Offensive Tackle Draft Classes, NFLDraftScout and PFR

The Seahawks may or may not be in the market for an Offensive Tackle prospect early in the upcoming 2010 NFL Draft. I've been curious as anyone to trudge through various information throughout the Internet to formulate my own ideas about which prospects are worthy of any/all of our three picks in the draft's top 60 players. Ever tired of mock drafts and video clips from charismatic suit-types, I decided to go to a trusty old standby. A site that seems to yield the best set of prospect by position rankings that I really have yet to find elsewhere: NFLDraftScout.com. But, the question remains: how accurate could these rankings be?

I've attempted an mild investigation regarding how this year's offensive tackle class is ranked according to the site, as well as a look at the rankings from the past 10 drafts as it relates to draft position. The data includes NFLDraftScout's rank of each top OT (roughly top 5 or so), player name, school, round drafted and the overall pick number, along with a few brief notes.

Note: I've referred to this site for a few years now and trusted it more than most. It is a site that John sometimes links to, so I sense that many are probably familiar with it already.

If you are not familiar, I've included a link or two. One of the keys is getting by the re-direction to the CBS version of the site. Maybe it's just me, but I like the old-school version much, much better. When it switched to CBS I was crushed, but someone (John, I believe) told me a solution: just do a search for a player like this: Google: <jahvid best nfldraftscout> . Bingo! Searching for a specific player will provide links to use as a way to circumvent said re-direction.

Here is another working link: (regular view) http://www.nfldraftscout.com/ratings/players.php?genpos=OT&draftyear=2010&sortby=tsxpos&order=ASC

and (probe view) http://www.nfldraftscout.com/ratings/probe.php?genpos=OT&draftyear=2010&sortorder=tsxpos&order=ASC

To continue, one of the things I wanted to get from this is a feel for they type of player(s) we could add to our team at OT via the 2010 draft. I wanted to see how accurate the site's rankings might be. I wanted to get a feel for where we should spend our picks in order to solve at least one OT spot and how long we could potentially wait. I followed the NFLDraftScout rankings/draft-position history information with a separate spreadsheet with data collected from PFR (Pro-Football Reference) that shows draft history from 1989-2009, again with regard to our 6, 14, and 60 selections. How much talent will be there at 60? Can we wait that long? Is it imperative that we draft an OT at 6: is the talent that much better? Mainly, I was following my own curiosity. I figured I'd share it and maybe learn some more, pick up some things from others I may not have seen.

Here is the data:

