My Final Word on the Bradford-Clausen Debate
Sam Bradford is the consensus best overall quarterback, and the first quarterback taken in any class is typically the best. My wholly amateur opinion is that Bradford will bust. The only edge I ever saw Bradford have over Jimmy Clausen, and it was slight, was arm strength. Whatever happened between his final snap and his pro day, Clausen looked bigger, stronger and stronger armed. Maybe he had a growth spurt. I don't know. It's weird.
Personally, I like that Clausen seems like a bit of a prick. His ego makes him work hard and makes him resilient. Clausen has done the media thing since he was in junior high. Bradford, by comparison, was not even a particularly attractive recruit out of high school. If not for Rhett Bomar stupidly violating NCAA rules, Bradford would not have started for the ridiculously talented Sooners.
Between Bomar and Bradford was a nobody named Paul Thompson. To quote his Wikipedia page, "Paul Thompson is now an Amway Global Affiliated Independent Business Owner." Thompson nevertheless completed 60.7% of his passes, and recorded a respectable 7.12 adjusted yards per attempt (no sacks included). Bradford dwarfed that, of course. His first season he recorded 9.15 adjusted yards per attempt. Thompson did a pretty beautiful job of keeping the seat warm, though. In his one year at Oklahoma, he severely outperformed Matt Ryan in his senior seasons. Both players finished 11-3 in games started. Ryan was interception prone, completed less than 60% of his passes and averaged only 6.06 adjusted yards per attempt.
I make this apples to oranges comparison to make a point: Ryan was his team's offense. Boston College had some line talent, but little else. Clausen is in somewhat the same boat: He had some receiving talent, but not a whole lot else. Clausen's stats are more clean. Bradford's stats are influenced by, among other things, his reliance on yards after catch. The spread offense boosts yards after catch and yards after catch is more dependent on receiver than quarterback - at least in the pros.
My red flags for quarterback are a bit different than others. Spread offense counts, but that's near universal. I worry less about dropping back or throwing a pro-style route tree and more about yards after catch. It's not that the former do not matter, they do, but the latter is what makes players like Bradford and Colt McCoy seem like world beaters when, to me, they look like the college equivalent of a game manager. They do not make many tough throws. They distribute and allow the surrounding talent to do something.
My red flags for Sam Bradford are as follow:
1. Two year starter.
2. Low level high school recruit.
3. Incredible surrounding talent.
4. Weak schedule.
5. Lopsided wins/few opportunities to lead come back.
6. No history of failure.
7. Injuries.
8. Pocket presence.
9. Personality.
That last one might be a bit controversial, but again, I have my own sort of standards. I don't like what I see in Bradford in interviews. I do not like that Bradford sat behind Paul Thompson without so much, that I know of, as a fight. When his college coach benched Matt Hasselbeck, Hasselbeck threw a fit. Competitive fire, it's important. Bradford looks nervous. He looks misfit. He doesn't look like a star, but a spectator taking in what must be an overwhelming series of events.
I write all this because we are nearing the draft and I find myself as bewildered about a first overall pick as I have been since JaMarcus Russell was selected first overall in 2007. What really spins my head though is that the Rams are likely to draft Bradford even though a clearly superior quarterback prospect is available.
By comparison:
1. Clausen started three seasons, never sat behind anyone, and would have started his senior season had he stayed.
2. Clausen was a five star recruit.
3. Average to poor surrounding talent.
4. Weak schedule.
5. Led multiple comeback wins.
6. Toughed it out on a crappy Notre Dame team.
7. Suffered turf toe, but played through it and had his best season.
8. Moves well in the pocket and buys time.
9. Seems like a regular, dislikable, alpha-male type quarterback prospect.
Clausen isn't perfect, like Clausen and like most quarterback prospects, he faced a weak run of defenses, but according to my criteria, it looks like Clausen is both overwhelmingly the safer pick and the player with better potential. The Rams are committed to taking a quarterback, but why Bradford? It seems self defeating to me. It seems predestined. It seems irrational and likely to fail.
Anyway, all this is just sort of my attempt at a time capsule of opinion. Eventually, we will know who is the better player, even if we can never for sure know who was the better prospect. I think Seattle should draft Clausen. I think it's 100% the right move, and I've only restrained myself from a full on crusade because I think the move is so unlikely. I spent quite a bit of my own free time reviewing the two quarterbacks. Bradford was the center of an amazing offense, but I think, a lesser part of it. Clausen is reminiscent of Ryan.
Sometimes one just has to be clear about where they stand. I am not going to rake the new administration over the coals if they do not select Clausen, though it may be the most destructive move possible, and may rob Seattle from its best chance to draft a top quarterback for years to come (this team will bounce back), because what little humility I can muster tells me that it isn't fair to the people in charge, and depends on the assumption that I can accomplish more with a little game film and a little time than a multimillion dollar operation can accomplish*, but screw it. It's my opinion. Clausen is not only a superior prospect to Bradford, but the single most valuable prospect in this class.
*It doesn't actually, though this is a common complaint. It only assumes that my standards are better fit for projecting a modern quarterback prospect that those used by a front office. All the resources in the world do not mean a thing if the organization is asking the wrong questions.
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To help make this final, we'll get to talk about the 2010 schedule, tomorrow & Wednesday,
if we’re geeky enough to fill up 2 days, and then get to sit back and wait for Thursday night to come.
I'm with you on nearly all of this.
I only differ in that I think the two biggest flags on Bradford are the pocket presence, and the coaches reading the defense for him. And I had no idea of the history and the Rhett Bomar stuff, so thanks for the backdrop.
agreed.
Great write-up, John.
These are going to be a long several days.
It's Great to be a Florida Gator!
My draft hopes:
#6-Jimmy Clausen #14-Charles Brown #60-Major Wright
by Wayward Llama on Apr 19, 2010 3:14 PM PDT up reply actions
But, but..
What about all of our other holes? And Whitehurst and all the money that would tie up at QB?
Though they sink through the Sea, they shall rise again...Death shall have no dominion...
I rather have too much tied up at QB than LB
And plus Hasselbeck is most likely gone after this season. I think Paul Allen can handle that.
this year isn't capped so it wouldn't matter until the next year
the main question is what do we do with Teel, put him on the practice squad until someone goes on injured reserve?
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 9:45 AM PDT up reply actions
I would like to request that no one ever says we shouldn't draft Jimmy Clausen
For financial reasons ever again.
Quarterback is the most important position on the entire football team. You cannot overpay for a franchise QB. Period.
And the other reason that point is invalid is because we wouldn’t have much money tied up at all. This is Hasselbeck’s last year, and Whitehurst only has one more year, and he’s only $5 million per year at most anyways! Saying that we shouldn’t draft Jimmy Clausen because it would tie up too much money in the QB position is silly, because this is an uncapped year, and we can just let Hasselbeck go next year. That is just not a valid argument.
But if we draft Clausen there will be a 3-way QB competition come training camp
Which is a bad thing. Yes, the Seahawks can afford to keep Hasselbeck and Whitehurst and Clausen, but they won’t. They just won’t. Rookie QBs are not guaranteed to sit at least a year, and I think Carroll will give him and Whitehurst every chance to start….but there only so many snaps to give before the season starts. Hasselbeck will be the odd man out, and the Seahawks might want to do the honorable thing and move him to a better opportunity rather than just string him along.
One QB will win that battle, and the Seahawks will have two expensive backups. I cannot foresee them doing that. Drafting Jimmy Clausen means saying goodbye to Matt Hasselbeck….which might actually be the smart thing to do.
Most teams keep 3 qb's all season
It’s not a big deal. Barring injury, it’s most likely Hass will be the starter. Whitehurst will most likely be the backup, Clausen gets a year to learn. The only wildcard is if Clausen does really well in training camp and preseason, but that would be a great problem to have. And if there was ever a year to keep three expensive ones, it’d be this year.
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 19, 2010 11:06 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I think the Seahawks would rather keep Teel than Hasselbeck in that scanrio
Just my opinion; I might be wrong.
A QB battle isn't a bad thing - Matt is pretty competitive and may have a resurgence
If we got Clausen he would be penciled in at 3 and may work his way up to 2, so basically Whitehurst gets a raise to move 2000 miles north and have the same job.
If Whitehurst or Clausen wins the job then what most of the league already assumes about Matt being done is confirmed, he can sit the year and get a good paycheck or he can walk, but I don’t think they would cut him.
I wish Cops was on...
by Generzal Zod on Apr 21, 2010 11:09 AM PDT up reply actions
He's not a franchise QB yet.
But fine.
Though they sink through the Sea, they shall rise again...Death shall have no dominion...
You've got to look at "all the money" from the proper perspective.
Something has bothered me about the Whitehurst contract for a while now. I can’t quite put my finger on it, but I think it’s best expressed thusly: A 2 year, $8 Million contract doesn’t smell like a starter-in-waiting contract. It smells more like an expensive insurance policy to me. If they’re really sold on his future prospects, why just a two year contract?
I can’t find any details on the terms or contract breakdown, but in this uncapped year, it could very well be that Carrol/Schneider decided to spend a big wad of Paul Allen’s money this year to buy themselves options. Something tells me the contract is structured in such a way that they won’t bat an eyelash at cutting Whitehurst next year….if that becomes possible. Notice I didn’t write “necessary”.
