FanPost

Quick addendum to the Darrell Bevell playcalling post

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

You may have read Jason Drake's thought-provoking article on Bevell yesterday. He was nice enough to share his data source with me in the comments and I've spent the better part of my Friday buried up to my elbows in Pro-Football-Reference.com spreadsheets. The goal here isn't to challenge or reinforce Jason's conclusions- it's entirely possible that the Seahawks should be handing off the ball a lot more frequently on 3rd and 4th downs when the line to gain is between 3 and 7 yards away. I don't know. I just wanted to take a look at what other top rushing teams are doing in this scenario, including last year's Seahawks. I haven't filtered anything out for blowouts or gamestate, just raw data. All data below comes from plays that occurred on 3rd or 4th down, with 3-7 yards to go:

Seahawks, 2013 (through 8 games)
40 total attempts
34 passes (85%)
5 QB runs (13%)
1 RB run (2%)

Seahawks, 2012 (first 8 games)
54 total attempts
45 passes (83%)
5 QB runs (9%)
4 RB runs (7%)

49ers, 2013 (through 8 games)
47 total attempts
32 passes (68%)
10 QB runs (21%)
5 RB runs (11%)

Redsk*ns, 2013 (through 7 games)
46 total attempts
42 passes (92%)
2 QB runs (4%)
2 RB runs (4%)

Eagles, 2013 (through 8 games)
42 total attempts
29 passes (69%)
6 QB runs (14%)
7 RB runs (17%)

Bills, 2013 (through 8 games)
51 total attempts
41 passes (80%)
4 QB runs (8%)
6 RB runs (12%)

Packers, 2013 (through 7 games)
41 total attempts
32 passes (78%)
6 QB runs (15%)
3 RB runs (7%)

Chiefs, 2013 (through 8 games)
57 total attempts
44 passes (77%)
8 QB runs (14%)
5 RB runs (9%)

Raiders, 2013 (through 7 games)
41 total attempts
35 passes (85%)
3 QB runs (7%)
3 RB runs (7%)

I don't really have any conclusions here. The Seahawks are running it the least in these situations, but other teams aren't doing it a whole heck of a lot more. Among the teams sampled above, an RB run is dialed up 8.6% of the time. Thoughts?

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