Seahawks Lose to 49ers: Playoff Bubble has Burst, but the Future is Bright
First and foremost Merry Christmas.
Unfortunately we're not sitting here thinking about a hard-fought Seahawks win, a result that certainly could've been had yesterday. They lost a war of a football game, one that was an absolute energy sucker of a game to attend. There were twists and turns, after the whistle hits with no accompanying penalty flags, multiple one play momentum changes, oodles of nerves; a rekindled NFC West rivalry at its best for about three hours.
The momentum bubble is much, much smaller than it was about 24 hours ago. And in reality, a win against the 49ers would've been a very big deal and somewhat unexpected. Even though I really wanted this game, I'm not too disappointed over this loss due to the grand scheme of things.
At the end of the second quarter of last week's victory at Chicago, when Anthony Hargrove sacked Caleb Haine, I began thinking about the 2010 comeback victory against the Panthers, when Raheem Brock sacked Jimmy Clausen to end the first half. After the Seahawks scored 31 unanswered to beat the Bears and used an early third quarter defensive touchdown from a team leader to energize the comeback, the comparison became one I thought about semi-regularly over the past week.
I do feel as though that 2010 team and this current team are very different. That comeback win was "mystical" and unexpected; the win in Chicago was a semblance of validation for the ‘beastmode identity." But the other reason why the comparison wouldn't leave my head is because of the team the Seahawks played after both of those victories; the 49ers. Though, last year's 40-21, Week 14 loss was in The Bay and this loss was at home. Not to mention, the 49ers have an entirely different staff.
However, what I'm getting at here is that this opportunity and that opportunity were both unique, in the sense that both games versus the 49ers followed absolutely dashing comeback wins; games where the bounce back could quite easily be a let down. The bounce back game last year was a huge let down, while this one was hard fought until the end.
Though mystique wasn't a topic of conversation after last week's win, I think few were unsurprised by how strongly they came back. I certainly didn't think 31 in a row were coming. That said, this is a program in a completely different place than when they lost in Week 14 last season. That team got blown out in nine of their ten losses; this team was in it to the end in at least half of their eight losses to this point.
Earlier in the season, Jacson wrote about the loss in Dallas being not just any loss; it was a loss that showed the foundation for a championship team is being built, the pieces beginning to settle into place are a consolation for the struggles. Coincidentally, that's the game where the Seahawks shifted their offensive identity to what we've seen over the second half of the season. This experience of watching the team beginning to grow, I think, has been somewhat mystical because the shift was so sudden, coming after a few steps backwards. Sometimes a step forward comes after two steps back.
The loss to the 49ers shows that this Seahawks team can hang with anyone, despite the injuries and holes on the roster. They've taken a step in the right direction, at least enough so that they feel capable of playing to anybody's level. There are a lot of questions going forward about the roster for next year, but it's worth acknowledging this team recovered from having their continuity severely hampered by the lockout and then a 2-6 start. Heck, they were alive in the playoff race through Week 16.
This team and staff are still really young. This is a different team than the one that lost to Atlanta, more mature than the one that lost in Dallas. We saw this team lose a tough battle on Saturday, but they are still gathering pieces for the greater year to year war. I'm not closing the book on the 2011 season, because 8-8 is still a possibility and that would be "improvement."
Rather, consider this a realization that this team is still not there yet, which isn't to say that any of us thought they were there. But, it's becoming more believable that this organization is for real and they are just getting started. It's becoming more believable that next year is something to look forward to, hopefully recovered to full health and a possessing a stash of new, young talent.
On Saturday, the 2011 NFC West Champs were too much for the budding Seahawks. But today, on Christmas, I'm considering it a gift that it's becoming very believable the stage is set for this team to keep rising in the years to come.
Shorter Thoughts Review of Week 16
Offense
I had the following two texting interactions pre-game. Consider this my version of what my pregame tweets would've been.
--A friend of mine wanted an assessment of Baldwin's health. From my seat, I texted him saying he "looks ok. Dunno if he is full go though." I got nervous when Baldwin dropped that first pass. Even though he scored and downed another punt on the five, this wasn't his best game.