Draft Year	Offensive Tackle	School	Round	Pick	Notes
NDS RNK	Ranked via NFLDraftScout		Drafted	Overall
1999
#1	John Tait	BYU	1	14
#2	Matt Stinchcomb	Georgia	1	18
#3	L.J. Shelton	E.Michigan	1	21
#4	Aaron Gibson	Wisconsin	1	27
#5	Luke Petitgout	ND	1	19	Should have made list:
#6	Jon Jansen	Michigan	2	37	Travis Claridge (2, 37)
2000
#1	Chris Samuels	Alabama	1	3
#2	Chris McIntosh	Wisconsin	1	22
#3	Marvel Smith	ASU	2	38
#4	Stocker McDougle	Oklahoma	1	20
#5	Chad Clifton	Tennessee	2	44	Should have missed:
#6	Todd Wade	Mississippi	2	53	Wade went after Klemm (2,46), Coleman (2, 51)
2001
#1	Leonard Davis	Texas	1	2	Listed as OG
#2	Jeff Backus	Michigan	1	18	Hutchinson was the #3 OL drafted (1,17)
#3	Kenyatta Walker	Florida	1	14
#4	Matt Light	Purdue	2	48
#5	Jonas Jennings	Georgia	3	95	Should have missed. add Kareem McKenzie (3,79)
#6	Maurice Williams	Michigan	2	43
2002
#1	Bryant McKinnie	Miami	1	7
#2	Mike Williams	Texas	1	4
#3	Mike Pearson	Florida	2	40
#4	Marc Colombo	BC	1	29
#5	Levi Jones	ASU	1	10
#6	Langston Walker	Cal	2	53	Should have missed, add Chester Pitts (2,50)
2003
#1	Jordan Gross	Utah	1	8
#2	Kwame Harris	Stanford	1	26
#3	George Foster	Georgia	1	20
#4	Jon Stinchcomb	Georgia	2	37
#5	Wayne Hunter	Hawaii	3	73
#6	Brett Williams	FSU	4	113
2004
#1	Robert Gallery	Iowa	1	2
#2	Shawn Andrews	Arkansas	1	16
#3	Kelly Butler	Purdue	6	172	who? Should have missed.
#4	Jacob Rogers	USC	2	52	3 Guards were selected in round 2 along with Rodgers
#5	Max Starks	Florida	3	75
#6	Nat Dorsey	GT	4	115
2005
#1	Alex Barron	FSU	1	19	Logan Mankins, Guard, 1,32
#2	Khalif Barnes	UW	2	52
#3	Jammal Brown	Oklahoma	1	13
#4	Adam Terry	Syracuse	2	64
#5	Michael Roos	E.Washington	2	41
#6	Chris Colmer	NC St.	3	91	Nick Kaczur notable, (3,100)
2006
#1	D'Brickashaw Ferguson	Virginia	1	4
#2	Winston Justice	USC	2	39
#3	Marcus McNeil	Auburn	2	50
#4	Eric Winston	Miami	3	66
#5	Daryn Colledge	Boise St.	2	47
2007
#1	Joe Thomas	Wisconsin	1	3
#2	Levi Brown	PSU	1	5
#3	Joe Staley	Central Michigan	1	28
#4	Tony Ugoh	Arkansas	2	42
#5	Doug Free	Norther Illinois	4	122	should have missed
#6	Ryan Harris	ND	3	70	add: Marshall Yanda (3,86)
2008
#1	Jake Long	Michigan	1	1
#2	Ryan Clady	Boise St.	1	12
#3	Chris Williams	Vandy	1	14
#4	Jeff Otah	Pitt.	1	15
#5	Gosder Cherilus	BC	1	17
#6	Sam Baker	USC	1	21
#7	Duane Brown	VT	1	26	add: Branden Albert (1,15) rated as the #1 Guard
2009
#1	Jason Smith	Baylor	1	6	Starter at RT as rookie for Rams
#2	Eugene Monroe	Virginia	1	8	Split with Tra Thomas at LT as rookie for Jaguars
#3	Andre Smith	Alabama	1	21	Played, did not start as rookie for Bengals
#4	Michael Oher	Ole Miss	1	23	Started at both RT and LT for Ravens as rookie
#5	Eben Britton	Arizona	2	39	16-game starter, outplayed Monroe for Jaguars
#6	Phil Loadholt	Oklahoma	2	54	Started 17 of Vikings 18 games rookie season

2009*	*Other Noteables (picks/players drafted last year within our range of early picks in 2010)
#10	Sebastian Vollmer, OT	Houston	2	58	Started 8 games, 5 LT, 3 RT for Patriots
#7	William Beatty, OT	Conneticut	2	60	Played RT for Giants, possible starting LT in '10
#1 C	Alex Mack, C	Cal	1	21	Starting C for Browns
#2 C	Eric Wood, C	Louisville	1	28	Combined with Levitre for 26 starts for Bills
#3 C	Max Unger, G/C	Oregon	2	49	picked before Vollmer, Beatty, and Loadholt
#3 OG	Andy Levitre, G	Oregon St.	2	51	Combined with Levitre for 26 starts for Bills

Here, if you want to take a look at all the Offensive Tackles drafted since 1989, picks 1-60 (within our early round range that includes picks 6, 14, and 60). This data is from the site pro-football-reference.com . Again, I found it interesting to get a feel for the players who historically could be had at or around each of our draft slots in 2010.

