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Free Agents vs. NFL Draft - Wide Receivers

In the first article of this series I looked at free agents and draft hopefulls at defensive end. This time I'm going to take a closer look into wide receivers. It can be argued that we don't need any wide receivers. Baldwin was an undrafted rookie that led the team, Sidney Rice the high priced free agent signing of last off season, not to mention the new contracts that Mike Williams and Ben Obomanu signed last year. I haven't even mentioned Golden Tate who started to show life mid/late season, Deon Butler who was promising in 2010 but missed most of 2011 due to injury, Kris Durham drafted last year, and the wild card Ricardo Lockette. That's a pretty deep bunch of wideouts. I don't think it's good enough, but more importantly I dont think Pete Carroll thinks so either. Here is the quote from Pete Carroll:

"You're always looking for touchdown makers on offense," Carroll said. "You always want to get guys that can score. So if there's a wide receiver in the draft that would be cool, if there's a big-time running back that would be cool."


We'll address the running back portion of that quote at a later time, Pete Carroll mentioned specifically draft, but do you wait and hope your guy isn't taken or if there is a guy sitting there in free agency, do you take him? Well you take him. First though, you have to determine who on the roster you are going to keep and let go. My list of WRs to let go are as follows: Mike Williams - vanished this year, love his height in the redzone, but he can't seem to get open or targeted there. He played in 12 games and got 18 receptions... 18!! For our #2 WR, unacceptable. Ben Obomanu I would also let go. Nothing wrong with the kid he's been great for a 7th round pick, he's just not better than the guys I'm keeping. Deon Butler - First, I hate that he is on my cut list. I really like him. A 3rd round pick in 2009, good hands and work ethic, but it's a numbers game and slot receiver is full. That's my cut list for now, but depending on how free agency and draft go, there may be more.

So what does that leave us with? Rice is your starting #1, as it stands Ricardo Lockette would be best option at #2, your slot receiver is Baldwin, #4 is Tate and your what call your possession receiver is Kris Durham. Rice as we know is injury prone. Lockette although has tremendous potential is untested. Our slot guys are awesome, Baldwin and Tate likely to rotate, with Tate getting in as well when we are in a 4 WR set. Kris Durham in my opinion is the best route runner on this team, and has great hands. He's 6'6" and should get a lot of looks in the redzone as well. So in my opinion we need a starting #2 at least, and that is where I'll focus. There are some big name WRs out there, but I will avoid going into those here, I don't think front office would consider adding: Vincent Jackson, Wes Welker, Marques Colston, or Mike Wallace (RFA)... although any one of them would be awesome I admit. OK, here you go:

Free Agents:

Dwayne Bowe - KC Chiefs - back to back 1000 yard seasons. He didn't come close to his playmaking 15 TDs he had in 2010, but he's a good wide receiver to compliment Rice. I know he's a #1 in KC, but I don't see him in the same league as the ones I mentioned above. He can also slip into #1 when (or if... can't assume) Rice goes down with injury.

Mario Manningham - NY Giants - Nicks and Cruz are your main targets in NY and I think they let Manningham go due to not wanting to tie up more money in WR. Manningham missed some time with a knee injury this season, but it's nothing major. Last year 60 receptions and 57 the year before that. Consistant.

Pierre Garcon - Colts - Probably one of the more interesting names on this list. He can break off long receptions and is a playmaker. His main problem is dropping the football. He's only 26 and lightning fast. 765, 784, 947 were his receiving yards the last 3 years.

Reggie Wayne - Colts - What? News flash, Wayne is no longer a #1 WR. He's 34 years old but will still have a lot of value to someone as a #2... us. Why? Lockette, Baldwin, Tate and Durham were either rookies or 2nd year guys. They need a veteran WR to help them out. What? Rice? He'll tell the kids how to deal with being injured. Wayne would be perfect for that roll and can still play football... maybe he just had a down year but that along with age will scare some teams away. 75 receptions for 960 this year.

Stevie Johnson - Bills - I actually really like him. I'm on the east coast so I get a few more opportunities to see him play than maybe those out west. The knock on him... he's undisciplined. He plays with emotion which isn't bad, but it is if you cant channel it. He's not a true #1 WR, his skills are best suited being #2 and next to Rice, would be great.

