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Around SBN: Despite Relocation Drama, Coyotes Overcome Adversity

Seahawks at Cardinals Third Quarter Notes, Part 1

The most effective back in Seattle, two years running, Justin Forsett.

I promised my wife I would spend time with her on her day off, and so I will preemptively say this is the only post today.

This covers the first half of the third quarter. Charlie Whitehurst led two drives. Seattle squashed a Cardinals drive. More than anything, Seattle's skill position talent stepped up.

Here's a selection of interesting plays.

2-3-SEA 27 (14:32) 20-J.Forsett left tackle to ARZ 44 for 29 yards (27-M.Adams).

The only benefit of trading for Marshawn Lynch, so far, is the resurgent play of Justin Forsett. Forsett has 182 yards in 34 attempts since Seattle traded for Lynch. That isn't really the measure of a rushing attack, but we can improve it a little bit. Adjusting for quality of run defense and weighting for attempts against, an average rusher would have 138.4 yards in 34 attempts against the Bears, Cardinals, Raiders and Giants. So if Forsett's real yards per attempt is 5.35 and an average rusher's yards per attempt against the same opponents is 4.07, Forsett is performing at 131% of average.

That's good, because rushes by Lynch have not produced. He is only averaging 2.9 yards per attempt. That's acceptable for a goal line back and just barely, but not for a feature back. It's hard to impeach Lynch for the results. He certainly runs tough. His burst hasn't shown up, I will say that, but otherwise, I think Lynch is carrying the torch for a bad rush offense that, when Lynch is in the ball game, faces defenses much more likely to sell out to stop the run. Seattle traded for Lynch in hopes of fixing their struggling run game, but as it turned out, just added another struggling rusher to start in front of Forsett. I wonder what Julius Jones thinks of that.

As for this play, the blocking wasn't anything special. Chester Pitts slipped off Calais Campbell. Tyler Polumbus pulled into the second level and put a hand on Clark Haggans, but served more as pick than blocker. The Cardinals had shifted their line right and that helped create a soft edge behind left tackle, but mostly, this was just about Force flashing his burst. He ran past Campbell lunging at him in the hole, he ran past Gerald Hayes as he exited the hole, and from there it was Justin loose in the third level, speed curve flattening, lowering his shoulder and burning down 29 yards of grass like a prairie fire.

1-10-ARI 44 (13:51) 6-C.Whitehurst pass short right to 24-M.Lynch to ARZ 22 for 22 yards (29-D.Rodgers-Cromartie; 27-M.Adams).

Seattle ran play action and Lynch ran a speed out towards the right flat. Whitehurst found him and Lynch cut across the field for most of the yardage gained. One of those plays that count on a quarterback's stat sheet but really belong to the receiver.

1-10-ARI 22 (13:01) 6-C.Whitehurst pass short right intended for 87-B.Obomanu INTERCEPTED by 29-D.Rodgers-Cromartie at ARZ 18. 29-D.Rodgers-Cromartie to ARZ 44 for 26 yards (85-A.McCoy, 87-B.Obomanu).

In contrast, this was all Whitehurst. So many mistakes concentrated into one play. Billick said, and I paraphrase, that another play like this and Whitehurst would never leave the bench again. This is one of those times I do appreciate a coach's perspective, because I imagine Pete Carroll was thinking the same thing. And Bates. And Arnie my Pop Warner coach.

Seattle sets: WR (left/right), TE (left/right), RB

Arizona: 3-4

Deon Butler is on the left. He runs a double move. That's the primary. Ben Obomanu is on the right. He runs a hitch. So the timing on these two routes is different. One is long developing and the other is bang-bang*.

Here's what Whitehurst does: He takes the snap, looks off Butler on the left, looks right, looks right, looks right -- Obo's pattern is dead. He's stationary and covered. -- and, not only makes the brain scrambling read, but throws the ball like this:

River_dance_medium
I think the technical term for it is The Reverse River Dance. So, and from a quarterback with arm strength to burn, the pass is slow and easily picked by Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie. In the ensuing pursuit and tackle, Sean Locklear rolls up Anthony McCoy's legs. Collateral damage.

Luckily, Seattle put out the fire. Chris Clemons did his linebacker thing, and I am quite impressed with his run stuffing ability (though, naturally, not his ability to hold the point). Then this happened.

2-6-ARI 48 (12:13) 3-D.Anderson pass incomplete short left to 31-J.Wright (91-C.Clemons).

Clemons tipped the screen pass away, but the rushed delivery and discord was forced by a perfectly timed safety blitz by Lawyer Milloy. He's so good at that.