Here’s my reading of the tea leaves: Carrol has two long-term problems to solve: 1) Who’s going to be the experienced backup to Hass for the next year or two, and 2) Who’s going to be the long-term starter after Hass is gone? Carrol knew Seneca Wallace was not the franchise’s future full-time starter, so why keep him and jam the spot that the future starter should be holding? He wants to draft Clausen as Hass’s heir apparent. But he couldn’t fritter away the free agency season just assuming he would be able to land Clausen in the draft.
By signing Whitehurst in the way they did, they can really have their cake and eat it too. If they land Clausen, cutting Whitehurst doesn’t hurt anything but Paul Allen’s checkbook (uncapped year). If they don’t get Clausen, they’ve sufficiently stroked Whitehurst’s hair….er ego….so as to convince him to work hard every day at earning his destiny as starter.
And, by pouring the amount of money they did into Whithurst, they may also have gained the benefit of a pseudo draft day smokescreen: “They’ll never draft Clausen, they’ve put too much money and draft capital into acquiring Whitehurst. He’s their future starter.”
by KHF on Apr 20, 2010 7:45 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
I've been kinda thinking that same thing
It sounds reasonable. A 2year 8 mil contract doesn’t say you’re our future, it says you’ll get your shot to be our future. I don’t think Carrol could hedge his bet and assume Clausen will be there at 6, so they got what they could just in case. Now, if Clausen is there, I don’t what they’ll really do. But it makes sense.
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 21, 2010 8:57 AM PDT up reply actions
Also Carroll likes to have a lot of options at QB.
Even if they draft Clausen injuries happen and someone comes in and will have to play. 4 million a year isn’t bad use of space for a guy who can serve as a reliable back up well after next year if Clausen becomes the future QB of the franchise.
I wish Cops was on...
by Generzal Zod on Apr 21, 2010 11:14 AM PDT up reply actions
So John, what do you figure is driving Bradford as the #1 guy?
And at the same time, causing many writers and “experts” to claim Clausen isn’t even first round material?
You make a very good argument, both for Clausen being better and (in the past) for us taking a QB high. I can’t disagree with either. Even with Whitehurst on board, no draft pick would excite me more than Clausen at 6.
I don't know.
My best guess is that if you watch Bradford play on the Sooners juggernaut he looks awesome, sort of. He doesn’t look awesome, but everything he does turned out great.
Maybe too much and emphasis on touch, character, poise...
and too little on decision making, determination and pocket awareness.
...and his champion's mystique.
I hear that a lot. Because he was on a winning team, he brings that nice smell to your stinky club.
by BurtonOerney on Apr 19, 2010 3:27 PM PDT up reply actions
Consensus echo chamber.
His tenure, you might say, as an expected top shelf prospect, has something to do with his starting point on big boards. Post analysis shifting up or down still stems from an initially high pegging.
But that was last year. This year, it wasn’t that long ago, 3 months or so, that as the top QB prospect he was still kind of a late top 10 pick, often pegged with us because he wasn’t 1st overall material and we were the next team needing a QB.
The Pro Day, understandably can push draft stock higher. But the progression is funny: sub-1st overall prospect, to 1st overall prospect because unless it’s an embarrassing reach the Rams can’t pass on a QB, to legit 1st overall prospect.
by jacobstevens on Apr 19, 2010 3:15 PM PDT up reply actions
More excited than Clausen at 6
Is Clausen at 14….
crosses fingers and toes
Someone may want to trade with us
to get Clausen before Cleveland does. Even though perhaps most think they would pass on him. The QBs, tackles and DEs are going to be drafted a few spots higher than most think they will. Just like every other year.
by jacobstevens on Apr 19, 2010 3:19 PM PDT up reply actions
I don't think they do.
Smith now would seem to have a floor as a C+ graded franchise QB. At this point, maybe 80% of his unrealized ceiling is remotely realistic.
But the biggest factor is he’s in the final year of his contract. They don’t want to extend him at all, unless he really convincingly proves himself.
Carr is a veteran backup, he’s not there because of any tangible hope or plans to see if he finally develops. If he has a Tommy Maddox year some day, great, but he’s there as a backup, not as a fallback in case Smith doesn’t pan out or stay.
They can worry about QB after this year. They can. But let’s re-visit the idea that Clausen is available at 13. Smith and Carr weigh practically zero in their decision.
by jacobstevens on Apr 19, 2010 3:40 PM PDT up reply actions
I agree,
But the prospect of an Aaron Rogers style free fall isn’t out of the question. I’m making sacrifices to the football gods.
I think one big factor in how teams draft
is success in previous years. Clausen reminds people superficially of Quinn. I could see him falling way down. I think we did the same thing – got a little gun-shy about drafting o-line – after Spencer didn’t work out so well.
by BurtonOerney on Apr 19, 2010 3:46 PM PDT up reply actions
Clausen will not fall.
Not very far anyway. I’d be surprised if he falls to us, and more surprised if we don’t grab him. There’s no way he gets past Mike Holmgren.
Bradford is an extremely accurate QB
Also, Mel Kiper has Clausen 4th on his big board, and Bradford 5th, and I can’t figure out why Todd McShay is so down on Jimmy Clausen, but I assume that’s the “expert” you’re referring to.
What if the Rams FO reads this and goes with Clausen instead?
Hurry we need a decoy! Decoy!
If life gives you lemons, keep the receipt
Small hands!
Like Dave Kreig, who was just fine. When I look at the consensus #1 qbs taken since 2000, the experts have only been clearly correct three times: Pennington in 2000, Palmer in 2003 and Ryan in 2008. They’ve been wrong three times: Vick over both Brady and Bulger in ’01, Smith over Rodgers, Orton and Cassell in ’05 and of course Russell over Quinn and Kolb in 2007.
If we did draft Clausen, I hope we’d have the good sense to sit him and let Whitehurst get beat down behind Willis/Brown next year.
Is it a foregone conclusion that Hasselbeck is going to be cut
If we select Clausen at #6?
The Seahawks have traded my signature to the Detroit Lions for a 6th round draft pick.
No. Rookie contracts progress into the expensive seasons, and Clausen would not be that expensive at first.
Hasselbeck is relatively cheap, and Seattle would be smart to have as much talent and as many candidates as possible.
4 QBs on the roster though?
I’ve never heard of that.
One of those 4 would be gone by the regular season.
You know….we had two kickers on this squad.
The Seahawks have traded my signature to the Detroit Lions for a 6th round draft pick.
As per my earlier comment
which I wrote before getting down this far, would the Seahawks really want 3 viable (and expensive, somewhat) QBs on the roster competing for one spot. Seems like if either Whitehurst or Clausen performs well in the preseason they’ll go with the youngster over the soon-to-be 35-year-old free agent. Hasselbeck must know he’d be skating on thin ice, and ask out (privately).
But if the Seahawks are cool with keeping all 3 and Matt is cool being kept on a short leash — and probably replaced the moment things start to look rough, to give a youngster some experience — then they might keep them all. But I have my doubts.
If Seattle somehow took Clausen
I think they’d hang a big ol “For Sale” sign on Hass and hope to get a 3rd or 4th rounder back. MIght as well see what you have in Whitehurst next year and give Claussen clipboard duty for a year. Hass becomes irrelevant at that point IMO.
No way.
Hasselbeck has one more contract year. Not only does it make sense to let him run out his contract, it would be the right thing to do. I like to think this organization is not a collective butt hole.
by BurtonOerney on Apr 19, 2010 3:56 PM PDT up reply actions
Whaddya mean?
This team isn’t going anywhere this season. To make Hass ride out a 6-10 mess with this offensive line, when he could go to Minnesota and content for a championship, is totally unfair.
FREE THE HASS
Maybe he would be happier in the midwest.
It’s like a beautiful farm upstate. Carroll could tell us about him running free through the fields…
by BurtonOerney on Apr 19, 2010 4:20 PM PDT up reply actions
I'd rather have him go to an farm then sit him down by the fire and tell him about getting some rabbits.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 8:32 AM PDT up reply actions
He deserves better
If he wants out, let him out, if he wants to stay then let him. I hadn’t considered him going to Minnesota.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 8:41 AM PDT up reply actions
If we took Clausen at 6...
we could probably send Matt to Cleveland for a 3rd. Or something next year.
If we don't think he's going to start out of camp...
It might be nicer to cut him so he can find work as a starter somewhere else. Cleveland?
I hope the reason
nobody is talking about us taking Clausen at 6 anymore is because our front office finally did something smart and diverted attention elsewhere. Now, nobody thinks they will have to jump us to get Clausen.
I would be pretty happy
If the anonymous sources saying that either Williams or Berry is the pick were intentional plants spreading disinformation so that the team could safely get Clausen. That would win all kinds of faith in the new FO from me.
by SeahawksFanInNY on Apr 19, 2010 3:34 PM PDT up reply actions
Whitehurst is only signed to 2 years
Perhaps the ’hawks want to have maximum protection at the QB position and view Whitehurst as a fallback plan for both this and next year. If the ’hawks take Clausen at 6:
The 2010 depth chart would be: Hass / Whitehurst / Clausen. Whitehurst steps in if Hass goes down, Clausen isn’t thrown to the wolves on a terrible team.
The 2011 depth chart would be: Clausen / Whitehurst / TBD. The O-line is shored up by now to protect Clausen and you have Whitehurst as a quality backup in case Clausen tanks.
This sounds reasonable.
Especially remembering how long Rodgers sat behind Favre.
It's Great to be a Florida Gator!