There were a few others I didnt put here (Laurent Robinson - injury prone, Desean Jackson - headcase, and Brandon Lloyd - interesting but can't list everyone).

NFL Draft:

This draft class is pretty interesting. I think this class is deep, not deep in elite WRs, but deep in good solid WRs. Now because of the depth here, I'll write up a couple that could be our first round pick if Carroll descides to go there, a couple of potential 2nd round potentials and a couple of sleepers to spread it out a bit.

Justin Blackmon - Oklahoma State - 6'1" 208lbs - It is very possible that he could be there at 11/12. With this class and it's depth, you could see teams in need like the Rams or Jags pass on WR in the first and take one in the 2nd round and still get a solid prospect. Blackmon makes plays, he's got wheels and is a good route runner. Blackmon constantly received double teams and still wound up with 100+ yard games consistantly. He's the best hands down, no doubt about it in this draft class.

Dwight Jones - North Carolina - 6'3" 228lbs - Don't let the weight fool you, he is a very fast, physical receiver and is tough to bring down. He has good hands, 85 receptions 1196 yards and 12 TDs this year. Watch his combine and proday... you'll be impressed. His 85 receptions may seem low compared to others projected in 1st round (Blackmon - 121; Kendall Wright - 108; Michael Floyd - 100), but he does everything well and didn't have a good QB throwing him the ball.

Marvin McNutt - Iowa - 6'3" 216lbs - Remember this name in the 2nd round! He does everything well: good hands, good speed, good routes and good blocker. He finds another gear to beat you downfield. He averaged more yards per catch than any of the wide receivers I mentioned in the first round with 16 yards per catch and had 12 TDs.

Nick Toon - Wisconsin - 6'3" 217lbs - Toon will be a 2nd round pick because of his NFL roots. His father Al Toon played for 8 years with the Jets. This version is a bit of a puzzle. Wisconsin is a running team so Toon's production may not be up there, but from what I've read is likely the best blocking WR in this class. Don't misunderstand, yes he can catch too. He's a good route runner as well. I do like him from what I've seen... I want to see more at the combine.

Jordan White - Western Michican - 6'0" 215 - I admit I didn't know anything about him until I started looking over wide receivers this week. In hindsight, how could I have missed him? He led the nation in receptions with 140! He also posted 1911 yards and 17 TDs. So umm why isn't he first overall pick in the draft? Small school syndrome, but there is some talent to be sure. He can stretch the field but virtually untested. 3rd round or later sleeper.

Risard Matthews - Nevada - 6'2" 215 lbs - Another smallish school kid with skills. Colin Kaeperneck's main target before he was drafted by the 49ers last year. His production without an NFL calibre QB throwing him the ball this year? Even better... 91 receptions 1364 yards, compared to 56 rec 879 yds with Kaepernick. I havent been able to find much film on him, but oddly enough was able to find a 40 time of 4.5. 4th or 5th round.

Well there you have it. These are the players I think would fit well with the Seahawks in that #2 WR position. If nothing else, we need depth at #2, and that has that skill set to slide over to number #1 in the case of injury. I ask you, which way should the Seahawks go? Free Agency or Draft? Or make your arguement for keeping what we have. Personally, I think for WR that the free agent option is better, unless we can draft Blackmon, but even then is WR what we want from our 1st round pick? He's likely the best player on the board if he's there at 11/12 so yes you take him. Any of the WRs I mentioned I'd take over a drafted WR. I like what we have with young WRs and Lockette is no different than bringing in a WR from the draft... he's just as fresh, but has 1 more year with the playbook. We need the veteran WR though to compliment this group... we are very young. What do you think?

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I think that Williams, Obo, and Butler will go into camp but only two will make it out of camp.

Unless we pick up a pretty high priced free agent and a WR in the first four rounds, in which case I think that two of the three are going to be gone.

Eternally looking forward to someone making a Seahawks song based off of Lil' Jon's "Shots" song named "Hawks!"

by Bobby Cink on Jan 30, 2012 10:35 PM PST reply actions  

Agree. Only 1 of those 3 will last the final cut to 53.

