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2012 Mock Draft, Version 2.0

See version 1 from early February.

My updated assumptions for the mock are: (1) No trades, (2) Each selection features the player I think is the best option (with some consideration of team needs) for the team at that spot. I'm not really trying to guess what a given team will actually do.

Selections after the jump.

Team Player/Position School Comments
1. IND Andrew Luck, QB Stanford It's inevitable at this point.
2. WAS Robert Griffin III, QB Baylor WAS traded up specifically to select Griffin, who refused to work out for Indy.
3. MIN Matt Kalil, OT USC I am not sure that Minnesota will keep this pick. I think they will look to deal to a team targeting Kalil, Richardson, or Claiborne.
4. CLE Trent Richardson, RB Alabama Richardson can play in any scheme and can be a huge assist to Colt McCoy.
5. TB Morris Claiborne, CB LSU Tampa will likely select whomever is left between Richardson and Claiborne.
6. STL Justin Blackmon, WR Ok. State The Rams got a nice three-year haul from their deal with the 'Skins.
7. JAC Quinton Coples, DE UNC Jacksonville needs WR help, but Gene Smith won't reach. If they can't trade down then picking Coples is a reasonable gamble on a potentially great talent.
8. MIA Ryan Tannehill, QB Texas A&M Should this happen I think it works out well for the Fish. Tannehill's upside warrants this selection but it's clearly a gamble. Miami doesn't have to play him right away, and at #8 you're not paying him as if he needs to start on day one.
9. CAR Melvin Ingram, DE/OLB S. Carolina Carolina, I think, will place a premium on players with versatility on defense, as they are rebuilding. Ingram brings some pass rush, but importantly also adds some flexibility in specific packages. (I feel like CAR is committed to going defense, but Malcolm Floyd would make a lot of sense for them.)
10. BUF Jonathan Martin, OT Stanford I expect Buffalo to take one of the two remaining first round OT's.
11. KC Dontarie Poe, NT Memphis Scott Pioli has not been afraid to draft scheme-specific players, especially on the defensive line. Poe's limited production at Memphis is less likely to scare KC away given what they'll probably ask him to do.
12. SEA Courtney Upshaw, OLB Alabama Rob Staton at the inestimable Seahawks Draft Blog has just worn me down on Upshaw. His athletic limitations give me pause, but I have every reason to believe SEA likes his scheme fit.
13. ARI Reilly Reiff, OT Iowa The Cards will be fortunate if Reiff or Martin falls this far. Either OT would help cure what ails them, regardless of who ends up at QB for them.
14. DAL Michael Brockers, NT/DE LSU I don't see a more obvious place for Dallas to go without reaching. Brockers' upside is most likely as a Marcus Spears-like 5-technique, who is just about immovable versus the run and offers just a little bit versus the pass.
15. PHI Malcolm Floyd, WR Notre Dame Imagine replacing Jason Avant with Vincent Jackson in that offense.
16. NYJ Luke Keuchly, LB Boston College The Jets are another Ryan-led defense starting to show some age. Keuchly seems like he'll be a leader from day one.
17. CIN David DeCastro, G Stanford Cincinnati is trying to commit to the run game to shield Andy Dalton as much as possible.
18. SD Cordy Glenn, G/T Georgia Glenn would fill a need with Kris Dielman's retirement, either directly at guard or by creating flexibility.
19. CHI Whitney Mercilus, DE Illinois Mercilus' success may end up being a function of how he is used, and Chicago is well-situated to manage his matchups so that they are favorable.
20. TEN Fletcher Cox, DE Mississippi St. Cox is athletic enough to provide some real pass rush as an end.
21. CIN Stephon Gilmore, CB S. Carolina Gilmore fits the kind of coverages they like to run in Cincinnati.
22. CLE Mark Barron, S Oh. State He could compete for immediate playing time in a secondary that is widely considered good.
23. DET Janoris Jenkins, CB N. Alabama DET could probably use some secondary help and takes the plunge on Jenkins.
24. PIT Devon Still, NT Penn State They need to start grooming a replacement for Casey Hampton.
25. DEN Coby Fleener, TE Stanford This just makes a lot of sense, even with signing Jacob Tamme.
26. HOU Ruben Randle, WR LSU Houston has long lacked a reliable complement to the magnificent-but-often-injured Andre Johnson.
27. NE Kendall Wright, WR Baylor I really like Wright. He can catch and run. He didn't run well at the combine, but he didn't get caught from behind much.
28. GB Doug Martin, RB Boise State Martin has all the makings of a feature back, but has played in a pass happy attack. He knows protections from day one. He also knows understands that he can get his when the team gets a lead. As a fan of an NFC team, this would frighten me.
29. BAL Dante Hightower, LB Alabama He seems like a good scheme fit.
30. SF Stephen Hill, WR Georgia Tech. Hill is raw, but may not need to play much early. Plus, he's an accomplished run blocker.
31. NE Nick Perry, DE/OLB USC The Pats continue to need pass rushing.
32. NYG Peter Konz, C Wisconsin A disappointing combine and workouts could see him slide to round 2.

                                                                                                                                                                                                               

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