Seattle Seahawks: All 13 of Tarvaris Jackson's Interceptions
Over the course of the season, Tarvaris Jackson played in 15 games and threw 13 interceptions. A quarterback can overcome 13 picks to be considered a successful QB if he has enough positive plays, but Jackson didn't have the number of positive plays that it would have taken to do that.
His overall numbers were just average, but he did complete 60.2% of his passes and look like a legit starting quarterback for small stretches during the season. He did enough for me to believe that he could be the starter in 2012 while Seattle had the future QB in waiting learning the system and getting his reps in practice.
If Seattle does actually sign an NFL QB this off-season, then I guess that feeling was moot.
In watching all 256 games, I was reminded that some of Jackson's early season interceptions weren't exactly his fault. A player heaves a hail mary at the end of a half, we all know that he's taking the chance at a pick because the reward is great, but it can't be considered to be a bad decision or a bad throw, usually.
So I decided that we needed to put all 13 of his interceptions into one place, so that now we know for sure how many were his fault and how many were the fault of circumstance or Zach Miller.
Sorry, still working on learning the GIFs but here are a lot of screenshots!
Interception #1: Week One @San Francisco. End of First Half
After the 49ers scored to go up 16-0, Seattle got one last opportunity to score from mid-field and only had time for one offensive play with :06 left.
Jackson rolls right and heaves it down field, just shy of the end zone where it's intercepted by Tramaine Brock.
Fault: Opportunity. End of half heaves can't be blamed on Jackson or anyone else.
Interception #2: Week 3 against Arizona. End of First Half.
Almost the exact same situation. Marcus Trufant intercepts Kevin Kolb with :00 left but a penalty gives the Hawks the ball just shy of the 50 and again they line up for one hail mary with three bunched wide and one lone man on the left.
Jackson is immediately rushed and forces a throw that falls much shorter of the end zone this time, where it's tipped up and grabbed by Patrick Peterson.
Fault: Opportunity.
Interception #3: Week 4 against Atlanta. 2nd Quarter, 11:50
Seattle has third-and-four at their own 36.
Mike Williams runs a quick slant and Jackson fires it to him, but he's tightly covered by Akeem Dent, who gets a hand on the ball and tips the pass which is hauled in by linebacker Curtis Lofton.
Fault: Well-played by Dent and bad luck for Jackson and the Seahawks. Tarvaris may have forced a throw, but the opening was there and then it wasn't. It was a nice play by Dent and Lofton took advantage of the opportunity. Jackson may have been better off not forcing a throw to a covered receiver, but it was a designed play and Jackson knew he was going to BMW the whole time and then Dent closed quickly and tipped the pass.
Interception #4: Week four against Atlanta. 4:57 left in the 3rd Quarter.
It's first-and-ten at the 17 and the Hawks are looking to score and close the gap on the Falcons. Zach Miller motions right and sprints up the middle of the field where he's wide open for a touchdown.
Unfortunately, this article isn't about Jackson's touchdowns.
James Sanders delivers a hit on Miller and the ball pops out and winds up in the hands of Thomas DeCoud.
Fault: Zach Miller. You gotta hold onto that.
Interception #5: Week Five @New York Giants. :57 Left in the First Half
The Seahawks have third-and-five and are spread out four wide.
Jackson drops back and without much hesitation tosses it towards Ben Obomanu, who is well-covered by Aaron Ross and Ross steps in front and makes a rather easy interception.
Fault: T-Jack. Just a bad decision and he didn't go through any progressions to try and find an open receiver, or to tuck and run if nobody was open.
Interception #6: Week Eight against Cincinnati. :50 Left in the Game.
Seahawks looking for a miracle comeback against the Bengals, at the Cincinnati 45.
Jackson is leveled as he throws, but the hit itself didn't look to the alter the throw. From this image, it almost looks promising as Kris Durham could be breaking free.
This image doesn't look as good:
The ball goes right to Reggie Nelson, who intercepts it and returns it for a touchdown.
Fault: T-Jack and miscommunication? This is either a really poor throw or Durham and Jackson weren't on the same page, or both. Jackson was also rushed on the throw because of the pressure brought by the Bengals. It's just so far from hitting the target and it goes right to Nelson. Durham is also stumbling on the play, perhaps a loss of balance kept him from going to the right spot. Perhaps one of you remembers an explanation from Tarvaris, but I am unable to find one at the moment.
