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The Tape: Julius Jones

I taped Cowboys/Eagles II last season. I thought Seattle might face the Cowboys in the NFC Championship, but I also thought Julius Jones might be an undervalued free agent. Why? Gut feeling, nothing more. Well, a little bit more. As I've mentioned before, Jones's brother Thomas had a career renaissance after burning out his welcome with a few teams and I thought Julius may be able to do likewise. Pretty flimsy, I know. When I began to research Jones everything popped up negative: poor performance compared to teammate, declining speed, a seemingly good run blocking Cowboys unit--except for one thing: his receiving numbers were actually improving.

Anyway, I reviewed the tape of Jones, but before I get to what I saw, let me be clear: He only ran the ball 6 times, and didn't record a reception. So, major small sample size alert.

Julius Jones

  • First play: Jones breaks an arm tackle and then does something I'm all too familiar with: sits in the hole. Jones is a very patient runner, too patient for the Cowboys blocking.
  • Jones recorded 5 very solid blitz pickups and didn't whiff once. He's not a dominating pass blocker, but he's extremely disciplined and, really, pretty solid. He exampled 3 different kind of blocks: a shoulder block, a low block and a Sean Locklear-style shade and wash out. He did not once get out of position and even showed the awareness to "zone block", that is sit between two free blitzers and pick up the more urgent assignment. He did this twice. Once it resulted in a first down completion.
  • Jones is, as previously stated, a rudimentary route runner, but, again, a disciplined one. His timing on play-action is solid, as is his sell. He doesn't do anything particularly dynamic in space, but he runs his routes/does what's asked of him.
  • There's no avoiding this comparison: Jones looks like a younger Shaun Alexander. He's a weaving rusher that makes many small cuts. He's faster, quicker and much more agile than current Alexander. The end for Alexander was pretty simple: he simply could no longer break with any alacrity out of his cuts, effectively stopping in the hole. Jones gets into the hole, attempts to read his blockers and the defense, makes many quick, small cuts looking for daylight and then explodes into the open area. It's a maddening and demanding style that--on anything but an elite offensive line--will result in tons and tons of 0, 1, 2 and negative yardage rushing plays.
  • It's also exactly how Mike Holmgren likes to run.
  • The greatest difference between Marion Barber and Jones's performance with the Cowboys is fit. The Cowboys offensive line is stacked with giant, bruising blockers without an iota of finesse or technique. Barber runs straight, headlong through traffic and fights off tacklers, falls forward. It's an undemanding style that doesn't take great blocking to be effective. Undemanding, except on his body. Jones is almost pathologically patient. He lets his blockers setup, and if they don't is lost. Completely lost. Not unlike Alexander.
  • Jones looked slow, discouraged and in need of a change. He was quick to the line, but painfully slow through the hole. The hole, if you're wondering, was more like a seam. He was out of place in Jason Garret's offense and had no chemistry with his blockers. He did not, though, look washed up or broken. He looked defeated, victim of too many blown assignments, free linebackers and microscopic holes.

Conclusion: Jones is a bit like Alexander reborn. A smart back with good vision that can be extremely effective, great even, if his blockers are assignment correct and create the kind space he needs. Consistently. If Seattle's line looks like last year's, Jones will only be slightly more effective than Alexander. If Mike Wahle rebounds and Rob Sims takes to right guard, Jones might make for a wonderful reclamation project. The logic seems to be: Morris was never going to be what Holmgren wants. Jones is. Jones is cheap, has no injury history and was once considered a top back. Give Holmgren a player that can work in his system, one he'll actually play. If I'm still not crazy about this signing I will at least say this, it makes a ton of sense. If this O-line comes to play, it also might be pretty damn sweet.

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"A younger SA" put me on alert
But he's only 26. If the 4 year, 3 million per deal works out and he stays healthy, J.Jones is done with us at 30 and probably close to the peak of his development.

So that doesn't sound like a problem to me.

by Will Kier on Mar 8, 2008 12:10 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Plus
he hasn't been worked nearly as hard as Alexander was
Coach Owens = Scruffy's spell check

by Scruffy Lefty on Mar 8, 2008 1:47 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I feel like it's christmas
Both my brother and I have been big fans of Julius Jones and TJ Duckett for a while.  Now all we need is a TE and a safety.

by LantermanC on Mar 8, 2008 12:34 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Yah!
I'm glad to see he gets the John Morgan seal of approval. I can't wait to see a running back by commitee next season. It just makes sense. Weaver, Duckett, Jones, Morris will be awesome. I think what we have seen here is TR learning from his prior mistakes. We now have a bunch of cheap good young backs. None are superstars but together and used by their strengths they can be great. Bye Shaun!

by maxthedrummer on Mar 8, 2008 1:19 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

good writeup
I take everything I read on this site to heart.

After this site pretty much guaranteed the Hawks would beat the Skins becuase the Hawks front 7 would dominate and then they did. i can't say enough about the analysis here.

by puerto on Mar 8, 2008 1:22 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Seems weird to me
that we're tailoring this to Holmgren when he's gone after this season.

by Matthew on Mar 8, 2008 1:23 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

The NFL is weird.
Talent wins, but coaches rule.

by John Morgan on Mar 8, 2008 1:37 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Because systems matter
Production wins.  Talent's the largest part of that, but the system and the usage have a significant effect in there, as you've shown quite clearly in a number of your analyses.