My draft hopes:
#6-Jimmy Clausen #14-Charles Brown #60-Major Wright
by Wayward Llama on Apr 20, 2010 3:28 AM PDT up reply actions
If we get Clausen that would be my preffered plan
If he even just sat out the year that would be fine too.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 8:43 AM PDT up reply actions
Great write up - thanks
I guess the question is do we pull the trigger on Clausen? I don’t think it is a bad move, especially if Berry and McCoy are gone. If we do we need to protect him and let him sit.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
Am I right in noticing
a change of style post-book? Maybe it’s just temporary while you recharge, but in the mean time I want to say that I appreciate the transparent and easy tone of this post and a few recents. I think I’m driven to comment because I tried writing last night for the first time while on prescribed steroids.
I don't know. Probably not the right person to judge, but the book did put me in touch with the team's history and the history of the NFL, and that gave me perspective.
I have to agree with Supp.
I too am glad to see some of the more recent posts. I felt it had become emotional in some of the analysis in recent weeks. Specifically a review of Taylor Mays in which you picked a series in which he, “did not factor” and then a glowing report of Eric Berry. Calling that game possibly the best game of his career. Selecting Taylor Mays 6th overall in the official Seahawks Mock Draft for SBN just reaffirms.
I posted some dissension to these comments because I wanted to make sure cult following didn’t ensue. Some of which went unfavorably, but yet I am happy you seem to be back to your old self, rational and concise. Thanks as always and Go Seahawks!!
Right on John, I agree completely
Bradford interviews look a lot like Whitehurst’s, and I don’t think Whitehurst will ever be anything special. And from every interview I’ve seen, Clausen hasn’t looked all that arrogant. Ok, maybe a little arrogant, but not dickish or anywhere near Leaf territory. If he’s there 6, and I think he will be now, I think it’s the perfect pick for Seattle. I’m really really really hoping Seattle does. Signing Whitehurst to only two years, and Matt’s having only one more year, makes me think it’s possible.
Also, to clarify, Clausen actually played with two torn tendons in his foot, which was misdiagnosed as turf toe. I don’t know if that’s better or worse. Just think if he had surgery and sat out all year? Or just think if he got hurt worse because of the misdiagnoses? Yikes.
Clausen played the final nine games this past season with two torn tendons in his right foot, which he said were misdiagnosed as turf toe. He said he has been told by doctors he should have had surgery the day after he was injured against Michigan State on Sept. 19 and sat out the rest of the season.
http://www.nfl.com/draft/story?id=09000d5d8176d1fb&template=with-video-with-comments&confirm=true
Is he perceived arrogance that he is simply confident?
He comes across to me like Tom Brady, he’s good, and knows he can move the ball down the field.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 19, 2010 7:01 PM PDT up reply actions
He is pretty arrogant
his press conference when he committed to ND was a thing of beauty for ND haters. He made some wild claim about winning 4 Heismans or 4 MNCs I can’t remember which now.
[DELETED ZOMG NO POLITICS]
Yeah I remember that but I write that off as being 18
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 12:33 PM PDT up reply actions
Dream Scenario for me
would be if Philly traded their 1 and both 2s to move up to 6. Then we take Claus at 14 and Brown at 26, while having 3 2nd round picks to stock up with. Realistically, Philly probably wouldn’t trade that high despite rumors, Claus wouldn’t be there at 14, and Brown could be gone by 26. Otherwise, I may be on to something.
I also would be good with taking Claus at 6, trading back to the twenties and taking Brown and getting an extra 2nd or a 3rd in the process.
Doesn't Clausen get drafted at #5?...
Not by the Chiefs but by the team that trades into that spot?
New England Midwest would trade down in a heartbeat.. Two teams with terrible QB play draft after them in Seattle and Cleveland.
*Buf has new management/coaching, Trent Edwards, and only needs to bump 4 spots.
*SF has slightly better QB play and would only need a little bump in value to get there—Having two 1st rounders makes giving up a 2nd/3rd easier.
*Cleveland might see Seattle as a likely landing spot and offer a 3rd for two spots.
*Kansas City might even take him, wait for the draft to play out and trade him for the pick that Bulaga/McClain/etc.. go at.
Long story short… Seattle might not even get a chance at Clausen.
Pretty sure that's why Shnieder went out and got Whitehurst
They didn’t think they have a shot at either of the top two QBs. Plus, unless you pick first, that’s something you really shouldn’t bank on. I’m only hoping that if the opportunity to get Clausen is there, they make the grab. Carrol does seem to understand the importance of having a franchise QB.
But that’s probably right up there with my hope that we’d pick Crabtree last year.
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 19, 2010 4:21 PM PDT up reply actions
or.... to make it LOOK like we didn't think we had a shot at either of the two.
Does that make sense? Not really. Sorry.
Does that make the Whitehurst deal more appealing?
I don’t know jack about CW. I have three friends intimately, and I mean intimately, attached to San Diego and they don’t know jack about CW either.
I definitely won’t say I was impressed with the deal but I certainly don’t have the balls to protest it with the vitriol that many have.
If Bradford is a non-issue, (thank you STL,) as is Clausen at #6, can you blame the Hawks for trading Seneca and a “high third” for a player with similar tools and more NFL film-room-experience as the above mentioned prospects, and more upside than Seneca, simply to fill the backup role until a better opportunity presents itself?
Either way, the Rams taking Bradford is SWEET. I’ve never liked his NFL prospects and I won’t think twice about rooting against his success as a Ram. Damn I’m a douche.
If rooting against a Ram is wrong
I don’t want to be right.
by Buster! on Apr 19, 2010 5:32 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
There is a buzz that KC wants to trade down.
Doesn’t everyone in the top 5, tho.
by jacobstevens on Apr 19, 2010 4:47 PM PDT up reply actions
I've been saying this whole off-season we should take Clausen...
but he won’t be available. I would take him #1 overall if we had that pick.
I actually think Seattle WILL take Clausen if he falls to us, but what I’m afraid of is that there will be a late surge of his stock, and he’ll be gone to either KC or someone else via trade.
So articles like this make me cringe since I don’t want any “buzz” about him being the fan’s choice. I’d rather get him and have our fans boo, but then be much better off for it.
I like the fact that no one thinks we will take him. Makes it less likely anyone trades ahead of us.
I've been saying, I'd be okay with taking Clausen
Especially if Berry and McCoy are gone.
Also I think we have this idea that we will be in the Locker sweepstakes next year, which kind of seems like a foolish bet to make. The QB class should be better next year assuming some of these guys like Andrew Luck and Terrell Pryor come out as Juniors and make strides in development. I’d rather have Clausen if he were available this year and build around him.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 8:59 AM PDT up reply actions
I say trade up
Give pick 14 and other stuff to KC for no 5
Seattle takes Clausen and Spiller with 5 and 6
If Seattle takes an OT at 6, likely won’t get either Spiller or Clausen at 14
Browns, Bills, Broncs or Niners may pick the QB
Raiders, Browns, Bills, or Jags may take Spiller
He’s always open. He catches a lot of balls. He’s un-guardable, no matter how old he is
If we did that, I would want Clausen and whoever is left...
of McCoy, OT (Gibbs’ choice), or Berry. One or more would be available.
Why would Seattle need to trade with KC?
It’s not as if KC is looking for a QB nor are they much of a threat to take him.
Talents that I covet:
Ndamukong Suh, Gerald McCoy, Sam Bradford, Mike Iupati, Golden Tate, Earl Thomas, and Freddie Barnes
by Carl Shinyama on Apr 19, 2010 7:01 PM PDT up reply actions
Damn you John Morgan. I do not know how you do it. You are able to steal a man's free will. I come here with my own opinions and I leave with yours.
by nickfru1 on Apr 19, 2010 5:11 PM PDT reply actions 2 recs
Only because I'm pretty sure we won't get Suh, McCoy, Williams, OR Clausen
And now for some reason my arms are perpendicularly placed towards Clausen.
Damn you Morgan
I do not think it will be cost prohibitive to draft a quarterback early. Here is why....
DeMaurice Smith, the rep for the players union, is 95% sure that the NFL will be locked out of football in 2010. The owner’s make their money off TV contracts weather the games are played or not and the coaches have already had their contracts retsructured in the event there is a lockout. The players are refinancing their “cribs” to pay off their third Escalade. This will not lead to “good faith” negotiating when one side has all the leverage. Hence lockout.
The Seahawks could be angling to play this hand. For one year we can pay as much as we want towards QB. Maybe we will flop a nut straight?
Maybe this is why St. Louis has not started negotiations with anyone?
post fail...
The significance of a lockout would give individual franchises leverage in structuring rookie contracts. 1st round picks may not be so prohibitive. Teams will site future rookie salary scales and they will hold firm in their reduced offers. Players will no longer be able to apply pressure ala crabtree by missing camp or part of the season. There may be no football anyway. Players will have no option but to sign as there will be no way they can recoup a year missed.
Did I accidentally log into Walterfootball?
That was a horribly one-sided piece. Where are the red flags on Clausen? What, he has none? (or just the schedule?)
The only valid comparison between the two QBs comes down to the strength of the teams they played for? Isn’t that an over-simplification? What about their basic physical tools? Is playing on a strong team a QB-prospect killer? Since when?
It’s down to yard after catch? Uh, ok, so where’s the statistical or even incidental evidence that Bradford relies on YAC more than Clausen? Is this something I’m supposed to chew and regurgitate in good mock draft style or is this a provable fact?