Interception #7: Week Nine at Dallas. 1:46 Left in the Third.
Seattle is down 7 and just had a big 31 yard gain, threatening to get some momentum and tie it up.
Tarvaris has some time in the pocket. Notice that Marshawn Lynch is open as a safety valve in the top right corner.
All of a sudden, the pocket collapses and Jackson makes a bonehead decision to throw it into traffic. It hits Sean Lissemore, bounces in the air, and is picked up by Jason Hatcher.
Fault: T-Jack. It's not a classic interception in the terms of the Aaron Ross interception, it IS a deflected pass, but it's deflected because it's poor execution of a poor decision. It's 1st and 10. Get rid of the ball. Dump it to Lynch. Tuck and run. Take the sack. But don't throw it into the bodies of two Cowboys.
Interception #8: @Dallas. 13:20 Left in the Game.
Seahawks paid for the last mistake and are now down 14 with 2nd and 5 at their own 25.
Jackson feels the pressure coming and throws it up for grabs, where it's grabbed by Terrance Newman.
Fault: T-Jack. Really poor decision and really poor throw. It's not near any Seahawks, severely underthrown, and Jackson had a chance to get rid of the ball by rolling out of the pocket.
Interception #9: @Dallas. :29 Left.
A three interception game for Tarvaris. Desperation time again and Seattle is driving late, looking to score and attempt an onside kick, but it would never come to that.
Its 4th and 3, so Jackson really has no choice but to make something happen. Unfortunately, he throws it to Doug Baldwin who is well-covered by Gerald Sensabaugh.
It looks like a tie and the initial call is in favor of Seattle but is overturned.
Fault: Jackson, again. The ball is underthrown and it takes a near miracle for Baldwin to reach over Sensabaugh and potentially make a catch. Whether or not it is technically an interception or not is irrelevant to the fact that Jackson threw the ball here:
That ball is thrown right to Sensabaugh's numbers.
I used to defend the Dallas game when people brought up the 3 interceptions, but my memory failed me. These were three poor decisions and three badly thrown passes.
Interception #10: Week Ten at St. Louis. 14:10 in the First.
This was the first game without James Carpenter and John Moffitt and it couldn't have started out much worse.
The first play of the game is a 55-yard pass from Sidney Rice to Mike Williams. The first pass by Tarvaris is.. less successful.
Seattle has two receivers left and Marshawn is open underneath for a short gain, but instead tries to force it to Mike Williams.
He hits Chris Chamberlain square in the chest.
Fault: Tarvaris. Poor decision, but just a terrible throw.
Interception #11: At Rams. 10:10 in the First.
Jackson's 2nd pass of the game isn't any better than his first. Seattle has 3rd and 3.
When the pocket collapses, Tarvaris forces another bad throw, this one targeting Obomanu.
But Quintin Mikell dives in front of Obo for the interception.
Fault: T-Jack and a nice play by Mikell. It's not a play you'll see a defensive player execute 10 times out of 10. But Jackson keeps his eyes on Obo and as the pocket collapses, Mikell is 100% sure that Jackson is going to Obo and is able to close the gap quickly to make the nice play.
Interception #12: Week 12 against Washington. :44 Left in the Game.
Seattle has blown the lead and the game, but have one more chance for a miracle comeback with no timeouts remaining. It's 3rd and 9, someone has to make a play.
Jackson throws downfield and as soon as the ball enters the frame with the players, you know the game is over for Seattle.
Fault: Tarvaris and circumstance. Not a good pass by Jackson, who had one of his worst games of the year, completing only 14 of 30 passes for 4.80 yards per attempt and then this game-ending interception. He had to try to make something happen, but DeAngelo Hall made a better something happen.
Interception #13: Week 17 at Arizona. 10:00 in 2nd Quarter.
Hey, it's been six weeks since your last interception! Over weeks 13-16, Jackson completed 63.6% of his passes for 804 yards, 4 TD, 0 INT, 98.8 QB Rating, and 7.51 yards per attempt.
If Tarvaris played that well over a full season, it's how Seattle could actually be NFC contenders next year with or without a new QB. The new QB needs to be the efficient Jackson that we saw over that month of the season.
He got one last INT out of his system against the Cardinals.
