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Season Wins Over/Under: AFC East


I'll do one of these for each division. Let's get to it. All lines taken from here.

This year the AFC East plays the AFC North and the NFC South; neither is a shabby division. Each team's two SoS opponents are in parentheses.

I don't pretend to have any particular insight but I like having the conversation. My gut instincts: I'd lay off the Bills while leaning under, due to the heavy vig. Who the heck knows what they'll get from their QB this year. Conversely, the attractive vig has me taking the under on Miami even though they get to feast on the perennial division bottom-feeders, New York and Buffalo.

As for the Patriots, I'm laying off. I'd be shocked if they win a dozen games this year but I'm not paying a 50% commission to back that up. (Another site had them at 11 wins but didn't show commission. If I could get something like -120 to take the Under on 11 games, I'd jump on it.

Ditto for the vig on the Jets-- way too high. But for one unit, I'm taking the Under on NYJ. The team is just terrible. If you can find a cheaper vig, I'd jump on it even at the cost of that half game.

Thoughts?

Oh, right. I need a gif. Here:

Grumpy-cat-slow-clap_medium

via awesomegifs.com


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