Don’t get me wrong, I have nothing against Clausen other than that he’s a douche who I’d have a hard time cheering, but this article really isn’t up to any kind of spec. It leaves me, the reader, with more questions than answers.
Opinion on what?
My post isn’t about Clausen. I have no problem with someone arguing Clausen is a superior prospect to Bradford.
I do have an issue with shoddily-constructed arguments, whether it be here or on Walterfootball I care not, as well as to how unquestioningly it’s followed here (it might be controversial, but I’d posit the idea that this place is lacking in critical voices, which isn’t good, because it means the lead writer is rarely challenged on his opinion, and that as a rule doesn’t lead to better construction of opinions). What I think of Clausen’s personality (as he comes across in interviews) barely impacts what I think of him as a prospect, but it is completely irrelevant to my opinion of this piece.
So again, it’s an odd question. The objectivity you’re challenging is not relevant to the objectivity of my post.
by Thomas Beekers on Apr 19, 2010 6:03 PM PDT up reply actions
After reading the entire thread...
…there is another possibility that no one has brought up, one that may be unlikely but not impossible.
The Rams pass on Bradford at 1, mostly due to the immense contract that will go with a QB taken #1 overall, a record-setting contract that will likely never be broken. Given the inherent risk of ANY player, the Rams may choose to reduce the risk by drafting Suh and taking Colt McCoy at 33.
If that happens, how does that effect the top of the draft? Do other teams scamble to trade up with Detroit to take Bradford? Or do both QBs fall to 6?
In any case, I have argued previously that Seattle is unlikely to get this close to a franchise-potential QB any time soon, and if Clausen or Bradford grades out at that level, they should do whatever necessary to obtain one, even trading up.
John makes a persuasive argument that Clausen DOES grade out accordingly, so given the possibility of taking an elite playmaker at he most important position on the team, if Clausen is there at 6 (something VERY likely to be the case) they shouldn’t hesitate to draft him. Having an elite talent at QB is worth magnitudes more than at any other position – including LT, DT, safety or RB, if that is the trade off.
Don’t wait for 14: pull the trigger at 6, if Clausen is all that.
Last year, Stafford signed with Detroit prior to the draft (as I recall)...
…and there were reports about negotiations well prior. Has anyone heard any reports of the Rams actively negotiating with anyone? I’m not saying it hasn’t happened, I don’t know, but if Bradford isn’t signed prior to Thursday, I would say that improves the chance that the Rams of passing on him.
You do bring up the only really intriguing "what-if" that could play out
Why are the Rams not negotiating with Bradford?
Probably because the threat of holding out the entire year is worthless if the rookie wage scale is enacted.
I don't think that we know whether or not the Rams are negotiating with Bradford.
Just because Bradford won’t sign before he is drafted doesn’t mean there aren’t negotiations being held between the Rams and Bradford.
Talents that I covet:
Ndamukong Suh, Gerald McCoy, Sam Bradford, Mike Iupati, Golden Tate, Earl Thomas, and Freddie Barnes
by Carl Shinyama on Apr 19, 2010 7:32 PM PDT up reply actions
Good question...
What benefits do Bradford & Co. have in this non-negotiation endeavor?
That’s the better question.
It seems to me that there is nothing to gain in his camp by stalling. If anything it increases the risk that he is NOT drafted #1.
How does it increase his chances to be the top choice?
Maybe he just doesn't want to go to the Rams
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 19, 2010 6:59 PM PDT up reply actions
Another difference between Bradford and Stafford...
…as I recall Stafford publicly proclaiming his desire to be drafted by the Lions well before the draft. What is Bradford’s attitude? Not uncommon for a top prospect to want to avoid the worst team in the league.
I remember Quinn saying he wanted to go to the Browns, but I think he thought that meant at no. 2
I think Clausen has handled the question of whether or not he falls really well.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 19, 2010 7:14 PM PDT up reply actions
Good God I hope he does because I really don't want them taking Suh
I’d rather have Bradford turn out to be a good QB than have to have our o-line deal with Suh twice a year Imagine games in the dome in St. Louis, which gets pretty loud too with Suh kicking the shit out of our o-line. Even worse what about a 3rd if we end up playing them in the playoffs a few years down the road.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 19, 2010 7:22 PM PDT up reply actions
That is a thought that scares me.
Talents that I covet:
Ndamukong Suh, Gerald McCoy, Sam Bradford, Mike Iupati, Golden Tate, Earl Thomas, and Freddie Barnes
by Carl Shinyama on Apr 19, 2010 7:35 PM PDT up reply actions
Why?
The defensive lineman hype was Chris Long, and Carriker before that. Neither has had much of an impact. I prefer to see these guys in the NFL before I start being scared of them. Just because the “experts” talk about how amazing they are, means pretty much nothing.
It's Great to be a Florida Gator!
My draft hopes:
#6-Jimmy Clausen #14-Charles Brown #60-Major Wright
by Wayward Llama on Apr 20, 2010 3:35 AM PDT up reply actions
Just because those who came before did not have much of an impact
Doesn’t mean that Suh won’t. The more talent that they acquire on the D-line, the greater their potential of being good. Chris Long isn’t bad at all as a talent, and if he got some help from someone like Suh, he could make a bigger impact.
Besides, I said it was a thought (of that happening) that scares me, not that I am scared of what Suh will or will not do as a member of the Rams were he drafted by them.
Talents that I covet:
Ndamukong Suh, Gerald McCoy, Sam Bradford, Mike Iupati, Golden Tate, Earl Thomas, and Freddie Barnes
by Carl Shinyama on Apr 20, 2010 9:02 AM PDT up reply actions
Here here - and yes it assumes he pans out as a prospect
and Suh as a corner stone of a Spagnuolo d-line is scary. Long is talented, Carriker started strong and got hurt, and Suh was far more dominant in college and seems to have a strong work ethic. The worst part is, I like him as a person, so if does come out and kick ass, it will be hard for me to hate him.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 9:06 AM PDT up reply actions
Ah, but enough about Steve Emtman...
:(
Early prospect watch: RB C.J. Spiller, QB Sam Bradford, OT Ciron Black*, DT Gerald McCoy, S Eric Berry, DT Ndamukong Suh, CB Ras-I Dowling**, RB Jonathan Dwyer
I'm guessing but if they really aren't going to sign early than they must feel confident that he'll be the first pick and think they can get more money out of the Rams by holding out.
The downside though is, like you said, it could blow his chance to go first overall.
It doesn't, but he might care less than you think
QB premium means he’ll be the highest-paid player in the NFL if he goes top-3 (possibly top-5) anyway, as per Matt Ryan QB premium logic.
But I agree, spin seems unlikely, it looks like we might have an unsigned 1st overall for the first time in ages. Which is awesome.
by Thomas Beekers on Apr 19, 2010 7:04 PM PDT up reply actions
Bradford's agent said he won't sign until drafted
That could be bargaining 101, but I think rookie contracts are going to take a while for figure out this year without the cap. So it may not mean anything if they haven’t signed him before the draft. I also think that annoyed Goddell which is why he moved the draft to Thursday.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 19, 2010 7:04 PM PDT up reply actions
If you look on
Adam Schefter’s Twitter, he reports that Bradford will not be signed before draft day, and then there is this story here about why.
And that second link points out another possibility, perhaps more likely...
…that someone trades up with the Rams to draft Bradford. If that happens, I am not sure it would impact the availability of Clausen at 6, but it might affect potential trade partners with Seattle if he is.
Let's get back to Morgan's piece...
Bradford v. Clausen
I’ve never been a Clausen supporter, but I’ve been a Bradford-to-the-Hawks detractor for some time. I don’t even think that John hit Bradford as hard as he should.
When was the last time a Big-12 spread QB played to even a modicum of success in the NFL? And Vince Young is not an answer… not because of his “success” but because of how absolutely ludicrous the comparison of Vince Young v. Sam Bradford is.
I could see Colt McCoy having success in the NFL
Wherever he goes he won’t start immediately so he’ll have time to learn the system and fill out. He’s also had to deal with a bit of failure in his college career and Oklahoma has lost but McCoy has been really clutch on 4th quarter drives.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 19, 2010 7:07 PM PDT up reply actions
I would agree that the time spent NOT starting is invaluable
Do I think that Colt McCoy is a starting NFL QB? No. Nor is Harrrell, White, or even the other Colt for that matter—yes, I know he’s not Big 12, but he is spread…
I wish I could stay… got a Piper Warrior 3 systems exam tomorrow and the studies await…
Good discourse.
Good luck man.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 19, 2010 7:23 PM PDT up reply actions
Success in the NFL meaning becoming a good starter on a good team but not H.O.F.
Wherever he goes he won’t start immediately, if he sat and took over an established team he could win a Super Bowl.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 9:07 AM PDT up reply actions
Whether right or wrong
I don’t see Carroll picking Clausen. It seems as though future qbs will need to be fairly mobile and able to make plays with their feet if need be. From what I have seen that doesn’t appear to be Clausens game. The only thing that bothered me in the gruden piece was the four timeouts he took in that one game and how quick he was to place blame on everyone else.
by Big E-Z on Apr 19, 2010 7:03 PM PDT via mobile reply actions
John did a great job awhile back in outlining PC's attempts and subsequent failure to land Clausen at USC
When compiling that with PC’s public position to implement all the same systems in Seattle one has to consider the obvious
Point taken
My only real knock on him as a qb is he has a strange throwing motion. It seems slow to me.
by Big E-Z on Apr 19, 2010 7:32 PM PDT via mobile up reply actions
I noticed that too.