Rk	Year	Rnd	Pick ?		Pos	Tm	From	To	AP1	PB	St	CarAV	G	College/Univ
1	1997	1	1	Orlando Pace	T	STL	1997	2009	3	7	12	101	170	Ohio State
2	2008	1	1	Jake Long	T	MIA	2008	2009	0	2	2	24	32	Michigan
3	2001	1	2	Leonard Davis	T	ARI	2001	2009	0	3	9	59	139	Texas
4	1995	1	2	Tony Boselli	T	JAX	1995	2001	3	5	6	63	91	USC
5	2004	1	2	Robert Gallery	T	OAK	2004	2009	0	0	5	27	80	Iowa
6	2009	1	2	Jason Smith	T	STL	2009	2009	0	0	0	1	8	Baylor
7	1989	1	2	Tony Mandarich	T	GNB	1989	1998	0	0	4	27	86	Michigan State
8	2007	1	3	Joe Thomas	T	CLE	2007	2009	1	3	3	32	48	Wisconsin
9	2000	1	3	Chris Samuels	T	WAS	2000	2009	0	6	9	61	141	Alabama
10	2002	1	4	Mike D. Williams	T	BUF	2002	2009	0	0	4	23	59	Texas
11	2006	1	4	D'Brickashaw Ferguson	T	NYJ	2006	2009	0	1	4	29	64	Virginia
12	1996	1	4	Jonathan Ogden	T	BAL	1996	2007	4	11	12	101	177	UCLA
13	2007	1	5	Levi Brown	T	ARI	2007	2009	0	0	3	21	45	Penn State
14	1997	1	6	Walter Jones	T	SEA	1997	2008	4	9	12	96	180	Florida State
15	2009	1	6	Smith Andre	T	CIN			0	0	0			Alabama
16	1991	1	7	Charles McRae	T	TAM	1991	1996	0	0	2	18	83	Tennessee
17	1998	1	7	Kyle Turley	T	NOR	1998	2007	1	0	6	49	109	San Diego State
18	2002	1	7	Bryant McKinnie	T	MIN	2002	2009	0	1	8	54	116	Miami (FL)
19	2009	1	8	Eugene Monroe	T	JAX			0	0	0			Virginia
20	1993	1	8	Willie Roaf	T	NOR	1993	2005	3	11	12	110	189	Louisiana Tech
21	1992	1	8	Bob Whitfield	T	ATL	1992	2006	0	1	11	72	220	Stanford
22	1991	1	8	Antone Davis	T	PHI	1991	1997	0	0	6	37	97	Tennessee
23	2003	1	8	Jordan Gross	T	CAR	2003	2009	1	1	7	48	104	Utah
24	1990	1	9	Richmond Webb	T	MIA	1990	2002	2	7	12	100	184	Texas A&M
25	1993	1	9	Lincoln Kennedy	T	ATL	1993	2003	1	3	9	72	169	Washington
26	1992	1	10	Ray Roberts	T	SEA	1992	2000	0	0	8	42	127	Virginia
27	2002	1	10	Levi Jones	T	CIN	2002	2009	0	0	7	39	103	Arizona State
28	1996	1	10	Willie Anderson	T	CIN	1996	2008	3	4	12	89	195	Auburn
29	1998	1	11	Tra Thomas	T	PHI	1998	2009	0	3	11	67	174	Florida State
30	1992	1	11	Leon Searcy	T	PIT	1992	1999	0	1	7	53	126	Miami (FL)
31	1991	1	11	Pat Harlow	T	NWE	1991	1998	0	0	6	34	105	USC
32	2008	1	12	Ryan Clady	T	DEN	2008	2009	1	1	2	31	32	Boise State
33	1993	1	13	Brad Hopkins	T	HOU	1993	2005	0	2	13	73	194	Illinois
34	2005	1	13	Jammal Brown	T	NOR	2005	2008	1	2	4	38	58	Oklahoma
35	1994	1	14	Bernard Williams	T	PHI	1994	1994	0	0	1	7	16	Georgia
36	2008	1	14	Chris Williams	T	CHI	2008	2009	0	0	1	8	25	Vanderbilt
37	1999	1	14	John Tait	T	KAN	1999	2008	0	0	9	50	148	BYU
