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Looking Forward: Deon Butler, Part I

A big question on a lot of fans' minds this offseason is what will become of Deon Butler. Drafted by previous regime; doesn't particularly fit the profile of a Pete Carroll or John Schneider wide receiver. He has shown flashes of brilliance, but  also battled the drops and his 2010 season ended with a gruesome leg break that has some people questioning if he'll be able to return to the NFL at all. I personally think he'll be back - he may start the season on the PUP list but he'll recover eventually. The question of how he'll be used and what type of future he has in Seattle is a bit harder to answer. 

Deon Butler didn't come cheap to the Seahawks - they traded away three picks just to move up in the draft to select him in the third round (any third round pick is pretty valuable in the first place). They gave the Eagles their fifth and seventh round choices from '09 and their 3rd round choice from '10.  A little ridiculous in my mind but that is basically the Seahawks drafting tendencies of the past decade or so in a nutshell. So the Hawks gave up a lot to get a receiver that's 5'10, 175 lbs. It's not like that precludes him from being a great receiver, but it definitely comes as a disadvantage. My guess is that they drafted him with visions of DeSean Jackson in their minds, because he sort of fits that mold- extremely fast deep threat type receiver. You can't really fault them for that I suppose - Jackson had a ridiculous rookie campaign, leading his team in receptions and racking up almost a thousand yards on 62 catches. Not bad for a skinny little speedster.

Star-divide

What Butler lacks in size he certainly makes up for in speed. He was officially clocked at 4.38 in the 40 but some had him timed as low as 4.28. So he's very fast. And he has good hands as well - he caught 132 passes in his career at Penn State- 2nd all-time. Those attributes combined make him a pretty attractive target. I would still say what they gave up to get him was extravagant - but too late to change anything now. 

Butler was supposed to come in and make an immediate impact and be the guy for the Hawks to stretch the field as a deep threat in 2009. Then Offensive Coordinator Greg Knapp had big plans for him early on, saying: "There's the ability to stretch the field with him. That gives us an attribute to help soften things up elsewhere on the field." But, Knapp admitted: "He's going to have to work on handling the bump in press coverage, because that's one thing that bigger corners would like to do."

He didn't manage much his rookie season, reeling in just 15 catches. His second season, last year, was supposed to be his breakout year- I remember in training camp and preseason Pete Carroll calling him maybe the most improved player on the Hawks and all that. Instead, it turned out pretty underwhelming as well. He's still very young and as we know a lot of receivers need 3-4 years to really break out, so I am holding off judgement for a couple of reasons-

One: I still believe he can be that speed, outside deep threat kind of guy; he runs good routes with precision and is undoubtedly really fast; he is fluid but very quick in his breaks and can find separation this way once off the line; and two: the Hawks passing game has been anything but spectacular these past two years and a lot of the blame should fall on the gameplan, blocking, and QB play coupled with the inability to run the ball. In other words, with the system working right, I still think Butler could be a good weapon for the Hawks.

Let's take a look at some of his numbers from this year:

He caught 36 balls for 385 yards and 4 TDs. His average yards per catch was a meagre 10.7. Compare that to guys of his ilk - though a little bigger, maybe the premiere speed threat in the NFL is Mike Wallace of Pittsburgh, who averaged 21.0 yds/catch on his way to 60 receptions, 1,257 yards and 10 TD. Desean Jackson averaged 22.5 yrds/catch on 47 catches for 1,056 yards and 6 TDs. These are the types of numbers that I would love to see Butler get - not necessarily the yardage totals and TDs because that would just be getting greedy, but the average yards per catch of 10.7 is measly for your supposed deep threat guy. Butler's had two receptions of more than 40 yards in 2010. After that, he had a game where he caught a 26 yarder and another with a 22 yarder, then it falls into the teens.

Now, again, I'm not saying this as an indictment on Deon Butler, necessarily. I think he's got potential to be a very good deep threat receiver but you have to put him in the right system. I think that the Hawks may be moving in that direction for a number of reasons.

First off, it's in Pete Carroll's offensive philosophy to move up and down the field aggressively and air it out. The Hawks didn't do this much (successfully) in 2010 because they lacked the tools to do so - a solid running game to set up the pass on play action, and a strong armed and accurate QB to make those throws. Hasselbeck is accurate on short and intermediate throws but his deep passing, for a number of reasons, leaves something to be desired.

Secondly, Darrell Bevell, I believe, will try and stretch the field more as well- everyone has him pegged as a "West Coast Offense" guy that will concentrate on short throws and precision - but that's not how he operated in Minnesota and it's not how he was taught by Brad Childress, an Andy Reid pupil. Who the Hawks bring in at QB will matter, but - I believe that the deep passing and vertical game will be more prevalent in 2011. This is where Butler could shine.

