Injury Report and the Two Edges of a Seemingly Dominant Matchup
Below the jump is the final injury report for this week's contest. I copy and pasted it from Niners Nation, formatting and all. Thank you, Fooch.
Starting left tackle Joe Staley is out with a broken fibula. Barry Sims and Adam Snyder are being considered as fill-ins. Though it doesn't help San Francisco to be without their starting left tackle, it might not hurt them too much either. Instead of allowing Sims or Snyder to fail and fail and fail, the 49ers will likely pair its tackles with a tight end and motion to account for Seattle's Leo end. It's the same strategy every opponent of recent has done, but San Francisco has extra incentive to game plan against Seattle's lopsided front seven.
The other way to protect a substitute tackle is to run the football. Specifically, when dealing with a dominant edge rusher that struggles to hold the point, teams run at that edge rusher. Teams have done it forever against Dwight Freeney, but Freeney was protected by an offense that could force the opposing offense into passing. And so Freeney, a bit of a one-trick pony, is on his way to Canton.
With Alex Smith starting and Joe Staley out, we can anticipate the 49ers to build their offense off running the football. San Francisco's win against Denver provides a pretty good model for San Francisco's run-pass balance. Like Seattle, Denver is one of the worst teams in football at defending the run. The Broncos played with a lead for most of the game, but the point differential stayed closed and San Francisco continued pounding the rock. They scored three touchdowns in the fourth quarter and put the game away. The 49ers had run 42 times and passed only 19.
San Francisco started Frank Gore against the Broncos. Gore is now on injured reserve. Brian Westbrook and Anthony Dixon do not seem on the surface like a particularly special duo of backs, but it might not matter that much. If San Francisco can move the chains and stay close or play with a lead, they will likely stick with the ground game in hopes that something eventually breaks. It's an old school model embraced by a lot of defense first teams, and though passing may be the best way to win on a macro level, given home field advantage, a shaky pass game, a still strong defense and an opponent that has proven it cannot stop the run, San Francisco has every reason to embrace the conservative, run-first model until Seattle forces them to stop.
The point is, the injury to Joe Staley might take a critical mismatch, Seattle's inability to defend runs behind the tackles and off the edges, and make it a fundamental part of the 49ers' game plan. So, the team on the whole isn't better, but it might just play better than expected against Seattle.
If Seattle can build a lead, Clemons can feast on tackle kabobs and become the first Seahawk since Patrick Kerney to record double digit sacks. That would be preferable, no doubt. If only the offense can protect the defense, build a lead and force San Francisco out of their game plan.
49ers
Out
OT Joe Staley (fibula)
K Joe Nedney (right knee)
Doubtful
CB William James (concussion)
RB DeShawn Wynn (ankle)
Questionable
CB William James (concussion)
CB Nate Clements (knee)
NT Aubrayo Franklin (groin)
LB Parys Haralson (ankle)
Probable
T Anthony Davis (back)
WR Josh Morgan (shoulder)
CB Shawntae Spencer (quadricep)
LB Takeo Spikes (ankle)
TE Delanie Walker (ankle)
RB Brian Westbrook (not injury related)
Seahawks
Doubtful
OT Chester Pitts (ankle)
Questionable
WR Ben Obomanu (hand)
WR Mike Williams (ankle)
Probable
TE John Carlson (hip)
DE Chris Clemons (ankle)
DT Colin Cole (ankle)
QB Matt Hasselbeck (left wrist)
CB Roy Lewis (knee)
LB Matt McCoy (head)
LB Lofa Tatupu (knee)
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This game is easy to predict
If the Niners run for 125 or more they’ll win the game, possibly blow Seattle out. If the Niners can’t run and Alex Smith is forced to pass the ball a lot, the Seahawks should win. That’s been the case for the last 4 years.
Sadly I expect the Niners to run roughshod on us.
Accustomed to mediocrity.
I doubt it. We are getting Cole back, which already beefs up our line up the middle.