--I texted Danny that Ricardo Lockette - known as "rocket" to Pete Carroll - was "active and looking speedy." Given that Carroll had been talking about Rockette all week, I felt the deep ball coming. This was Pete Carroll's new toy, was he really not going to use him? I'm bummed his only other look was a bad throw, which was after a solid route. More Rockette in Week 17, please.
--I liked seeing us spread it out early before establishing the run. It may have helped open up the field.
--This looked like an absolute war in the trenches; on some plays the Seahawks got great push, on others the 49ers defense was penetrating and even pushing Lynch backwards. On the whole, 4.7 yards per carry against this defense is a strong effort.
--Only two 20-plus yard plays isn't enough to beat one of the league's top defenses.
--2 for 3 in the redzone and 1 for 2 in goal to go situations aren't bad. That one missed opportunity, however, I think was very, very costly in the end. 14-3 would have been much more threatening than 10-3 was.
--This was an eye opening day for me in regards to T-Jax and the quarterback position in the near future, and not in a good way. He threw the ball high or off target too often. He's been carelessly swinging the ball around all year when he scrambles (which, by the way, doesn't appear to be a strength as some may have believed it would be heading into his tenure with the Seahawks) and it bothers the hell out of me. In this game his bad habit of sub-optimal ball security when running caused the back-breaking turnover.
--The final drive, and especially the 4th down throw to Miller, is one too many times of Jackson being incapable of leading a comeback this season for me to feel comfortable with him being the sure-fire starter into next year - I'm not saying bench him, but he has to improve pocket awareness, plain and simple. Dude's toughness is absolutely undeniable, but today he squandered a chance to potentially make this his team for the near future. The fact that the stadium began to clear out at the 2:57 mark - the second to last time the Seahawks had the ball - was a horrible sign to me that this fan base maybe does have minimal confidence in Jackson. Maybe that's too sweeping of a statement, but watching the isles fill when the game was nowhere near over was disheartening.
--No first downs in the 3rd quarter and they had one first down by yardage in the second half. C'Mon, Man!
--Marshawn Lynch was split wide nearly a handful of times in this game. The offset I was used often again as well.
--On the 3rd down play before the booth review occurred, at the end of the second quarter, Golden Tate was at running back and Lynch was at fullback. I was really looking forward to that play happening, as it was a variation on the unsuccessful Washington pitch from the week before.
Defense
--David Hawthorne and Alan Branch stood out. They played with some nasty, as did Mebane and Bam Bam Kam. Atari Bigby flashed physicality we haven't seen recently, notably with a special teams play and shoestring tackle on Gore early in the game.
--It seemed like more 4-3 and less scheme variation in this one. I noticed very little 3-4, if at all.
--The 49ers had 35 total yards and one first down in the second quarter.
--Even though the Seahawks had the lead at half and were sticking with the 49ers punch for punch, my concern was that the 49ers may gain an offensive rhythm in the second half. The inside power running game was working in the first half and the 49ers seemed primed to hit their stride.
--The opening drive of the second half was a complete momentum shifter. The defense missed what would have been a huge sack on 3rd down - how the Seahawks couldn't get Smith down on this play, especially considering he bobbled the snap, was befuddling - before the 49ers attacked the sidelines via the air, over top of the Seahawks linebackers. Danny already noted, but this was a rough drive for Leroy Hill.
--The 49ers had 122 total yards and nine first downs at halftime. They had 268 and 18 after three quarters. They really got the inside power running game going, as feared. 178 yards rushing on the game is way too many. The run defense has been exposed up the middle over the past few weeks to a month. There is still a piece or two needed in the front seven for this run defense to be complete. The Seahwks need depth on the line and at linebacker.
--K.J. Wright had his first quiet game in a while.
--Chris Clemons needs an edge rushing mate.
--There were open receivers in the flat after Alex Smith evaded pressure on too many occasions. Too much Alex Smith scrambling for positive yards too.
--I felt like the 49ers were pretty prepared for our blitz package. On Hill's sack memory says there were three blitzers, and I remember Kam getting through on one blitz and forcing an incompletion. Otherwise, I felt like they handled our pressure well.
