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Why the Seahawks Offense Fails: Missed, Lost and Mistaken Routes

Had Golden Tate or John Carlson lined up along the line of scrimmage, and Tate still been able to catch the 22-yard strike along the right sideline, well not strike, Seattle would have found itself in first and ten just outside the red zone. Instead the play was ruled dead and the Seahawks penalized five yards. Seattle failed to complete the next two passes, forcing a field goal attempt. Jim Mora's snarling visage pocked our television screens and Olindo Mare missed.

Seattle was eventually blown out, but I empathize with people who felt as if the game was a lot closer. For a little while, the game was close--in a way. Has Seattle disappeared into its locker room following the illegal procedure penalty and a far superior team reemerged and finished the drive, that ringer Seahawks squad could have easily overtaken the Raiders and won handily. The Raiders did not look like a great or dominating team.

That is exactly why this was a blow out though, and such a discouraging one. Oakland didn't put it away. Seattle did have its chances. Oakland didn't run Seattle off the field until the fourth. A better team could have easily overcome the Raiders two score advantage and won. But an average team was already in dire straits. And the 2010 Seahawks saw rough waters along the bay and promptly scuttled the ship, life rafts in tow.

Lets finish out the second and then cover the remaining meaningful portion of the game. I will break down every offensive snaps until Seattle fell behind by 23 in the fourth quarter, the Raiders win probability reached 99%, and the game was effectively over. Then I will finish with conclusions, and maybe offer some solutions.

2-15- (1:59) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass incomplete short left to 87-B.Obomanu (21-N.Asomugha).

Defenders on the line: 8

Defenders within five: 9

Defenders withing six/10: 10

It isn't often I watch tape and feel smart, but this play and a play that occurred in the Seahawks following drive, made me feel kind of smart. It was like remedial coloring all over again, and I was the last to eat my peppermint crayon.

Seattle retains seven blockers. Hasselbeck, the old West Coast wonk, really seems to struggle when his potential targets are limited. Retaining six and seven blockers is a real and debilitating reaction to poor offensive line play. It may not be as debilitating for all quarterbacks, but it certainly seems to bring out the worst in Hasselbeck. Matt more than anyone should hope for a speedy and complete recovery for Russell Okung.

The play develops on the left, and I would wager there is one good read: Brandon Stokley running a speed out, ten yards deep. Stokes is in the slot, and Ben Obomanu is split wide left. Obo is matched against Nnamdi Asomugha, and Stokley is matched against Stanford Routt. Obomanu is pressed and then smothered running a curl route, and Slot Machine is open running a speed out.

Star-divide

Vlcsnap-2010-11-05-15h12m41s242_medium

But Hasselbeck targets Obomanu. He throws flat footed and a bad read is coupled with a worse throw. As I mentioned yesterday, continually harping on Hasselbeck's failing arm strength has a way of absolving his mistakes. This wasn't a good read undone by a duck. This was a bad read, poorly executed and possibly saved from interception by an errant pass.

3-15- (1:56) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass incomplete short left to 20-J.Forsett.

Defenders on the line: 7

Defenders within five: 9

Carlson motions into split backs and stays in to block. Justin Forsett attempts to run an out towards the left flat, but gets held up by Rolando McClain, and that disrupts the timing of the route. Hasselbeck tosses towards where he thinks Forsett should be and the pass falls incomplete. The pass, regardless of Forsett's positioning, looks low and short.

(Raiders grant a do over)

1-10-SEA 45 (:40) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short left to 15-B.Stokley pushed ob at OAK 42 for 13 yards (24-M.Huff).

Defenders on the line: 7

Defenders withing five: 9

That route combination I was so sure was designed to decoy Asomugha and free Stokley, Seattle runs it again, substituting Mike Williams for Obomanu. This time, Hasselbeck targets Stokley and Stokley receives for 13.

Es-em-a-tee.

1-10-OAK 42 (:35) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass short middle to 20-J.Forsett to OAK 33 for 9 yards (34-M.Mitchell).

