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NFL Draft Sleeper Picks - Danny Kelly Edition

BERKELEY CA - NOVEMBER 13:  Jeff Maehl #23 of the Oregon Ducks outruns Josh Hill #23 of the California Golden Bears to score a touchdown at California Memorial Stadium on November 13 2010 in Berkeley California.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)

Because everyone loves a good sleeper pick, I thought I'd compile a little list of guys that I think have a chance of being good value for the team that picks them in the later rounds and may even be a good pick for the Hawks somewhere on the 2nd or 3rd days. In my research I've come across some intriguing guys so here are some to keep an eye on when Saturday rolls around.

Star-divide

Stanford CB Richard Sherman

Sherman is a 5th year senior that made the transition from wide receiver to corner in 2009 so he's very inexperienced at the position. Despite that, he's put up some very respectable numbers his last two seasons. He's got excellent size at 6'3, 195 and his speed is adequate (4.5 40). He had an 11 foot broadjump, a 4.33 short shuttle, 6.73 3-cone drill, and a 37 inch vert, all very impressive numbers for a DB his size. Before he made the switch to the defensive side of the ball, he registered 81 catches for 1340 yards and 7 TDs. As a corner in his senior year at Stanford, he had 49 tackles, 4 interceptions, and 6 pass breakups starting on the left side. His specialty is press man coverage so he could be on the Hawks' radar in the late rounds. He's very raw, but flashes the potential to help out in run support and has the ability to turn and run with receivers. Will be better in a man coverage scheme. Could be a very good flyer pick for the Hawks as he possesses ideal size and bulk and is a physical, hard working player out of Stanford.

Arizona State DT Lawrence Guy

Guy is a mid to late round prospect at DT that possesses a great motor and effort and is a team leader. He's got the ability to rush the passer and push the pocket. He's a versatile guy - can play at either the 3-tech or 5-tech and plays with a mean streak. He's got a rare combination of speed, size and athleticism at 6'5, 300 that some team will take a chance on him despite the knocks on him. These knocks include the fact he doesn't possess very eye-popping numbers because he faced a lot of double teams on a weak line at Arizona State and he had issues in the classroom that were part of the reason he left school early despite a low grade from the draft advisory committee. Because he projects as a 3-tech but also is versatile enough to play 5-tech he could very well be on the Seahawks' radar as well.

Louisville QB Adam Froman

Adam Froman is a guy that I'm becoming more and more enamored with as we approach the draft. He's a big QB prospect with all the measurables you'd ever want - he's 6'4, 220, ran the forty in 4.55 seconds, the short shuttle in 4.08, and the 3-cone in 6.6. Ridiculous numbers for a QB of a normal class, but one of the best in this year's class of very athletic QBs like Jake LockerCam Newton, and Colin Kaepernick. His tangibles are there - he possesses a solid throwing motion, is good in the pocket, has good vision, and is an accurate passer. He's a former JUCO transfer to Louisville that has flown under the radar due to injuries sustained in the last two seasons, which have limited his statistical numbers. More specifically to the Hawks, he's a mobile guy with football intelligence that could come in to be groomed as a future starter. He's got a legit NFL arm and is prototypical size, and could come at a steep discount in the later rounds.

Marshall LB Mario Harvey

Small school combine snub Mario Harvey could be a good later-round flyer pick. Nicknamed "Thumper" due to his big hits, he was a Butkus Award semi-finalist and the only non BCS linebacker to be represented there. He averaged 11.9 tackles per game and had 143 total tackles (65 solo), 17.5 tackles for loss, 8.5 sacks, three forced fumbles and a fumble recovery in his senior season. 

At his pro day, he ran a ridiculous 4.42 forty and had a 32" vert, a 9'5" broad jump and put up 27 reps on the bench. He doesn't really project as a 4-3 cover-2 type linebacker because his coverage skills are a bit lacking according to scouting reports, but I wanted to include him on here anyway because he's flown under the radar for the most part and I like small-school prospects. He's a probable UDFA and he's not likely on the Hawks radar but perhaps they see something in him they can work with.