--I'm not shy about liking Brandon Browner, but this wasn't his best game, at all. He was quiet as a physical force on the edge and in real time, I thought he was getting ready to jump and make a play on the 2nd and 17, 41-yard bomb. I thought he was tracking, but there was no play on the ball. This reminded me of the Redskins 3rd and long bomb (my guess is I'm not the only one); another back breaker. This is the type of game that shows his play can still go to another level, and that's the upside. Hopefully, he gets there.
--On the other side, I thought Richard Sherman stood out as a tackler. Teams have figured out he's susceptible to the double move, though. And he may have gotten away with a PI on his second pass defense, but being three quarters of the stadium up and on the other side of the field, I could be totally off.
Special Teams
--I couldn't see the helmet to helmet call on Robinson. To me, it looked like Kyle Williams simply slipped and someone came in at the end of the play. Still haven't seen a replay, but tough call there. We all thought it was Seahawks football.
--The blocking by the kick return unit was atrocious in the second half. On the first kickoff Justin Forsett got completely turned around and missed his man, and that's who made the play. On the second return, it looked like the entire left side of the kickoff team collapsed. Punt coverage was suspect, too. Do the 49ers have a tell on our special teams?
--On the Heath Farwell block, Golden Tate was back deep with Washington. He was for the last one, too.
--Chris Maragos is becoming my favorite special teams player. He's just always in there.
--Two of the best punters in the NFL played in this game.
--This is more of an open thought; were expectations for Leon's season too high after last year, or was this a down year for him? I feel like the kick return unit never quite got in sync this season.
--David Akers' 4-5 performance - his only miss coming from I believe outside 50 - was impressive. So is his NFL record 42 field goals on the year.
Miscellaneous
- The whole third down, time out, late review situation at the end of the second quarter was a fiasco. I think not scoring a touchdown here was a major momentum shift, even though the 49ers didn't capitalize on their next possession. This was a chance to put the 49ers in a hole, and not give them the chance to tie it early in the 3rdquarter.
--During previously said fiasco into the end of the half, the stadium film crew told/showed us the Lions scored 24 in the first half not once, but twice; groans galore. That game score wasn't on the scoreboard the entire second half.
--The pregame handshake was very professional. No jawing, just handshakes and "good games". On the opening kickoff, it all changed. The 49ers made it known they were here to play, and the war was on. Surprisingly, they let the players' rumble while pushing the boundaries of the rule book. From afar, it looked chippy and questionable that there were no flags. I'm curious to see the broadcast.
--When the Seahawks got inside the redzone at the end of the second quarter, the crowd started chanting "Beast, Beast, Beast." During the uber long play stoppage, the chants turned into "Beastmode, Beastmode, Beastmode." That crowd wanted to end the 49ers' no rushing TD allowed streak. They got their wish.
--Employees were sweeping up Skittles out of the end zone during the TV timeouts after Lynch's touchdown.
-- Where's the no huddle? I think it needs to be mixed in, as it keeps the defense a bit off balance and lets the passing game strike a rhythm. I'm not talking no huddle heavy, but use it as a tool to facilitate explosive offense and the vertical passing game.
--My from-out-of-town, not-Seahawks-fan uncle kept saying "this is one play from being a different game" as the second half droned on and the crowd got restless. He was right. Unfortunately, the 49ers were one drive away from going back ahead. .
--At the time, I thought they needed to go for it on 4th down in 49ers territory, badly needing to create some offense. They needed assurance that the offense could function if they needed it later on, which they did and it didn't. I think in the end it hurt, as the Lynch run was only one play and not exemplary of the second half offense in general. The ending was just too stale and they looked too out of sync. I hope they take some offensive risks next week in preparation for offseason evaluation.
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The future is indeed bright
Great write-up. Seattle and San Francisco will be the contenders in the NFC West. Not quite sure on Arizona yet as they’ve largely gotten away with OT wins against terrible football teams. But they’re not that bad, either.
It should be fun next year.
OT but screw you Comcast. Cable gone throughout Seattle and not restored for up to 4 hours.
