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Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks: Things To Look For

We live in a culture of immediate over-reaction. I used to have a job selling memberships at a gym, and I was good at it, in no small part because of my handsome biceps. My boss was a high-pressure salesman that literally looked like this, and he put a big onus on daily closing percentage. That was a difficult adjustment for me to make, as I believe strongly in the value of large sample sizes (and also in the value of letting someone walk away if they're not ready to buy). He didn't.

Every day he would peer in on my presentations and was reactive to whatever the outcome was. He wasn't as interested in how I presented as he was in whether the person signed up or not. His valuation of my (and the rest of the staff's) performance varied from day to day and I found myself sweating over each day's closing percentage instead of stepping back and viewing the entire month as a better gauge of performance. It made an otherwise wholly enjoyable job very stressful.

You see, nothing matters as much as whatever just happened, and our thoughts and words and actions are painted by the brush of recent happenstance. Perhaps there is no arena where this is more apparent than the world of NFL fandom. Right now, there are fans in Buffalo, Cincinnati and Detroit prepping themselves for a deep playoff run, while fans in Indianapolis, Kansas City, and Chicago (all playoff teams from a year ago) are wondering who their teams will take with a top 10 draft pick in 2012.

We're guilty of this in the 12th Man, as well. Although there weren't many of us (I don't think) picturing a Super Bowl this season, the constant stream of exciting acquisitions and positive PR coming out of Seahawks camp had many of us picturing, at the very least, a watchable season, if not a downright exciting one. After all, last season was nothing if not exciting, and that was with low expectations.

Now, after a performance so underwhelming against Pittsburgh that it does the word a disservice, I'm hearing 'Hawks fans wondering if they aren't the worst team in the league. I'm not innocent of fantasizing about Andrew Luck's head on Tarvaris Jackson's body either, but I can't help but think that we're collectively over-reacting. Seattle may very well end up as the worst team in the NFL, but you absolutely can't make that assessment after two games, as the Seahawks are just one of seven teams sitting at 0-2. There is a very good chance that Seattle holds serve at home this week, catapulting them into a tie for the divisional lead (ahahahaha, hahaha, ahahaha... aha... ah. It's true). If so, things will start to look a lot better, and we'll hold our new optimism high until another loss hurls us back into the depths of self-pity.

I think Seattle will beat Arizona this Sunday, and here's how I think they can do it.

Star-divide

1.) A moving pocket. Jackson has proven that he's willing to take a hit, and he's shown that he can extend a play when the line collapses. He has also shown, however, a propensity for jumpiness and hurried, short-armed throws have become as frequent as his set, properly timed ones. Jackson is not a pure pocket passer, and I think it's time Pete Carroll and Darrell Bevell stopped treating him like one. Those two are not idiots, and I look to see them get Jackson behind a laterally moving pass-blocking scheme that allows him to make his timing throws when he's supposed to, without wondering if he's going to end up with a 320-pounder's facemask in his sternum.

2.) Quick routes. It's sounding more and more like Sidney Rice will make his Seahawks debut this week and while the temptation is to send him deep and try and milk him (ew) for that big-play money they're paying him, the offense is not in a state of array that allows for that. At least not initially. I look for Mike Williams to see his share of stop and hook routes, Golden Tate to spend a lot of his time under ten yards from the line of scrimmage, and for Zach Miller to utilize a few chip-and-run patterns that can buy his QB some time while keeping him a viable option in the passing game. With any luck, Jackson can connect on enough of the short routes to draw the safeties up, allowing Rice (or Baldwin?) to slip behind the corner for a lullaby attack.

3.) For the love of all that you hold dear, Seattle, please please keep a safety over the top of Larry Fitzgerald. If Early Doucet and Beanie Wells beat us, so be it. Do not let Fitz do it. A guy like Fitzgerald not only has other-worldly ball skills, he runs his routes with the precision of calligrapher. The real danger with Larry, however, is his ability to end a game with just one play. Few things are more disheartening than seeing a competitive game effectively ended by a long touchdown. Ted Ginn Jr made us keenly aware of that.

I hope that Seattle always keeps two sets of eyes on Fitzgerald this Sunday, whether it's assigning a fifth defensive back to help the corners, or by rotating coverages over the top. I'd love to see  Brandon Browner's height matched up on him all game, with a helper having his back when his foot-speed is inevitably over-matched. I trust Marcus Trufant's ability to cover any of the other wide-outs, and the Seahawks' run defense is the aspect of this team I have the most confidence in. That still doesn't keep me from being haunted by the thought of one of the most athletic receivers the world has ever seen beating us deep late in a close game.

4.) Forcing three turnovers. The Seahawks have yet to receive the ball without fielding a punt or kickoff, which is to say that they haven't forced a single turnover. No team can win that way, especially a team with noticeable deficiencies. Now, I realize that three turnovers seems as superfluous as Wayne's gunrack, given that they haven't gotten a single one yet, but it's going to take a significant thematic change for the defense if the team's fortunes are to turn around.

