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2012 NFL Draft: Potential FS Targets for the Seahawks

Earl Thomas is 22 years old and is arguably the most valuable safety in the league. I say "most valuable" instead of "best" because his instincts, elite first step, and closing speed allow Seattle to play cover-1 more often and at a higher level than any other team in the league. This gives us a ton of schematic freedom and has especially helped emphasize Kam Chancellor's strengths.

Despite only two interceptions in 2011, it was clear how special ET is. His range is unmatched and he showed significantly more discipline than in 2010 when he was trying to jump every route under the sun (or clouds or dome). In the season ending presser, Pete Carroll even diverged from the question to comment on the strides ET took from year one to year two.

Earl Thomas is irreplaceable. If injury had befallen him last year then we would have seen a much different trend than the emerging defense we saw. Earl has proven remarkably durable thus far but his small stature and physicality mean injuries a disturbingly likely possibility. Our front office appeared well aware of the situation when they drafted Mark Legree out of Appalachian State in the sixth round of last year's draft.

As with any small school prospect, there's a larger degree of unknown entering training camp and Legree did not quite deliver. He wasn't bad but was beaten out by Jeron Johnson out of Boise State, who is ET's current back-up. Johnson is athletic and particularly well known for his jarring hits. However, his coverage skills are undeveloped and he really struggles with hip fluidity.

Johnson is at his best playing downhill. Even if his coverage skills improve, I would not be comfortable leaving him in cover-1 very often. Johnson could turn out as a career special teamer and might fit better at strong safety anyway. It is easy to see why Legree was the more attractive option entering the draft. The hope was that Legree could play some center field and free up Thomas for more creative uses. Oh well.

As irreplaceable as ET is, finding a suitable back-up is a must and we could also use that player in the deep middle to free up Earl for assignments closer to the LOS. I suspect we will again pick a free safety at some point in the draft. Thomas, Legree, and Johnson are all undersized, fast, physical, and instinctive. The players on this list will be of a similar ilk but with a greater emphasis on coverage since that is Johnson's weakness.

Star-divide

Leonard Johnson (5-10 198) Senior from Iowa State

When I watch Leonard Johnson, I see a less instinctive Earl Thomas. His balance, footwork, and compact frame give him an impressive burst when closing on the ball. He's also physical and tackles better than you'd expect from a guy his size. He will stick with receivers but can draw penalties past five yards and only has average ball skills.

With Johnson in for Thomas, I think we could run essentially the same scheme we are now without much ill-effect. Having both on the field at once would make any QB nervous. He's listed as a corner but I feel he could switch to safety without much trouble. He would definitely command snaps as a nickel back right away.

If Johnson slips to our pick in the third then it wouldn't surprise me if we snag him. Here is a scouting report and below you can watch him try to defend Justin Blackmon.


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Janzen Jackson (5-11 189) Junior from McNeese State

Janzen Jackson was a rising star at Tennessee until he was dismissed from the team prior to the 2011 season, reportedly due to multiple failed drug tests. The tape doesn't lie though. He is fluid and fast and anticipates the play. He's not a reliable tackler but he contains well in the open field and will lower his shoulder if the opportunity is there.

Jackson's coverage, range, and versatility could make him an appealing prospect for us. We've been willing to overlook drug issues in the past and this could mean landing him at a bargain price somewhere in the middle rounds. Jackson has all the talent to be a second round pick but I don't see much chance of that happening given his history.

Below you can watch him against Kentucky in 2010. Note: Randall Cobb is difficult to tackle.


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Coryell Judie (5-11 190) RS Senior from Texas A&M

Coryell Judie is a tremendous athlete who didn't start playing football until his Senior year of high school. He's raw but shows a natural feel for coverage and some spectacular ball skills. He's physical in man but can get panicky and will lose steps to the receiver. Judie is much better with his eyes in the backfield reading the QB and attacking. This is what suggests to me he could make the switch from corner to safety.

Judie is a project but he his athleticism, instincts, range, and ball skills could make him an undertaking well worth while. In the mean time he's shown some ability as a return man and is aggressive enough to contribute on kick coverage. The Seahawks won't be able to pick Judie knowing he can play safety. It would have to be a wait-and-see situation but given his skill set, I think he would take to it nicely.

Here is a scouting report and below you can see a short highlight video.


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Omar Bolden (5-10 195) RS Senior from Arizona State

Omar Bolden has a sturdy build, explosive speed, and fluid hips. Like Johnson and Judie, Bolden is a corner who I am guessing could move to safety. He looks very comfortable playing off the line and will close on the receive in a flash. His footwork and balance need work but he has all the potential to cover the entire field from the deep middle.

The Seahawks could start Bolden from day one in the nickel and he could also return kicks if need be. Bolden tore his ACL prior to the 2011 season and this could prompt a fall down the boards. Knee injuries are another area of concern our front office haven't shied away from. Pac-12 connection should also be considered.

Here is a scouting report and below you can watch him against California in 2010.