38	2001	1	14	Kenyatta Walker	T	TAM	2001	2006	0	0	5	29	75	Florida
39	1994	1	15	Wayne Gandy	T	RAM	1994	2008	0	0	13	67	219	Auburn
40	1989	1	15	Andy Heck	T	SEA	1989	2000	0	0	11	60	185	Notre Dame
41	1989	1	17	Joe Wolf	T	PHO	1989	1997	0	0	2	23	94	Boston College
42	2008	1	17	Gosder Cherilus	T	DET	2008	2009	0	0	2	11	31	Boston College
43	1993	1	18	Ernest Dye	T	PHO	1993	1997	0	0	2	10	50	South Carolina
44	2001	1	18	Jeff Backus	T	DET	2001	2009	0	0	9	47	144	Michigan
45	1999	1	19	Luke Petitgout	T	NYG	1999	2007	0	0	8	44	118	Notre Dame
46	2004	1	19	Vernon Carey	T	MIA	2004	2009	0	0	5	34	94	Miami (FL)
47	2005	1	19	Alex Barron	T	STL	2005	2009	0	0	5	27	76	Florida State
48	1994	1	19	Todd Steussie	T	MIN	1994	2007	0	2	12	75	212	California
49	1997	1	19	Tarik Glenn	T	IND	1997	2006	0	3	10	82	154	California
50	2008	1	19	Jeff Otah	T	CAR	2008	2009	0	0	2	12	25	Pittsburgh
51	2000	1	20	Stockar McDougle	T	DET	2000	2006	0	0	3	21	80	Oklahoma
52	2003	1	20	George Foster	T	DEN	2003	2008	0	0	4	30	68	Georgia
53	1999	1	21	L.J. Shelton	T	ARI	1999	2008	0	0	8	41	146	Eastern Michigan
54	2008	1	21	Sam Baker	T	ATL	2008	2009	0	0	1	11	22	USC
55	1991	1	22	Stan Thomas	T	CHI	1991	1994	0	0	0	7	56	Texas
56	2000	1	22	Chris McIntosh	T	SEA	2000	2001	0	0	1	7	24	Wisconsin
57	1989	1	23	David W. Williams	T	HOU	1989	1997	0	0	8	46	128	Florida
58	2009	1	23	Michael Oher	T	BAL	2009	2009	0	0	1	9	16	Mississippi
59	1995	1	24	Korey Stringer	T	MIN	1995	2000	0	1	6	45	93	Ohio State
60	1995	1	25	Billy Milner	T	MIA	1995	1996	0	0	1	8	29	Houston
61	2003	1	26	Kwame Harris	T	SFO	2003	2008	0	0	3	19	86	Stanford
62	2008	1	26	Duane Brown	T	HOU	2008	2009	0	0	2	17	32	Virginia Tech
63	1992	1	27	John Fina	T	BUF	1992	2002	0	0	9	49	155	Arizona
64	1998	1	27	Victor Riley	T	KAN	1998	2005	0	0	5	39	111	Auburn
65	1996	1	27	John Michels	T	GNB	1996	1997	0	0	1	9	24	USC
66	1999	1	27	Aaron Gibson	T	DET	2000	2004	0	0	2	14	38	Wisconsin
67	2007	1	28	Joe Staley	T	SFO	2007	2009	0	0	3	15	41	Central Michigan
68	2002	1	29	Marc Colombo	T	CHI	2002	2009	0	0	4	30	80	Boston College
69	1996	1	29	Jamain Stephens	T	PIT	1997	2001	0	0	1	7	39	North Carolina A&T
70	1995	1	29	Blake Brockermeyer	T	CAR	1995	2003	0	0	7	39	136	Texas
71	1997	1	30	Ross Verba	T	GNB	1997	2006	0	0	8	43	113	Iowa
72	1996	1	30	Andre T. Johnson	T	WAS	1997	1998	0	0	0	0	3	Penn State
73	1995	1	31	Trezelle Jenkins	T	KAN	1995	1997	0	0	0	1	9	Michigan
74	1992	2	32	Greg Skrepenak	T	RAI	1992	1997	0	0	4	22	68	Michigan