That right there is the main reason we need offensive continuity when Holmgren steps down; if we change to a new offensive system that doesn't suit the personnel, the talent won't change, but the production sure as gunfire will.

by The Ancient Mariner on Mar 8, 2008 1:59 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Agreed.
But I think most systems will work. When the talent and the system don't mesh, though, yes, calamity.

by John Morgan on Mar 8, 2008 2:10 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I think it puts us in good position
I've always been a big fan of Jonathan Stewart, and I still would like him on our team, however I can see where signing a talent like Jones allows us to concentrate on other areas.

The RB by committee sounds interesting, I'm looking forward to seeing what the depth chart and the rotation will be like.

My fanside wants Alexander back, and my blind-hope wishes he could return and make an impact, but a signing of a talented back in the prime of his career gives me almost as much hope for Jones' potential for success.

Let's go.

by J Hens on Mar 8, 2008 3:00 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

Never say never
But it's difficult to see the Hawks taking a RB on the first day (or perhaps at all) in light of the Duckett and Jones signings.  I can only assume that Ruskell believes that he can get better value out of the first round pick at another position.  

This makes even more sense if Ruskell is headed toward a running-back-by-committee approach.  By definition, that approach does not permit expending a large amount of resources (in terms of draft picks or dollars) on any one member of the committee.  I happen to agree with RBBC, and did not want the Hawks to use their first-rounder on a RB even before the recent signings.

To hazard a guess, I think Ruskell's thinking O-line, and probably guard, in one of the first two rounds.  I wouldn't be at all surprised if Mr. Sims has seen his last start as a Hawk.

by jeager on Mar 8, 2008 4:43 PM PST reply actions   0 recs

that'd be fantastic
RBBC is great, but personally I think that great lines make for great running games, not great backs.  I'd love to see a couple top draft picks spent on the o-line.

by Snuffleupagus on Mar 8, 2008 6:23 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

Really?
Ruskell chose Rob Sims, would he admit that Sims is a bust that quickly? I wouldn't be surprised at all by a Guard or Tackle selection, but Sims is still awfully young. I'm positive that Wahle was meant to replace Gray, not Sims.

by Will Kier on Mar 8, 2008 7:18 PM PST up reply actions   0 recs

I like Sims
and I believe John when he says that Sims will be a better RG than he is a LG, although I lack the football knowledge to explain why this is correct.  Holmgren obviously blamed a lot of the running woes last year on Sims.  I'm having a hard time thinking of a player whom Holmgren scorned so publicly as he did Sims last year.  To the extent that Holmgren's thinking on the matter either reflects or influences the thinking of Ruskell, Sims is on thin ice as a starter.

Moreover, Ruskell is hell-bent on improving the running game this offseason.  See, e.g., Wahle, Duckett, Jones.  I wouldn't be at all surprised to see Ruskell pull the trigger on a guard who he thinks can contribute this year to a revitalized running game in one last Super Bowl push with Coach H.

by jeager on Mar 9, 2008 9:56 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

IMO

This means we're not taking a RB at all this year, there's no reason to anymore.

First round will most likely go to an OL now, signing Wahle and moving Sims is definitely an upgrade but in case that doesn't work out I think we'll need a first rounder who can fill in immediately, or at least to add depth to the line if Sims does thrive at RG.

by notor on Mar 9, 2008 10:58 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Actually
We still might a take a RB late that could sit on the practice squad for a year.
Coach Owens = Scruffy's spell check

by Scruffy Lefty on Mar 9, 2008 12:20 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Why would Wahle replace Gray?
Wahle's been an LG his entire career and made the Pro-Bowl.  He signed a fairly big contract.  How would it make any sense to ask him to swap sides when Sims is the younger, cheaper player who struggled?

Besides - It's not like Sims was a high-profile pick.  He was a 4th rounder.  Ruskell's had no problem cutting guys he drafted higher than that (Greene)

2 semi-productive years at LG after being forced into the line-up quickly, and then a chance to win the RG spot or become valuable depth ... that's far from a "bust" - that's decent production from a 2nd day draft pick.      

by jteckmann on Mar 9, 2008 3:57 AM PST reply actions   0 recs

If we end up
Wahle at LG and Sims at RG, then Wahle has replaced Gray, not Sims, even if he's done so indirectly rather than directly.

by The Ancient Mariner on Mar 9, 2008 5:22 AM PST up reply actions   0 recs

"Reply to this" is your friend.
Anyway, Wahle's not playing RG, but he IS replacing Gray.  Where have you been?  Gray's going to be 38 next year.  Sims will be moving to RG which is a less demanding position.  Sims on the whole had a good season last year, he's not going anywhere.  If you think he's a bust then you're an idiot because league average or slightly better at LG is pretty damn good and worth keeping when a kid is that young and that cheap.

by BrettJMiller on Mar 9, 2008 12:39 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

The question is
whether Ruskell and Holmgren think Sims is a "league average or slightly better" LG.  The fact that Holmgren subbed Pork Chop (who I don't think anyone, even Holmgren, would say is league average) in for Sims at times last year, coupled with his unveiled criticisms of Sims, indicates that he at least had serious doubts.  Ruskell's procurement of Wahle further indicates that he believed the position required an upgrade.