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Justin Bethel (5-11 196) Senior from Presbyterian

Justin Bethel has experience at both safety and corner. He seems like an all-around, solid DB to me. He's long limbed and sturdy, fast and fluid, instinctive and quick. I wonder about his ability to play corner because he looks uncertain of himself running with a receiver - slow to get his head around and often loses pace in the process. That is a recipe for being picked on at the next level.

Bethel should be able to man the slot pretty well though and his experience at safety would give us another option back there. It's also worth noting that he reportedly showed well at the East West Shrine Game week of practice. He has some upside and a well rounded game so don't be surprised if we take a shot on another small school DB late in the draft.

Below you can watch an interview with him which includes some scattered highlights in the background.


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Big thanks as usual to DraftBreakdown for the excellent scouting videos they put together. If it wasn't for their hard, unheralded and humble work, we'd be forced to watch those godawful horrible highlight videos with terrible soundtracks all day. So, thanks to Aaron Aloysius, JMPasq, JPDraftJedi, TTN2810, MARI0clp and the whole DraftBreakdown crew.

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Draft projection

Are Judie, Boldin and Bethel projected to go out pretty late?

by EmeraldTears on Feb 12, 2012 11:45 AM PST via mobile reply actions  

Roger copy.

Judie and Bolden could go earlier though.

by Ben Harbaugh on Feb 12, 2012 12:01 PM PST up reply actions  

Don't forget about Chis Maragos .

He’s listed as a CB right now for some odd reason. But he’s a free safety with 4.4 speed & had a few picks in school. I would expect Carroll to draft at safety every year being the position is “close to my heart” ( Carroll quote ).

by Richard fg7 on Feb 12, 2012 1:17 PM PST reply actions  

So Blackmon

Not the most dedicated blocker in that first video, eh?

Thizz or die.

by mjkleko on Feb 12, 2012 2:08 PM PST reply actions  

I found it interesting that you routinely suggest these players could come in and play nickel

I’ve heard many analysts claim that the nickel corner position can be one of the most difficult, specialized defensive roles to play. Clearly the “fluid hips, quick acceleration” 5’10’’ 190-ish player is built for this role, but I think playing the nickel takes much more than just having the build.

Those defenses of the 05-08’ teams never had great overall numbers, but Babineaux routinely succeeded in the ’Hawks “nickel Babs” formation, lending to his opportunistic nickname. He definitely had a bigger build than most of these guys and succeeded in large part due to his keen instincts, not necessarily body type.

This is just one example and isn’t meant to say we won’t take one of these players. I agree with you and can very easily see the FO spending a 3-6 rd pick on one of these guys.

Thizz or die.

by mjkleko on Feb 12, 2012 2:36 PM PST up reply actions  

My understanding is that Babs was mostly playing a "big nickel" position.

He was used to guard TEs and taller receivers who lined up in slot. I believe Bigbi played that role a lot in 2011. The goal of this list was to find players who could back-up ET. Their potential to play the more traditional nickel position was secondary.

I will consider the “big nickel” position with the potential CB targets. Pete seems to like big, rangy corners and that skill set might translate better to the “big nickel” position.

by Ben Harbaugh on Feb 12, 2012 3:51 PM PST up reply actions  

There are already two guys on this roster who could play this "unique" position.

Marcus Trufant, savvy physical corner with all around athleticism and ball skills.
Walter Thurmand III, savvy young physical freak athlete with good ball skills.
Both similar build as previously described.
Sadly both injury prone.
I say cross your fingers hoping one will work out.
Draft another tall rangy corner for depth.
Pete turns these guys into gold.

by nickfru1 on Feb 12, 2012 4:09 PM PST reply actions  

Did you take the Steve Kelley course on paragraph structure?

If you’re talking about the big nickel position, Trufant has never been physical and neither have the size to match up with tight ends.

by Nate Dogg on Feb 12, 2012 4:26 PM PST up reply actions  

He's too slender.

TEs would out-muscle him and he wouldn’t hold up against the run.

by Ben Harbaugh on Feb 12, 2012 5:54 PM PST reply actions  

Trufant

wont be back guys. Thurmund is a good player but is injury prone a bit… We will draft a corner or safety (likely corner), I like Bethel because he can play both.
I’ll probably take some flack for this next comment, but I’d like to get an upgrade to Browner… yes he went to probowl, but he takes too many penalties and gets beat more than I like… I’d prefer to move Browner to a ‘big nickel’ and/or back-up safetly and draft a true cover corner.

by tarryhawk on Feb 12, 2012 5:56 PM PST reply actions  

I agree on Trufant. He will be released but we'll still have him on speed dial.

Browner could be upgraded but not very easily. He’s earned starter money so it wouldn’t make sense to resign him if we were going to limit him to the big nickel spot. I would guess that we’ll resign him to a two or three year deal and try to develop someone behind him.

by Ben Harbaugh on Feb 12, 2012 6:25 PM PST up reply actions  

Released?

maybe. But where’s he gonna go and get paid? He knows it, he’ll renegotiate or get cut.

I just don’t want to see the FO do a dick move on Tru like they did on Jennings. Let him pick his own team if you don’t want him.

