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Projected Standings: NFC West 2008

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Seattle Seahawks 13-3

2007 DVOA: 11.7%

Passing Offense: 17.2%

+

Replaced Shaun Alexander with Julius Jones

Replaced Marcus Pollard with John Carlson

Replaced Chris Gray with Rob Sims

-

Lost DJ Hackett

Deion Branch recovering from ACL tear

Rushing Offense: -9.9%

+

Replaced Shaun Alexander with Julius Jones

Replaced Rob Sims with Mike Wahle

Replaced Chris Gray with Rob Sims

Replaced Marcus Pollard with John Carlson

-

n/a

Pass Defense: -0.2%

+

Added Lawrence Jackson

Added Red Bryant

Moved Darryl Tapp to situational duty

Year 3: Kelly Jennings

Darryl Tapp: 24

Hill’s late season development in coverage

-

Patrick Kerney: 31

Rocky Bernard: 29

Rush Defense: -12.1%

+

Added Lawrence Jackson

Added Red Bryant

Moved Darryl Tapp to situational duty

Mebane: 23

Hill: 26


-

n/a

+

Replaced Josh Brown with Olindo Mare on kickoffs

Replaced Boone Stutz (et al) with Tyler Schmitt

-

Replaced Josh Brown with Olindo Mare on field goals (maybe)

Summary: Anything short of 6-0 in division would be very disappointing.

Arizona Cardinals 9-7

2007 DVOA: -10.1%

Passing Offense: 6.6%

+

Replaced Kurt Warner with Matt Leinart (maybe)

Added WR Early Doucet

-

Lost WR Bryant Johnson

Rushing Offense:-11.3%

+

Added RB Tim Hightower

-


Edgerrin James: 30; 2,849 rushing attempts

Pass Defense: 10.3%

+

Added CB Dominique Rogers-Cromartie

Added DL Calais Campbell

Replaced FS Terrence Holt with Antrel Rolle

-

Lost OLB Calvin Pace

Rush Defense: -1.2%

+

Added CB Dominique Rogers-Cromartie

Added DL Calais Campbell

-

n/a

Special Teams:

-3.9%

+


Added Early Doucet to punt returns

Summary: A below average team that rolls out practically the same unit as last season, the Cardinals miserable cap shape prevented them from adding much talent in free agency. If Campbell rebounds, Leinart realizes some of his potential and Hightower is an above average feature back, this team could compete. That’s not terribly likely. Still a good sight better than the Rams or 49ers.

Saint Louis Rams: 6-10

2007 DVOA: -33.9%

Passing Offense: -18.0%

+

Replaced Andy McCollum with Jacob Bell

Added Keenan Burton

Added John Greco

Added Donnie Avery

-

n/a

Rushing Offense: -19.6%

+

Replaced Andy McCollum with Jacob Bell

Steven Jackson: 25

Richie Incognito: 25

-

n/a

Pass Defense: 18.1%

+

Added Chris Long

-

Leonard Little, La'Roi Glover: 34

Rush Defense: 3.1%

See above

Special Teams: -4.3%

Replaced Jeff Wilkins with Josh Brown

Summary: The Rams are in a similar position with Orlando Pace as the Hawks are with Marcus Tubbs, except where Seattle only needs Tubbs to contribute as a second or third string rotational defensive tackle, the Rams are relying on Pace to start the season at left tackle. …! Without Pace, the Rams are a team with a few pronounced strengths (two members of the defensive line, running up the middle, Torry Holt) and a team’s worth of weaknesses (linebacker, secondary, pass rush, pass protection, receiver, special teams, 2nd string quarterback, depth at any position). I think a bounce back in team health, an improved offensive line, a return to respectability by Marc Bulger and 400 carries by Steven Jackson will keep Saint Louis from a second year of embarrassment, but just barely.

San Francisco 49ers 3-13

2007 DVOA: -38.0%

Passing Offense: -43.9%

+

Replaced LT Jonas Jennings with Joe Staley

-

n/a

Rushing Offense: -11.1%

+

Added G Chilo Rachal

-

Added RB DeShaun Foster

Added OC Mike Martz

Passing Defense: 20.8%

+

Added DB Reggie Smith

Manny Lawson: 24

Patrick Willis: 23


-

Replaced Bryant Young with Kentwan Balmer

Replaced Marques Douglas with Justin Smith

Walt Harris: 34

Rush Defense: 1.3%

See Above

Special Teams: 4.1%

Added Returner Josh Morgan

Summary: A miserable team in the midst of a miserable offseason. Bryant Johnson is a mediocre wide receiver that benefitted from good surrounding talent and a strong scheme. Isaac Bruce will turn 36 November 10th. Presumed 3-4 end Justin Smith will turn 29 September 30th, is fresh off a 2 sack season and weighs less than Darryl Tapp. Yeah, that’s worth $45M/6 yrs, $20M guaranteed. Just a phenomenally stupid move. For much of 2007, the Niners were flirting with all-time ineptness. They’ve lost talent and added Mike Martz. Martz was so bad the Detroit Lions ran him out of depression town on a rail. On the plus side, I bet Patrick Willis racks up the tackles.