TexSkins
Mar 24, 2008 Nov 21, 2008 138 2938
a fan of
Houston Astros
Washington Redskins
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Houston Rockets
Texas Tech Red Raiders
RSSUser Blog
The Wild, Wild Wildcard Race: Where the Skins Stand
First off, I'd like to apologize for my lack of posts. As contributor hibachi pointed out, there has been a slower-than-usual post rate around here. Funny because after Skins losses, everything around here seems so slow down. Which brings me to my next point:
FEEL FREE TO POST.
This site is all about participation. A blog community is only one when everyone posts and responds. That is all for the soap box for me. On to the fun stuff.
The loss to the Cowboys (oh, and wasn't it special to have all those Cow Sheep visit... funny, they must have been busy in week 4) marks 2 things: an more specific and interesting wildcard race and 10 games of the 16 game season down. So, who still has a legitimate shot at the playoffs? I'm gonna take a look at the NFC, division by division. Let the fun begin.
NFC West: I'm about to write the Cards in for the division title with a pen. San Fran is showing too little, too late. There is only one team making the playoffs from this division.
NFC North: The Lions are out. Everyone else has a shot at 5-5. I can't see two teams making it out.
NFC South: The Saints are trying to play their way out of it, but they haven't yet. The Falcons, Bucs and Panthers all have a shot at the division and they might be able to get a wildcard team.
Our beloved NFC East: The Giants will win and the Skins and Cowboys are making a play for a wildcard. The Eagles still have an outside shot, but they need to start winning.
So, what do we have? To me, the losers in the South and in the East are the only teams with a shot. The NFC North teams will beat each other into bad enough records that they'll miss the playoffs. So, for the sake of argument, the Cowboys, Redskins, Panthers, Bucs and Falcons are the teams I see vying for the 2 wildcard spots. Obviously, someone has to win the South... so the other 2 NFC South teams and the 2 NFC East teams are going to be in the mix. The Panthers are already 8-2 and the best thing for the Skins chances is for the Panthers to run through the division games at Atlanta (6-4) this weekend and against Tampa (7-3) in a few weeks. The Panthers already beat Atlanta at home and lost in Tampa.
The Cowboys and Skins are done with their season series... and both face common opponents (BAL, SF, SEA, NYG, and PHI) down the stretch. This is important because the wild card tie breaker is a) head-to-head games, b) division record and c) common opponents. The full break down can be found here. The 'Boys and 'Skins split of the season series means that division record is next... followed by record in games between common opponents.
Basically, the Skins need to win and win a lot. I think that it'll take at least 10 wins to make the playoffs in the NFC. That means the Skins have to go 4-2 from here on out. Seattle, San Francisco and Cincy are all bad teams that the Skins should beat, even though all 3 games are on the road. Speaking of road games, 4 of the last 6 games are on the road (@ BAL) and the only 2 home games are division games. Tough road ahead.
On the other hand, the Cowboys have 4 of the last 6 at home. They have to go to PIT and to PHI and have Seattle, San Fran, the Giants and Ravens at home. Hmm.
That's all I got for now. What's up?
6 comments
| 0 recs
|
Week 11 Blogger Deathsport
No wit and wisdom. No jokes. No stories. This is Dallas week. Enough said.
Thursday
NYJ @ NE (-3.5) (Yes, this pick was in before the game Thursday.)
Sunday
DET @ CAR (-14)
DEN @ ATL (-6.5)
HOU @ IND (-8.5)
OAK @ MIA (-10.5)
MIN @ TB (-3.5)
NO (-5.5) @ KC
CHI @ GB (no line = straight up even)
PHI (-9) @ CIN
BAL @ NYG (-7)
STL @ SF (-6.5)
ARZ (-3) @ SEA
SD @ PIT (-5.5)
TEN (-3) @ JAX
DAL (-1.5) @ WAS
Monday
CLE @ BUF (-5) CLE 28 - BUF 27
1 comment
| 0 recs
|
NFL Network's whoring begins tonight: Browns v. Broncos
and for the record, I'm taking the Browns. A quick look at the odds (as always, courtesy of Yahoo! Sports) shows that the Browns are a 3 point home favorite, which is the standard spread. Basically, if not for being a home game, the Browns would be in a pick 'em game with the Broncos. Yes, both teams are that bad.
