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Matchupalooza: Redskins Pass Pro Vs Seahawks Pass Rush

Some things you just don't understand until you take a gametape, wring its neck and shake every last detail from it. And some things are pretty clear from the first viewing. From that second department arises an underreported rejoinder to the purported rise of Todd Collins and the Redskins' passing attack: They faced inferior competition. Against the Vikings, rookie Chris McCauley was getting beat all over the field, including two clueless blown coverages on the Skins two first half touchdown receptions. The Cowboys, in all their week 17, second-string splendor, didn't start Terrence Newman. Newman is a personal favorite of mine, a coverage corner on par with Marcus Trufant, but 2 years older and with slightly inferior ball skills. In the three contests Newman missed, the Boys allowed 6.8-7.2 yards per pass attempt (season average, 4.9) and 27.3 points per contest (against such offensive luminaries as Miami (16.7), NYG (23.3) and Washington (20.9)). Those two contests represent the better part of Collins stellar play. I only saw pieces of the irrelevant Cowboys affair, but if it was anything like the Skins contest against the Vikings, easy receptions created by blown coverage weren't the exception, but the standard.

So how, other than not losing Tru to injury or starting their scrubs, can Seattle avoid the deadly blown coverage? It starts by limiting Collins' time in the pocket. All pass D, in fact, starts with a good pass rush. Need quick and dirty proof? The Denver Broncos, who imported one of the best corners in all of football, Dre' Bly, to pair with the reigning best corner in football, Champ Bailey, featured only the 19th ranked pass defense in all of football in 2007. The problem, an anemic pass rush. Despite ranking 26th in Adjusted Sack Rank, the Broncos were the worst team in football at "hurrying" the quarterback in 2006. Hurries and not sacks are the best indicator of consistent pass rush. For Seattle to be successful on Sunday, they needn't bury Collins, just panic the clumsy-footed soft tosser. Let's walk down the matchups, and see where the Hawks rush might come from.

Darryl Tapp Vs Chris Samuels

Samuels is steady. He allows some sacks, about 1 every three contests for his career. He's developed a bit of a false start problem, 5 on the season, but is an excellent run blocker. Samuels is a good all around tackle, he moves effectively in space, is strong enough, and plays low enough that he's rarely walked back, and when walked back, he doesn't give up on his blocks. That combination makes it unlikely that Darryl Tapp, who thrives against tackles who play high and/or get lazy (either might explain his sack against HOF bound blocker Jonathan Ogden), will be an impact player this Saturday. As has been the case for so much of the season, Tapp must only present enough of a threat to help free up his linemates. Any pressure he can create, must be considered a victory in an otherwise losing matchup against the Skins' best lineman.

Brandon Mebane Vs Pete Kendall and Casey Rabach

On pass plays, Bane should expect regular combo blocks from this pair. Both are similar players, finesse blockers that succeed in pass pro with good body position and sound technique. Mebane is a young stud, but it would be ludicrous to imply that he should regularly split the two and create pressure himself. No, Bane needs only to do what he does best, force double teams. If he can, and he should, it's up to his tackle-mate to do the damage.

Rocky Bernard Vs Jason Fabini

From 2002 to 2005 offensive tackle Jason Fabini averaged just under 8 sacks allowed per season, including 7.25 allowed in just 9 games for the 2005 Jets. Since then, Fabini has become a guard. 6-7, 309 is not exactly the prototypical build for a guard, but though he's substandard as a run blocker, he's been average as a pass blocker. Like his two interior linemates, Fabini works well in space and can execute Al Saunders' demanding regimen of pull blocks, but Fabini also possesses a quick first step and the reach to lock his hands on the defender's shoulder pads and stand him up. A healthy, attacking Bernard should be able to get into Fabini's body, establish leverage, and then do his Big Rock thing tossing Fabini out of the way and surging to the ball carrier. This is the key matchup, and I'll explain why in just a second.

Patrick Kerney Vs Stephon Heyer

One on one, Heyer is smoked turkey against Kerney. Heyer is a narrow shouldered, slightly built right tackle. He's not very quick around the edge, gets high in his blocks, is not very strong hand fighting and painfully slow out of the blocks. Heyer is an excellent example of the kind of depth you get when you splurge in free agency on the Brandon Lloyds of the world. The Skins do their best to protect Heyer by flanking him with a tight end, H-Back or an offset right fullback. So far, it's been moderately successful. The perfect foil for a double team, though, is another player who can consistently win his matchup. That's where we go back to Bernard. If Mebane forces double teams, I feel confident he will, and Bernard is then left single blocked, Bernard can dispose of Fabini and force the Skins into the impossible scenario of 2 defensive linemen, side by side, demanding double teams. Because Bernard provides interior rush, a relative priority to the slower developing exterior rush, he might not make a huge dent in the stat department, but if Kerney looks dominant as hell, ripping through Heyer one on one, it's probably because Big Rock is absorbing all the double teams.

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It's breakdowns like this
that have me checking this site everyday John. You do a fantastic job of illuminating parts of the game that it seems go unnoticed in the mainstream broadcasts.

by Matthew on Jan 2, 2008 1:01 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

NO bias here
Heres why a mainstream broadcast never notices these posts.

You call a 6 time pro bowler left tackle, STEADY.

Other than that post about Samuels, after reading all the posts you would get the impression that the Seahawks should be able to overrun all our lineman.

Calling Heyer narrow shouldered at 325 lbs. is funny. Especially when comparing him to a 270 lb. DE. What is Kerney then, a toothpick? Kerney is going to be UNpleasently surprised at how good he is.

Objectivety is missing and if i were just a NFL fan reading this i would think this game was going to be a blowout. Thats great for the seahawks fans. But if everything were to happen that you say, dominate here, overpower there, push this guy out of the way, etc. etc. then they wouldnt even play the game.