In part two I'll take a look at some game tape and break down a few plays for you. Stay tuned...

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"speedster"?

I’ve now rewatched most of the 2010 season, and one of the biggest things that popped out to me was how often Deon Butler was NOT alone, streaking down the field ala DeJax or Wallace. I wondered if it was his tendency to mark himself as a victim to bumps off the line or if his “game speed” is just way below his “combine speed”. also, DeJax is a badass with swagger and arrogance. as annoying as it is to watch sometimes, it definitely sits in contrast to Deon Butler’s quiet, respectful demeanor.

by puaahunter on Jun 5, 2011 9:43 AM PDT via mobile reply actions  

I think it's fair to say he gets jammed at the line too easily yeah.

And that has kept him from becoming a speed threat. if he can overcome that he may have the potential to be a vertical guy but we haven’t seen it yet.

I was referring to DeSean Jackson when I said ‘speedster’ by the way. I said Butler is ‘undoubtedly very fast’ – but should have noted that is based on his combine speed. Good point about the game speed.

Proactive-like-Nonstop
FIELDGULLS

by Danny Kelly on Jun 5, 2011 10:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

Ya it's great to have a G.M. that gets picks instead of giving picks.

I’d give him a better chance of sticking if they hadn’t drafted Tate. I really like the kid and he tore it up in school. But he gets tossed like a rag doll and the thought of another major injury will be there with each hit he takes. To invest years training him and then lose him on one play could be a very real outcome.

by Richard fg7 on Jun 5, 2011 10:55 AM PDT reply actions  

Not too hopeful that he's in the long-term plan...

Just my guy reaction. I think Carroll and Schneider like their receivers big bodied and battle-proof. Tate may be a smaller slot type, but he can sure take a hit or two in traffic. Butler physically doesn’t appear to have the wear-and-tear to go up against hard hitting SS’s or dominant CB’s.

I see the FO getting a true #1 receiver soon, with BMW, Durham, Tate, Obo, and (possibly) a big-bodied/sure-handed rookie free agent.

Ka-Kaaa!

by JerryNice on Jun 5, 2011 11:59 AM PDT reply actions  

EXACTLY

Can ANY receiver that plays here have a YPC above 10.7, when the quarterback CANNOT throw the ball farther than 10 yards down the field? I’m afraid that Butler’s broken leg might cause him to lose a step, but assuming for a moment that he’s able to fully regain his speed, I’d wait until he can play with a QB who can throw down the field before deciding if he’s a bust or not.

by J.L. White on Jun 5, 2011 12:10 PM PDT up reply actions  

As much as people complain about the cost of acquiring Charlie,

I’d argue that the cost of Butler was similarly high for a player with a lower ceiling.

by Greetings from the Lord Humongous! on Jun 5, 2011 12:25 PM PDT reply actions  

I have higher expectations for the the kid from Georgia (Kris Dunham I think?)

we just drafted than I ever had for Butler or Tate.

And when Butler’s leg snapped, I couldn’t help but think he’s got little sparrow bones. He was going sideways and his foot caught the turf- normally that’s a knee sprain. Not a complete break mid calf. Those breaks usually happen from blunt force contact.

70% of space is covered by dark matter, the rest by ET.

by hazbro24 on Jun 5, 2011 12:39 PM PDT reply actions  

Looked liked blunt force to me...

From the super slomo, seems like the defender clipped him on the bottom part of his knee with his foot planted firmly in the turf causing a break in the weakest part of the fibula. Also notice the defender behind Deon with good pressure on his back giving him little flexibility to move after the catch.

This is just impossibly timed tough break for Deon. No question in my mind that given the circumstances any other receiver suffers similar outcome.

by goatweed on Jun 6, 2011 6:19 AM PDT up reply actions  

Victim of circumstances?

Deon runs great routes but he needs to be on the same page as Hasselbeck and the OC. He has had little time to work on it with the changing of the guards in the past couple of seasons. DJax and Wallace have been working in the same system since they joined the league and Deon is going to get to meet his third OC in as many years.

I think one thing that gets ignored when comparing Vick/Ben to Hasselbeck is the concept of timing. QB needs some time in/out of the pocket to deliver these throws and both Ben and Vick are masters of keeping a play alive. Vick sucks the defense in with a juke and Ben is almost impossible to bring down. So much of long throws depends on time in the pocket and throwing it to a spot where you know your guy can get there before the defender.

Hasselbeck is afforded no such tools (runing, giantness). His protection has also been less than desired and no one was afraid of the hawks play action. One pump-fake and the defneder is in his facemask. Not making excuses just balancing the blame here.

by goatweed on Jun 6, 2011 6:45 AM PDT reply actions  

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