Who? My bet right now would be BMW. He sounded like he really plans to work out this offseason and take some pounds off. If he gets faster and is 100% healthy, he could be our #1 guy and not Rice. Even if he is healthy and doesn’t come back faster, he should still be the favorite among these 3. BUT, if he doesn’t or can’t come back to 100% in time, my guess is that it will be Obo making the cut.

by shawnhuskyfan81 on Feb 6, 2012 7:32 PM PST up reply actions  

BMW is not made to be a #1 receiver

He isnt fast enough to stretch a defense in any way. If he really wants to be valuable he needs to speed up, this is obtainable to a degree by him dropping weight, something he has said he plans to do, but he also needs to learn how to use that big frame in the end zone.

He has the body of a tight end, but he doesnt have the speed of half of them, and doesnt have the “Basketball player” mentality of “Boxing out”
He can be a decent #2, and a very good #3. But he has to have an accurate QB. He has tremendous body control on outs and hooks, but his slants, digs and drags need a lot of work. Rice, if healthy(a big if) is everything BMW is and more. Height- Check, Hands- Check, Body control- Check. BMW got as much work as he did because the WR corp as a whole in 2010 was unreliable, when in doubt Hass would chuck it to BMW and pray.

by Oliudyen on Feb 8, 2012 10:35 PM PST up reply actions  

I hate the idea of cutting any Seahawk

From this team, But in all likeliness Williams will prolly be cut if we find someone too intriguing. If Blackmon is there, dear god draft him. We won’t need veteran depth beyond rice because when we draft Barkley he will get the opportunity to practice and gel with our younger guys anyways.

Watching the Seahawks is like peeing on yourself, everyone can see it, but only you get the warm feeling it brings

by DKrottenhawk on Jan 30, 2012 11:11 PM PST via mobile reply actions  

Personally I would take a FA over a rookie this year

We have some good young talent in our WR corp, what we’re missing is consistency and experience.

Rice can be that, but can he/will he be healthy next year? Williams proved once again that he isn’t. And I personally think that Obomanu will not be with us as he takes snaps from the young guys and doesn’t off much more than them anyways.

Butler, Tate, Baldwin, Lock are all explosive and offer big playmaking ability. Add in Durham and you got a raw, inexperienced, but talented bunch of WR’s. They just need to learn and grow. We don’t need to add to that list. Use our picks to bolster other positions.

We need someone who knows what the hell they’re doing on the field, can step in from day one, know how to run the right routes, do them well, read defenses, provide a consistent target for TJ/Whoever… all of that. Not saying an all-pro WR, but someone who can get the job done and do it right.

Personally I’d love to see a combo of Rice + FA (I like all of those who you listed, though iffy on Wayne only due to age and lack of future contributions) as our 1 & 2, then let all our young guys tear up the field coming out of the slot and empty sets. I’d let Williams and Obo walk. Our young guys have talent and need to see the field, but I don’t really see any of them being a true #2 like those FA’s could/would be.

by DSAhawker on Jan 31, 2012 3:29 AM PST reply actions  

The FO isn't stupid, they know Williams' season is about Tarvaris, not Williams

I don’t see how Butler will make it out, though.

Rice is your starting #1, as it stands Ricardo Lockette would be best option at #2, your slot receiver is Baldwin, #4 is Tate and your what call your possession receiver is Kris Durham

Lockette is not the best option at #2, not remotely. He’s way too raw, he’s still well behind Obomanu and Tate. Durham is a jump-ball guy, no idea why you peg him possession receiver, he’s not.

Formerly known as Vasilii, follow me on twitter @dolgorukii

by Thomas Beekers on Jan 31, 2012 4:57 AM PST reply actions   1 recs

Lockette and Durham

Lockette is raw and untested yes absolutely, but let’s not forget the type of receiver that Pete Carroll likes… especially at #2… big and physical. Tate is not that player and his routes are sloppy at times (why he was almost cut coming out of camp if you recall). Obomanu is an inexpensive option but he isn’t the ‘playmaking WR’ Pete Carroll is looking for and we need. He does have decent size, and could be kept on the roster but he’s not the answer.
Durham – I knew my assessment of him would cause a stir… I stand behind my assessment of Durham. He is crisp coming out of his routes and has very reliable hands. It’s too bad he was injured and never really found his groove this year. Part of being a possession receiver is the ability to go for the jump ball, redzone targets, not a fast burner type but one who can get between LBs and safeties and has reliable hands. Yes, Durham is a possession receiver, or at least has all of the tools to be.

by tarryhawk on Jan 31, 2012 9:28 AM PST up reply actions  

They're not going to dump BMW,

unless they’ve got another #1 receiver because they can’t count on Rice for more than 8 games a year. Otherwise they’d have to be rolling out two #3’s Obo and Tate as starters half the year, and that ain’t happening.