One fumble recovery or interception would be nice, because they all are when forced by your team, but it's hardly going to be enough in most NFL games. Three picks, blocks, or recoveries will give this team an excellent chance to win the field position battle that they've been losing so terribly thus far, and field position cannot be overestimated as an influential factor.

5.) The fans. It's the one decided advantage Seattle has. Let's not let a slow start to the season keep us from getting so loud that Kevin Kolb has to take all three of his timeouts in the first quarter. I went to the famous Giants game wherein they committed 11 false starts. I've seen what this crowd is capable of. The 'Hawks will need our help Sunday, and don't kid yourself -- the crowd can make a tangible difference in the outcome of the game. Make SoDo tremble.

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This is ignoring a lot of history
Jackson is not a pure pocket passer, and I think it’s time Pete Carroll and Darrell Bevell stopped treating him like one. Those two are not idiots

Bevell has always used Jackson as a 3-step drop plant and throw passer. Why would that change now?

Besides, Jackson never learned to throw on the move because he has always been used as a plant and throw passer.

Baseball isn't played because it's *interesting*. Baseball is played because without darkness we would not appreciate the light: without sorrow, we would not appreciate joy. Baseball makes us savour life and reminds us to treasure every second we have on this beautiful planet, because such moments may never come again. Baseball is played, my dear friend, because without it we would not appreciate the time we don't have to play baseball.

by Thomas Beekers on Sep 23, 2011 8:31 AM PDT reply actions  

Thomas, I think he was referring more to the recent comments/ideas

of PC that he should stay in the pocket and run only when absolutely necessary. I could be wrong though…

Eternally looking forward to someone making a Seahawks song based off of Lil' Jon's "Shots" song named "Hawks!"

by Bobby Cink on Sep 23, 2011 8:44 AM PDT up reply actions  

Sure, but what I'm saying is

That the cooperation of Bevell and Jackson has always worked that way, it’s not something PC is putting on them top-down, it’s how Bevell runs his offense. If PC wanted moving pockets he wouldn’t have got Bevell, he would’ve stuck with Bates.

Baseball isn't played because it's *interesting*. Baseball is played because without darkness we would not appreciate the light: without sorrow, we would not appreciate joy. Baseball makes us savour life and reminds us to treasure every second we have on this beautiful planet, because such moments may never come again. Baseball is played, my dear friend, because without it we would not appreciate the time we don't have to play baseball.

by Thomas Beekers on Sep 23, 2011 9:18 AM PDT up reply actions  

I miss Bates' offense.

Bevell’s offense is inadequate.

by Bildo on Sep 23, 2011 10:44 AM PDT via mobile up reply actions  

Agreed. Bates had his quirks (fade to shortest WR in endzone)

but seemed much smarter and innovative than Bevell. Another not-a-scheme-fit for PC.

As gung-ho, modern as PC is, he seems to prefer conservative coaches under him (Bradley, Bevell)

by IslandHawk on Sep 23, 2011 1:32 PM PDT up reply actions  

I miss Bates.

Definitely Bevell’s offense is a little more old hat but the offenses themselves aren’t that different. But I’m not unhappy with Bevell thus far.

Head of catering.

by jacobstevens on Sep 23, 2011 2:48 PM PDT up reply actions  

He usually gets to the plant part

Snap, step, step, step, plant, fetus mode.

Baseball isn't played because it's *interesting*. Baseball is played because without darkness we would not appreciate the light: without sorrow, we would not appreciate joy. Baseball makes us savour life and reminds us to treasure every second we have on this beautiful planet, because such moments may never come again. Baseball is played, my dear friend, because without it we would not appreciate the time we don't have to play baseball.

by Thomas Beekers on Sep 23, 2011 1:14 PM PDT up reply actions  

TJ isn't good throwing on the run

overused meme to prove the point.

70% of space is covered by dark matter, the rest by ET.

by hazbro24 on Sep 23, 2011 8:45 AM PDT reply actions  

That's an opinion

I watched Tarvaris rolling to his right during many of his completions during preseason. That stopped once the games counted, but I think he’s demonstrated great skill for throwing on the move. He also seems to see the field better when rolling to his right.

Not that Bevell and Carroll will let him do that; we just don’t know that yet.

"Football players are temperamental. That's 90 percent temper and 10 percent mental." - Doug Plank

by Stevo's on Sep 23, 2011 10:45 AM PDT up reply actions  

I'd love to see Seattle shut Fitzgerald down (I don't own him on any fantasy teams) and I agree that Seattle should be able...

…to stifle their running game.

I would also think this would be a good game for Lynch, and the running game in general. Add those things up, along with the 12 man, it it might translate into a victory.

