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Seahawks vs 49ers: Know Your Enemy, the Niners Nation

I've had the opportunity to meet, and work with, the editor of Niners Nation and SBN Bay Area, David Fucillo, and it's safe to say that he knows his San Francisco 49ers (not to mention pretty much every other sport that happens in the Bay Area... or Earth). David was nice enough to trade scouting reports with me on this weekend's game and I have to say he provided a really thorough, honest look at the Seahawks opponent this Saturday.

Here's what he had to say..

DK: What do you think has been the biggest difference in this year's team from last? A lot of people are quick to call Jim Harbaugh the coach of the year but do you think there are other factors at play?

DF: The 49ers winning ways are due to a few factors. Jim Harbaugh is the face of the change and his work with the team has been key. He brings a motivational factor that does more than what Mike Singletary tried. As soon as he was hired he got together with Alex Smith and seemed to get in his corner from the get go. I think he realized that the lockout was coming and Smith was really the best option he had for 2011. Whether he is the long term answer is another question entirely, but for this year, I think Harbaugh's handling of Smith has been superb.

However, in Coach Harbaugh, the team also got a great coaching staff. Defensive coordinator Vic Fangio has taken a defense with modest but not huge turnover and has turned it from a strong unit to a great unit. Greg Roman gets questioned by fans rather frequently, but I think the offense is providing more than it has in recent years.

Arguably the biggest factor "off the field" has been GM Trent Baalke. Although he has had some misses in free agency and the draft, he had arguably the best offseason of any GM in the NFL. He hit on Carlos Rogers, Donte Whitner, letting Takeo Spikes walk (replaced by NaVorro Bowman), letting Aubrayo Franklin walk (replaced by Isaac Sopoaga at NT and Ray McDonald moving in at DE), drafting Aldon Smith, Bruce Miller and Chris Culliver, signing David Akers.

People say the 49ers are very similar to last year and thus think Harbaugh is the difference. However, if you look closer at the roster, there are significant changes and Baalke hit on most of those changes.

DK: The 49ers defense has been very strong, anchored by Justin Smith and newcomer Aldon Smith. What will the 49ers do to stop the Seahawks and are there any less heralded players on the D that we should watch for?

DF: The 49ers defense has been a significant team effort. Justin Smith has been the anchor of the defense, but the contributions come across the board. Aldon Smith is getting much of the publicity lately as he is closing in on Jevon Kearse's rookie sack record. He is primarily playing in the team's nickel defense, which means more snaps against passing teams that throw out frequent three receiver sets, and fewer snaps against more traditional offenses. The good news for the 49ers is he has taken advantage of his opportunities even if he is not an every down player.

The rush defense has really been the key for this team. The front seven is technically sound in tackling and maintaining discipline, which has allowed them to avoid giving up too many big runs. They haven't given up a 100-yard rusher or a rushing touchdown this season, and I think part of that is due to the athleticism and tackling ability of their front seven. They will potentially be without Patrick Willis, which hurts, but Larry Grant has played extremely well in his place.

The pass defense is an interesting one. They give up a fair amount of yards between the 20s, but like the rest of the defense, they clamp down in the red zone. The 49ers have a ball-hawking secondary that will sometimes take a few too many risks and it can burn them. However, much of their risks come through the scheming of Vic Fangio and the team's risk-taking is often fairly well calculated.

NaVorro Bowman is a guy to keep an eye on this Saturday. He leads the team in tackles and handles much of the dirty work while Patrick Willis has dropped back in coverage a bit more.

DK: On offense, how will the 49ers look to attack the Seahawks? Who are Alex Smith's main targets and who does he have the most rapport with? Can we expect Frank Gore to be 100%?

DF: The 49ers will look to establish the run game on offense. Early in the season, Frank Gore struggled to get much going. The offensive line has come together a bit better and Gore has benefited to a certain extent. He has been banged up at times this season, but he seems to be back on track. The team has mixed in backup rookie RB Kendall Hunter a bit more frequently. He can help spell Gore, but he also brings a speedier element out of the backfield.

