FO's Preseason DVOA Out

As is the first Postseason Odds Report. Two things of note:

(1) FO thinks the 'Hawks are the favorites in the NFC West.

(2) FO thinks Denver's the worst team in football, and likely to hand the 'Hawks the first pick in the 2010 draft.

over 2 years ago robbbbbb 10 comments 0 recs |

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Arizona with 5.5 projected wins?

STL with 8.7? Am I missing something?

by LantermanC on Sep 9, 2009 10:10 PM PDT reply actions

Yeah, they predicted that a while ago.

Something like the Cards tanking for 4th and the Rams turning it around a lot.

"Part, fools!
Put up your swords. You know not what you do."

by Fearless Frog on Sep 9, 2009 10:27 PM PDT up reply actions

which I didn’t buy, but they were lethargic in the preseason, and while I don’t buy the SB loser’s curse, I think there’s an affect, and weaker SB participants probably have a harder time getting over it.

The Rams, also on account of health, and failing in the red zone more. Which I buy.

by jacobstevens on Sep 10, 2009 12:05 AM PDT up reply actions

Also, we're more likely than Pittsburgh or NYG to win the Super Bowl?

by LantermanC on Sep 9, 2009 10:11 PM PDT reply actions

That brings me so much joy

but it’s a left handed compliment. Because of Baltimore. Because the AFC is stacked on top so the possibility of coming in 2nd but missing the wild card is non-neglibible, while they consider our competition for the division crown to be less stiff. Same thing for the crowded but not necessarily stacked NFC East.

by jacobstevens on Sep 10, 2009 12:07 AM PDT up reply actions

I like those odds

Interesting that St. Louis is way above San Fran and Arizona. SF and AZ being among the worst. Maybe sunday’s game will be much tougher then most people think.

Just out of curiosity, here’s last years (I always like to see how those who predict, did):

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2008/2008-dvoa-projections

by B.B.Finnegan on Sep 9, 2009 10:12 PM PDT reply actions

What happened to the Chargers to being completely absurd?

Did Merriman’s choking Tequila have to do with it?

by aerozeppelin on Sep 9, 2009 11:24 PM PDT reply actions

Basically, they were really good in passing offense last year

but even still left a lot of points on the field, and so are projected to get even better, plus their running game lagged and is expected to return to form. Merriman’s back, Gates was a ghost last year, LT’s back, Rivers’ is reaching his prime.

And the Broncos, Raiders and Chiefs.

by jacobstevens on Sep 10, 2009 12:09 AM PDT up reply actions

Just to clarify on Denver

If I read the DVOA chart right, the Broncos are projected to be the second-worst team in the NFL. But because they have the toughest schedule, they’re projected to finish with a worse record than Buffalo.

In any case, however you figure it: terrible team plus nasty schedule equals high draft pick for the Seahawks! Hopefully. Assuming they don’t do something crazy like winning games.

by busplunger on Sep 10, 2009 9:29 AM PDT reply actions