I'll take the Browns to win because of Brady Quinn. Yes, he's only had 1 day to prepare... but so has Denver's defense and they're not too good. Champ, McCree and Williams are all out... and are all key players on an already bad defense. Jay Cutler and the Broncos offense haven't been much of anything to write home about in about a month... and I just don't see them coming out of whatever hole they fell into tonight.
I hope all of you have the NFL Network, but if your issues have been anything like mine, you probably don't. I've had 3 cable companies in the last 3 years and 2 of the 3 actually carried it, which seems to me a surprisingly high percentage. I understand why the NFL would want games on their network (umm... money?) but I don't understand why they make their fans and teams go through this, especially starting in week 10 of the NFL season. Denver has to travel on a short week and the game is no picnic for the Browns either. It'd be a lot worse if either team actually played like a playoff contender. Next week's Thursday game (Jets v. New England) will feature 2 teams in the middle of a playoff hunt. It's just a bad idea (I think) that is solely motivated by money. As if the NFL was hurting for cash.
Anyway, consider this your open thread for all things Thursday night.
2 comments
| 0 recs
|
23-6. Thank God for BYE weeks
The headline says it all.
(Image from here.)
That was an absolutely terrible game. I'm not going to even talk about how many Steelers fans were there. Shame on everyone who sold tickets. I take back every kind thing I said about Carlos Rogers in my mid-season report card. His missed INT was the turning point in the game, as it went from being 13-3 Skins to being 10-6 Steelers. The rest of the defense played well (4 sacks, 1 INT), but they could not get off the field on 3rd down to save their lives. Allowing the other team to go 7 for 16 on 3rd down will not cut it. Not all of that is on Rogers. As contributer hibachi put it in the open thread about Rogers:
He’s been awful tonight. He gave up the 43 yard penalty, the 50 yard pass to nate washington, the td to santonio holmes and the missed pick six.
Now all that said, give the Steelers credit. DC Dick LeBeau is the best in my opinion. His 3-4 blitz scheme has been light years ahead of everyone else... and still is. Who knew the player of the game would be the Steelers's QB... and it wouldn't be Big Ben. Leftwich made plays, moved the ball, scored points. That's what you want your backup to do (isn't that right, Dallas?) and he did it well.
QB Jason Campbell threw an INT to end his streak of "271 attempts—249 this season—before cornerback Deshea Townsend grabbed a pass tipped by Portis late in the third quarter." He had a bad game. He was throwing the ball high on almost every play, and when he didn't, he was on his back. Seven (7) sacks. Bad. Very bad. His 43 attempts is about 20 too many for this offense to have success. Yes, PIT is a good defense. One of the best. But the offense led by JC did not play well at all tonight.
Now, you're gonna hear about how Clinton Portis was "shut down" but 13 rushes for 51 yards is not shut down. That's getting down and having to throw the ball too much. A lot of that has to do with getting down and having to throw. Portis had another 73 yards receiving, giving him 124 total yards. Is that getting "shut down" by the Steelers? I'd say no.
But that's over now. This team has a BYE week coming up and they'd better get ready for the Cowboys, who are desperate for a win.If they play like they did tonight, there are very few teams they can beat, including a reeling Cowboys team. They have some winable games left (SEA, SF, CIN) but they need to win more than 9 to even have a shot at the wild card, which the loss tonight pretty much sealed as the best they can do.
Going 6-3 into the BYE week is still a good start. They need to use tonight's game as a wakeup call and get better.
Keepin' it medium works both ways.