In the passing game, Michael Crabtree has emerged as Alex Smith's primary weapon. He looks elsewhere, but Crabtree has been his main guy. In recent weeks, he has looked Kyle Williams way a bit more frequently. The second year player was drafted in the sixth round and has excellent acceleration but had not been able to work his way into the rotation. However, injuries to Josh Morgan and Braylon Edwards provided some opportunities and he has begun to take advantage of them.

DK: We all know about Aldon Smith and his quest to get the Rookie Sack record, but what other players in the 49ers rookie class have produced or shown some potential?

DF: Cornerback Chris Culliver has emerged as a solid option for the 49ers. He converted from safety to cornerback late in college and is still learning the position, but he has emerged as the team's #3 cornerback. I'd imagine Seattlewill try and attack him during the game. He has his struggles at times but you can see the talent.

Kendall Hunter has been fairly solid as a backup behind Frank Gore. He hasn't gotten a ton of consistent work, but he brings some great speed out of the backfield. He has been particularly solid on passes out of the backfield.

While Aldon Smith has been the highest profile pick for the 49ers, fullback Bruce Miller has been the best under the radar pick. He was drafted in the seventh round as a defensive end/OLB but with the plan to convert him to fullback. He has made the transition and within a few weeks had emerged as the team's starting fullback. It has been pretty amazing how quickly he has made the conversion, but he has been integral to the 49ers run game.

DK: Score prediction, and why?

DF: I'll go with 49ers winning 24-13. Marshawn Lynch has been key to this offense and if the 49ers are going to win it will be because they have contained him. Given that I never actually pick against the 49ers (and thus never bet on them), logic dictates they will contain him in my mind. Although Steven Jackson is a tough test next week, Lynch has been circled on the calendar the last few weeks given his recent performances. The 49ers rushing touchdown record (first to give up no rushing touchdowns through the first 14 games of the season) has become a note of pride for the defense.

I included at least one Seattle touchdown in part because the 49ers secondary occasionally shows a frustrating ability to get burned deep. I could see Doug Baldwin hauling in a long pass for a score. The 49ers offense showed some red zone improvement last week against the Steelers and will need to execute well in the red zone again to get up over 20 points.

***********************

Big thanks to Fooch for taking the time out of his insanely busy schedule to answer my questions, much appreciated!

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Good stuff

Thanks for the Niners insight. Great to hear about all of the different pieces contributing to your success down there. Of course, I think you are wrong and I can’t wait to see the rain of Skittles come down as Beast Mo’ struts into the endzone in the final minutes putting the score at 17-6 Seattle, but I am also biased..

Should be a great game!

by Cj Klocow on Dec 23, 2011 8:39 AM PST reply actions  

Niners fans always seem to be able to take time out of their busy schedules to brag about the Niners...

Eternally looking forward to someone making a Seahawks song based off of Lil' Jon's "Shots" song named "Hawks!"

by Bobby Cink on Dec 23, 2011 8:55 AM PST via Android app reply actions  

As do Hawk fans

Funny how fans are about the teams they love. I have the Niners laying an egg like they did in Arizona. I’ll say 20-9 Seahawks. I do think the run D will hold up and contain, but the Seahawks should have no problem with our pass D, and Alex hasn’t thrown a pick 6 all year, which is shocking. I’m thinking a passing TD and a defensive TD will happen tomorrow. The Clink is the craziest crowd there is, and if you’ve watched any Niner away games, even though their road record is impressive this year, they really can’t communicate that well. I’ll be shocked if our right tackle Anthony Davis, and Vernon Davis, don’t have at least a couple false starts a piece, and that will be the reason we won’t find the endzone in the pacific northwest. David Akers will go field goal crazy again. I am truly excited to cheer for my team during the playoffs for the first time since I was a child though.

by ninerchip on Dec 23, 2011 9:27 AM PST up reply actions  

I think the winner is going to be the team that plays mistake-free football.

The Niners have done an excellent job of doing that. I just hope that the Hawks can force some big turnovers and put them on their heels early.

