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Week 3 DVOA

Here's something to chew on while I finish up my post for today. Football Outsiders week 3 DVOA is out, Hawks stay in 14th place with a 6.5% DVOA (this is the first week of opponent adjustments) thanks almost entirely to their special teams: 7.7% DVOA. The Hawks are now projected to have a 66.8% chance of making the playoffs. You can read all their projected scenarios here.

The Seahawks notables:

Matt Hasselbeck: 30.5% VOA, 20.2 PAR--hurt, no doubt, by the pair interceptions he didn't throw.
Shaun Alexander: -1.2% VOA, 3.2 PAR
Deion Branch: 15.3% VOA, 4.6 PAR, 57% Catch Percentage
Bobby Engram: 52.5% VOA, 7.6 PAR, 76% Catch
Nate Burleson: -8.8% VOA, 0.8 PAR, 50% Catch
Marcus Pollard: -13.0 VOA, 0 PAR, 67% Catch

Not much to add here. Too early in the season to come to any conclusions, because opponent adjustment will change all these numbers a lot in the next few weeks. Branch is beginning to step up. Engram is already there. Alexander has a negative VOA, but don't be surprised if that declines steeply once an accurate opponent adjustment is applied. The Bucs have a -21.4% DVOA on rush defense, but they've played two of the very worst rushing teams in football (Saint Louis and New Orleans, two teams with big-hyped rushers but horrendous offensive line problems) and the Seahawks (-10.4% rushing DVOA).

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not to nitpick
but it states there that the opponent adjustments happen next week.  The hawk's should gain some ground as they've played the 5th, 13th, and 16th teams on there.

by gumbostu on Sep 25, 2007 5:24 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I don't mind the nitpick...
I was confused because the ratings are listed as DVOA, which would imply that they are Defense adjusted, but you're right. I'll correct that.

by John Morgan on Sep 25, 2007 7:34 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

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