We need depth at the guard position at the very least.  Sims is gonna have to fight to start at RG against a draft pick, and I suspect it will be a fairly early draft pick, and/or Wrotto.  After the perceived failings of Sims last season at LG, it is difficult to imagine Ruskell relying on him at RG.

 

by jeager on Mar 9, 2008 1:55 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

After the very real failings of Chris Gray at RG

I think Sims will have a pretty good shot at the starting job, he's by far the best option as things stand now.  Though it depends on which OL fall to our position in the draft whether he'll have legitimate competition for it.

by notor on Mar 9, 2008 2:10 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

the OG class in the draft is very weak
though so it's tough to see that being an early round choice given Ruskell's "best talent available" approach.

by Matthew on Mar 10, 2008 12:00 AM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

sorry about getting out of thread
I get the concept that Wahle replaces Gray indirectly by allowing Sims to switch to RG.

I just got the impression the post I meant to reply to meant it literally.  I just hear the "Ruskell won't admit his mistakes" criticism so much that I zeroed in on it.  I'm sorry for jumping to the wrong conclusion if that's not what the poster meant.

BTW - I specifically said in my post that Sims was NOT a bust, so not sure why you'd say I'm an idiot, since we're agreeing on that...

by jteckmann on Mar 9, 2008 2:43 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

FYI
Giants vs. Cowboys from week 1 is on NFL network at 10pm.  This should be a good game to watch since Jones was still the #1 guy at the time.

by MFAN on Mar 9, 2008 6:39 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

Tatum Bell
Can someone who has followed Bell a bit closer than I have - which means knows anything at all about him  - say why we should prefer Jones to Bell? Was Bell just injured last year or something?

Looking back at 2006 when they were both starters it seems as though they were quite comparable with Bell being the better receiver...

On the other hand, it looks as though the Lions were trying to snag Jones over Bell as well so there must be a reason here.

by brokejumper on Mar 10, 2008 11:54 AM PDT reply actions   0 recs

I have no real clue
But I always thought the knock on Bell was that he couldn't run in between the tackles.
Coach Owens = Scruffy's spell check

by Scruffy Lefty on Mar 10, 2008 12:23 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Bell is like a somewhat faster Morris:
One cut, go. Jones is a cutback rusher well-fit for Holmgren's style. I'm sure Seattle wasn't even entertaining Bell.

by John Morgan on Mar 10, 2008 12:54 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Home Run
It just seems that if we are concerned that there is no 'threat' to the Seahawks run game that a faster Morris might be just what the doctor ordered considering everything.

I think I might have to throw a few less items at my TV if we had a runner who did not sit in the hole until tackled... but maybe that is just me!

by brokejumper on Mar 10, 2008 2:58 PM PDT up reply actions   0 recs

Dear John Morgan
You just singlehandedly changed my outlook about the Julius Jones signing after reading that article. You brought up several stats that jumped out at me and made alot of sense. (New Member as of today) I have been reading a bunch of your articles recently and am very impressed by your football knowledge. Great site.

On a pure hawks note, I am very intrigued/excited to employ the new RBBC system (Duckett especially excites me) Duckett will be a perfect antidote for our short-yardage struggles. Jones and Morris can provide a great rotation type duo, Jones can mainly come in on first down and go for that 5 yards or more on the ground. I then think if you get more than 5 yards or so keep pounding the ball with Jones and Duckett down the field, until you start getting contained to smaller gains. Once Jones fails to get more than a yard or two on first downs, that's when you bring in Morris for passing downs to take advantage of his outstanding receiving skills, imo Kevin Faulk-esque receiving class. On top of that, as you mentioned John, Julius has great pass blockng skills as a running back, which we REALLY lacked last year with the retirement of Mack Strong.

I am optimistic about next season's run game.

by Theta Chi WSU on Mar 14, 2008 7:49 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

will probably be a dissapointment...
John even said in his analysis that Jones is like a young Shaun Alexander.  Am I the only one who processed that?  

The problem with the Seattle running game is the OL.  That being said, what good does it do to sign a back that can't rumble for the solid 4? That's what the west coast offense is all about: keeping the drive alive.

I'm not a big number guy, but they don't lie.  Jones  averaged almost a whole yard less per carry than Morris, playing for a better team. That's why the boys let him go.

Fortunately, the addition of Jones will lead to the loss of Shaun, and that is a step in the right direction.

The Morris/Jones/Weaver combo has potential, because they all know how to run downhill and are fast.  When a designated "superstar" back gets the majority of the carries, it often leaves no room for misdirection makes an offense more predictable; with three above-average backs, defenses will have less success keying.

Until the offensive line improves, Jones will be only slightly more effective than Shaun in his 06 season.  

 

by howdyhat on Mar 15, 2008 10:06 PM PDT reply actions   0 recs

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