4 comments
| 0 recs
|
Week 9 Open Thread: Redskins vs. Steelers
[Update by TexSkins, 11/03/08 7:48 PM CST ] Inactives are here. No Springs or Taylor. Moss, Samuels and Griffin are in.
Consider this your open thread for tonight's game. I'll be around for most of it, as I'm sure a good number of our other writers will be. Anyway, as of this post (6:30 or so EST) most of those players expected to play are still in. Full injury report here. Springs is out. Moss is the most questionable of the questionables... I have a feeling that he'll play. He likes the spotlight.
As for the Steelers injuries, Willie Parker returns tonight after missing a few weeks. He should see some action but the Steelers are going to be careful bringing him back. Maybe 40 or so snaps. Clark and McFadden are out. Their beat up secondary could be a key for victory. BehindTheStellCurtain should have a thread up and they have some pretty good stuff as far as matchups. Go forth and check it out.
Some tidbits going into tonight, all from here. First, Big Ben:
"I’m not a big fan of playing there because it is loud, they’re really good at home, and they try to make their cheerleaders stretch in our tunnel before we come out of the locker room," Roethlisberger said. "That’s just not good."
Smart man. Now, I leave you with the wit and wisdom of Randy Thomas:
"We’re coming in 6-2; they’re 5-2. It’s going to be the day before the election," Redskins guard Randy Thomas said with a big smile. "I mean goll-ee. It’s going to be nice."
Goll-ee indeed. Anyway, here's your thread.
28 comments
| 0 recs
|
Skins 1st Half Report Card / Blogger Deathsport
The season is officially halfway done, and the Skins are a surprising 6-2. Some games (the Rams) might have gotten away,
but in some others, the team was able to hold on. So, lets take a look at how the team has done thus far:
OVERALL: 6-2 is good. Wins at Dallas, at Philly and at home for New Orleans are good. Losing at the Giants is long forgotten, and the Rams game appears to be an aberration. Like I've said before, if you told me 6-2 before the season started, I would have taken it without second thought. This stretch of schedule featured some of the easier games the team had all season, but like the old saying goes: you can only beat those teams on your schedule.
Grade: B+
COACHING: Jim Zorn has been better than expected. He doesn't look like a rookie head coach based on his decisions and game management. He also looks like a veteran OC with the way he's called some of the games. Mistakes, yes. But overall much better than I expected.
On the defensive side, Blache is good at 2 things: giving quotes and calling a game. I really like the way he has worked with his personnel and really developed a pretty good defense. They've had some key injuries (Taylor, Doughty, Springs) but they've worked around it. They are 6th in yards allowed at 278.1 and 8th in scoring defense after giving up 18.1 points a game. I'd like to see more turnovers, but I always take what I can get. In the NFL, the magic number is 20: you score more than that consistently, you should win because you should be able to hold teams to that. This defense does.
Grade: A-
OFFENSE: Two words: Clinton Portis. He's been on fire all year, but especially after getting called out. Thank you, Brian Mitchell. He leads the league in rushing with 944 yards. But since he's had an extra game (no bye week yet), it might be misleading to say that the next highest rusher is Adrian Peterson with 684, or 260 yards less. So, I'll go to the 118.0 yards per game for Portis compared to Peterson's 97.7. Umm... yeah. He's been that good. Big props to the offensive line.
Almost under the radar is JC's season. He has finally lived up to the 1st round QB hype and is one of only 6 QBs with a 100+ rating and his 100.5 is good for 5th. That puts him ahead of the likes of Manning (both), Favre, and Roethlisberger. Not too shabby. Of starting QBs, he's the only one to have 0 INTs and has only 1 fumble lost all year. Talk about protecting the football. Again, big ups to the offensive line for allowing JC time and giving up only 16 sacks.
Overall, the offense is towards the bottom of the league in points (20.6) but they are towards the top in TOP (6th at 32:30), a stat I personally don't put much stock in but some of you might. A stat I like better is 1st downs (7th at 20.3 per game). Mike Leach taught me that. Well, not personally. #rd down percentage is middle of the pack at 38.8%, but the 4th down percentage is tied for 2nd best at 80% or 4 for 5. Good stuff.