Other than that its a good piece of writing.

by sincethebeginning on Jan 2, 2008 1:44 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

John is the most UN-BIASED
of any of the SBN bloggers.  Seriously I would recommend Field Gulls for ANY football fan, not just  Seahawk fans.

I can't believe anyone would read these post and think "hmmm, typical Hawks fan thinking the game will be a blowout"

Did you bother reading the last post where John talked about the Redskins having a mis-match against against Jordan Babineaux??

If you want the typical article that talks about dumb intangibles and heart go to ESPN or Yahoo! and read Chris Carter's game prediction.

Josh Brown is better than you. The Rest of the team is worse.

by MFAN on Jan 2, 2008 1:57 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I think steady is one of the best things a LT can
be.

I don't mind being criticized, though. I don't think I'm biased, but who knows. Haha...

Seriously, I appreciate a Skins fan coming over to read my posts. Otherwise, I don't care. I like a little ripping from the opposition. As long as you're not calling me an asshat and douchebag like the classy posters over at Niners Nation, I'm pretty unfazed.

One note, though, you might want to seriously gird your loins for a blowout. I'm not saying it will happen, I not saying it's even probable, but it is a distinct possibility. Not to put too fine a point on it, but aren't you a little worried that Todd Collins is about to revert to pumpkin form? It's a nice story and all, but the guy is a career backup for a reason. A couple nice passes aside, I saw nothing that makes me think Kurt Warner 2.0.

by John Morgan on Jan 2, 2008 2:06 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

No i wont revert to name calling
I'll leave that to you and you friends here.

But seriously how can you not think that the seahawks are not gonna blowout the skins from reading these pieces.

Im not really ripping into you just calling it what it is. Youll find some number to justify your remarks about how bad the skins are and then do the opposite to justify the hawks. Thats a diservice to your readers. You do good breakdowns but they all point one way. Again great if thats what your looking for, but mostly one sided.

by sincethebeginning on Jan 2, 2008 2:26 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

The Hawks D is significantly better...
than the Skins O. When we begin to cover the Skins defense versus the Hawks offense, it will look more balanced. But implying that Seattle's D shouldn't be able to dominate the Skins O is just inaccurate.

by John Morgan on Jan 2, 2008 2:40 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

You use the word "balanced" in 1st
sentence and "dominate" in 2nd sentence. no contradiction their.

Dominate? really.......the hawks are that much better than the redskins?  C'mon if you cant see that there is no objectivety in that statement then you are really disconnected.

What do you say when seattle loses durin the reg. season?  We should have dominated but......would love to hear those excuses.

by sincethebeginning on Jan 2, 2008 7:05 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

go back and read any recap of games
the hawks lost
V. 1.0, mutherf***er, know what I'm sayin'?

by Scruffy Lefty on Jan 2, 2008 7:28 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I'll save all your readers the time
of reading all your posts on the skins D versus the hawks O.

The Seahawks should dominate the Redskins defense.

Their, you dont have to write anything else. Just post that sentence and your readers will pretty much have the same bottom line from your book on this game.

Even the Cowboys, which is the team i absolutely hate the most, gives us credit(most of the time) where credit is due.

by sincethebeginning on Jan 2, 2008 7:18 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

It's so cute when dumb people think they're smart.
:)

This reminds me of scouts vs. statheads.  Is batting average more important, or is on-base percentage?  Hm.

All you dumb people really make my day.  I don't know how I'd make it through life without having all of you to laugh at.

My most sincere thanks to you and your kind. :)

by BrettJMiller on Jan 2, 2008 7:22 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Three simple questions...
If you want to supply your own analysis that is different than John's then fine.... To make it easy for you lets break this down to three simple questions. (I'll assume that you agree Samuels is likely to shut down Tapp.)
  1. Will Mebane require a double-team?
  2. Will Fabini be able to handle Bernard 1 v 1?
  3. Will Heyer be able to stop Kerney 1 v 1?
John answered these Yes, No, and No. Which one do you disagree with specifically and why?

So far what I have seen stb is that you are bitching about the results of the analysis instead of what it says.

John has been as harsh on the Seahawks as anyone I have seen this year when he has seen it as warranted. The guy watches a hell of a lot of tape  - and I am guessing it is more than you do.

Please do contribute though if you have a good knowledge of how the Redskins operate.

by brokejumper on Jan 2, 2008 2:44 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Heyer
<Will Heyer be able to stop Kerney 1 v 1?>

Well, let's look at what Heyer did against somebody similar. Let's say Strahan a few games ago. They are pretty comparable I think.

Heyer kept Strahan to a single solo tackle for that game. Did he have help? Yep. But that's what fullbacks are for.

Most seem to agree that the skins are going to find some daylight running left, regardless of what Mebane is going to require. Portis has been pretty good this season, and I think you'll find that Sellers is pretty good with the ball as well.

I'm maintaining that it's going to be a close game, but a high scoring one. The skins secondary is going to be challenged for sure. They've been getting by with man coverage the past few games, but I don't think they'll be able to do that with the hawks.

by mnskinsfan on Jan 3, 2008 10:26 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

re- NO bias here
We might dignify that with a comment if you provided some of your own analysis that was worth anything. As it is, since you have none, why should we / or the author? Man up or go home.

by paul2 on Jan 2, 2008 2:05 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Here, Here
The commentary and analysis that John Morgan provides on this site is an order of magnitude better than anything I've found on either the alphabet sports networks or the local newspapers.  Thanks!

by Gray on Jan 2, 2008 5:43 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

An off-hand observation
When the Seahawks defensive line puts pressure on the quarterback the Seahawks tend to win and when they don't they tend to loose.

by Gray on Jan 2, 2008 5:48 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

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