Eternally looking forward to someone making a Seahawks song based off of Lil' Jon's "Shots" song named "Hawks!"

by Bobby Cink on Dec 23, 2011 9:50 AM PST via Android app up reply actions  

It's actually a fascinating matchup.

Niners’ never-allow-a-TD run defense vs. Seahawks’ always-score-a-TD run offense. Niners’ run-oriented offense that never turns the ball over vs. Seahawks’ defense that gives up yards but forces lots of turnovers. High stakes and big playoff implications for both teams. Divisional rivalry with coaches who loathe each other. And the one man you really don’t want to piss off under any circumstances — Jon Ryan — looking for revenge. The difference, unfortunately, might be Seattle’s JV offensive tackles trying to stop the Smiths. Should be a great game all the way.

by Suburban Shocker on Dec 23, 2011 2:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Isn't it just time the 49ers were good

I put the 9ers and lions in the same category, they could only fuck it up for so long. The 9ers have had high picks for 9 years and the fact they are playing good now goes to show you if you suck long enough, even if you constantly make bad choices, at some point you’ll have enough talent on the rosted to make something happen.

I love how 9ers fans like to say Harbaugh turned the team around, no 9 losing seasons and the subsequent high picks turned your team around. THE FACT SEATTLE WON THE DIVISION WITH 7 WINS LAST YEAR IS A DIRECT RESULT OF THE 9ERS BEING A JOKE FOR THE PAST DECADE.

by steverolley on Dec 23, 2011 9:14 AM PST reply actions   2 recs

This is Significant

Because the Rams have been worse, and it is impressive to see what happens when a GM makes good decisions. Other than JS/PC, the Niners did some very impressive moves that made me scratch my head earlier in the year, but are baring fruit now for them. Kudos.

This will be the rivalry for the NFC west for years to come. Both teams are physical, intimidating, and are to the point where if an opponent looks at their schedule, they are going to see Seattle or San Fran, and go OH SHIT! We have to play them? At their place?

It’s a good feeling.

Live work and breathe like an optimist.

by JRock419 on Dec 23, 2011 10:00 AM PST up reply actions  

The Rams will be good next year

They started their season with a brutal schedule and shortly after lost all of their starting secondary and all of their backup secondary. Bradford has been banged up too. The Josh McDaniel hiring looks like a mistake and they were relying on too many old players but I think that they ended up a lot like the Niners last year with the tough opening schedule. The only difference is that the Rams don’t have enough healthy players to make a late season run like the Niners did last year.

by Billy Showbiz on Dec 24, 2011 12:05 PM PST up reply actions  

I would sure like this explained to me better

Since we’ve been missing on 1st round draft picks for that entire period.

With the 1st pick in 2005 we took Alex Smith. Nuff Said.
With the 6th and 22nd in 2006 we took Vernon Davis and Manny Lawson — Vernon is a ballerina in a beasts body who can’t catch with his hands and avoids contact. Manny was a bust in the 3-4 and got shipped out.
With the 11th and 28th in 2007 we took Patrick Willis and Joe Staley. Willis granted is All-History at the position, but Staley is below average at LT.
2008 was the year of Kentwan Balmer. Nuff Said.
2009 was the year we spent the 10th pick on Michael Crabtree who has looked like a colossal bust until the last several games.
With the 11th and 17th in 2010 we took Iupati and Anthony Davis — two guards with potential. We decided Davis was good enough to play tackle and he’s been consistently one of the worst 5 tackles in the league.

6 years, 8 first round picks and the only guys we have that would start on more than half the teams in the league are Willis, Iupati, and Vernon — and Vernon is going to be a close call there.

Want to talk second round?

David Baas, Chilo Rachal, Taylor Mays.

This team despite it’s high draft picks for the last decade was stacked with poor talent and underachievers. We turned over 1/3rd of our roster this year and that combined with better coaching is why we turned around our record.

Every time Jamie Dukes says something enlightening and informative about football Jerry Rice and I mount up on our flying grizzly bears and claim pirate treasure from the moon. That's how often it happens.

by Ougadas on Dec 24, 2011 12:28 AM PST up reply actions  

Jesus Christ.