The drive ended after Anderson couldn't find Larry Fitzgerald and Fitzgerald couldn't make a beautiful catch. Kelly Jennings got a little grabby, bracing himself on Fitz's shoulder and then grabbing and releasing as he fell away from the receiver. Fitzgerald lost him on the break and Jennings was recovering. Nothing blatant, but further proof of the subjective nature of officiating, and that bad teams don't get calls.

(Punt)

1-10-SEA 20 (11:57) 87-B.Obomanu left end ran ob at SEA 33 for 13 yards (25-K.Rhodes).

I can't remember the last time Seattle pulled off an end around. This was all Obomanu. Carlson attempted to lead block, whiffed against Joey Porter, but continued on and was able to influence Kerry Rhodes. Obomanu ran past and through the halfhearted tackle attempt by Porter and up the field for 13.

It didn't occur to me until just now, but two of the standout skill position performers for Seattle, Forsett and Obomanu, were seventh round picks by Tim Ruskell. Go figure.

Forsett ran for 24 yards on two runs. The first featured a dominant block by Chris Spencer, but was off left end. Chris Baker was able to create the edge by forcing Campbell into the pile. And Stacy Andrews, well, he's big and he gets in the way even when he doesn't land a block. It's something. Mostly, Force is quick through the hole, or, at least, as quick as a Seahawks back gets -- not named Leon Washington.

The other run was a pitch left that featured Lynch at fullback and a little misdirection. Maybe we'll see more of that. Whatever results in more touches by Forsett.

This promising series ended like this:

1-10-ARI 19 (8:56) 24-M.Lynch left tackle to ARZ 18 for 1 yard (24-A.Wilson).

Stuff.

2-9-ARI 18 (8:15) (Shotgun) 6-C.Whitehurst sacked ob at ARZ 18 for 0 yards (24-A.Wilson). WATCH HIGHLIGHT

Self sack. Looked like a broken or at least malfunctioning play.

3-9-ARI 18 (7:47) 20-J.Forsett up the middle to ARZ 16 for 2 yards (78-A.Branch, 93-C.Campbell).

Give up inside hand off, which tells us that Bates either doesn't trust Whitehurst either -- and maybe he shouldn't -- or that Bates is suffering an advanced case of Overly Cautious Coach Syndrome. The run doesn't work and doesn't significantly improve Seattle's chances of kicking the field goal. Seattle gave up.

So be it. Matt returned for the next drive.

*Michael Fox criticized the overturned fumble by Mike Williams. Basically, I think he's right. There isn't a clear enough distinction between a "bang-bang" incomplete and a reception-fumble. Williams didn't perform a football move, but I'm not too sure that's why the ruling on the field was overturned. Rather, it looked like Williams' own inability to quickly secure the pass is why. He was still bobbling the reception as he pulled it into his body. Or rather the ball was still moving within his hands. The officials cited "two feet down", which was observably false. It wasn't a clean reception and so it wasn't a fumble, I guess. More power to the Seahawks.

It's not a great rule, I agree, and it's tenable only insomuch that it's uncommon.

As for the play itself, it must be noted that this fumble along with a handful of similar close calls that broke Seattle's way greatly impacted the outcome of the game. A few weeks ago, after Seattle had won in Chicago and before I reviewed the tape, I believed Seattle was a mediocre to good team. I miss that. Seattle beat the Cardinals, and the final score certainly indicates a level of dominance, but the Seahawks didn't dominate Arizona. And Arizona, by every reliable measure, is horrendous.

The goal for this weekend has to be "show up." Win, lose or draw, the Seahawks must avoid getting their doors blown off. They sunk this far week by week, and if they want to make any kind of noise in the postseason, much less reach the postseason at all, the Seahawks must crawl back towards respectability game by game.

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Great write-up John

Are you going to include Whitehurst’s decent completion to BMW on his lone scoring drive in part 2 or are you leaving it out?

Whitehurst’s duck was something to behold. That was a Charlie Frye play if I’ve ever seen one.

Michael Robinson leads the Seahawks in completion percentage, yards-per-attempt, and QB rating.

by SSreporters on Nov 18, 2010 4:40 PM PST reply actions  

At the very least

In the picture Anthony McCoy looks to be doing a hell of a job blocking. Low center, leverage, squared up..

by 12thman on Nov 18, 2010 4:53 PM PST reply actions  

And he was probably baked.

