Draft Preview: Sam Baker
William Blake wrote that "The fool who persists in his folly will become wise." About 11 months ago I followed my folly to an almost absurd degree. I was attempting to decode the scouting combine, and while I don't think my method was flawed, I think my thinking was broken. Measuring a player's ability to explode in a straight line ignores some very essential facts: Football players almost never move in a straight line and blocking is not the same as running. My wisdom for so many hours of folly? A hard-earned appreciation of the skill of top offensive and defensive linemen.
That appreciation, fortified by 200+ hours of watching tape this past fall led me to a thoroughly satisfying realization: Sam Baker's the steal of this draft. In most drafts, the 6'5" 3 time All-America left tackle from one of the nation's premier programs and top offensive lines would be a sure first 15 pick. But with so many Jonathan Ogden sized tackles in this year's class recent rumor has Baker falling as far as the third. That would be 7 kinds of sweet - for the team that takes him.
What you notice right away about Baker is that he's not projectable, he's not a toolsy guy in need of polish, he doesn't need this or this to succeed at the next level; he's there. Let's start with his blocking, and compare him against a player that many boards have projected ahead of him: Gosder Cherilus. Cherilus slap blocks. That is, he uses open palm strikes to ward off a defender. Cherilus is a huge, powerful guy, so I'm not naming this as a fatal flaw by any means, but watch him and you'll see: he lets defenders get inside and dictate where the two go. He is, to put this into Seahawks terms, the type of tackle Darryl Tapp feasts on. It doesn't look so bad when there's no quarterback back there, but Cherilus was blocking awfully deep in the pocket, don't you think?
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| Squared, Baker awaits the defender, ready to explode through his body into his block |
Baker may be suffering just the first wave of gobbledygook, drills and measurables that regularly push great players behind great talents. It's foolishness, outright hubris perhaps, and like the career gambler the occasional success reinforces this flawed thinking that pushes inferior players with better tools ahead of superior players, accomplished players who have excelled at the highest level, but it happens every draft. No track, no set of weighed plates, or tape measure can accurately measure the skill of a player to play his position like one series of balls-out, top competition I-A football. Here's hoping Baker continues to fall thanks to his poor showing in the swim suit portion of the NFL Draft, because while he struggles at plain clothes sprints and pushing iron, he does do one thing exceptionally well: play left tackle.
Photo Courtesy: Trojan NYC
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20 comments
Comments
I'm glad to hear you say that
I am crossing my fingers to have Sam Baker, Pancake Maker on the Seahawks.
by Strang on Feb 11, 2008 1:14 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
If the Seahawks draft Baker
by jeager on Feb 11, 2008 2:24 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
I'd start him at RT.
by John Morgan on Feb 11, 2008 2:34 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
How well would
by Coach Owens on Feb 11, 2008 2:33 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Well, he played some guard his freshman year...
by John Morgan on Feb 11, 2008 2:39 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I wonder why "the mob" overplays tools?
I suppose some other part of it also has to be that for every players like Zach Thomas and Lofa Tatupu--undersized with great instincts, IQ, and heart--that work out many others fall by the wayside.
What's interesting about your piece John is that you'd think the offensive line is the last place where people would be susceptible to that kind of "jock-think." At those positions, particularly tackle, footwork, technique, and familiarity with a pro-style offense are precisely what allows draft picks on the field right away and what sustains them over the years. There are so many offenses in the league now that really don't require mammoth offensive linemen to be prolific.
Weird.
by dcrockett17 on Feb 11, 2008 2:40 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Watch any NBA draft
by Matthew on Feb 11, 2008 3:28 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
You sort of get away with it in the NBA, though.
by John Morgan on Feb 11, 2008 4:17 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I was talking more about the Euro imports
by Matthew on Feb 11, 2008 4:36 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I see what you mean.
by John Morgan on Feb 11, 2008 5:42 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
True point.
by Matthew on Feb 11, 2008 6:05 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Um Shaq up could straight run the court
by Scruffy Lefty on Feb 11, 2008 5:23 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
The Blame game
If you tell your team to draft a guy with huge measurable numbers and it doesn't work out you can say 'how could I know? that's just bad luck.' and likewise ownership can get away with telling the fans that.
If you tell your team to draft a guy who doesn't have great numbers based on your assesmnet of 'intangibles' or playing ability and it doesn't work out, then you're an idiot who's on the line to lose his job. Likewise the fans will be more upset by the failure of an 'unconventional' pick.
That's my theory. Remember that often people's first interest is in protecting their job and that isn't always about doing the best job possible, it might be about doing just well enough not to really piss anyone off.
by Snuffleupagus on Feb 12, 2008 9:10 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
I see where the Fins cut LJ Shelton
by dcrockett17 on Feb 11, 2008 2:44 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
He's big for a guard and slow for a tackle.
by John Morgan on Feb 11, 2008 4:23 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Totally agree about Baker
If the Hawks grab Baker in the second I will be on cloud 9. He reminds me a lot of Walt as being a technician type of OT.
by joeshow30 on Feb 11, 2008 11:51 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
Why they draft combine numbers
I would be happy with Baker, from what I have read.
by germpod on Feb 12, 2008 8:10 PM PST reply actions 0 recs
So if we sign Wahle,
If we sign Wahle and don't draft Baker, what should we target instead? TE?
by jimmimoose on Feb 13, 2008 10:29 AM PST reply actions 0 recs
Baker and Wahle
I was not crazy about the Hawks need for a tight end, but if we're moving to an AC, Fred Davis would be a really nice fit. A great receiver and a bull of a blocker. I actually think his measurables might make him a great late first round value. He might not be crazy speedy, but he can physically dominate dbs like few others.
by John Morgan on Feb 13, 2008 11:21 AM PST up reply actions 0 recs
Hmmm
So if we land a good Tight End and rebuild our offensive line this offseason, while retaining most of our important free agents, that sounds like a pretty successful offseason to this lil' moose.
by jimmimoose on Feb 13, 2008 12:53 PM PST up reply actions 0 recs

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