Tebow-esque.
Though they sink through the Sea, they shall rise again...Death shall have no dominion...
Another reason I like Clausen over Bradford
A career football guy. It’s what he loves to do for practically his whole life. Bradford wanted to go into Hockey before OSU. Hockey for christsakes!
I like him - and I also don't think he is entitled.
I didn’t figure we would get him because Shannahan would take him. I like the bar fight, I like that he got a black eye, but stood up for his girlfriend, I like that the punk ass QB for BC started talking shit and pushed him and walked away. These are the things good QB’s do
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 19, 2010 7:18 PM PDT up reply actions
The funny thing about Clausen, or maybe unfunny thing, is he does kinda look like a douchebag
With that pouty lower lip, pointing eyebrows, skrunched face, punkish hair. So the public gives him that label, all base on the way he was born to look, something completely out of his control (other then the hair). It’s kinda fascinating. I wonder if he looked like Bradford, the clean looking warm faced soft spoken guy you’d want you’re daughter going to the prom with, if the attitude thing would be completely reversed.
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 19, 2010 7:45 PM PDT up reply actions
Some of it is the ND thing too - I hated him because he played for ND but now that he has moved on...
I didn’t mind Bradford because I’m a Texas fan and Texas owned him for the last few years.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 10:21 AM PDT up reply actions
I couldn't agree more
He is like the prototypical rich kid antagonist from all of the 80s brat pack movies.
He looks the part.
He’s even a quarterback. It seems like the rich kid antagonist is always a quarterback…never a punter.
I think we should pass on Clausen
Only because there are a number of QB’s that may be more talented next year and the other teams that could do worse than us next year already have a ‘franchise’ quarterback being developed. We could get Locker (for example) with a mid-first round pick next year.
The trouble with that...
is that if Jake gets better (like he is planning/hoping to do) in his senior year, there’s no way we’ll have a shot at him unless we tank. We aren’t going to suck that bad this season.
Haha... you know what's going to happen.
The Raiders are going to end up with the first pick… I mean, the New England Patriots will. D’oh.
Our team, for all intents and purposes, seems worse than last year
I have a hard time seeing, even with a stellar draft, us being better than we were last year (barring games lost due to injury).
Assuming we’re mostly healthy, I’d peg us at 5-6 wins.
6/14/60. Sweet.
by Nick Andron on Apr 20, 2010 11:26 AM PDT up reply actions
There is no guarantee we can get an elite QB next year
Unless we purposely lose every single game, and even then, all of the top QB prospects could die in a freak pogo-stick accident or get run over by a car, and then we would have passed on a franchise QB two years in a row, and have none to select. You know who else passed on a bunch of franchise QBs? The Rams.
Lawn darts are making a comeback too.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 9:19 AM PDT up reply actions
There is no guarantee
But there is a pretty good chance.
I think you overestimate our chances. We have a player with no margin for injury and a complete wildcard at our QB position. We desperately need LT, LG, DE, pass rush DT, CB, and S. We could use upgrades at the RB and WR. I think the ability of Gibbs to eat mediocre talent and poop out diamonds is overrated. The primary advantage of the ZBS is that it can use linemen that other blocking schemes cannot utilize, allowing the team to avoid competing for a limited resource (linemen that can dominate in man). This advantage is negated by the number of teams that also use ZBS (or a variant) which has created competition for ZBS suitable players. Gibbs golden era with the Broncos coincided with only two teams using ZBS, the Broncos and the Falcons.
We could win the division but I think an awful lot of things have to go right for us. After this draft, who will have a QB need? Assuming the Rams, Bills and Browns get QB’s the only teams with a possibility of being worse than us that might need QB’s are Jaguars (assuming they dump Garrard), and the Raiders (who don’t have a first round pick). I think the odds of us being first in line for a QB (and I hear 3 QBs for next year all being referred to as better than Bradford)
Yeah, but by the same coin
An awful lot of things would have to go wrong, and we play in the worst division in football. It isn’t that hard to see us beating the Rams twice, splitting games with SF, and stealing one from AZ. That’s four wins right there, and that won’t be good enough to have our pick of the top QBs next year.
Why not?
Which teams that are likely to have fewer wins will be looking for a quarterback?
I'll take a stab at it...
Denver and KC could lose a bunch and be ready to find a better QB…
Washington might not be thrilled with a declining McNabb…
SF might finish below us, and possibly the Cards…
Buffalo might be in the market…
perhaps the Stealers if everything goes well…
the Browns, Raiders….
Any team can get hit with injuries, tough schedule, and bad luck or officiating and finish with a better pick than us.
Plus there could be trades.
Any team that has less wins than us will likely be less than thrilled with their QB— except for maybe Detroit and the Rams.
Palmer is declining.
And maybe Cincy goes back to being who they are.
Early prospect watch: RB C.J. Spiller, QB Sam Bradford, OT Ciron Black*, DT Gerald McCoy, S Eric Berry, DT Ndamukong Suh, CB Ras-I Dowling**, RB Jonathan Dwyer
Some problems with those teams
KC will still have 3 years and 30 million dollars on Cassel’s contract.
Palmer has 3 years and at least 30 million dollars left on his contract
I think SF wins the division this year, and I think Leinart will perform as a high pick parked behind a future hall of famer.
Brown’s, Buffalo and the Rams are the teams I assume will draft QB’s this year to develop.
Raiders don’t have a first round pick next year.
I still only see the Jags, Skins and Denver as teams that might have a higher pick and might want a QB. Given the respective holes in the roster, you have to say we are the farthest behind of that list.
Before anyone thinks I’m a Locker fanboy. I live in Calgary, Alberta and don’t follow college football. I picked Locker because I heard of him as a high pick next year.
It only takes one team to be ahead of us
This year it’s the Rams (and even the Redskins, if Bradford were available).
It’s the NFL, teams could end up all over the place, it’s just a bad policy for a team to bank on getting the franchise player they want next year. It’s such a crapshoot and impossible to predict, yeah we might have a chance at Locker, but probably not. You do what you can this year. I don’t think anybody in the Seahawks organization is thinking “well shoot, lets just loose every game so we can get the star QB next year.” Nobody thinks that way except fans.
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 21, 2010 8:53 AM PDT up reply actions
There are 3 elite QB prospects....
all of whom seem to be regarded as better than the best of this year’s draft.
Someone mentioned them in these comments (Luck, Masser and Locker if my memory serves) .
We invested a significant amount into Whitehurst. Drafting Clausen would automatically negate that investment.
Assume the following scenarios for the upcoming season:
1) Hasslebeck is good and Whitehurst is good. Hasslebeck leads the team and Whitehurst is the QB of the future. The investment in Whitehurst pays off in spades.
2) Hasslebeck sucks and Whitehurst is good. Same as above.
3) Hasslebeck is good and Whitehurst sucks. Cut Whitehurst, resign Hasslebeck to do his best Favre/Warner impression and trade up to get a QB prospect (the worst teams this year will likely be the worst teams last year and we’ve already covered the fact that most of the bottomfeeders are set with QB and will probably be happy to trade down for more picks.
4) Hasslebeck sucks and Whitehurst sucks. We won’t need to trade up to take a QB.
Given the investment made in Whitehurst and the upgrade in QB talent if we wait a year, I can’t imagine we’d take Clausen.
That could be the case any year.
It's Great to be a Florida Gator!
My draft hopes:
#6-Jimmy Clausen #14-Charles Brown #60-Major Wright
by Wayward Llama on Apr 20, 2010 3:37 AM PDT up reply actions
If we could get Clausen I'd rather take him then see if we can get Locker
Locker could go in the top – 5, he could get another major concussion and end his career, or he could also come out next year and pull a Brian Brohm.
I have seen Locker play in person against Oregon a few times and once against Oregon State and he looked good but he didn’t look that great. I know he’s brought the Huskies back and all but…
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 9:12 AM PDT up reply actions
We most likely won't have a shot at him
But he hasn’t just brought the team back, he is the offense. He is the only weapon that any D has to deal with or gameplan for and he still has some success. If you put him on a decent offense or just give him some D it would show.
Good point - when they came to Corvallis last year he's the only person the Beavers worried about
They stacked the box all game and came after Locker and he wasn’t getting a lot of protection.
I just am not holding my breath that we will have a chance to get him.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 4:12 PM PDT up reply actions
I don't think we will, but I would love it
The difference that I see with him and this years guys is that he will carry a team by himself.
He has to improve greatly as a passer or I wouldn't even want him.
Early prospect watch: RB C.J. Spiller, QB Sam Bradford, OT Ciron Black*, DT Gerald McCoy, S Eric Berry, DT Ndamukong Suh, CB Ras-I Dowling**, RB Jonathan Dwyer
Watching him play QB in games, various reading around the web.
Early prospect watch: RB C.J. Spiller, QB Sam Bradford, OT Ciron Black*, DT Gerald McCoy, S Eric Berry, DT Ndamukong Suh, CB Ras-I Dowling**, RB Jonathan Dwyer
You are watching different games then I am
And haven’t run accross any statistics in your reading then
I assume he is basing not wanting him on his own desires
And he desires a better passer than Locker. He didn’t say Locker was a bad passer, or that he completed x of y attempts; he said that he would need to improve his passing, or he would not want the Seahawks to take him.