It's 3rd and 26 at the Arizona 27 yard line. At this point, Seattle should have one thing on their mind: Field Goal.
Cornerback Michael Adams blitzes on the right, forcing Jackson to make a quick decision. We've learned that it's the weak part of his game, trying to make quick decisions. He floats the ball towards Zach Miller, trying to get too much.
Richard Marshall doesn't have to work very hard for this interception.
Fault: All T-Jack. From where they're at, it's a 44-yard field goal for Steven Hauschka, which isn't a problem. If he completes that pass, it's just a shorter field goal. Perhaps some blame for Darrell Bevell or whoever is actually calling the plays. Don't put Jackson in a position to have to make a decision here. Run the ball, run a screen, run a quick slant. Something to get the 5-10 yards that would be plenty enough. But this play took points off of the board and Seattle ended up losing in OT.
Fault Count:
Tarvaris' Fault: 9. It's funny, his first four interceptions weren't exactly his fault, but I have to give him credit for the last nine. Two early interceptions on end of half throws, a drop by Miller, and a nice play by Atlanta contributed to the first four, but on each of his last nine picks, Jackson had a major part of the blame.
Still, nine interceptions isn't terrible. Of course, there are the bad decisions that weren't intercepted. There were bad decisions that still cost Seattle points because Jackson's major weakness is still his decision-making. He's got a strong arm, though sometimes he does make a really bad pass.
If he can duplicate his success at the end of the season and continue down that path with a full off-season as the Hawks starter, then Jackson might be Alex Smith light.
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note on interceptionnumber ten:
that is a quick dig route that Williams runs. On that route, if the WR doesn’t continue to the QB it will (should) be picked every time by any corner worth being in the NFL.
Williams route was awful and he stopped. That is instant key for the corner to break on it and it ends up a pick. Should williams have continued his route he is (at the minimum) in position to contend for the catch, more likely he is catching the ball.
Number 5 was also at least half on Obo. He’s big enough to easily shield out the corner there.
Not really trying to defend T.Jax, I would simply put an asterix by those interceptions as possible WR fault.
I welcome all additional input on these 13 plays.
Definitely there are times when an INT looks like the fault of the QB and is actually the fault of the WR.
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by Kenneth Arthur on Feb 13, 2012 10:42 AM PST up reply actions
In addition to what is said above, I think the Rams did a good job of scouting here.
Something I noticed early in the year (and will get into more, perhaps) is Seattle ran this play/concept somewhat often in their opening sequences for games/coming out at half. I may not have mentioned this at the time…but I think St. Louis had a pretty good idea this play could be coming, and capitalized.
Good stuff Kenneth.
by Charlie Todaro on Feb 13, 2012 11:12 AM PST up reply actions
So, more gif tips.
If you use fraps you can take a video capture, even in browser. Once you get the video, open GIMP with GAP. Go Video> Split Video Into Frames > Extract Video Range. In that window you can play with the exact frame you want to start and end with. Make sure you click the Create only one multilayer Image box before hiting ok. Since you’re getting the video from a browser I’m guessing you’ll probably want to crop out all the extra stuff before saving as a gif file.
That’s pretty much how I was doing it, I’m sure there are better ways but it’s worth a shot if you’re still having issues making them.
Thanks!
Downloaded GIMP yesterday and just slowly working through your instructions when I have time. Appreciate the tips.
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by Kenneth Arthur on Feb 13, 2012 11:10 AM PST up reply actions
Interception 6 was clearly due to the pressure up the middle
and I don’t know how you say the hit didn’t look to alter the throw.
http://www.nfl.com/videos/nfl-fantasy/09000d5d8239fb4c/Bengals-defense-INT-TD
Tarvaris is crushed before 3 seconds have elapsed, closer to 2.5 seconds. Sure Tarvaris threw it, but Gallery was a sieve.
Tarvaris can’t complete the follow through which would have been responsible for getting the ball further to the left sideline (on a throw across his body), which is where it looks like Durham started turning before stumbling seeing the ball going into the middle of the field.
Smashmouth is the new sexy!
Yeah, the pressure could have definitely altered the throw, it was just a messy play all around. I believe that was right around the time of the "torn pec" as well.
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by Kenneth Arthur on Feb 13, 2012 11:13 AM PST up reply actions
Maybe Tarvaris just held on to the ball too long...