Oregon WR Jeff Maehl 

I like Maehl a lot. He's got good hands, spacial awareness, and he was a very productive receiver for the Ducks. He's not a burner as his forty time was only 4.62, but he's got off the charts agility - something that could come in handy for a slot receiver. He set the combine record in his 3-cone drill at 6.42 seconds, finished first among WRs in the 60 yard shuttle (10.87) and was a top performer at the short shuttle (3.94). A shifty, sure handed receiver with good size and escapability is something the Hawks could use with the probable departure of Brandon Stokley. He sort of reminds me of an Austin Collie or Wes Welker type receiver in the fact he's a worker with sub-par speed but above average agility and ability to find the open spot in the zone. The Hawks' slot receiver position is currently unoccupied due to injuries or question marks for Deon ButlerGolden Tate, and Isaiah Stanback and none of these guys are a lock. It's questionable whether Butler and/or Tate's best position is in the slot or outside and Stanback is anything but a sure shot to make the 53-man roster coming off an achilles tear. 

Tune in to the 2011 NFL Draft on NFL Network

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Nice, good job

When you say sleeper, where should we expect these guys to pop in? Very end?

by Thomas Beekers on Apr 26, 2011 10:30 AM PDT reply actions  

Guy is a mid-round prospect most likely, 4th-5th rounds

Maehl is anywhere from 5th – 7th by most accounts. Harvey is a late-round, 6th, 7th or UDFA. Richard Sherman is a 6th-7th round target most likely. Froman is getting some attention lately so who knows. QBs are more valuable so he could go anywhere from 4th – 7th rounds.

by Danny Kelly on Apr 26, 2011 10:41 AM PDT up reply actions  

Guy and Froman are intriguing.

I like the idea of depth that works at multiple positions; with a defense like this, someone like Guy could be good depth.

Froman’s got that mobility that teams are all over at the moment… sounds like a guy that might be drafted ahead of one of the “names”.

by djafrot on Apr 26, 2011 11:00 AM PDT reply actions  

Maehl was fun to watch at Oregon.

He reminds me a bit of Jordan Shipley. Very tough, over-the-middle receiver who won’t shy away from taking a big hit to come down with it. A classic slot-type player, IMO.

I'm gonna go calm submissive on your ass.

by Dukeshire on Apr 26, 2011 11:07 AM PDT reply actions  

Aren't there any non-white receivers to compare him to?

Not saying nothing about nothing, but I always get uncomfortable when white WRs get slotted in as “Stokley-esque” or “Welker-lite”.

by Thomas Beekers on Apr 26, 2011 11:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

The comparison was based on size, hands, how they were used and the wicked hits I've seen each take over the middle.

But how about Davone Bess? I see similarities there as well. Better?

I'm gonna go calm submissive on your ass.

by Dukeshire on Apr 26, 2011 12:01 PM PDT up reply actions  

I don't think so, but I too could be wrong.

For some reason I remember a 4.7ish 40, but I can’t find his official 40 time at the combine. In any case, if he’s a burner, Miami’s sure not taking advantage of it. They use him primarily underneath and as a #3. He has good hands and is tough in traffic and is “non-white”, which seems to be an important factor in finding a Jeff Maehl comparison for some.

I'm gonna go calm submissive on your ass.

by Dukeshire on Apr 26, 2011 3:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

Also, I didn't compare him to either Stokley or Welker.

But yes, Shipley too is white.

I'm gonna go calm submissive on your ass.

by Dukeshire on Apr 26, 2011 12:03 PM PDT up reply actions  

Perhaps,

but despite his combine (agility) times, he didn’t seem to me to play as “quick” as Welker does.

What can I tell ya? He reminds me of Shipley, the way he plays and how he was used on the field.

I'm gonna go calm submissive on your ass.

by Dukeshire on Apr 26, 2011 12:12 PM PDT up reply actions  

Jordan Shipley popped into my head, but Maehl reminds me more of Dane Looker.

First Round Wishlist (in order): 1. Mark Ingram; 2. Mike Pouncey; 3. Jimmy Smith; 4. Justin Houston; 5. Phil Taylor; 6. Jake Locker; 8. Marvin Austin

Other rounds: Rodney Hudson, Owen Marecic, Ras-I Dowling, Joseph Barksdale, Tyler Sash, Shareece Wright, and Taiwan Jones.

by Carl Shinyama on Apr 26, 2011 7:58 PM PDT up reply actions  

I love that shot!

Them big ears flap and the clip ends, like, show’s over!