Grade: B (Portis gets an A++.)
DEFENSE: This phase has carried the team thus far this year. London Fletcher is the man. Rookie Chris Horton has proven himself in place of Doughty, but the man I want to spotlight is Carlos Rogers. He, along with fellow 2005 1st rounder Jason Campbell have both come of age this year. Rogers, coming off a knee injury that ended his 2007 season, has looked like the corner the team thought they were getting when they drafted him 9th overall.
The only problem with the defense is the pass rush (10.0 is 8 games). A lot of that can be chalked up to Jason Taylor's injury, but still... they need to get to the opponent's QB. The 5 Forced fumbles and 5 INTs (3 from Horton) are good, but pressure from the front 4 makes everyone else better. The 35.6 3rd down percentage is another good thing.
Grade: A-
SPECIAL TEAMS: Yikes. Anytime you replace a punter mid-season, there have been some problems. Rookie Durant Brooks was just flat out bad. He had some good punts, but he was inconsistent... which is pretty much the one thing an NFL punter cannot be. To his credit, P Ryan Plackemeier has been pretty okay since joining the team, but the team is still dead last in punting with a 39.1 yard average. Double yikes.
The incumbent K Suisham has been pretty okay as well. Only 5 touchbacks, but the coverage teams have been there to make plays. He's also 16 for 21 on FGs, but at least one of those has been blamed on Brooks' holding. Not great but okay.
As usual, KR Rock Cartwright is near the top of the league with a 25.5 yard average and a long of 50. That's consistency. The team has a 25.1 yard average overall. The PR is middle of the pack at 9.4 yards per return, but that's largely due to Moss's return for a TD last game. ARE has been less than spectacular. They have the second most chances in the league (26, 1 behind Tampa Bay) to this point and they need to capitalize on them, which will help the offense score more points. The defense has done it's job, the returners need to make the most of it.
Grade: C-/D+
That's all I got for now. SP sent me this link to another report card, which I have not looked at for this post. So, tell me if I'm in line with things or if I'm just crazy. As always, leave it in the comments section.
- - -
Week 9 Blogger Deathsport. Because I can:
BAL @ CLE (-1.5)
TB (-8.5) @ KC
NYJ @ BUF (-5.5)
ARZ (-3) @ STL
DET @ CHI (-13)
HOU @ MIN (-4.5)
GB @ TEN (-5.5)
JAX (-8) @ CIN
MIA @ DEN (-3)
DAL @ NYG (-9)
PHI (-7) @ SEA
ATL (-3) @ OAK
NE @ IND (-5.5)
Monday
PIT @ WAS (-1.5) 24-21.
I'm out. Hit it up.
14 comments
| 0 recs
|
Redskins @ Lions: 5 Questions
Resident Lions blogger Sean Yuille over at Pride of Detroit took the time out to answer some questions heading into this weekend's game. be sure to check out my answers to his questions over there. Unlike his Lions, he runs a tight ship.
[Note by TexSkins, 10/24/08 4:09 PM CDT ] You can find my answers here.
1. Matt Millen made an early exit this season. What are the chances that Marinelli doesn't make it to the end of the season and should he be allowed to finish out the year?
A lot of people think Marinelli should and will be fired in the near future, but I really don't see it that way. The coaching staff is so bad that no one could really take over as the interim coach. I know that sounds pathetic, but it is the sad truth. If Marinelli were fired, it couldn't make things any worse, but at the same time, it wouldn't make things any better. Given that, I think he will have his job until the end of the season and will be fired shortly after that.
2. Calvin Johnson's on my fantasy team, so I know a little something something about him. As somebody who watches him every week, how wicked good is this guy?