About the 2011 Seahawks: "And if I laugh at any mortal thing, tis that I may not weep." Byron

by Hawksince77 on Sep 23, 2011 9:42 AM PDT reply actions  

Larry Fitzgerald is always open

Four feet over his head.

He’s going to get his catches. You just gotta hope they aren’t too damaging.

by robbbbbb on Sep 23, 2011 10:00 AM PDT reply actions  

Kam Chancellor needs to take Fitzgerald out

And Carroll needs to pay his fine.

"Football players are temperamental. That's 90 percent temper and 10 percent mental." - Doug Plank

by Stevo's on Sep 23, 2011 10:47 AM PDT up reply actions  

If Browner can't do this

I will slowly be losing my faith in him. It seems like this is what we need him for maybe a little premature but we need him for this type of receiver.

On another not I thought Thurmond had a pretty good game against Fitz last year.

by Jazzercise! on Sep 23, 2011 10:52 AM PDT up reply actions  

What do you bet we will see Browner line up 10 yards off

and never jam Fitz the whole game?

I don’t mind the losing as much as the losing plus the off-season hype about how we need bigger, more aggressive corners that are going to knock receivers off their routes, etc., only to see the same old tired Bradley schemes of ptich-and-catch give-me short receptions in front of huge cushions as teams walk down the field on us.

by IslandHawk on Sep 23, 2011 1:37 PM PDT up reply actions  

Whose

ready for another Beast Quake?!

by darthmaul5456 on Sep 23, 2011 11:01 AM PDT reply actions  

Very eloquently written, sir.

You have restored my optimism somewhat. However if we get off to our usual flying start (two runs for zip, incomplete pass and a punt) the angst will be palpable, and I wonder how long if will take for the Chaz chorus is struck up in the stands.

This is a massive weekend for Jackson, and for Carroll for that matter. Do you think that, despite all the understandable calls for patience, the levels of frustration are such that a inept performance similar to the effort at Heinz Field might see the FO lose the faith of the fans? I wonder how much resolve Carroll might have, once he knows the city has turned against him.

by JohnnyLondon on Sep 23, 2011 11:39 AM PDT reply actions  

This game if for the season.

Lose this one, might as well cancel the rest.

70% of space is covered by dark matter, the rest by ET.

by hazbro24 on Sep 23, 2011 12:16 PM PDT up reply actions  

Great read Jacson

Oh and hazbro, theres only 13 games after this one

by Mighty_Mouse on Sep 23, 2011 12:24 PM PDT up reply actions  

3 games at home vs. NFC west,

and 2 against the Bengals and Browns. There’s 5 potential/must wins.

Lose any of those, and the season it over.

70% of space is covered by dark matter, the rest by ET.

by hazbro24 on Sep 23, 2011 12:54 PM PDT up reply actions  

If you're not expecting the Super Bowl

Then the season’s over already. Every season is a rebuilding season until you’re good enough to get the big shiny football on a base and go to Disneyland.
A win this week would feel good and give us a fuzzy feeling but what we should all be rooting for is no injuries, development from the young O-line guys and some improvement on various (all) other aspects.

by Strictnine on Sep 23, 2011 2:55 PM PDT up reply actions  

Thank you.

I don’t think the season ever hinges on a Week 3 game, but this is one of the more winnable games the ’Hawks will see all year.

I've got ridiculous upside.
-
Twitter: @JacsonBevens

by Jacson Bevens on Sep 23, 2011 12:59 PM PDT up reply actions  

I expect better pass protection.

Their pass rush is a little anemic right now. And so because of that and Rice, probably more deeper-developing routes, actually, than less.

I wonder if we’ll be able to run effectively. Washington could, also ZBS. But I could see that maybe we won’t as much as you might expect against that soft defense.

I also expect better pass rush. And just as conservative pass coverage, which is both good & bad. I would think, they’d do well to use cover 3 & quarters, but then they’ll probably also give big-ass cushions and I’d rather they press and coach playing tight whether man or zone.

So I expect both offenses to move the ball. And ours to move slower yet protect the ball better. Win TOP. Probably get the win. Pass defense too soft, though and we could still lose.

Head of catering.

by jacobstevens on Sep 23, 2011 3:29 PM PDT reply actions  

I'm sorry but...

did anyone hear this, and did it make you laugh as much as me;

“we might have 10 guys doing the right thing one play and one guy messed up or vice versa ya know?!!?”
-TJACK

Diehard hometown Hawks fan
Duke Student...don't hold that against me
find me on twitter cward425

by 12tudentoftheGame on Sep 23, 2011 6:29 PM PDT reply actions  

chuckle

wonder who he’s talking about.

Heresy grows from idleness.

by Corax --Nevermore-- on Sep 23, 2011 10:19 PM PDT up reply actions  

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