Michael Robinson leads the Seahawks in completion percentage, yards-per-attempt, and QB rating.

by SSreporters on Nov 18, 2010 4:56 PM PST up reply actions  

If that's what it takes

Let’s all put some kush in our systems.

by 12thman on Nov 18, 2010 5:00 PM PST up reply actions  

That blitz by Lawyer was amazing. That's not even hyperbole.

Milloy makes it look effortless from 10 yards out and Curry fucks it up off the line.

I know this is a ridiculously nebulous idea: but it feels like there is a distinct difference to the team with Lynch running. Even if he isn’t performing better than JuJo, the edge and attitude he provides seems palpable.

by DJ C-Raig on Nov 18, 2010 6:44 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

Situational Backs

The difficulty that Lynch faces is that when he is in, the Hawks are predictably more likely to run the ball. Defenses (and casual fans) are well aware of this, so the defense stack the box and are thinking run-defense first. Conversely, when Forsett is in, the Seahawks seem to run a more balanced offense in which leads to a different set of defensive formations.

At least that’s my impression of how things have been happening. Lynch has not had any room to run since he’s been in Seattle.

by TMann_2 on Nov 18, 2010 7:12 PM PST up reply actions  

This was definitely true for Lynch's first few games

Lynch was run primarily out of run-first personnel and Forsett was run out of pass-first personnel. I’m sure it will change as Lynch gains familiarity with the offense.

by Greetings from the Lord Humongous! on Nov 18, 2010 9:44 PM PST up reply actions  

"I can't remember the last time Seattle pulled off an end around"...

I can’t remember the last time ANY team pulled off an end around. It seems like the a terrible play call every time.

Although now that I think about it, I’m pretty sure that Seattle’s longest play from scrimmage was a Galloway end around back in the nineties. Nothing like self-contradiction on a Saturday I guess. I just hate the end-around

by Jackrabbit5683 on Nov 18, 2010 8:49 PM PST reply actions  

I believe that Galloway's end around was the 4th longest

Behind Koren Robinsons 90 yarder and Shaun Alexander’s two 88 yarders.

by Pessimistic Optimist on Nov 18, 2010 11:08 PM PST up reply actions  

I made the comment during the game and stand by it today

That Whitehurst throw was one of the worst throws I’ve ever seen.

by m_b on Nov 19, 2010 8:45 AM PST reply actions  

I basically saw the INT as soon as he turned his head to the right.

Whitehurst’s release looks quick, if you only count the physical windup and release. He seems to visibly decide to throw, a good beat before that, I see it most of his throws, and definitely there on this play. He looked, and I knew there was no going back. Windup had yet to start and I knew he was launching that sucker.

by jacobstevens on Nov 19, 2010 11:36 AM PST up reply actions  

He was flat-footed

falling backwards, throwing into coverage

by m_b on Nov 19, 2010 12:27 PM PST up reply actions  

Horrible write up

This thread is more about criticism then anything. Destructive criticism. Admit it John, secretly you want this franchise to fail just like every other Seattle sports fan.

by genax on Nov 19, 2010 11:13 PM PST reply actions  

Really?

John secretly wants the team he covers in more detail and depth than most any blogger on the net, the team he follows to the detriment of his family income, to fail? There is no way a human being can spend the kind of quality time and spend the deep critical analysis through film study week after week, day after day, without a deep love and passion for the subject matter.

He calls them like he sees them, for better or worse, and there are hundreds here who visit daily and post in one of the most positive of internet communities because we share a love for our team. We also tend to see things in a similar way (although we have our differences from time to time). Following a winning team is easy. Bandwagon fans come and go. You can’t follow the Hawks troubles year after year through the injuries, the bad coaching, the bad calls, the ups and downs without being a strong fan who deeply loves the team.

Calling a volunteer, unpaid blogger out like this, while you contribute nothing of substance is just weak. Feel free to back up your criticism of his posts with any kind of substance, rather than resorting to character assassination.

by IslandHawk on Nov 20, 2010 9:19 AM PST up reply actions  

I think there was sarcasm

But seemed to fly over your head, turn around eye you like a piece of meat, and go back over your head.

by Built2Spill on Nov 20, 2010 3:28 PM PST up reply actions  

Woosh! Need the font.

There are a bunch of people who come in here and posit that any criticism of the team, the coaching, the players, the scheme or whatever means you aren’t a true fan. Or that Hass and the FO can do no wrong. It is hard to tell sometimes.

Genax, if your post was intended to be sarcastic, I apologize for taking it seriously!

by IslandHawk on Nov 20, 2010 4:00 PM PST up reply actions  

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