70% of space is covered by dark matter, the rest by ET.

by hazbro24 on Feb 12, 2012 6:33 PM PST up reply actions  

But if I'm not mistaken, Jennings chose to resign with the Hawks before they dealt him a few weeks later.

Maybe the best that he could do was a one-year deal with us. Judging by how things went in Ohio, he didn’t get much time.

Oh, man. It's my mom. She looks pissed.

by CharlieConway on Feb 12, 2012 8:30 PM PST up reply actions  

McDonald was a good pick-up.

I don’t see any teams offering us anything worth while for Trufant.

by Ben Harbaugh on Feb 12, 2012 10:11 PM PST up reply actions  

That's exactly what happened.

It was a dick move.

70% of space is covered by dark matter, the rest by ET.

by hazbro24 on Feb 13, 2012 7:58 AM PST up reply actions  

McDonald > Jennings

Dick move or not, it was a very good trade for us. Jennings would have been cut, McDonald proved to be valuable depth.

by HI Hawk 808 on Feb 17, 2012 12:31 AM PST up reply actions  

Browner to the bench?

Did I read that right? What else do you want from the guy? I would argue that outside of cloning Sherman, there is no improving upon Browner at this point. For a #2 CB, on this defense, I think Browner is damn near perfect already and will only improve. The only downfall is that he gets too many penalties, but that goes with the territory when you play press that much. His ball awareness is great; I mean he is the anti-Jennings in every way. PC even said he knew that was part of the package with Browner. Personally, I LOVE the pair of corners we have. The “big nickel” role is about the 52nd most important spot on the roster, and can be filled by a backup safety if necessary (Babs in 2010, Bigby in 2011, Johnson or whoever in 2012).

by HI Hawk 808 on Feb 17, 2012 12:29 AM PST up reply actions  

Earl played the nickel at times at Texas...

and did so quite well, might I add. I would like to see him given a shot there in certain looks.

I kind of prefer going the FA route for this position, especially if they want to put Earl in the nickel. If not, anything higher than a 4th or 5th seems like a pick that might be better served going to another position.

by cojack324 on Feb 12, 2012 8:11 PM PST reply actions  

I keep seeing guys on hearing saying Tru will be released,

but it was my understanding that with the way he restructured last year, he’s set to be a UFA this year.

Oh, man. It's my mom. She looks pissed.

by CharlieConway on Feb 12, 2012 8:19 PM PST reply actions  

I wish Earl Thomas

was my dad.

Learn JiuJitsu.
Semper Fi'
Cortez Kennedy is in the Hall Of Fame!!!!!!!! WE DID IT!

by RolloTomasi on Feb 12, 2012 9:16 PM PST reply actions  

Safety picks in later rounds - should include:

Here are the safety prospects that I think should have made the top of your list:

SS/KR/PR-WINSTON GUY,6-1, 216, 4.57/40, Kentucky, Proj. Rd 6/7 A MUST DRAFT
He can really tackle, displays solid range in space and above-average instincts in all areas of the game. Should be a heck of a special teams player early and looks like a guy who eventually can fight for playing time. — Has good size and is a hard hitter who had over 100 tackles last fall; runs extremely well for a SS; was a state 100M champion in high school and reportedly has run as low as 4.35 for the 40; — Doesn’t play quite as fast and is a little stiff, but can outrun mistakes; played both CB and FS before settling in at SS, but isn’t that instinctive in coverage, although he did have three picks last season; Has been a good blitzer in the past; also a good special teamer who has been dangerous as a KO returner." 2011 Season Stats: 120 Tackles, 14.0 TFL, 1.5 Sack, 2 INT, 2 PBU, 2 QBH, Fumble Forced, Fumble Recovered. 2010 Season Stats: 106 Tkls, 4.0 TFL, 3 INT, 2 PBU.

SS/FS-Kelcie McCray, 6-2, 196, 4.48/40, Arkansas State, projected Rd.-6, 7.
Kelcie McCray has a ton of upside with a long, lean frame that needs to bulk up to 210, is a fluid moving athlete with plus ball skills, sideline to sideline range, and impressive foot speed for such a tall player. Will need a year in the weight room before he becomes a solid starting free safety, but has skill set and tools rare for the safety position.

FS-Jerrell Young, 6-1, 207, 4.50/40, So. Florida projected Rd.-7, UDFA
The gifted safety has good speed and size for the position, he has solid range and is very tough to get behind. The part of his game that most excites fans is his ability to deliver big hits and jar the ball loose. Young is known as a head hunter in CF, and he has made more than a few players hear his footsteps. Young is entering only his second year as a starter so his lack of experience is a bit concerning for us, we also notice on film that he has a tendency to go for the hit over trying to make a play on the ball. He led the team in INT’s last year (3), but we felt there was more than a few missed opportunities where he could have created a turnover. Reference: http://www.fanaticalfootballfiend.com/

+ A tall and rangy CB with big upside:
CB-Desmond Marrow, 6-2, 210, 4.54/40, Toledo, projected Rd-6, 7, UDFA

Jim Q.

by CamanoIslandJQ on Feb 20, 2012 10:19 AM PST reply actions  

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