75	1999	2	34	Chris Terry	T	CAR	1999	2007	0	0	7	41	100	Georgia
76	1997	2	35	Juan Roque	T	DET	1997	1999	0	0	0	2	17	Arizona State
77	1998	2	36	Anthony Clement	T	ARI	1998	2007	0	0	6	36	128	La-Lafayette
78	2003	2	37	Jon Stinchcomb	T	NOR	2003	2009	0	1	4	36	74	Georgia
79	1999	2	37	Jon Jansen	T	WAS	1999	2009	0	0	8	50	137	Michigan
80	1997	2	37	Jerry Wunsch	T	TAM	1997	2004	0	0	3	25	112	Wisconsin
81	1998	2	38	Flozell Adams	T	DAL	1998	2009	0	5	11	75	182	Michigan State
82	2000	2	38	Marvel Smith	T	PIT	2000	2008	0	1	7	47	112	Arizona State
83	1989	2	38	Ralph Norwood	T	ATL	1989	1989	0	0	0	1	11	LSU
84	2006	2	39	Winston Justice	T	PHI	2007	2009	0	0	1	9	28	USC
85	1994	2	39	Marcus Spears	T	CHI	1996	2004	0	0	1	14	103	Northwest State (LA)
86	2009	2	39	Eben Britton	T	JAX	2009	2009	0	0	1	9	15	Arizona
87	2002	2	40	Mike Pearson	T	JAX	2002	2005	0	0	2	15	40	Florida
88	2005	2	41	Michael Roos	T	TEN	2005	2009	1	1	5	42	80	Eastern Washington
89	2007	2	42	Tony Ugoh	T	IND	2007	2009	0	0	2	16	37	Arkansas
90	2001	2	43	Maurice Williams	T	JAX	2001	2009	0	0	6	44	106	Michigan
91	2000	2	44	Chad Clifton	T	GNB	2000	2009	0	1	9	61	143	Tennessee
92	1998	2	47	Todd Weiner	T	SEA	1998	2008	0	0	7	46	152	Kansas State
93	2006	2	47	Daryn Colledge	T	GNB	2006	2009	0	0	4	30	64	Boise State
94	1997	2	48	Adam Meadows	T	IND	1997	2006	0	0	6	47	106	Georgia
95	2001	2	48	Matt Light	T	NWE	2001	2009	1	2	8	72	124	Purdue
96	1992	2	49	Troy Auzenne	T	CHI	1992	1996	0	0	2	17	61	California
97	2002	2	50	Chester Pitts	T	HOU	2002	2009	0	0	7	41	114	San Diego State
98	2006	2	50	Marcus McNeill	T	SDG	2006	2009	0	2	4	39	62	Auburn
99	2005	2	52	Khalif Barnes	T	JAX	2005	2009	0	0	4	32	66	Washington
100	2004	2	52	Jacob Rogers	T	DAL	2004	2004	0	0	0	0	2	USC
101	2000	2	53	Todd Wade	T	MIA	2000	2007	0	0	7	39	99	Mississippi
102	2002	2	53	Langston Walker	T	OAK	2002	2009	0	0	3	24	105	California
103	1995	2	54	Scott Gragg	T	NYG	1995	2005	0	0	9	56	171	Montana
104	2009	2	54	Phil Loadholt	T	MIN			0	0	0			Oklahoma
105	2006	2	55	Andrew Whitworth	T	CIN	2006	2009	0	0	4	27	58	LSU
106	1995	2	58	Barrett Brooks	T	PHI	1995	2005	0	0	4	26	118	Kansas State
107	2009	2	58	Sebastian Vollmer	T	NWE			0	0	0			Houston
108	2006	2	59	Jeremy Trueblood	T	TAM	2006	2009	0	0	4	23	63	Boston College
109	2008	2	59	Mike Pollak	T	IND	2008	2009	0	0	1	12	27	Arizona State
110	2009	2	60	William Beatty	T	NYG	2009	2009	0	0	0	3	16	Connecticut

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