Calvin Johnson is a beast. That's all you can really say about someone like him. He's got size, speed, and the ability to make some amazing catches. He does drop the ball more than he should, but he makes up for those mistakes by making plays. In the Lions' last game he had only 2 catches, but he still scored a touchdown and racked up 154 yards (mainly because of a 96-yard TD). If Johnson can get the ball thrown accurately in his direction, he will make plays for sure.
3. Kitna is apparently out for the year and all I know about Dan Orlovsky is that he apparently doesn't see the back of the end zone as he runs past it. Does he have a chance to be a good NFL QB or is just keeping the seat warm for Kitna?
Orlovsky hasn't been all that bad in his first two starts, but he hasn't been good, either. He is someone that should be a backup and not a starter. That's why he only got his first start a couple weeks ago despite being in the league for 4 years. I expect him to be the starting QB for a few more weeks before Drew Stanton takes over. Unless Orlovsky can lead the Lions to a win, there will be too much pressure to play Stanton since the fans all want to get a look at him. Stanton is seen as the franchise's future starting QB, so it would be nice to find out if he is any good right now rather than next season.
As far as Kitna goes, I don't think he will ever play for the Lions again. His injury was not that serious, but the Lions put him on the injured reserve anyways. The Lions' thinking behind that move was to get rid of him for the time being but keep him on the team so he can be traded in the offseason. Kitna was obviously frustrated with the move but did understand why they did it. My guess is that he will be traded or cut during the next offseason.
4. The only thing I know about the Detroit defense is that Rogers and Bly aren't there any more. Who are some of the guys to keep an eye on heading into this weekend and into the future?
I would keep an eye on Dewayne White and Ernie Sims. White is a defensive end that seems to make a lot of plays. He is probably the best pass-rusher on the defensive line, so if anyone gets a sack for the Lions it will likely be White. Sims is a linebacker and is the best player on the defense. He flies around the field and always is in on plays. Sims' best attribute is his quickness, which allows him to follow the ball no matter where it goes.
5. I gotta do it. Sorry, but it'd be irresponsible question asking if I didn't. 0-16... really?
I have a feeling the Lions will screw up the ultimate imperfect season by getting a win eventually, but 0-16 could happen. This team still has far too many issues to work out before a win is even considered by the fans, so there is some talk that this group of players and coaches are mediocre enough to pull off a "defeated" season. However, like I said, I have a feeling they will be able to win at least one game.
BONUS: Blogger Deathsport picks. You know the drill.
Sunday
ATL @ PHI (-9)
KC @ NYJ (-13)
STL @ NE (-7)
BUF (1.5) @ MIA
OAK @ BAL (-7)
WAS (-7.5) @ DET
ARZ @ CAR (-4.5)
SD (-3) @ NO
TB @ DAL (-1.5)
CIN @ HOU (-9.5)
CLE @ JAX (-7.5)
NYG @ PIT (-2.5)
SEA @ SF (-5)
Monday
IND @ TEN (off the board = straight up even) 24-21 home team prevails. No 2 pointers.
Where'd I go wrong this time? Expect SP's picks soon.
12 comments | 0 recs
Blogger Deathsport
Last weekend, SP and I forgot to post our picks, which Ben made very clear was unacceptable. He's cranky anyway, so I'm going to try and head him off at the pass and post early. I'm sure SP will follow suit.
Sunday
SF @ NYG (-10.5)
PIT (-10) @ CIN
TEN (-8) @ KC
MIN @ CHI (-3)
SD @ BUF (off the board = straight up even)
NO @ CAR (-3)
DAL (-7) @ STL
BAL @ MIA (-3)
DET @ HOU (-8.5)
NYJ (-3) @ OAK
IND (-1.5) @ GB
CLE @ WAS (-7)
SEA @ TB (-10.5)
Monday
DEN @ NE (-3)
Denver wins close, 27-24.
Leave comments about where I went wrong. Except for you, Ben. You leave nothing and like it.