Read my tweets or whatever - @SSReporters
by SSreporters on Dec 25, 2011 11:58 AM PST reply actions 1 recs
Sherman:
One particular play that stood out to me: The Niners ran a toss to Gore and the Niner’s right tackle got out to the edge and tried to lock up on Sherman. Sherman engaged the blocker, shed him and wrapped up Gore for a short gain. The play would have been impressive if it was one of our LBs out there but from a corner. That’s incredible.
"If you want your dreams to come true, don't sleep in."
Also I was at the game so I didn't get a lot of second looks at the plays but
did Gore seem a step slow yesterday when he got into the second level.
"If you want your dreams to come true, don't sleep in."
Yup, that was one of the plays that caught my attention.
I love that the FO wants corners that can play like a safety.
Gore had a hurting knee about a month ago, and he’s been getting limited touches at times. He’s never been a burner, but the open field tackle Sherman made on Gore early – where Gore tried to juke, but couldn’t shed Sherman – made me think he wasn’t fully right. Gore is usually so tough to take down, 1 on 1.
by Charlie Todaro on Dec 25, 2011 12:59 PM PST up reply actions
Gore isn't fully right or it's simply a guy who'll be 29 in may and is already
already closing in on 2000 touches for his career. Honestly I feel like he’s beginning to break down and is probably already in decline.
"If you want your dreams to come true, don't sleep in."
Just looked up Gore's 40 time, ran a 4.55-4.6 coming out.
by Charlie Todaro on Dec 25, 2011 1:05 PM PST up reply actions
Post game 15 thoughts
1) End of the 1st half.
- Uhmmm… all of the players should have known the snap count. I guess ultimately you hold the QB responsible for that, but really half the team was on a different count than Unger, Tarvaris, and Lynch.
- Tarvaris should have been able to beat one man at the goal line for 1 yard. Good that he was able to get to the edge, bad that he couldn’t get 1 yard with a good 10 yards on the edge to work with.
- Carroll HAD to go for it on 4th and goal. You are going up against your division rival, playing a much better team, playing at home, dominating in the run game, playoff hopes on the line, swear up and down for two years you are building a run first team, and you have the ball on the one yard line. What happened to Carroll’s “big balls”? Coaching failure. Running the ball was a statement that would echo for the rest of the game, season and the next 3-4 years. Harbaugh went for it several times on 4th and short and came out ahead in his gambles.
2) Second half defense
- secondary was way out of sorts, lots of players looking unsure and drifting around in open space. Sherman and Browner were manhandled by Crabtree (who is one of the most physical receivers in the league who is just starting to come into his own after 3 years in the league, and a tough matchup for most corners). Kam Chancellor was not a factor. ET even looked lost on a number of plays.
- run defense was mediocre. SF has invested as much in their OL as we have in ours, but have drafted much more for bruising, overpowering, nasty run blockers than we have. Our central DL took up linemen – like they are supposed to – but our LBs just seemed a step behind the play. How many 1st down runs of 5-7 yards did Gore have?
- LBs are the weakest link on the defense, unable to fill gaps at the line in a timely manner, unable to cover Vernon Davis at the end of the game, unable to get to the QB…
- Alex Smith looked like Shady McCoy, mostly against our LBs, but I think it’s quite probable that each one of the starters missed a “gimme” sack. Didn’t know Smith could be that elusive.
3) QB play
- Beekers is right. What we saw from Tarv is exactly what we should have expected. A moderately efficient performance that is neither spectacular or horrible. Tarv actually had a pretty good game against the #1 scoring defense in the NFL (least points allowed).
- On the fumble, Tarv actually was not swinging the ball around that much and had it pulled in pretty close. I’d love to see him carry it like a FB, but that was a full on power strip and would’ve knocked the ball loose from almost any QB. Still, he did not protect the ball, and that is his fault, but it was a great defensive play.
- Only one turnover for the offense all game. Not bad against the Niners.
4) Offensive futility in the 2nd half
- playcalling seemed conservative. There were several plays where TJax actually had time in the pocket to let routes develop, and all 3 receivers were still within 10-15 yards of the LOS. How about a deep route more than once in the first 2 minutes and then in the last 2 minutes? Coaches? Anyone?