You don't think Locker had some terrible games?
His average per attempt is what worries me the most. 7.1’s pretty bad for college. And seven straight games with an INT. He will be better this year. Stat wise, his 2009 year looked very very similar to Cluasen’s 2008 year. Now he just has to make the next step. He’s not there yet though, which is why I don’t get all the hype. I think he’s still riding that USC victory, as far as the national press goes.
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 21, 2010 9:04 AM PDT up reply actions
I think the biggest thing that will help Locker is the growth of the offense around him
I will completely agree that in the past he has forced things and tried to do to much. He was much better this year than the year before when he forced things with his legs. His RBs and WRs were nearly all freshman and sophmores. A year experience in college was about all he had out there. His line is also quesionable on their good days. The D will improve some, but the most of the offense is coming back with a second year in the same system. So know, those numbers that you quoted don’t bother me that much. Expect his numbers to improve greatly.
What if the Rams take Clausen first?
Instead of Bradford?
It might not mean anything, but Bradford claims there haven’t been any talks between him or his agent and the Rams. The last time I read about it, and this could be old information, the Rams were evaluating Bradford, Suh McCoy and Clausen.
It’s a possibility, and I haven’t heard the Rams take a stance on Bradford versus Clausen. Is there anything concrete that suggests (other than talking heads) that the Rams will take Bradford over Clausen?
I think it’s a possibility.
I think that's a longshot as long as most "experts" predict Clausen may drop.
I hope the Rams’ decision is between Suh and Bradford. I think they would be afraid to take JC unless there was a meteoric rise in his stock.
But if they do take Clausen, then chances of some other team trading up to take Bradford increases. No matter what, we WILL have one of either the top OT (Williams/Okung- Gibbs’ choice) or Suh, McCoy, Bradford, Clausen, or Berry fall to 6.
If the Rams are picking players based on the "experts..."
I think we figured out what’s wrong with the franchise. Maybe they should just listen to Bucky Brooks, who seems to have it pretty together. 2 months ago, he had the Seahawks taking Carlos Dunlap at #6 and the Jags taking Brian Price at #10. Eric Berry? #13 to the 49ers. Selvish Capers was also a first round offensive tackle.
Anything can happen. But I don’t know why a team should worry about what the “experts” are predicting. If they do their jobs correctly, and if their scouting process has shown Clausen is the better prospect (and I’m not saying that’s the case) then passing on him because experts don’t like the pick would be crazy.
Something else interesting about Brooks' mock draft...
and this was two months ago, but he didn’t even have Clausen in the first round. But supposedly the big “shocker” was that Tebow wasn’t in the first round. He didn’t even mention Clausen. It’ll be interesting if Clausen doesn’t even make the first round…but that’s really hard for me to believe. I don’t even see Clausen making it past Buffalo, and that’s a worst case scenario drop for him.
Clausen will go in the top 10, someone will move up to get him
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 9:15 AM PDT up reply actions
Schefter said the Rams are gonna take Bradford.
You might as well add it to Bradford’s Wiki right now. Schefter is never wrong.
After all the talk on this board, if Clausen goes to the Rams (or SF) I will barf.
Meanwhile, we’ll pick the 4th rated OT at 6 and some DE at 14 (when we could have just kept Tapp).
If the Rams don't take Bradford first
it fucks up the entire draft really. Bradford won’t go to the Lions, he might go to the Bucs, but beyond that he might fall to us. I fear the Rams taking Suh because it is the right move and we would have to face him twice a year.
I’m praying to a god I don’t believe in that we take Clausen. I think he could almost fix our franchise overnight, but then again any QB with the ability to complete an 8 yard slant would.
by Hancock.Brett on Apr 19, 2010 10:06 PM PDT up reply actions
I agree about Suh.
I would much rather have the Rams take Bradford than Suh. Our O-line has enough problems without Donkey-Kong Suh throwing barrels at them.
No love for Clausen
i must state first I’m an avowed Notre Dame hater. I can’t like you until at least 3 yrs in the league; that being said, drafting him is a wasted pick. The QB situation is not glamorous so the thinking is never pass on a franchise QB if you don’t have one but Clausen is not that QB in this draft. I see points made for him; pro style offense, Charlie Weis. Great he can take a snap form under center and knows how to throw more than a slant a hook and a go route. He reminds me of Cody Picket because Wililams and Fredricks made Picket look good at times same as Tate and Floyd for Clausen. Hmmm kinda like Quinn and Smardzjia. i see too much OMG please catch this on some throws and lucky for him his WR bail him out and that’s not franchise caliber. Funny as it seems with all these PC connection post why would you draft Clausen when he has less talent than Matt Barkley. i may be biased but I’m not crazy.
I'll be honest I don't like either of them
I think Bradford has the better physical tools, based on his size and arm, but he is going to have a tough time transitioning his decision making into the NFL. The spread, with the coaches doing most of the reading, is a crutch that he will miss. He may be a smart guy who can pick up a new offense, but he hasn’t had to read a defense on the run at the same level as a QB in a system like Clausen. If I was the Rams, this would scare me.
I think Clausen has average at best tools and a good basis for decision making at the NFL level. The talent around him, line and RB in particular, made his tools look worse, but he was very good at the short pass to get out of trouble. Tate and Floyd made his numbers look really good based on a crazy amount of yards after the catch. Seriously, scout Tate, he will be a steal in the second round for someone. We won’t go after him because of his size, but he is going to be a playmaker for someone next year. Clausen made a high percentage of high percentage throws. Its not a knock on him, exactly, because he made short throws based on the read and the time available. The probem is that when he had to make the longer throws or had time for things to develop his tools started to show weakness. His long throws, on average, were thrown on a wing and a prayer.
In the transition I think Clausen has an inherent advantage. My fear is that he will never have the tools necessary to be a premier starting QB. Bradford may have those tools, but he is going to have a rough few years developing what should have already been developed. How he comes out of that will be the important thing. For my money, everyone else can have these guys, I don’t really want either.
I would prefer Clausen over Bradford, but....
…I think the Hawks see a better draft class for Qb’s next season. Hasselbeck plays out his contract, then Whitehurst plays out his in 2011 while “grooming” our first pick next year in either Locker, Luck, or Mallet.
On the bright side look at Spencer pushing Mebane around
I know it is camp and no pads but that is a good sign.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
That is a good piece
The thing I like about is that he improved his play even though ND as a team didn’t.
I haven’t seen a lot of him because I don’t like ND, but I did see the SC game in 2008 and last year and he looked pretty bad against a defensive full of pro-d stars, but to be fair he didn’t get a lot of protection. He looked pretty good against SC this year and played well in the fourth quarter.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 10:25 AM PDT up reply actions
Too be fair
no one really looked good against USC in 2008. That was the best statistical defense in school history.
[DELETED ZOMG NO POLITICS]
Good piece John, I enjoyed it.
[Insert Orwellian Reference] Or was that just you working your weird voodoo again?! Y’know, [Latin name of argumentative fallacy] doesn’t help us learn! Vis-a-vis, ergo, furthermore, Hippopotomonstrosesquippedaliophobia!
by DJ C-Raig on Apr 20, 2010 9:49 AM PDT reply actions 6 recs
Clicking like on this statement - I do think it is silly for us to critical thinking forms and fallacies on this site
That is not to say we can’t make good arguments but really over football when it is all so subjective anyway…
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 9:54 AM PDT up reply actions
There is nothing wrong with agreeing with John or liking this article
Its the attack that you will get if you disagree with John or want to have a discussion to convince yourself that he is correct.
If someone disagrees with you it's not necessarily an attack.
The expectation is that if you offer up an opposing argument you should be prepared to defend it. People will question your ideas but if you can explain your viewpoint and provide evidence for it you’ll encourage good discussion.
Totally agree
And most aren’t attacks, but some of the tone gets that way. Overall, you don’t see me changing my approach, just an observation.
This has a very humor.
You are the funniest thing on Field Gulls, mate.
by jacobstevens on Apr 20, 2010 11:02 AM PDT up reply actions
Rec'd
By the way, I immediately think “TL;DR” whenever I see discussions like the ones you’re referencing.
It's Great to be a Florida Gator!
My draft hopes:
#6-Jimmy Clausen #14-Charles Brown #60-Major Wright
by Wayward Llama on Apr 20, 2010 6:13 PM PDT up reply actions
Guys, this wasn't meant to be an objective article comparing both QB prospects.
The article was written to ‘right-size’ the FEVERISH hype ever rising Bradford to near God-like status, and the increased focus on Clausen’s so called red flags and college mediocrity. And for good reason.
The hype as of late has been focusing nearly entirely on upside. It’s hard to argue that Bradford doesn’t have more upside. But what’s being ignored is both QB’s ability to first get acclimated to the NFL and establish, first, some level of success as an NFL QB.
John’s article, and more specifically the enumerated points, give insight into why Clausen is more likely to get successfully acclimated to being a NFL QB and have some level of success as a NFL QB (the points he enumerated: performed well w/o star talent, led multiple come-from-behind wins, mastered a pro-style offense, tough schedule, etc).
Many of these enumerated points will directly relate to most rookie QB experiences in the NFL: they’ll likely play on a bad team (because they were drafted high), they’ll play against talent likely better than his own team, they’ll have to pick up a playbook likely far more complex than the average college program’s, they’ll likely often play from behind / under pressure, etc.
