Field Gulls: An SB Nation Community

Navigation: Jump to content areas:



Sports blogs for fans, by fans.
Around SBN: Steve McNair Dead - Former NFL QB Shot and Killed


Has Calais Campbell Fallen Too Far?

In my Seahawks Mock Draft, I have Seattle taking Best Available Talent with their first pick. I'm starting to wonder if that's not a phenomenal place to grab a longterm replacement for Patrick Kerney. Depending on the progress of Baraka Atkins, Seattle is either thin or very thin at defensive end. On a team that schemes around pass rush, that would be a disastrous deficiency. Still, you don't want to reach. You want to take a top value, perhaps one that can learn on the sidelines, or work in a rotation while Kerney remains effective.

That got me thinking about Calais Campbell. Campbell's stock dropped after a disappointing junior season, and has now dropped further after a disappointing Combine. One need only watch the guy to see the talent is there. He's a true 6'8", and wears his 290 like an Italian suite. He's lithe and agile and quick in open space. Had he stayed in school and posted a 10+ sack season, he'd be a confirmed top ten pick. But thanks to a sucky junior season coinciding with an even crappier campaign for his school, Miami, Campbell is in danger of falling out of the first round. You know who else had a sucky junior year, Chris Long. Long recorded only 4.5 sacks in 2006. In fact, since we're above using stats out of context to evaluate a player, right?, let's take a look at the three preeminent ends on the board in a slightly more refined way. Campbell and Vernon Gholston are both two year starters. Long started his sophomore season, but we'll cut him a break (2 sacks) and include only his past two (best) seasons. So instead of unduly focusing on their most recent season, let's look at their past two seasons and adjust for opponent pass attempts faced. That way, instead of getting a static number, we're left with a ratio: Sacks per pass attempt. (Just for the sake of clarity, I then projected their sack totals over 500 pass attempts.)

2006-2007
Long: 1 per 40.2 (12.5)
Gholston: 1 per 36.5 (13.5)
Campbell: 1 per 41.3 (12)

Gholston separates a bit from the pack, but it's far from sizable. Let's examine another contributing factor, the overall quality of each team's defense as measured by FEI.

2007
Ohio State: 0.12579 (1)
Virginia: 0.23201 (25)
Miami: 0.26223 (36)

2006
Ohio State: 0.16128 (6)
Virginia: 0.19721 (18)
Miami: 0.18144 (9)

Only Gholston played on a top 25 defense in both seasons. In 2006, Campbell posted 10.5 sacks. Sacks are representative of multiple player's efforts. From the DBs maintaing coverage to the DTs occupying blockers to the run stuffing linebacker who forced the third and long, the better the team defense around a player, the more likely he is to excel. A sack is indicative of both individual and team excellence.

Naturally, height doesn't define a player. It's less than inadequate, it's stupid. But it's not worthless, especially not when combined with a holistic look at a players build, athleticism and ability to develop. Seattle could take Campbell at 25, use him in a rotation, and allow him to develop under the tutelage of Kerney and Darryl Tapp. Perhaps work on his first step, a clear weakness of his game (to my eyes). Everything I've seen and read makes me think that Campbell is a special talent. When we talk about taking Best Available Talent, regardless of need or position, this is the kind of Talent with a "T" that comes to mind.

0 recs | Comment 3 comments

Story-email Email Printer Print

Comments

Display:

I voted no
because I feel we should take the best player from these spots: defensive end, corner back, offensive tackle, or running back.  If there was a "maybe" spot I would have voted that since I am not ruling out a defensive end.  Those seem to be the positions that are too expensive to get in free agency.  I am hoping the best player is an offensive tackle.

by germpod on Mar 4, 2008 2:07 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Tough Decision
I think the Seahawks are going to be in a tough place, in a good way, at 25.  All of the clear cut first round guys will be gone (obviously, when you're picking at 25), but there will be a lot of guys like Campbell hanging around that in other drafts might be top 15 guys.  Jamaal Charles, Calais Campbell, Rodgers-Cromartie, and an O-Lineman or two will make for an interesting first pick for the Hawks.

by Nate Dogg on Mar 4, 2008 4:08 PM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

He's an impressive talent
and while, like germpod, my preference in the abstract would be to pick another position, I'd love to see us land Campbell.

by The Ancient Mariner on Mar 5, 2008 9:10 AM PST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Where the writing's bad and the discussion banal.
Start posting about the Seahawks »

Join SB Nation and dive into communities focused on all your favorite teams.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Lolcat_small
FG - Training Camp Meet up/Awesome dudes excited to meet other dudes with same interests.
Nielson_small
The Turnaround Season: A Fictional Look Into the 2009 Seattle Seahawks
Steve2006_small
THE WAY WE WERE: Comparing the 2009 Seahawks to the 2005 NFC Champions

Recent FanPosts

Imagen_015_small
Misfit is famous!
Small
Trade for Thigpen
Xhand_small
Housh: A Psychic or Loudmouth?
Michaelscott_small
Impact of Coverage LBs On A Defense?
Small
TE Cameron Morrah signed, 4 years, $1.79 Million
Small
Burleson to train at Athletes' Performance in Arizona
Small
FB Owen Schmitt enters camp as the starter

Post_icon New FanPost All FanPosts Carrot-mini


Managers

Image_114_small Shrug

Jj_flag_detail1_small John Morgan

Editors

Lolcat_small Scruffy Lefty

Authors

Vp081-c_small Christian

Small BrianL

Small abender20

Small Doug Farrar

Official Partner of Yahoo! Sports