San Fran’s philosophy behind putting Alex in at QB was based on the fact that he understands the offense better than Troy. Likewise, from the posts at NN, it seems Singletary feels that Westbrook and Dixon does not necessarily match up the workload/flexibility Gore gave, so I’m expecting the 49ers to pass more than usual.
I expect a lot of pressure blitzes this week, due to the fact that 49ers are missing their left tackle and that they too will likely run alot. John mentioned that they might put in a TE to strengthen the weak side but I believe that Singletary will likely use Davis more as a receiver.
Also, Johnson might run alot of screens and draw plays to throw us off-balance. Lofa and crew needs to make their coverages well, while the front line, especially Mebane and Cole, cannot over penetrate the LOS, sacrificing pressure for leverage.
I am the master of my fate; I am the captain of my soul - Invictus
I'd like to hear about how Special Teams match up in this game, too.
I think they’ll again be a serious key to victory and I definitely like Leon Washington over Tedd Ginn, Jr but it obviously doesn’t stop there.
...
A handfull of plays will decide this game
If Earl Thomas can make 2 of them we got the upper hand.
Won't keeping a TE in mean Alex losing his best receiver?
I’m fine with Davis being forced to stay in and block, or at least fake blocking (or chipping) en route to a pass pattern. Anything to slow the guy down. Crabtree and Morgan are good, but getting balls more than ten yards downfield isn’t Smith’s specialty.
If it’s not Davis, and they have to bring in another TE in a double-tight set, that takes either an FB or a WR out of the pattern, making things even harder for Smith.
We run a double tight end set quite often
Having Delanie Walker and Vernon Davis on the field at the same time creates mismatches galore, and seems to help our team.
by thatguywiththebeardandthebanjo on Dec 11, 2010 11:55 AM PST up reply actions
Agreed
Dude would be a starter on any other team… Some people over at ninersnation have suggested starting him at wide receiver…. also how many tight ends do you know of that can be used as a kick returner???
by thatguywiththebeardandthebanjo on Dec 11, 2010 2:03 PM PST up reply actions
Surprised you didn't mention Franklin's status
He appears to be as “questionable” as mike Williams. If he’s out, which appears likely, the Seahawks offense shouldn’t have a ton of trouble putting up points.
"Pass rushers enter the world of Okung but never leave." - JM
Author of The Seahawks Asylum: http://seahawksblog.wordpress.com
by Nick Andron on Dec 11, 2010 9:04 AM PST via mobile reply actions
Williams and Obomanu out?
If Matt is missing two of his top receiving targets, our offense will be less likely to put point on the board early. Fewer points for us means that San Francisco is more likely to stick with their run-first offensive plan. Bummer.
This game should tell us a lot about our coaching staff .
The second matchup against a divisional opponent allows for some really in depth scheming because the coaches have game tape from the previous matchup to work with.
I was really impressed with the game plan Bates drew up for our second game with the Cardinals. The Seahawks offense never really got on track against the Cardinals in the first game, and Hasselbeck said they threw a lot of strange looks at him. But in the second game in Arizona, Bates and Hasselbeck really seemed prepared to go after the Cardinals weaknesses. In retrospect, the Cardinals may be the worst team in football, so it’s hard to know just how much of that strong offensive showing was game planning.
As far as the 49ers defense goes, their over aggressive secondary was consistently burned by double moves at Qwest. I wonder if they’ll be more disciplined this time around, and give up more stuff underneath?
I know zero about SF's depth chart-
but I’m seeing a bunch of corners on that injury list. How “questionable” are Clements and James? Could this mean easier pickings for our wideouts? Probably would’ve be a great game to have a healthy BMW and Obo…
Are Obo and BMW out?
Just following the team’s chatter on Twitter, doesn’t seem like BMW is on the plane with them.
It's STILL great to be a Florida Gator!
How many coaches did sing fire this week?
Put them on the injury report as KIA. The staff is in open revolt.
They will tank this game.

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