70% of space is covered by dark matter, the rest by ET.

by hazbro24 on Jan 31, 2012 9:41 AM PST up reply actions  

developing any of our your receivers on the field is a better strategy

than shoving BMW out there for 1.5 catches a game.

I take it back if BMW was dealing with a significant injury that we don’t know about, but what has been shown this year is that it is harder to throw to BMW than every single one of our receivers.

Smashmouth is the new sexy!

by pqlqi on Jan 31, 2012 11:08 AM PST up reply actions  

Ok, we develop our receivers on first and second down.

On third down we feed BMW for the first. Repeat.

"The time has come," the Walrus said, "to talk of many things."

by shams on Jan 31, 2012 1:49 PM PST up reply actions  

Tate was not "almost cut coming out of camp"

That was a bunch of nonsense rumors people were making up until he showed what he can do again in the final preseason game. Also, PC drafted Tate, which one could take as evidence Pete’s not as obsessed with the big and physical mold as you think. What do you think he drafted Tate for?

Durham looked like he could be a jumpball specialist coming out of college. I did not see the quality play or complexity of routes or softness of hands to immediately become a good possession receiver. Who knows how he’ll improve with a year off though. I’m not stirred, I just shrug at attributing so much value to guys like Lockette or Durham.

Formerly known as Vasilii, follow me on twitter @dolgorukii

by Thomas Beekers on Jan 31, 2012 11:13 AM PST up reply actions   1 recs

and that's ok

those rumors (if they were) were being said by Seattle’s beat writers and media around Seattle… maybe it was just to light a fire under him, but it worked. I do think Carroll drafted Tate with the intention of using him as #2 guy… he was the 4th overall WR taken in the draft and had/has big play ability, but hasn’t lived up to expectations yet… as for Carrolls mold of WR… certainly not something I made up… his quotes are out there.

by tarryhawk on Jan 31, 2012 1:18 PM PST up reply actions  

Obviously it's not made up

But people get overly obsessed with these “requirements” and “molds”, when it’s clear our personnel guys have preferences but they’re not absolute.

Formerly known as Vasilii, follow me on twitter @dolgorukii

by Thomas Beekers on Jan 31, 2012 1:49 PM PST up reply actions  

I agree

it’s not absolute, nothing about football is absolute, but if you look at our guys: Baldwin 5’10", Tate 5’10"… we have that type of player that can be dominate in the slots… Tate hasn’t proved he can play #2. Rice is 6’4" and a burner at WR that can make plays… I just think it makes sense that rather than adding another 5’10" guy who isn’t physical, that you get that guy. BWM is big and physical, but he’s not a playmaker and Carroll is looking for that. It makes a lot a sense to add a player with what we already have and are certainly keeping (Baldwin and Tate), so even if you don’t like the labels ‘requirements’ and ‘molds’ (and I’ve gotta say I don’t disagree with what you said on that… if he can play he can play), that type of player (Big, physical, fast, playmaker) is what is needed and in my interpritation of Carroll has stated he is looking for.

by tarryhawk on Jan 31, 2012 2:46 PM PST up reply actions  

Pete's mentioned having these archetypes specifically

He wants a big physical WR that can get jump balls and also a speedy guy. He wants a physical RB and a change-of-pace RB. He may be a little flexible in his requirements, but he’s not going to be happy about going without one of these guys. For instance, look at the amount of effort and money we put into finding a guy like Sidney Rice despite having access to guys like Housh, Burleson, Butler, Tate and BMW.

by Greetings from the Lord Humongous! on Jan 31, 2012 2:55 PM PST up reply actions  

I disagree with some of your evaluations

Obamanu is a solid, but unspectacular player on a non-expensive contract, so why cut him? Butler hasn’t played slot and he won’t; as far as I’m concerned it’s between him and Lockette for that one “speed guy” spot. Durham is the best route runner? Noooo. Doug Baldwin. Sidney Rice. Ben Obamanu. At the very least, those three are better route runners. Durham hasn’t really proven himself yet.

