FanPost

Case study - strenghs and weaknesses


Just to spite goatweed -

Bye week.

It's a perfect time to shift from the daily search for information and try to look for big picture answers.

A few weeks ago, after two games with less then stellar defense against the run, the common view was that a team with such a glaring weakness can not be deemed as a valid SB contender. Winning those games didn't help too much.

Knowing how strong we really are I started wondering if it could be that in this new age of parity all good teams have a glaring weakness? Are they winning because of their strengths or because they have no weakness?

I decided to check all the teams that are on top of their divisions and/or rankings.

I have decided that I will check the offensive and defensive points and yards.

I also color coded then as follows –

PINK – A pillar of strength for this team – in the top 5 in the NFL.

GREEN – A supporting strength – ranked 6-10 in the NFL.

YELLOW – They barley get by – ranked 11-16, still at the top half of the NFL.

RED – A weakness, a contender should not be ranked in the bottom half of the NFL.

This is what I came up with:

TEAM

Defense

Defense

Offense

Offense

Defense

Offense

Rush yrd

Pass yrd

Rush yrd

Pass yrd

points

points

NE

126

229

127

237

19.9

25.4

(27th)

(12th)

(9th)

(16th)

(7th)

(8th)

CIN

102

211

108

257

18.7

25

(10th)

(6th)

(19th)

(12th)

(6th)

(11th)

IND

126

239

113

237

22

25.2

(28th)

(16th)

(14th)

(17th)

(10th)

(9th)

DEN

93

279

105

350

25.5

39.8

(4th)

(28th)

(20th)

(1st)

(23rd)

(1st)

KC

117

220

121

198

13.8

23.2

(21st)

(9th)

(11th)

(26th)

(2nd)

(16th)

PHI

118

300

151

262

23.6

25.1

(22nd)

(31st)

(2nd)

(8th)

(15th)

(10th)

DET

95

284

104

311

25.3

26.5

(5th)

(30th)

(21st)

(3rd)

(22nd)

(6th)

NO

114

191

97

322

18.3

28.8

(17th)

(3rd)

(23rd)

(2nd)

(5th)

(2th)

CAR

84

209

125

196

13.5

23.8

(3rd)

(5th)

(10th)

(28th)

(1st)

(15th)

SF

104

220

141

168

17.8

24.7

(13th)

(10th)

(5th)

(32nd)

(4th)

(12th)

SEA

112

180

148

210

16.3

27.8

(15th)

(2nd)

(3rd)

(24th)

(3rd)

(4th)

I then looked at my masterpiece and tried to see if this big picture gets any clearer.

The results were very perplexing. More questions then answers.

Allow me to share them with you –

* All teams have at least one glaring weakness (DEN has 3 of them!). Why did everybody jumped on our case when we had 2 games of poor rush defense that we have won?

* NE, CIN and IND has no pillar of strength, are they pretenders?

* We have 4 pillars of strength, only NO can match us in that. Is this the true indication of our obvious superiority? (DEN and CAR are next with 3 so I may be on to something here…)

* DEN usually plays in the lead so teams will be forced to pass more and not run that much. Do we really see their strength against the run as a valid point or balance it with their weakness against the pass?

* IND doesn't do anything that well (in yards). How did they beat us, SF and IND?

* Points on Offense must matter since no team is in the bottom half in that aspect. Points on defense matter more since all top 7 teams are represented. Maybe it's more about the defense after all?

* 5 teams are in bottom half of the NFL in Offensive passing yards. 5 teams are in the bottom half in defensive rushing yards. Maybe those are not really important factors for a contender? We are PINK on everything else so I tend to agree with this important discovery.

Ok, it's time to make bold decisions or all this work has been pointless.

Conclusions:

Points matter more then yards. No team scoring in the bottom half of the NFL made the list and all top 7 defenses in points allowed are represented. When you check the passing/rushing yards on both defense and offense the table turnes very red.

All teams show weakness on some aspects of their game. More then half of the teams are at the bottom half of the NFL on at least 2 parameters. Ranking a contender should be based on the ratio between their pillars of strength and their weaknesses as follows:

SEA – 4-1

NO – 4-2

CAR – 3-1

DEN – 3-3

All the rest have more weaknesses then strengths.

Passing on offense is highly overrated. 5 of the teams are at the bottom half of the NFL.

Defending against the run is also overrated. 5 of the teams are at the bottom of the NFL.

When reducing the parameters to exclude the overrated passing on offense and defending against the run the picture will become crystal clear- The Seahawks do everything else in the top 4 of the NFL and are clearly the superior team of the bunch. The table never lies!!!

All that work just to learn something we already knew.

Rest my darlings, get your proper beauty sleep, you are the best and we'll be waiting.

GO HAWKS.

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