There were way too many plays like this from the offensive line in the early season.
Interception total not really a big deal
But what is a big deal is not being able to set up and throw a pass to win a game, Brett Farve threw lots of interceptions but when he had to make a play with his arm for a first down or a game winner, he could do it. I don’t see that in T-Jack.
I'm pretty sure Brett Favre ended the last three seasons of his career
literally throwing the games away at crucial moments, crushing the hopes and dreams of Jets and Vikings fans with untimely interceptions.
by Stay Off the Flowers on Feb 13, 2012 11:20 AM PST up reply actions 1 recs
Agreed
Ideally we’d like the interceptions to be lower, but 13 is a pretty acceptable number as long as we also throw for 20+ TD and lead the team to some wins.
Kenneth, you are a sick man (I mean that kindly). Thank you for the look into this. I find it interesting that you think he could be Alex Smith light next year. After comparing their stats, he was Alex Smith light this year. The big differences were in TD (17-14), INT (5-13) and fourth quarter comebacks (6-0). The last of these is the most damning.
I’d also make the argument that while PC tries to run the ball and have Tavaris limit his mistakes, Alex Smith was reined in even more. The 49ers seemed like a 1950’s offense at times during the year. A competant QB in Seattle would put up significantly better numbers. I do however, begrudgingly accept your statement that Tavaris would be ok as a fill-in for one more year. In fact, if we went to a rookie as a starter it’s likely that we would see more INTs and a lower completion percentage. Still, we need to make an aggressive move. Soon.
Thanks for doing this Ken. Good work.
It certainly helps us put Jackson’s work into perspective.
Honestly I didn’t realize how good the last month of the season was for him. I am sure that PC/JS noticed it too, and that his performance during that time will play a part in any decisions made by the front office.
Eternally looking forward to someone making a Seahawks song based off of Lil' Jon's "Shots" song named "Hawks!"
by Bobby Cink on Feb 13, 2012 11:25 AM PST reply actions 1 recs
He didnt throw a lot of TDs in down the stretch
That is the big thing that kept his performance from really standing out, but as far as being effective he was VERY good in December. this was right around when his pec was healing and the level of competition was bad.
Honestly i think if the Oline improves, the recievers improve, and TJ builds chemistry with a third reciever, we will be looking at a deep play off run. Im ever the optimistic though.
The fact he has Carroll doing Vucan mind-melds on him chanting "don't turn the ball over" helps too.
What I wonder is how much this affects his play-making. He looks over cautious at times when you need him to go out and let it rip. Those final minute drives for example when it’s live or die.You need to take chances you normally wouldn’t take and he looked to be the same guy to me. He is our guy though and I’ve decided to suck-it-up and support him. Nobody’s perfect.
by Richard fg7 on Feb 13, 2012 11:36 AM PST reply actions 2 recs
I disagree somewhat with your description of INT #3
Indeed the defender made a very good play, but the positioning of the pass was horrible. BMW had to contort his body back a little to attempt the grab. The ball should have been a foot or two in front of his numbers in the direction he was running. There have been a few stories recently about how accuracy is the most important factor in success of a QB. This particular play showed poor accuracy.
Overall however, these INT’s don’t bother me all that much. 13 is a number I think the team can live with. 14 TD’s however is unacceptable. Kenneth, you mentioned that his six week stretch before the arizona game, if duplicated over a full season, would lead to competing in the NFC, I don’t think thats a good case. 4 TD’s in six weeks? I don’t think that is going to cut it. Again, 13 INT’s isn’t a problem but only if he has preferrably 24+ TD’s
It was actually 4 TD over 4 games.
Which brings me back to Smith’s 3,000 yard, 17 TD/5 INT season.
Interceptions and turnovers are important. It’s not just on T-Jack, it’s on the whole offense and the coaching. This was just a way to display the 13 interception plays from this season.
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by Kenneth Arthur on Feb 13, 2012 12:29 PM PST up reply actions
Kenneth,
How are you able to get the video from your DVR to your computer? I’m just starting getting into videos and editing, and you make it look real easy.
Oh, man. It's my mom. She looks pissed.
Its interesting, but
On average what percentage of interceptions are not attributable directly to the average QB? Not sure if it matters, but it would make the data more significant if I knew that 50 percent was really unlucky, 25 average and 10 low. It would just add more too it and let me know what to think of his int this year.
they took turns pissing into the bitch's ocular cavities.
