could. And what use is a back who spends the year on the IR? Now, I won’t count that against AP until he misses serious time, and I consider him to be pretty much on another level and quite possibly the best back in the NFL. But it’s something to keep in mind for the future.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 4:21 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh, I certainly agree...
He’s on another level presently, but how long that lasts is anyone’s guess.
See: Terrell Davis; Earl Campbell; Christian Okoye. All at one point a dominant back that didn’t had shortened careers…
Which is another reason Julius is average. He really hasn’t been significantly hurt…
Please, for the LOVE OF GOD, stop suggesting next year's 1st round pick (or picks) be used for Taylor Mays and or a QB of the future. Let's just let the season unfold, people, and evaluate much deeper in the process!!!
by whiskey chainsaw on Aug 21, 2009 5:25 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
This thread needs more

The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 2:37 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Fair enough.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 2:39 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Good man
Nice to see FGers looking after fellow FGers.
The demise of the Broncos in '09 is our future. Pray hard.
by Nick Andron on Aug 21, 2009 2:40 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Play him off Keyboard Cat!

NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 2:56 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Damn, same for these ones as well...
What a waste. This website might as well no longer exist in my eyes.
by LantermanC on Aug 21, 2009 10:18 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
any thread with rap graphs
is instantly forgiven.
by Hancock.Brett on Aug 21, 2009 2:44 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Jesus.
bigger!
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 2:49 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Anyone know what this is about?
“Julius Jones is in danger of missing Saturday’s game with an undisclosed leg injury.
While Jones has practiced just once all week, there has been no indication that the injury is serious. Stay tuned for further details on Saturday.
Source: Seattle Times/Rotoworld "
Early prospect watch: RB C.J. Spiller, QB Jevon Snead, OT Ciron Black, DT Gerald McCoy, S Eric Berry, DT Ndamukong Suh, CB Ras-I Dowling 6'2, 200, RB Jonathan Dwyer
by Misfit74 on Aug 21, 2009 3:42 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Visit CreepyGif.com to view this GIF animation?
"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."
by Fearless Frog on Aug 21, 2009 3:45 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Yep.
Love attack of the show. Loved rather.
by LantermanC on Aug 21, 2009 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Oh I see what your comment means...
Ha, when I previewed it and posted it, it worked… But now that I refreshed it, it doesn’t…
by LantermanC on Aug 21, 2009 10:17 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
That would be a 'No'.
Early prospect watch: RB C.J. Spiller, QB Jevon Snead, OT Ciron Black, DT Gerald McCoy, S Eric Berry, DT Ndamukong Suh, CB Ras-I Dowling 6'2, 200, RB Jonathan Dwyer
by Misfit74 on Aug 21, 2009 3:47 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Omg ive spent so much time just READING this nonsense!
Glenn Beck likes argument, but has a deap-seated hatred for logic.
by Cheddar28 on Aug 21, 2009 4:38 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I like how this thread quickly changed from football discussion to nonsensical pictures
I don’t know how to describe it in words; maybe a graph would be helpful?
by aerozeppelin on Aug 21, 2009 4:51 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I know a great graph guy.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 9:12 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Excel fired up and standing by orders!
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 9:19 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Napa cabernet will make you omit basic English words such as "for"
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 9:22 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
There's no way
that you can call Clinton Portis or Frank Gore ‘average’
Clinton Portis averages 1314 yds per season (including his injury shortened 06 season) or 1446 yds excluding the 06 season, 4.5 yds a carry and 10 TDs a year. If that’s average than Adrian Peterson is ‘slightly above average’!
by rex92 on Aug 21, 2009 5:06 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Oh god no more arguing about what average is.
NEEDS MORE FREEDOM!
by Scruffy Lefty on Aug 21, 2009 9:13 PM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
Why did Godric commit suicide?
He was over 2,000 years old; definitely an above average vampire.
Child please...
by Airborne Hawk Guy on Aug 21, 2009 9:21 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
How this thread broke 500 posts, I have no idea.
And in only 1 day too.
by Fear on Aug 21, 2009 10:16 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Why I read the first 25%, I have no idea.
What a waste of my limited brain space and the good mood I was chilling in.
I saw a Kelly Jennings INT.......really....
by The Manchild on Aug 21, 2009 11:31 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs
I read through about 3/4 of it
bad decision overall lol. Maybe about 100 posts aren’t repeats of thoughts/points already argued. GIFs definitely saved the day.
Glenn Beck likes argument, but has a deap-seated hatred for logic.
by Cheddar28 on Aug 22, 2009 1:18 AM PDT reply actions 0 recs
Whew. Finished reading all of those.
Today I learned that Julius Jones is an average running back, except when he’s a below-average running back, but really he’s an average running back. However, in most cases he’s a below-average running back, which would be crazy if he wasn’t an average running back. I was convinced through the power of graphs, though, that he is a below-average running back (thank God for MS Paint and whatever the hell that was). But then other graphs, magical graphs, convinced me that he is an average running back.
Then I drooled on myself for a little bit.
"Why is it every time I need to get somewhere, we get waylaid by jackassery?" - Dr. Venture
by Eegah on Aug 22, 2009 8:07 AM PDT reply actions 2 recs
TY for that.......
I just had a much needed laugh.
I saw a Kelly Jennings INT.......really....
by The Manchild on Aug 22, 2009 9:48 AM PDT up reply actions 0 recs
i dont care what DVOA says
if he guy gets 4.4 YPC behind a back-up oline with a backup QB, he is not below average
bayless leaves over my dead body
andre miller>hedo
by thomasikehara on Aug 22, 2009 2:06 PM PDT reply actions 0 recs

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