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Around SBN: Explaining Jeremy Lin's Early, Surprising Success

Top Offensive Linemen Redux: Top 15

Let's get right into it: To evaluate the best offensive lineman I've created a five category scoring system. Each player will be ranked 1-15 in each category and the average will be presented in the sixth column. My first four categories represent the basic skills of a lineman: Burst, a player's ability to explode off the line and deliver that crucial first hit; Thrust, a player's ability to stand up a defender once contact has been initiated; BenchX, a combination of bench and arm length, this gives a crude idea of a players ability to lock up a defender and win hand fights; and Agility, this combines a player's 20 yard shuttle and three cone drill(when available), giving a good idea of a players lateral agility. Finally, in an attempt to balance this with conventional wisdom, their ranking according to Fox Sports. I don't think Fox is necessarily the premier talent evaluator, but, at this point, most rankings look pretty similar, so I thought Fox would suffice. The sixth column represents an average of how they ranked in each category versus the other 15. This is the player's cumulative score and what I chose to rank them by. For arguments sake, I put each prospect score based solely on my four "tools" in the seventh column. My numbers were accumulated using a simple hierarchy: Combine trumps Pro Day, therefore, for players like Ben Grubbs and Joe Staley whose numbers are solely taken from their Pro Day, you might want to apply a small discount. A brief commentary follows.

Onward:

Player Thrust Burst Bench-X Agility Fox Ranking Average Raw Average
J. Blalock 128.28 173.41 40/33 1/8" 4.72/7.75 6 4.6 4.4
J. Staley 124.92 174.92 27/33 1/2" 4.4/7.09 4 4.6 4.75
D. Free 128.07 170.07 22/35 3/8" 4.53/7.38 9 6.4 5.75
J. Thomas 128.93 166.61 28/32 1/2" 4.88/7.95 1 6.6 8
B. Grubbs 115.70 176.70 35/32 3/4" 4.78/X 3 6.6 8.5
B. Frye 128.83 160.33 34/32 5/8" 4.4/7.5 14 7.6 6
A. Sears 127.14 171.88 21/33 1/8" 4.5/7.63 7 7.8 8
A. Barbre 122.47 170.45 28/33 1/2" 4.63/7.40 12 8 7
J. Marten 123.15 168.42 25/34" 4.54/7.68 11 8.8 7
T. Ugoh 123.83 165.02 32/X * 5 9.2 10.25
J. Bushrod 125.54 183.42(!) 22/X 4.72/X 15 9.4 8
L. Brown 117.71 164.57 31/33 1/8" 4.89/7.87 2 9.4 11.25
M. Yanda 115.13 170.30 23/X 4.58/7.36 10 9.6 9.5
A. Alleman 120.56 167.21 27/31 1/2" 4.65/X 8 10.2 10.75
A. Koets 121.67 166.29 20/33 1/2" 4.47/7.44 13 10.4 9.75

Stats marked with an X could not be found. Ugoh's asterisk denotes that he injured himself during his forty at the combine and has since been unable to perform. Take that as you will.

As you can see Levi Brown is helped most by his Fox ranking. He'll make a good litmus test for this system over the next few seasons. If he vastly underperforms expectations, good, if not, then I'll have to figure out why. With that said, I would like to mention that I don't think one season, or even two seasons, will give us enough data to accurately judge these players' performance by. Offensive line is a tough position to get up to speed at in the NFL, and, naturally, players with better technique are going to be able to adjust more quickly than a very raw player like Jermon Bushrod. Speaking of Bushrod (giggle), his performance in my "Burst" category is tantalizing to say the least. I've heard some rumblings that he's a workout warrior, but, on the contrary, I'd like to see what he can accomplish with the resources and tutelage of a pro-club after having dominated at D2 Towson. He's, really, the ultimate sleeper in this group. Someone with raw talent who may explode on the NFL or fall flat on his face. Alleman would have ranked a lot higher if not for his alligator arms. That's going to be a tough handicap to overcome and not one that can be beaten by coaching or a good training regimen. Finally, you see that Thomas isn't considered a total bust, just over-hyped. I think that's a pretty accurate assessment.

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Schedule change.
That took longer than expected, so I will push the TE top 10 to Tuesday, the DT top ten to Wednesday and incorporate the character story in with the sleepers and busts story. Thanks for the patience.
so it goes

by John Morgan on Apr 23, 2007 4:07 PM PDT reply actions  

Sweet
I've been checking this site all day for this.
Looks good so far

by LantermanC on Apr 23, 2007 4:21 PM PDT reply actions  

Man
Didn't see Levi Brown being that sucky.   Glad to see the Doug Free is ranked so high.  I'm actually a Northern Illinois fan, so, it's good to see he does that well.  He's so damn big, I don't see him playing G though, though could we draft him as a RT and move Locklear to LG?
Gunny that Ugoh couldn't even run 40 yards

So in summary, we should trade DJack (and maybe something else) for early 2nd round pick if possible and get Blalock

by LantermanC on Apr 23, 2007 4:29 PM PDT reply actions  

nice
Great post. Justin Blalock and Doug Free are my two favorite OL prospects in this draft now. I like Staley as well, of course, but I suspect he'll go in the top 20.

by adesai @ Field Gulls on Apr 23, 2007 5:40 PM PDT reply actions  

question
Is this a top 15 of all oline prospects? I am curious where some other guys ranked:

Ryan Kalil
Samson Satele
Mike Otto
James Marten
Arron Sears
Manuel Ramirez
Enoka Lucas

by adesai @ Field Gulls on Apr 23, 2007 5:50 PM PDT reply actions  

Sears is there
But i was wondering about beekman from BC

by LantermanC on Apr 23, 2007 7:00 PM PDT up reply actions  

right
I may be blind, but at least I'm also careless and stupid.

by adesai @ Field Gulls on Apr 23, 2007 11:18 PM PDT up reply actions  

I didn't consider centers, the others didn't...
make the cut. I had to eyeball some guys or this project would have taken a dog's age, but I plan on refining this next year, so we'll see. Oh, and Beekman is considered a "technician". He might be a fine player, but his numbers are lousy: "Thrust" 114.06, "Burst" 162.12, and a Bench 24/31 3/4" arm length. I think it's fair to say his future in the pros is probably at center. Now, he'll make a hell of a center, but that's just not a priority for Seattle.
so it goes

by John Morgan on Apr 24, 2007 12:22 AM PDT up reply actions  

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