FanPost

Is a #1 seed the best path to a Seahawks Super Bowl victory?

Baldwinminn_medium

via seattletimes.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com

Seems like a dumb question. The #1 seed means a first-round bye and home field advantage for both the division game and the NFC Championship. And, of course, the Hawks are 13-0 at home since the start of the 2012 regular season. So why wouldn't we want the best record in the NFC, if not the NFL? Simple answer: #1 seeds rarely win the Super Bowl, at least in modern history. But what are you going to do, deliberately lose games? Makes no sense.

NFL Playoffs: #1 seeds over the past 13 years (2000 - 2012)
NFC AFC Super Bowl Winner Score Super Bowl Loser
Reg. Season
Year Record Team Record Team Record Team Seed Record Team Seed
2012 13-3 Atlanta 13-3 Denver 10-6 Baltimore 4 34-31 11-4-1 San Francisco 2
2011 15-1 Green Bay 13-3 New England 9-7 NY Giants 4 21-17 13-3 New England 1
2010 13-3 Atlanta 14-2 New England 10-6 Green Bay 6 31-25 12-4 Pittsburgh 2
2009 13-3 New Orleans 14-2 Indianapolis 13-3 New Orleans 1 31-17 14-2 Indianapolis 1
2008 12-4 NY Giants 13-3 Tennessee 12-4 Pittsburgh 2 27-23 9-7 Arizona 4
2007 13-3 Dallas 16-0 New England 10-6 NY Giants 5 17-14 16-0 New England 1
2006 13-3 Chicago 14-2 San Diego 12-4 Indianapolis 3 29-17 13-3 Chicago 1
2005 13-3 Seattle 14-2 Indianapolis 11-5 Pittsburgh 6 21-10 13-3 Seattle 1
2004 13-3 Philadelphia 15-1 Pittsburgh 14-2 New England 2 24-21 13-3 Philadelphia 1
2003 12-4 Philadelphia 14-2 New England 14-2 New England 1 32-29 11-5 Carolina 3
2002 12-4 Philadelphia 11-5 Oakland 12-4 Tampa Bay 2 48-21 11-5 Oakland 1
2001 14-2 St. Louis 13-3 Pittsburgh 11-5 New England 2 20-17 14-2 St. Louis 1
2000 12-4 NY Giants 13-3 Tennessee 12-4 Baltimore 4 34-7 12-4 NY Giants 1
* teams in Bold = NFL Best Record (regular season)
From 2000 to 2012, only two of the past 26 #1 seeds ( NFC and AFC) won a Super Bowl (2009 New Orleans and 2003 New England)
Nine #1 seeds made it to the Super Bowl, but lost.
Only one NFL Best Record team won the Super Bowl (2003 New England)
Three Wildcard teams won the Super Bowl (2010 Green Bay, 2007 NY Giants, 2005 Pittsburgh)
The past three Super Bowls (2010 - 2012) were won by two #4 seeds and a #6 seed. None had more than 10 wins (reg. season)
Six of the past 13 Super Bowls were won by teams seeded 4 thru 6.
Most common #1 seed record: 13-3. 12 of the 26 #1 seeds had a regular season record of 13-3 (46%)
Only once did a 13-3 team win the Super Bowl (2009 New Orleans)
Most common record for Super Bowl winners: 12-4 (four times, 31%).
Only 5 of the 26 #1 seeds (19%) had a record of 12-4 or worse. Four of them were NFC teams.
The only 11-win #1 seed was 2002 Oakland.
AFC had the NFL Best Record 9 of 13 years, including 8 in a row (2003 - 2010)
AFC won 8 of past 13 Super Bowls. Longest streak: 4 (2003 - 2006)
NFC had NFL Best Record 3 of 13 years.
NFC longest Super Bowl win streak: 3 (2009 - 2011)
Most Super Bowl appearances: New England (5). 3-2 record.
Most Super Bowl wins: New England (3), Baltimore (2), NY Giants (2), Pittsburgh (2)
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