Clausen has shown ability to succeed in many of those situations / with some of those aspects.
Bradford isn’t the opposite, but many questions arise:
How does he play under pressure / from behind?
How does he perform when his team is over-matched?
Can he pick up and understand a pro-style offense?
etc.
Those type of questions cannot be sufficiently answered from his college experience due to the type of offense in which he played, the overall strength of his team, etc.
6/14/60. Sweet.
I do not understand your "surrounding talent" comparisons between Clausen and Bradford
Clausen had great surrounding talent, including perhaps the best receiving core in the entire country. Golden Tate, Michael Floyd, and Kyle Rudolph are all extremely talented receivers and could all possibly end up being first round picks.
Don’t get me wrong, Bradford had great talent around him, but Clausen is not comparable to Matt Ryan when it comes to surrounding talent. Saying, “he played with some receiving talent” is like saying Kurt Warner had “some receiving talent” with the Cards group of Fitz, Boldin, Breaston, Doucet, and Urban .
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 11:50 AM PDT reply actions
He had no running game, a poor line and a poor defense though.
I’m not sure I’d say Clausen’s receivers were significantly better than the guys that Bradford threw to.
Hey no discussing football here...
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions
His running game wasn't that bad
No he didn’t have one guy, but ~1600 yards and 4.7 ypc isn’t exactly bad. Its not dominating, but I wouldn’t say it was bad.
I don't know about that
ND’s running game was ranked 38th in FO’s S&P ratings, and their defense was 52nd. They certainly weren’t great but they weren’t awful either. Armando Allen and Robert Hughes compared to 4.9 and 4.7 YPC compared to Chris Brown and Demarco Murray’s 5.6 YPC. Certainly there’s a difference there but it’s not as though Bradford was handing off to Reggie Bush and CJ Spiller and Clausen was handing off to scrubs.
Bradford had Juaquin Iglesias, Ryan Broyles and Jermaine Gresham to throw to. Gresham is obviously really good, but are the other two receivers comparable to Clausen’s duo? Not really if you ask me. Rudolph and Floyd were both 5 star recruits, and each has a good shot at being a first round pick (Look at Walter Football’s 2011 mock draft, ridiculously early I know, but he’s got Floyd going #6 and Rudolph at #28 overall). Tate obviously could go in the 1st round this year. Iglesias was picked at the end of the 3rd round and was a 3 star recruit out of HS, and Broyles was a 4 star recruit who Bradford only got to play with as a freshman really.
I’m getting pretty in depth here, but basically I don’t see how the argument that Bradford had more surrounding talent than Clausen is valid, and I think you could easily flip the argument around.
Of course, there’s a couple other statements I disagree with too, namely that Bradford faced a weak schedule (Oklahoma had the 2nd hardest schedule in the NCAA in 2008 according to FOs FEI strength of schedule rating, so really that’s a fairly ludicrous statement to me), that Bradford’s lack of a history of failure is a red flag (Really, if Bradford had thrown a bunch of picks and struggled as a freshman you would like him more? I suppose guys like Suh, Crabtree, and Adrian Peterson should have struggled in college too…), or that Clausen’s personality and maturity issues are somehow a positive. Oh, and of course this statement:
What really spins my head though is that the Rams are likely to draft Bradford even though a clearly superior quarterback prospect is available.
How can you call Clausen a clearly superior quarterback prospect when you say Bradford is the consensus best quarterback at the start of the article? Obviously it’s not so clear.
Honestly though I think John is mostly trying to be different and disagreeable, as he seems to do sometimes, and so he’s reaching for reasons to like Clausen better.
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 12:49 PM PDT up reply actions
I like Clausen more because we can get him (maybe)
the same reason I like McCoy more than Suh.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 12:52 PM PDT up reply actions
McCoy is only 2nd because Suh is so good.
McCoy is still rated the 2nd or 3rd best prospect at ANY position on a lot of ranking sites.
Clausen? I don’t understand the hate. He looks much better to me than Bradford, or at least equal. I have more of a problem with Bradford being so high than Clausen.
Its not hate
Its simply a concern that we would be spending franchise QB money on someone will never be a true franchise QB. I completely agree with the theory that Bradford will be even more overpaid than Clausen. I don’t think he is worth it either. I don’t think either one will end up being worth a top 10 pick.
Hate, dislike, whatever.
I see nothing out of Clausen that tells me he can’t be a franchise QB. I’d like to know why you think he doesn’t qualify.
I do not have the time or inclination
to watch enough tape to truly know if a guy has a high probablility of being a franchise QB. Even if I did, I don’t have the background or knowledge to be credible. I rely on the pros. The fact is that the pros aren’t that excited about him. I could be wrong, but on draft day he will probably drop to 8 or 9. On his way to 8 or 9 there will be several teams that made moves to shore up the position for a year or two. That will include Shanahan and Holmgren, who know a thing or two about franchise QBs. Maybe I’m wrong. Maybe teams trade up for him. Right now though it appears that the NFL FO opinion is that they don’t want him as the face of their franchise. So its not a matter of liking him more or less than bradford, or some flaw that I have seen. I see NFL teams getting out of the way of him.
You shouldn't use the Holmgren quote...
he’s already backed off of that statement.
Also Gil Brandt likes Jimmy. He’s probably the most knowledgable of all the “scouts” not on any one team’s payroll.
Delhomme?
Exactly. He’s a one-year or two stop-gap until whomever’s drafted can step in.
Even Clausen, who’s projected as being ready earlier than later, would absolutely benefit from waiting a year to start.
Signing Delhomme means nothing if not that Holmgren WANTS a rookie QB.
I completely disagree
If he was going to have someone for a year or so to give Clausen time, he had them in place already. He spent a lot of money on Delhomme. I think he sees a few years of production out of him and is willing to wait for the right QB. Signing Delhomme shows that the answer isn’t that close.
Perhaps they're hedging their bets by bringing in more than one quarterback
It’s the most important position in football; why wouldn’t you invest in two (or more) potential starters to boost your odds of getting one good one?
I would even suggest the Seahawks appear to be doing just that with Hasselbeck and Whitehurst.
Holmgren is not stupid enough to want Delhomme long-term.
I guarantee it. Delhomme can win a few games as a manager, something Anderson or Quinn couldn’t do.
It’s no big deal to spend money this year.
I agree
But you also don’t spend money like that on Delhomme if its to play one year to groom Clausen. They are paying him 7 mil a year. I think that they are going to draft a QB, but it will be someone like McCoy or even lower that Holmgren thinks can be groomed in a year or so to take over.
Delhomme will also blow a few games with 6 interceptions
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 21, 2010 9:05 AM PDT up reply actions
I completely agree, but
Holmgren has a habit of looking at guys that he thinks he can rescue/develop
The "pro's" are wrong half the time in the first round
And dramatically worse each subsequent round. So…yeah, there’s plenty of room for error.
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 20, 2010 5:05 PM PDT up reply actions
For what it's worth, Mayock doens't like Clausen either...
…whereas he praises Bradford to the stars. The differences are intangibles, and he doesn’t think Clausen has them in sufficient quantities.
Haha.... which intangibles?
Bradford looks like a deer in the headlights right now.
Clausen had how many comebacks?
Theres a pretty huge difference between Allen/Hughes and Murray/Brown, even if it isn't the difference between Bush and a scrub.
Bradford was also playing behind NFL offensive lineman. I’d agree that Clausen had better receivers, but not far and away better, but his offense as a whole was not as good as Oklahoma’s.
As far as schedule goes it’s not too informative to just look at straight SoS to determine what Bradford played against. The Big 10 was good in 08 but it was good because of Texas’s, OSU’s, Mizzou’s and Tech’s offenses, not because of defense. Heres a look at the defensive FEI’s that Clausen and Bradford played against in 08. They’re fairly similar with Clausen seeing more consistently average defenses.
Bradford:
Cin – 27
UW – 112
TCU – 5
Baylor – 95
Texas – 3
Kansas – 75
Kansas State – 98
Nebraska – 78
TAMU – 116
Texas Tech – 21
OSU – 77
Mizzou – 59
Clausen:
San Diego – 114
Michigan – 45
Michigan St – 53
Purdue – 37
Stanford – 74
North Carolina – 13
UW – 112
Pitt – 26
BC – 4
Navy – 86
Syracuse – 80
USC – 2
As far as a history of failure goes I think it’s something that John looks for exclusively in quarterbacks. I might be wrong but I think he looks more for come back situations, times when a QB is down late and has to play both smart as well as move his team and score. I think it’s not so much that he wants to see a QB fail as much as it is he wants to see how they deal with adversity.
As far as Clausen’s personality issues and maturity issues go, I’ve never seen evidence of either. Everyone talks about them and people constantly say the guy is a douche but whats he ever actually done? I understand that he’s not suave like Sanchez (who had his own actual maturity issues both in college and last year but no one seemed to care about that) but I see no reason to think he’s Ryan Leaf.
Thanks dor the info about the defensive rankings
Although you left out the bowl games, and there’s a pretty big difference between Florida and Hawaii.
Anyway, I don’t know how relevant this is, but I totaled up the defensive rankings and divided them by 13 (the number of games each team played in, and here’s what I come up with:
Bradford: 767/13= 59
Clausen: 740/13 = 56.9
So Bradford played against the 59th ranked defense on average and Clausen faced the 56.9 ranked defense on average in 2008. I guess my conclusion from that would be that both faced about average schedules, although it’s hard to know without totalling up those numbers for all the BCS teams. At least it doesn’t seem as though there was much of a difference in the schedule strength between the two, which is good for evaluating purposes.