Thank you for being honest about Vernon Davis.

Wanted: Franchise Quarterback

It's Great To Be a Florida Gator!

by Wayward Llama on Dec 24, 2011 3:36 AM PST up reply actions  

I don't agree with the draft logic either

You did a nice job explaining it too. The Niners did come into the year with some really solid pieces though. Willis, Justin Smith, Bowman was a nice pick last year in the 2nd round I think? Frank Gore has been a stud for years behind less than excellent lines. Anthony Davis can’t pass block but he appears to be a pretty strong run blocker, same with Vernon Davis, the guy can block even if he is not the best WR. I believe that Balke had lots of help from Harbaugh in putting this roster together. He knew that they had a strong running game with Gore and the run blocking line including Vernon. He knew that they had some really good defensive pieces who were leaders and core type players. Harbaugh really does deserve all of the credit in my view even though I hate him.

The thing is that you are not going to get any sympathy from Seahawks fans for poor drafting. The only good defensive players who were already good before Pete arrived were Mebane and Leroy Hill (who was sliding into obscurity before Pete got there). On offense we have an entirely new group. The point is that while you guys turned over 1/3 of your roster, we turned over about 95% of ours.

by Billy Showbiz on Dec 24, 2011 12:22 PM PST up reply actions  

It'd be kinda nice if we could behave ourselves a little better, regardless of how each of us may feel about the Niners.

Fooch is an awesome blogger, and definitely doesn’t fall into the category of 99% of the Niners fans that we can’t stand.

This may be a standard type of post on most SB Nation blogs, but he obviously put a good deal of thought into this, so it’d be nice to see a larger measure of politeness in the comments, like we were able to maintain in the “ask” thread.

The artist formerly known as mattlock.

Twitter! -- Facebook!

by Matt Erickson on Dec 23, 2011 11:10 AM PST reply actions   2 recs

Yawn.

The comments in this thread are fine and the ones in the others are far, far nicer than they were in week one.

Wanted: Franchise Quarterback

It's Great To Be a Florida Gator!

by Wayward Llama on Dec 23, 2011 11:23 AM PST up reply actions   2 recs

I was thinking

This was pretty tame. I love Fooch’s stuff on their site, it’s interesting to read, and informative.

The only thing I don’t agree with is the score.

Live work and breathe like an optimist.

by JRock419 on Dec 23, 2011 1:09 PM PST up reply actions  

Enjoyed the insight. Thanks for the answers Mr. Fucillo.

I have to disagree with the prediction but I can appreciate the sentiment. I never pick the Hawks to lose either.

"If you want your dreams to come true, don't sleep in."

by kelly20210 on Dec 23, 2011 12:59 PM PST reply actions   2 recs

Awww, we don't get a reversal?

I’d love to see Fucillo answer a few of Danny’s questions about the 9ers

by Agent_J on Dec 23, 2011 1:15 PM PST reply actions  

Now why do we need or want a score prediction

from a guy who admittedly never picks against the Niners? What purpose is served by that?

by Harvey Manfrengenson on Dec 23, 2011 1:42 PM PST reply actions  

Sorry Niners. It's time to Hold-muh-Diiick

http://www.infinitelooper.com/?v=6KiraHlRXnE#/43;48

Hope it’s a close fun game. I am loving how this could be the start of a decent rivalry.

by goatweed on Dec 23, 2011 3:23 PM PST reply actions  

I think it's been a rivalry for a while.

It started back in the days of this

and this

And the fact that the Buffer Void between California and Washington is filled with bandwagon fans of whoever is better at the time, so it’s just bound to happen.

Wanted: Franchise Quarterback

It's Great To Be a Florida Gator!

by Wayward Llama on Dec 23, 2011 4:05 PM PST up reply actions   1 recs

I miss Rocky Bernard and his sugar bake :(

"You are the molders of their dreams." - Clark Mollenhoff

by EequalsMc2 on Dec 23, 2011 6:17 PM PST up reply actions  

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