Seattle had Walter Jones in 2007, and Jones and Rob Sims, Chris Spencer, hoary Chris Gray and yet unbroken Sean Locklear constituted a pretty good line. Mike Holmgren always spread the field, the traditional WC guy he was, and Hasselbeck built a passing offense out of short passes to Maurice Morris, Leonard Weaver, Bobby Engram and Marcus Pollard. It was a good time for Seahawks fans and GBV joke enthusiasts the world over. As uninspiring as that collection of talent may seem, each of the above was strikingly valuable per target, ranging from 12.7% (Engram) to 25.7% (Pollard). How did he do it? Volume and ease of targets.

So this play was kind of mind blowing, if you will.

Defenders on the line: 6

Defenders within five: 9

No additional blockers. Five routes, including the "in" run by Forsett that Matt completed like so:

Vlcsnap-2010-11-05-15h32m10s175_medium

I'm not going to gush about phony heroics on the football field. This was pretty ballsy, but heroic? But here's a question I can't shake: how much better would Hasselbeck be if Seattle could consistently spread the field with five receivers? This play involved only five blockers, and before Forsett could finish a ten-yard "in" route, the line had collapsed on Hasselbeck like a mouse trap. He Favre'd it to Force for nine, but passes like the above are high risk propositions. We know it's out of Matt's character.

I don't buy into the magical power of an offensive line to make or ruin a quarterback, but what if Hasselbeck is only capable of being good, 2007-good, when he has multiple reads and a more favorable ratio between defenders and receivers? What if, right. Maybe we'll find out after he signs with the Browns.

Moving on.

2-1-OAK 33 (:28) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass incomplete deep right to 81-G.Tate (23-J.Ware).

Defenders within five: 10

Defenders within 10: 11

Marshall rushes eight. Eight. Eight. Eight. Christ do I not miss that guy.

Golden Tate is matched one-on-one against Jeremy Ware. Because pressure is pretty much never instantaneous, and a quarterback almost always has time to throw -- however much people want to warp reality to give the offensive line supernatural powers of failure -- Matt is able to loft it high towards Tate running up the right sideline. He throws flat footed, which is something I notice he does quite a bit, and it's a slow, hanging pass, but accurate. Tate high points it and receives but the heel of his left foot falls out of bounds as he lands. Incomplete.

Eight.

3-1-OAK 33 (:23) (Shotgun) 8-M.Hasselbeck pass incomplete short right to 81-G.Tate

Defenders within five: 9

Defenders within 10: 11

Matt is pissed. Not to profile, but given the parties involved, I assume Tate ran the wrong route.

Raiders show blitz but rush only five. Seattle retains seven. Tate runs a curl in the right flat, and Hasselbeck targets as if throwing to a fade. It falls incomplete.

Matt is pissed.

I am starting to understand why.

Comment 23 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I want Golden to succeed slightly more than I want someone to punch him in the face.

What is the probability that he is playing while ripped every single week (except this one obviously)?

by DJ C-Raig on Nov 5, 2010 4:23 PM PDT reply actions  

This I absolutely agree with, and can't see why the Seahawks don't seem to:

" Hasselbeck, the old West Coast wonk, really seems to struggle when his potential targets are limited. Retaining six and seven blockers is a real and debilitating reaction to poor offensive line play."

As a result of his limited arm strength and barely-functional offensive line, Hass needs to be able to get up to the line pre-snap and figure out where his mismatches and soft zones are BEFORE the play. It’s just so much easier. Holmgren saw it and went all West Coast Run N Shoot back in 2007, and we marched up and down the field.

I understand that the coaching staff wants to run the ball out of standard formations, but we’re at the point where I can’t see us succeeding without spreading the field.

by djafrot on Nov 5, 2010 4:40 PM PDT reply actions  

They appeared to have every intention of starting him this season

and they haven’t done much to put him in a position to succeed. I don’t think they’ve put him in a position to fail, either, but it seems like they could’ve tailored the offense to his strength better.

by Nate Dogg on Nov 5, 2010 4:52 PM PDT up reply actions  

Well, I think injuries to the line are the reason more blockers are staying in.

Perhaps the offense was tailored as much as they could initially, but once the line got banged up, all you could do to help him is protect him more, and that means less patterns being run, fewer options.