Cake for me too, please.

by shams on Apr 26, 2011 12:40 PM PDT up reply actions  

Hmmm

Good, quick decision-making, excellent change of direction, good speed and quickness, not fooled by misdirection. He lacks a prototypical NFL body type, but it just. might. work.

by Thomas Beekers on Apr 26, 2011 12:12 PM PDT up reply actions   1 recs

"Lacks a prototypical NFL body type"

See, that’s the beauty of the LEO scheme! We’re able to use players that other teams can’t.

by Greetings from the Lord Humongous! on Apr 26, 2011 1:15 PM PDT up reply actions  

This highlight video of Froman is interesting

It’s highlights so you can only take away so much but it looks like it has some scout tape, so you get a good view of the field on a lot of the plays.

Doesn’t look like he has a huge arm but he gets the job done. And you can definitely see the athleticism.

by Nate Dogg on Apr 26, 2011 12:09 PM PDT reply actions  

Also, great list.

Maehl and Sherman are guys that I like and I’d only heard snippets about Froman, didn’t realize how prototypically built he is.

by Nate Dogg on Apr 26, 2011 12:11 PM PDT up reply actions  

Just watched that tape. He looks great, to me.

I see some pretty good arm, personally. That first deep post is a gorgeous throw, and he barely steps into it. Ball gets out in a hurry, good playfakes, and boy, I like the accuracy, especially at the endzone. I don’t see him making a lot of reads, and he’s not particularly pressured on a lot of the plays, but he seems bright (watched an interview).

Good later-round pickup, from what’s visible there. WANT.

by djafrot on Apr 26, 2011 12:27 PM PDT up reply actions  

There is a large part of me that would like to see them pass on all the "upper tier" QB's in this draft,

and take a chance with one of these lower round guys like Froman. There are quite a few of them out there, and they might end up being better than some of the projected first round guys.

"When I bust I swing exactly like my homeboy"

by Thingray on Apr 26, 2011 12:30 PM PDT up reply actions  

It might be a good year to do so, depending who falls.

I’m as big a proponent as anyone of getting a quarterback, but if Mallett or Locker isn’t there at (or around) 25, I’d hope the team bypasses QB for the first couple of rounds and sees what it can get later on. Or perhaps they take a look at a veteran (Young, Kolb, Palmer, Leinart, etc.).

It seems to me (and I’ve said this elsewhere) like there are a lot of QB hungry teams out there, and it’s driving up the value of some mediocre quarterback talent.

by djafrot on Apr 26, 2011 12:34 PM PDT up reply actions  

I'm wondering if someone's going to do a take on Bevell sometime soon.

He’s our new OC, and we haven’t heard anything about him on FG really. Does he favour multiple TE’s? Fullbacks? Deep throws? Pounding the rock? Spread formations?

The main reason I ask is because I keep seeing people (Danny included) talking about the Hawks drafting wide receiver… when it appears to me as if the team has somewhat of a logjam at the position already. How many WR’s does Bevell usually carry on the roster, and how does he use them in-game? Does he rotate, or does he have stock positions for given players (e.g. BMW will play the X, Obo the Y, etc.)?

by djafrot on Apr 26, 2011 12:36 PM PDT reply actions  

There's a lot of unknowns regarding Bevell

People assume he’s more of a traditional WC guy but honestly, the Vikes offense was never really in his hands, it was Chilly’s, and he’s never held another OC job. He was hired, presumably, based on Schneider’s familiarity with him, but we’re left in the dark. What kind of system does he prefer freed from Chilly? How much control does he even have with Tom Cable as assistant HC? Who knows.

by Thomas Beekers on Apr 26, 2011 12:42 PM PDT up reply actions  

Pete's the architect, Bevell's the contractor

Its going to emphasize the run, use a mobile QB and a fair amount of vertical passing. The key thing is to build off the run. Pete mentioned that the major improvements need to be made “up front” on the OL.

Here’s a link to a breakdown of today’s press conference:
http://seahawksdraftblog.com/john-schneider-pete-carroll-press-conference-2604

by Greetings from the Lord Humongous! on Apr 26, 2011 9:04 PM PDT up reply actions  

I go to Walla Walla University and one of my friends here is from Paradise, CA.

Apparently he played quite a bit with Maehl in highschool, so I’ve heard quite a bit about him. He’s incredibly tough and one of most athletic people my friend has ever seen. He was unstoppable as a safety and WR in football, and was also one of the best point guards in the area. I’d love to see the ’Hawks draft him.

by Matt Erickson on Apr 26, 2011 5:09 PM PDT reply actions  

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