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 2:23 PM PDT up reply actions
I know
My last comment was not meant to dispute yours, merely to check. It turns out, upon further investigation (at least using my simplistic method), that neither faced a tough schedule.
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 2:54 PM PDT up reply actions
SOS of schedule lumps in offense and defense.
Bradford faced good offenses and below average defenses. That’s obvious in the constituent FEI Stats:
OE (unadjusted): .894
OFF FEI (adjusted): .786
Adjusted down. Weak defensive SOS.
DE (unadjusted): -.036
DEF FEI (adjusted): -.433
Adjusted up, or down since down is better for defense. Simple, Bradford played against great offenses and well below average defenses.
Honestly though I think John is mostly trying to be different and disagreeable, as he seems to do sometimes, and so he’s reaching for reasons to like Clausen better.
You’re wrong.
Is the history of failure question your "Ryan Leaf filter"
That was one of the things that came out of his failure. He had never lost at any level and didn’t know how to deal with it. He claims that it was a major factor in his meltdown.
I think it's even more nuanced than that
In college especially, a quarterback can thrive distributing, making one read, underneath, play action, etc. But when a team is behind, a quarterback must throw against a defense specifically designed to stop the pass. The run pass balance is gone. The huge play action game is diminished. A quarterback must read, must make smart decisions, must throw into smaller windows, must beat the blitz, must do all the things that make a great pro quarterback. It’s the ultimate test of a quarterback and because so many prospects come from hyper talented schools, they never face it.
It is a plus, and something shared by Ryan, Rivers, Roethlisberger, both Mannings, Flacco, Kolb, Cutler, Rodgers
It means, this player has played under adverse conditions at a lower level and succeeded enough to still be recognized.
Work ethic is the Leaf filter
Maybe it is just urban legend but when the Colts asked what they would do when they were drafted Leaf said go to Vegas Manning said get to work they made their choice.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 4:15 PM PDT up reply actions
It could be
But most top college prospects have not had much, if any, failure, at least when it comes to football. I think it has a lot more to do with Ryan Leaf personally than a prerequisite that prospects fail.
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 2:03 PM PDT up reply actions
I don't think the adjusted numbers change anything
The offense is second overall when adjusted for defense, it’s hardly as though the offense was a mirage. They were the second best in college football when adjusting for opponent (obviously), I’m not sure what else you want. They obviously played much tougher opposing offenses than normal, but that doesn’t mean the defenses were bad.
You’re wrong.
John, I think you are a really smart guy. That said, to think you are in a position to evaluate all of your personal biases is foolhardy. With respect, if you are being biased in favor of Clausen I certainly wouldn’t expect you to notice, much less admit it.
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 2:02 PM PDT up reply actions
The adjusted number support my assertion and invalidate yours.
SOS is adjusted up because of tough opposing offenses not defenses. Offense is adjusted down because Oklahoma faced a below average SOS for defenses. The argument was never did Oklahoma have a strong offense, it was, did Bradford face many tough defenses? He didn’t.
As for everything else, don’t make blanket assertions about my biases or my motivations.
He faced 3 top 5 defenses
I’d love to know how many QB’s faced more than that.
As for my speculation on your bias, I don’t understand your problem with it. We all have biases, it’s not as though I’m criticizing your intelligence or something. I did not simply make a blanket assertion, I wrote a fairly lengthy post on which of your statements I disagree with. I certainly have had my biases and motivations questioned here numerous times, and I don’t remember anyone saying that shouldn’t be done. Should we never say anything regarding someone else’s reasoning since we can’t prove why they said it?
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 2:13 PM PDT up reply actions
It's not enough to play against top five defenses.
And it doesn’t help him that his games against Florida and Texas were two of his worst and account for half his interceptions and almost half his picks on the season.
I think you, as a 49ers fan, are consumed by your bias against a Seahawks writer. See how foolish and insubstantial that is? Drop it.
re:
I think you, as a 49ers fan, are consumed by your bias against a Seahawks writer. See how foolish and insubstantial that is? Drop it.
Not really actually, I’ve been accused of that multiple times, and it could be true, although I don’t personally think it is, I think we just have different beliefs. I certainly think it’s not something we should totally dismiss, understanding the reasoning behind people’s opinions seems incredibly important to me, but apparantly we have different beliefs again. ;-)
I shall now end my blanket assertions.
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 2:43 PM PDT up reply actions
Doesn't consensus mean "most people agree?"
It seems like he’s saying Clausen is the superior prospect, but that Bradford is the one most people are saying is better. I don’t think these two things are at odds.
If Clausen
Is clearly superior, then most people shouldn’t think Bradford is better. There’s a wisdom of crowds effect here, I’d have a hard time saying any Prospect A that the collective group of observers has a consensus on as being worse than Prospect B can be clearly a better prospect, and I think that you have too much belief if your own convictions if you say something like that. Clausen could be better, but the odds are against it, and saying he is clearly better is not true.
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 2:27 PM PDT up reply actions
By a crazy man
And he turned out to be a terrible player, that doesn’t mean he was a terrible prospect. Was Brady Quinn a clearly better prospect? I’m not sure how many people you’d get to agree with you, even with three years of results.
Was Kyle Orton a better prospect than Alex Smith? He’s turned out to be a better player, but we didn’t know that before the draft, and the consensus was that Smith was a better prospect before the draft, so to say Orton was clearly a better prospect then would not be true, even if there was always a chance that Orton would be better.
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 2:36 PM PDT up reply actions
It's an opinion. I think Clausen is clearly better. Arguing that it's not right for me to think that because it conflicts with mainstream opinion is asinine and borderline trollish.
It's not trollish in the least
I just don’t understand the logic behind saying someone is undoubtedly and without question (the definition of “clearly” acccording to Google) better than someone else when 90% of the evaluators think he’s worse. But whatever, this isn’t going anywhere. Good for you for having your own opinion. I hope I receive the same treatment.
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 2:52 PM PDT up reply actions
No, consensus means "majority of opinion"
http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/consensus...
Not everyone thinks Bradford is the best QB.
Floyd was a freshman in 2008 and missed 7 games in 2009.
Rudolph is similar: freshman in 2008, missed three games in 2009. I didn’t find either receiver particularly standout, but they are highly rated recruits.
Did you ever take a close look at Tate
The few games that I saw of him impressed the heck out of me.
He plays very much like a converted running back
A better Wes Welker, in a way, but not a consummate receiver. He could be great in the modern NFL.
We won't be in a position to take him
And based on what PC likes in a WR I don’t think we would anyway, but someone is going to get a lot of yards out of him for the next few years.
Converted running backs aren't usually great deep threats though (and neither is Wes Welker by any stretch)
Tate was, at least at Notre Dame.
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 2:15 PM PDT up reply actions
Tate was a threat when you got him the ball in space
Which is what I took from what John said. They used him deep, but it didn’t seem that it was his strength as much.
That's true, he is great after the catch.
I suppose that’s what John meant.
by Brendan Scolari on Apr 20, 2010 2:30 PM PDT up reply actions
It's "corps" not "core"
Sorry I’ve just seen a lot of people make that mistake lately on FG and it’s a pet peeve of mine :)
Though they sink through the Sea, they shall rise again...Death shall have no dominion...
the core of our corps has been a corpse for several years.
by Chirp on Apr 20, 2010 8:03 PM PDT up reply actions 1 recs
Bobby Engram's going to come back as a zombie.
And he’s bringing Darrell Jackson zombie with him.
by B.B.Finnegan on Apr 21, 2010 9:14 AM PDT up reply actions
I honestly don't like either of them
Plus I don’t think that we will be a really good team for a few years.
I also think that there will be a couple of QBs next year who are better than either of these guys and unfortunately we will be in a position to get one of them. No I’m not saying a specific name, I’m just saying in general.
It also depends on if they come out next year
The rookie wage cap may make more of these guys stay the whole 4 years, unless it doesn’t. :P
Is it fair to say Clausen will never be a franchise QB at this point?
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 1:31 PM PDT up reply actions
No its not, he very well could be a "franchise" QB
But it doesn’t seem to be as sure of a thing as others have been. Many years don’t have sure thing franchise QBs and I think we will stink long enough to get one.
The future, difficult to see...
but Clausen had a statistically better junior year than most (all?) of the “franchise” qbs in the league today had when they were juniors.
I don't think Clausen is a bad pick for us at 6
I think the big variables for guys with decent work ethics is continuity and a front office committed to building around them. Clausen is not like Young or Tebow who have to adjust to staying in the pocket and throwing the ball. Smith, Harrington, and the long line of busts who came in and were expected to save franchises were never given the chance to develop and always had to learn a new system every year.
If we can keep Bates, Gibbs, et al. for a few years then it is a great pick.
6 - Williams/Bulaga, 14 - Spiller, 60 - Houston
6 - McCoy, 14 - Brown, 60 - Hardesty
6 - Berry, 14 - Brown, 60 - Houston
Either way it is pretty bad ass
by Generzal Zod on Apr 20, 2010 4:28 PM PDT up reply actions
Personally, I think we should draft Clausen and see what happens.
Take him. Then wait for offers to come in. None do, put him in at #2 QB.

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