Bird Law in this country isn't governed by reason.

by Tyler Jorgensen on Nov 5, 2010 8:28 PM PDT up reply actions  

I know Holmgren's system relies on precise route running

I wonder how much Bates’ does? If Matt is having problems with WR’s not running great routes, it may be an issue that doesn’t affect Charlie (or the QBotF) as much.

I think Matt could probably succeed somewhere else in a Holmgren-esque pure WCO, but may just be a bad fit for a Bates/Knapp vertical offense. I know the question was raised earlier in the year whether Matt was a bad fit for Bates’ offense and they denied it, but it may just be the truth. While Bates tries to plan around his players as much as he can, he may just not be able to effectively plan around a guy with Hasselbeck’s strengths and weaknesses.

by Greetings from the Lord Humongous! on Nov 5, 2010 5:06 PM PDT reply actions  

And I credit Cutler's early success to the Bates/Shanahan offense

I think Bates can probably be more successful than he has been if he were able to put a bigger-armed, more-mobile QB under center.

by Greetings from the Lord Humongous! on Nov 5, 2010 5:07 PM PDT up reply actions  

some that looks like Jesus perhaps?

From The Hawks Nest - Seahawks Podcast
http://www.http://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/from-the-hawks-nest/id385227705

by Hancock.Brett on Nov 5, 2010 5:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

someone*

From The Hawks Nest - Seahawks Podcast
http://www.http://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/from-the-hawks-nest/id385227705

by Hancock.Brett on Nov 5, 2010 5:57 PM PDT up reply actions  

That's good to know

Sucks that Golden Tate is taking so long with a NFL playbook. It’s understandable why he was inactive for so many games. I mean it’s good that he’s getting some experience now, but at what cost? Next year should be his year.

by B.B.Finnegan on Nov 5, 2010 7:17 PM PDT up reply actions  

Rookie WRs seldom produce very much

I’m not sure if his deactivation this week was due to injury or mistakes last week, but that would be only the second week he was deactivated this year.

by Greetings from the Lord Humongous! on Nov 5, 2010 7:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

Agreed, look at the 2009 draft class

Britt, Butler, Crabtree, Heyward-Bey, Harvin, Maclin, Nicks, Collie, Brandon Tate.

A lot of those guys are having great years this year, and we’re seeing flashes from Butler. But, you didn’t hear a lot about them last year.

by Ovreel on Nov 6, 2010 9:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hahah.

I have no idea what you’re quoting, but it seems to be a complete synopsis of 21st century comedy: unicorns, passive-agressive homophobia, and a funny dialect.

by djafrot on Nov 5, 2010 8:16 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

This is an amazing comment.

Thank you :)

Every time you masturbate... God kills a kitten? Fuck kittens.

by Matt Erickson on Nov 5, 2010 8:33 PM PDT up reply actions  

So far, I agree with most reasons for our offensive failings.

My observations from before this series began in depth were:

1. Offensive line. Healthy Okung at LT is great. Other than Spencer there is really not another capable starter.
2. Lack of quality and/or experienced receiving targets, particularly at WR. Check.
3. Limited playbook/play-calling due to Hasselbeck’s limitations at this age, physical ability Check.
4. Said QB, Matt Hasselbeck. Check.

Block for Charlie Whitehurst. Everyone.

by Misfit74 on Nov 5, 2010 8:38 PM PDT reply actions  

Aw come on

making Hasselbeck count for two failures is just unfair.

Why can't my higher than average expectations ever be met in the football world? Why?

by Cheddar28 on Nov 6, 2010 10:32 AM PDT up reply actions  

I disagree, but should be more detailed about it.

Thankfully, John is detailing the crap out of most that list.

Part is the limited physical ability and resulting limited plays/playbook and part is his decision-making. He has trouble trusting his own throws, the plays run for him, and his reads. I would also add that he’s lacking trust in his receivers, but I can’t say that’s on Matt. They probably have yet to earn his trust.

Block for Charlie Whitehurst. Everyone.

by Misfit74 on Nov 6, 2010 1:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

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