I also think Wayne is definitely still a #1 WR, considering the numbers he put up with his QB situation. If he would come here on a short-term contract, which there is no reason to believe he wouldn’t, I would like that. In fact, if we could sign one either of the Colts’ FAs to a reasonable contract, I would be happy. I don’t know if that would be prudent, salary cap wise, however.

by GasolineSnuggie on Jan 31, 2012 5:00 AM PST reply actions  

Durham

I will agree with you that Durham hasn’t proven himself yet, but lets look at the reasons why he was drafted in the 4th round last year… everyone praises PC and JS for their ability to find gems… first, he’s huge at 6’6", Redzone target and great hands. I disagree with Baldwin and Obomanu being better route runners… Rice I can’t argue with, he’s crisp as well and can stop on a dime, and very good as well. I could be wrong on Durham, I might have to eat crow on those statement, but I don’t think I will… we’ll have to wait until next season to find out.

Wayne certainly may just have had a down year based on circumstance, but with his age in there as well, he’s not going to demand the years and money on a contract that you would see with say Vincent Jackson.

by tarryhawk on Jan 31, 2012 10:10 AM PST up reply actions  

6'5" is his exaggerated roster height, so let's not push it even further to 6'6"

as a senior in college, he was listed at 6’4". For a guy who redshirted, it’s shocking that he would grow two inches in a year at 23 years of age. He’s probably a solid 6’4.5"

Smashmouth is the new sexy!

by pqlqi on Jan 31, 2012 11:11 AM PST up reply actions  

height

Yahoo has him listed at 6’6 which is where I got it from, NFL does have him at 6’5"… I haven’t measured hm personally, and didn’t think to check multiple sources for his height.

by tarryhawk on Jan 31, 2012 1:25 PM PST up reply actions  

Georgia Pro Day results...had to google about 4 different sites to get it all

6-5¼
216 pounds
40-yard dash in 4.43 seconds
4.09 short shuttle
35-inch vertical jump
10-foot-1 broad jump
bench pressed 225 pounds 17 times.

by DSAhawker on Jan 31, 2012 2:20 PM PST up reply actions  

haha

Thank you… I should have googled it, but really didn’t think there could be such a varience on a players height. I appreciate it.

by tarryhawk on Jan 31, 2012 2:49 PM PST up reply actions  

No Problem

I’m excited to see him get back on the field and rack up some experience. See how far he can progress. I have high hopes for him. I think he was completely undervalued in the draft (hence why everyone thought we were crazy for picking him). He definitely has potential, having nice route running and knows how to go up and snatch the ball. Fearless doing it too.

Not to mention deceptive speed

by DSAhawker on Jan 31, 2012 3:20 PM PST up reply actions  

Man, the guy is a physical phreak.

Fast, tall, agile, explosive…

The artist formerly known as mattlock.

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by Matt Erickson on Feb 1, 2012 4:50 PM PST up reply actions  

I would be willing to bet that Carrol is not taking a RB or WR at 11/12

(though i would like richardson here) it seems like a good thing to say to increase others want to trade up. If blackmon or richardson fall to us, another team could easily trade a good bit for either.

That said, if we got Dwayne Bowe and parted ways with obo I’d be fine with that. I hated that we re-signed him anyway. He’s never been better than a low average at best. the set of Rice, Bowe and Baldwin and BMW (if he stays, not sure if he will given T.Jax unwillingness to give him the ball. Gotta play with your QB) would be scary.

by PA hawkfan on Jan 31, 2012 9:11 AM PST reply actions  

Exactly

Rice and Bowe would be great together and Bowe could slide to #1 if Rice gets hurt.

