Editors note: Rob Davies runs a great blog called Rob's NFL Yard where he breaks down, in detail, each NFL game throughout the season, and using his experience in the betting/gaming industry assigns his own odds to each game with in-depth analysis. Rob is going to be contributing here to give you degenerate gamblers a better look at the ever-changing NFL odds, with a focus on the Seahawks. During the season, his odds and game-handicapping-based analysis should be a great complement to Jacson's excellent NFL Picks column to give readers a really, really great picture of each game going into Sunday, and hopefully enhance your enjoyment of the action. Obviously, it's the offseason, but the oddsmakers and bookies never sleep, and I'll let Rob take it away with some of the early odds on this season's NFL Schedule.
How long until the football season begins? A little under three months or a little under four months? It's almost impossible to answer as there are those who believe that all football is competitive*, beginning with the annual curtain raiser, the Hall of Fame Game, which this year happens to fall onAugust 5. Exactly one month later, with the appetite well and truly whetted, the small matter ofthe 2012 NFL regular season kicks off, when Dallas visits New York to take on the world championGiants.
*The Pro Bowl most definitely isn't competitive.
So, which way do you fall? Are you a preseason guy or does that pass you by simply because there'sno fantasy value to be had? The truth is, is that it's difficult not to place a high enough emphasis onthe preseason, if only for the fact that hundreds of players are fighting for a prized roster spot andthus the chance to compete for the Lombardi trophy. Yes, lofty expectations when a third stringer ishanging in there by the skin of his teeth, but it's the mere thought of having the chance to touch thattrophy that spurs such players on. That, and by the very nature of playing a role on a team, of beingpart of a special collective, something that nobody can take away; truly a dream fulfilled.
On a more personal level, other reasons present themselves, from the guy from your college teamyou desperately want to see make it or the undrafted free agent sleeper that you told just abouteverybody was the diamond in the rough who'd one day prove thirty one teams wrong.
Why the meandering to this point? To place myself firmly in the preseason camp... the football season is a little under three months away, which means it's never too early for me to mull overwhat the Sportsbooks are looking like in Vegas and, thanks to Cantor Gaming, I have the opportunity to pore over every Seahawks spread, discounting Week 17, which, for reasons of competitive balance, haven't been posted.
This is quite fascinating, as these spreads are going to change, and in some cases very stupidly and very dramatically, so, after the jump, let's see what the future holds right now in one corner of Vegas.
For you newbies to the gambling world - the Point Spread Explained:
The point spread - also called "the line" or "the spread" - is used as a margin to handicap the favorite team. For betting purposes, the oddsmaker predicts that the favored team will win by a certain number of points. This number of points is the point spread. The favorite is always indicated by a minus sign (e.g. -5.5) and the underdog by a plus sign (e.g.+5.5). If you bet on the favorite, you win your bet if the favorite wins AND their margin of victory is greater than the point spread. If you bet on the underdog, you win if the underdog wins, ties, or if the favored team wins but fails to exceed the point spread.
WEEK 1 at Arizona Cardinals -- Vegas Line: Seahawks + 2 (Rob's Line: Seahawks + 1.5)
WEEK 2 vs. Dallas Cowboys -- Vegas Line: Cowboys + 1.5 (Rob's Line: Cowboys + 2.5)
WEEK 3 vs. Green Bay Packers -- Vegas Line: Seahawks + 6 (Rob's Line: Seahawks + 5.5)
WEEK 4 at St. Louis Rams -- Vegas Line: Rams + 1 (Rob's Line: Rams + 2.5)
WEEK 5 at Carolina Panthers -- Vegas Line: Seahawks + 3.5 (Rob's Line: Seahawks + 3.5)
WEEK 6 vs. New England Patriots -- Vegas Line: Seahawks + 6 (Rob's Line: Seahawks + 6.5)
WEEK 7 at San Francisco 49ers -- Vegas Line: Seahawks + 7 (Rob's Line: Seahawks + 6.5)
WEEK 8 at Detroit Lions -- Vegas Line: Seahawks + 6.5 (Rob's Line: Seahawks + 6.5)
WEEK 9 vs. Minnesota Vikings -- Vegas Line: Vikings + 5.5 (Rob's Line: Vikings + 9.5)
WEEK 10 vs. New York Jets -- Vegas Line: Jets + 1.5 (Rob's Line: Jets + 4.5)
WEEK 11 BYE WEEK
WEEK 12 at Miami Dolphins -- Vegas Line: Seahawks + 3 (Rob's Line: Dolphins + 2.5)
WEEK 13 at Chicago Bears -- Vegas Line: Seahawks + 5.5 (Rob's Line: Seahawks + 6.5)
WEEK 14 vs. Arizona Cardinals -- Vegas Line: Cardinals + 4 (Rob's Line: Cardinals + 5.5)
WEEK 15 at Buffalo Bills -- Vegas Line: Seahawks + 3.5 (Rob's Line: Seahawks + 4.5)
WEEK 16 vs. San Francisco 49ers -- Vegas Line: Seahawks + 2.5 (Rob's Line: 49ers + 0.5)
WEEK 17 vs. St. Louis Rams -- Vegas Line: NO LINE POSTED (Rob's Line: Rams + 7.5)
There are a couple of discrepancies, but that's always to be expected. However, the Seahawks receiving a field goal start in Miami??? What do you guys think about the initial Vegas odds?