6 comments | 0 recs
Blogger Deathsport and other randomness
This weekend's game is huge for the Skins and NFC East. With both other NFC East teams having games the should win (Dallas at home to Cincy, the Giants hosting Seattle) a loss could put Philly in a pretty big hole to start the year. Whether or not Westbrook plays (and plays effectively) will determine how well the Eagles play.
All that being said, this is also an important game for the Skins. Despite the fact that Springs and Taylor are most likely out, the team that has been showing up of late should be able to pull out a win against a banged up Eagles offense. From there, the Skins have 3 extremely winable games (home for St. Louis and Cleveland, then at Detroit.) A 6-2 (7-1 would be too optimistic) record at the end of this stretch could help the Skins post-season chances before some much tougher games (Hosting Pittsburgh, the bye week and then home for Dallas, at Seattle and home for New York.) The road is only going to get much tougher, so the Skins need to win all the games they should (especially outside the division) if they have any shot at the playoffs.
Anyway, that's about all I got. Here's a link for the most recent injury news. ([Note by TexSkins, 10/03/08 4:40 PM CDT ] Here's the more recent than that recent news.) Everyone seems sold on Westbrook playing. I'm not so sure... and I have to make a decision as to play him or not in fantasy. Damn ankles are so hard to predict.
Now for the good stuff. Blogger Deathsport picks, lines (as always) courtesy of Yahoo! Sports:
Sunday
BUF @ ARZ (-1)
KC @ CAR (-9.5)
CHI (-3.5) @ DET
CIN @ DAL (off the board = straight up even)
TB @ DEN (-3)
ATL @ GB (off the board = straight up even)
IND (-3) @ HOU
PIT @ JAX (-4)
NE (-3) @ SF
SEA @ NYG (-7)
WAS @ PHI (-5.5)
SD (-6.5) @ MIA
TEN (-3) @ BAL
Monday
MIN @ NO (-3)
Score: 28-24, home team. No 2 point conversions.
2 comments | 0 recs
Week 4 Keys to Victory
Other than, you know, supporting your local Ewoks.
Anyway, here's what I view as some keys to winning this game. Keep in mind I am no expert, scout, or even former player (beyond the high school level.) Don't take these things as gospel (hell, I don't even do that.) Onward and forward, but most just downway.
Key #1 - Get Pressure to Romo in the Pocket
via www.ctclark.com
This is pretty much key one for every defensive coordinator's game plan, ever. Get pressure to the QB. But with Romo, it is imperative because when he has time, he finds receivers and they make big plays. The Dallas offense is predicated on big plays and pounding Marion Barber. OC Jason Garrett is no dummy (he went to Princeton, yo) so he'll expect this.
Which is why I think the defense need to get pressure up the middle, to keep the edge rushers for containment. With Jason Taylor's 133-games played streak coming to an end, and Erasmus James being a virtual no show (remember that time when we here at HH thought James could be a big addition... that is, before the Taylor trade) it seems unlikely that any pressure is going to come off the edge against perennial Pro Bowler OT Flozell Adams and the steady Marc Colombo. If this can happen rushing 4, that'd be great. If Blache has to start blitzing, it could be a long afternoon.
Which is why the pressure needs to come up the middle. Starting G Kyle Kosier is out and the other G, former T and big free agent pickup from a year ago, Leonard Davis had an off night last week. The Packers have some pretty good pass rushers (KGB, Kampman) that got nowhere. For the record, Kampman did have 1.5 sacks. But most of that came from pressure coming up the middle in the form of one Cullen Jenkins. Griffin, Golston and company have to provide that this weekend.
And I specifically said pressure "in the pocket" because I happen to think that Romo is at his best when he breaks the pocket, creates with his legs to find receivers down field. Not saying he can't throw from the pocket (he can and will) but he makes his money for what he does when things break down.
Key #2 - Take away Owens or Witten
via i.cdn.turner.com
This one is self-explanatory. You can't take away both. The Packers took Owens out of that game (2 catches, 17 yards) but it kept Witten running open in the middle and sprung Miles Austin for that big gain down the middle to set up a TD.