- If you are going that conservative, Marshawn should have had 30 carries.
- Justin Forsett…. really? really? we still had a reasonable chance to win before he stayed inbounds for 1 extra yard, killing 12 of 35 seconds and a much need down. REALLY?
5) Special teams was atrocious
- Washington was absolutely awful on decision making. His yardage stats are probably decent, but a 20 yard return from 6 yards deep is not acceptable. The flip side is that SFs kick and punt coverage is pretty stellar, given that the return game is a strength for the Hawks, and they completely stonewalled us.
- Kick coverage was bad, punt coverage was abysmal (except for Baldwin)
- The blocked punt was a highlight, but the offense was so poor overall that without this turnover, we would have likely have lost 19-10.
6) Seahawks were damn impressive in nearly winning this game
- The Niners are 12-3 for a reason. What is that reason? They are damn good. How good? Second best record in the NFL good, tied with NE good, better than Pittsburgh and the Ravens good, better than Houston and Atlanta good, better than anyone in the NFC east good.
- How good are the Seahawks? The 2nd best team in the NFL can only beat us by two points even when our team is starting the 6th, 7th, and 8th OL on the roster and an incredibly young receiving corps that has a grand total of 231 career receptions (Obomanu 80, Butler 54, Baldwin 48, Tate 48, Lockette 1) and is missing it’s best threat.
- Hawks held SF 4 points below their season average. Hawks scored 4 more points than SFs average allowed. We were 2.5 point underdogs in the game. The Hawks played exactly as Vegas predicted, and 8 net points better than the average team SF has played this year (5 net points better if you discount the generally accepted homefield advantage 3 points).
Merry Christmas to all the Christians. Happy Sunday to the rest of y’all.
Smashmouth is the new sexy!
by pqlqi on Dec 25, 2011 1:45 PM PST reply actions 2 recs
Good call on the end of game play calling.
I feel like the route combinations not being conducive to getting chunks of yards at the end of games is becoming a recurring theme with comeback bids.
The Forsett stay-inbounds play was really boneheaded, I agree.
by Charlie Todaro on Dec 25, 2011 4:04 PM PST up reply actions
i thought they needed to go deep a couple times a quarter, keep their safeties
and ILB/MLB guessing.
Smashmouth is the new sexy!
Your number 1 point
Absolutely. After the mincy-fraidy-cat fg to make it 10-3 I felt unmanned.
Most of my cliches aren't original.
- Chuck Knox
There was helmet to helmet contact, but it was not the initial contact.
Robinson and whoever the other guy was both hit shoulder first, and then Williams’ head bounced against Robinson’s.
If it's any consolation...
The ’Hawks were eliminated this week with or without our loss.
Most of my cliches aren't original.
- Chuck Knox
The 41-yard catch
Was indeed a killer, but on the replay it was simply thus: a perfect, high-arcing rainbow pass and a great catch. In the replay, it didn’t look like Browner had a legit play on the ball.
When Robinson hit Williams on the helmet-to-helmet, Williams was on his knees, thus the nano-second Robinson hits him, he was down. The penalty is debatable
On Alex Smith’s bobbled-snap-super-scramble, rather than just tackle his ass, it looked like Hill was trying to make a highlight reel; he went too high.
I was unsettled by the ballsiness of the Niners constantly going for it on 4th down and the Seahawks kicking a 19-yard F*G. At the time, the ‘Hawks were up 7-3 and in control. I thought 10-3 was a Niner win, and from that moment I felt they had the momentum and didn’t surrender it until 17-16 (which they quickly got back).
Most of my cliches aren't original.
- Chuck Knox
T Jax can't win
He has had a chance for game winning drives numerous times this year and hasn’t even been close. He lost that game, Alex Smith beat him, enough said.
He had his chance on the broken play to put his head down and get 1 yard for the td and he couldn’t get it done. He’s not a good qb, time to move on.
Trade a 2nd rounder and Sherman for Kolb
Smashmouth is the new sexy!


