I fully expect Richardson and Blackmon to be gone by 11/12, but if either is there, regardless if they are first priority I think you have to take them. Aside from those 2 guys, I think you are right, good value at WR in 2nd… or beyond… RB isn’t nearly as deep but if we resign Lynch, a good change of pace back can be found in later rounds (I like Tauren Poole – Tennessee in 4th round).

by tarryhawk on Jan 31, 2012 10:51 AM PST up reply actions  

Well, I don't really agree with your evaluation of our guys,

and your eval of the college guys falls woefully short.

No Kendall Wright? He’s rated by many scouts as the best WR in the draft.

No Micheal Floyd, Alshon Jeffery, Chris Givens, Joe Adams, Juron Criner and a handful of other guys. This draft is deep, and full of elite potential.

70% of space is covered by dark matter, the rest by ET.

by hazbro24 on Jan 31, 2012 9:38 AM PST reply actions  

falls short...

I couldn’t list everyone available in WR list in the draft, I picked 2 that would go in first, 2 in the 2nd and 2 sleepers. I’ll respond to a couple of them here though, since you mentioned them…

Michael Floyd – full of talent – off the field issues, and I think Carroll stays away from him (I chose Jones over him for that reason)… but I love his skill set.
Alshon Jeffery – I find him overrated, he’s got great size, but I don’t like his game
Juron Criner – off the field issues as well
Kendall Wright – I disagree with those scouts that he’s the best… I have him 3rd if you are going by all aspects of WR behind Floyd and Blackmon, Wright’s size at 5’10" could hurt him, but Wright is likely the fastest WR in this class. I have Dwight Jones as 4th best WR in this class and more of the size and tools I believe Carroll covets for #2.

by tarryhawk on Jan 31, 2012 10:40 AM PST up reply actions  

I'm a Baylor fan,

I can say that Wright is highly overrated. He was supposed to be a late third to early fifth rounder until RGIII decided he would make him a number one target. so I agree he should not be included as a possibility for that reason and he is short.

Wright will be a great slot player because of his speed being hard for an yone’s third corner or safety to cover, but you don’t draft a third receiver in the first.

People say he’s the next desean jackson but I’m not sure they understand that Jackson isn’t a difficult receiver to shut completely out of a game. One safety over top and he’s done, there is no threat over the middle cause he’s small and frail, same with Wright in my opinion. No, he’s not a Carroll guy.

by PA hawkfan on Jan 31, 2012 12:25 PM PST up reply actions  

Glad to hear that

I’ve seen probably 4 games and was pretty underwhelmed by Wright. He was okay, but really didn’t do anything that made me say WOW. Most of the time it was just running fast and standardly catching the ball. Nothing with routes or crazy catches or jump balls or anything of the nature. Seems like he’d be a niche run go routes all day type of WR.

I saw more overall playmaking ability/catching out of Terrance Williams. Had some good quick-twitch moves and did a lot of little things to make defenders miss/gain extra yards.

by DSAhawker on Jan 31, 2012 2:25 PM PST up reply actions  

Wait, there's a player named Nick Toon?

We have to draft him.

Sonicsgate: A movie about how the Sonics were stolen from Seattle.

by .Bonzo on Jan 31, 2012 5:01 PM PST reply actions  

Wasn't he talked about a lot in last years draft or something?

The name is oh so so so familiar I can’t place it though…

As for the Seahawks, they shall have stars at elbow and foot...Though they sink through the sea they shall rise again...Death shall have no dominion.

by Cheddar28 on Jan 31, 2012 6:02 PM PST up reply actions  

Cheddar is being funny here, kids.

Toon is the son of former Jet great Al Toon, who retired due to concussions. Given when he played, you can imagine how bad his head must have hurt by the end.

"The time has come," the Walrus said, "to talk of many things."

by shams on Jan 31, 2012 9:45 PM PST up reply actions  

Yes....funny....ahem.

As for the Seahawks, they shall have stars at elbow and foot...Though they sink through the sea they shall rise again...Death shall have no dominion.

by Cheddar28 on Feb 8, 2012 1:52 PM PST up reply actions  

Actually I got him confused with Tim Toone of the 2010 Draft - Mr. Irrelevant.

As for the Seahawks, they shall have stars at elbow and foot...Though they sink through the sea they shall rise again...Death shall have no dominion.

by Cheddar28 on Feb 8, 2012 1:57 PM PST up reply actions  

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