This way to the cafeteria!
Yeah, I don't know the answer to that.
This was more of an exercise to give narrative to the box score. Mostly, because I have a terrible memory.
This FootballOutsiders article from 2009 talks a bit about how costly an interception is.
“For reference, there were 465 INTs in the league in 2008, costing a total of -46.98 WPA. That averages to -.101 WPA/INT. So on average, an interception costs a team a 10% chance of winning. An interception equates to 3.8 points, 60 yards, or 10% WP lost.”
Of course, throwing an interception when you say you want the ball and you’re going to score, is different than a hail mary interception, or an interception when you’re up or down by 21 points.
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by Kenneth Arthur on Feb 13, 2012 2:05 PM PST up reply actions
The important stat is not the 13 INT,
but the 9 fumbles he had over the course of the season.
I seen enough plays to understand that INT are mostly attributed to both the QB and the WR’s faults alike, and sometimes tip balls by the line are also the factor. And some INT could just be Hail Mary chucks. So I don’t believe that stat is really good in deciding a QB’s judgement or intelligence.
But what worries me is fumbles. This is a guy who has lost the ball 9 times in and out of the pocket – and that is entirely on the QB’s fault. I can understand taking a sack, but for God’s sake tuck in the ball as you’re going down. Turnovers are keys to winning a game, and this statistic shows why we lost 9 out of our 16 games last year.
"You are the molders of their dreams." - Clark Mollenhoff
Stop Making excuses
JACKSON SUCKS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! He sucked for the Vik’s He SUCKS In Seattle.
Drop that bum and SOMEONE tell Pete Carrol to go after Kirt Cousins from Mich St.
It gets old hearing year after year “we are rebuilding” Sounds to familiar to “we can rebuild him, we can make him stronger, faster” heck while they are rebuilding, go after the $28 Million dollar man in Payton Manning………….My last thought is, If Paul Allen is so rich, why is he SO DAMN Stingy with his money….I would have bought the league out by now and Seattle would have been given 4 maybe 5 S.B. Rings by now. Also If I were Mr. Allen I would have put a bounty out for the refs heads from S.B. 40
BACK to the subjct at hand , TJ SUCKS , watching him play makes me want to blow chunks
So what I hear you saying...
is that you think Tavaris Jackson is the QBOTF, right? Am I misinterpretting that?
No, what he's trying to say is that Dan McGwire is awesome
Heresy grows from idleness.
Why get Matt Flynn?
"Also, for what it’s worth, if we get Flynn, New England and Detroit are on the schedule!" - SSreporters
by Corax --Nevermore-- on Feb 13, 2012 11:47 PM PST up reply actions
Do you really think you can spend to win a superbowl?
this isnt baseball.
He really hasnt been stingy with his money, but as most smart business people he wants value for his money.
We have been rebuilding for 4 years, that isnt an eternity, especially considering we won a play off game in 2010, that slowed things down. The real reason we are still rebuilding is because Ruskell was about as bad a GM as you could find in the NFL. The fact that it took us only 3 drafts to recoup our losses, speaks measures about PCJS and their plan.
Ruskell is a middling general manager.
There are plenty more horrible than he.
I stopped reading at "Paul Allen is stingy".
Stop making stuff up.
"The time has come," the Walrus said, "to talk of many things."
by shams on Feb 14, 2012 11:12 AM PST up reply actions 2 recs
Shams,
you of all people should recognize the performance art of that post.
70% of space is covered by dark matter, the rest by ET.
Not sure why me of all people--
but it’s the internet, you can’t do a really good impression of a simpleton as a joke and expect people to differentiate between you and the trillion real simpletons. (An analog of “Poe’s Law” perhaps?)
I didn’t immediately recognize the name Brock F, so…yeah. Anyway, Brock, god love ya for fooling me.
"The time has come," the Walrus said, "to talk of many things."
Welcome to Field Gulls.
You may have gotten your tabs mixed up with Yahoo Sports, but in case you didn’t, a friendly reminder that this isn’t Yahoo Sports. In the future, please put more effort into proper grammar and not sounding like a 12-year-old.
by Benne on Feb 14, 2012 9:07 PM PST up reply actions 1 recs

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