That is the big reason why getting pressure with 4 (or, rather, as few defenders as possible) is key: you need as many guys in coverage as possible to stop the big play ability of this offense. Springs, at this stage of his career, is not Charles Woodson but he has done a pretty good job against Owens.
The thing is to understand that Owens is going to get his catches. Tackling him immediately and not letting him run after the catch, where he is most dangerous, is crucial. Witten is Romo's favorite target, especially when he needs a play. Keeping him from running wild in the middle of the defense is also crucial. Keeping this team away from big plays will help to control the crowd. Its a tough task, but it can be done.
Key #3 - Contain Barber
Again, tough to do. He can't pick up first down after first down if the Skins expect to win. He is a tough runner who eats up yards, defenders and the clock. He's going to get his yards... but when he breaks tackles and does his little jumping dace thing, the home crowd and his team responds by upping their energy. If there is such thing as an on-field emotional leader (SP, make note to ask your professor buddies about their theories on this) Marion Barber III is that guy for Dallas. As he goes, so does this offense.
Keeping him in check early is also key to keeping him from wearing down the defense later. Dallas loves to get off to a fast start, put up points, put pressure on the opposing offense, and grind out the clock in the 4th by feeding Barber the rock. This is the absolute worst thing that can happen to an opponent.
Keep in mind that rookie RB Felix Jones, who has up to this point been a minimal part of the offense, has the ability to take it to the house in any situation. he is the perfect complement for Barber with his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield. Oh, and he's wicked fast.
I know it sounds like I'm making the Cowboys out to be a really good offensive team... but that's only because they are. Don't take my word for it: (3rd in total offense at 32.0 points per game, 4th in passing offense at 297.3 yards per game, 9th in rushing offense at 150.7 per game, and 1st in combined offense. Pretty impressive.
Key #4 - Win the "little things"
To win, the Skins need to win on special teams (that means you grow a damn mustache, kick the ball good, and hold it right, Mr. Brooks), they need to win the turnover battle, and they need to win the field position game. That means punting on 4th and short in certain situations and going for it in others.
Dallas commits penalties (tied for 1st with 28) and Dallas will turn the ball over (Romo has 3 picks and 1 fumble, Barber has a fumble) so these things need to be capitalized in order to win. This also means no stupid penalties that keep drives alive. (Mr. Heyer and Mr Smoot, I'm talking to you guys.)
The Redskins are, straight up, not good enough to beat the Cowboys if they play bad football and do dumb things like turn the ball over and get penalized. They need to play flawless football and capitalize on any and all mistakes. That means 6 points, not 3.
Final Key - Third Down
The Cowboys offense is at the top of the league on 3rd down at 60% (that percentage is way high and will come back to the mean eventually... hopefully this Sunday) while the Redskins are near the bottom at 31.4%. That 30 percent swing can be deadly.
On defense, Dallas gives up 34.3%, good for 10th while the Redskins are again at the bottom (tied for 23rd) at 42.9%. Combine that with the offensive stats, and things don't look good. JC and this new "rhythm offense" needs to get that going and stay on the field. The defense needs to close the deal and get off the field on 3rd down. Giving Romo extra opportunities at points is not a good idea.
That's all I got for now. Back to work for me, but first... my Week 4 Blogger Deathsport picks. Check out last week's results over at The Curly R. Ben is so good to me.
Sunday
BUF (-8) @ STL
ATL @ CAR (-7)
PHI @ CHI (off the board = straight up even)
CLE @ CIN (-3.5)
WAS @ DAL (-11.5)
DEN (-9) @ KC
HOU (-7.5) @ JAX
SF @ NO (-6)
ARZ @ NYJ (-2.5)
SD (-7.5) @ OAK
GB @ TB (-1)
MIN @ TEN (-3)
Monday
BAL @ PIT (off the board = straight up even) PIT wins close at home... 20-17.
Enjoy the rest of Dallas Week.
10 comments | 0 recs
Showing 1 - 10 of 138Older

