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Coffee & Cigarettes: Seahawks Links for Wednesday

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Otto Greule Jr


FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT
The playoff odds report plays out the season 50,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on an equation which considers the current Weighted DVOA ratings of the two teams as well as home-field advantage. (DVOA ratings are explained here.) Mean Wins is the average number of wins for this team over the 50,000 simulations. Odds are given for winning each playoff seed, as well as for winning the division (DIV), earning a bye week (BYE), or winning a wild card (WC). TOT represents odds of making the playoffs in any fashion.

FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | Week 10 DVOA Ratings
Let the churn atop the Football Outsiders DVOA ratings continue! Last week, the Broncos dropped down from first to third. This week, with a big win over Carolina, the Broncos are back in first. In fact, the Broncos open up a bit of a lead over the rest of the league. The Patriots are still in second place, although their actual DVOA did drop because of the close game against Buffalo. San Francisco's attempt to make hot incest pr0n with the Rams drops the 49ers all the way from first place to sixth place, but that drop isn't quite as big as it looks because the teams ranked second through sixth are very close together. Don't overeact to the fact that San Francisco is now below Seattle.

Seahawks get well-deserved rest for bye week | Seattle Seahawks - The News Tribune
"I have no reason to focus really well ... I can really be loose," he said at one point when his attention span seemed to waver in the face of traditional bye-week questioning.

Seahawks get week to rest, relax | - Sports
After beating the New York Jets Sunday, Seattle Seahawks players reported to team headquarters for meetings Monday, then were sent away to enjoy a full week off.

Seahawks take break after getting to 5-0 at home - Seahawks News -
"Hopefully we can cash in on it. What we will gain is rest and the rehab part of it and then we've got to go back to work and really hit it in earnest (next) Monday," Carroll said. "I do feel good about where we are going and the guys have worked really hard and performed very consistently. They've done everything we've asked them to do in terms of the prep and focus and bringing it week in and week out and I trust they understand that."

Judging the rookie quarterbacks & Tuesday links " Seahawks Draft Blog
Kerry Byrne wrote a pretty interesting piece this week, asking (or demanding) "Where’s the hype for Russell Wilson?" "In Luck’s last five games, the period during which the hype has begun to ratchet up, he’s thrown just 3 TD passes with 4 INTs. Wilson over the last five games: 10 TD, 2 INT. On what planet is Luck the better quarterback, given those numbers over the past few weeks. Luck certainly has the potential and the pedigree to be a Hall of Famer. Griffin III is the most talented athlete in the group and gave the hottest start to his career. But through Week 10, Wilson has been the deadliest, certainly most consistent, definitely the hottest right now and, yes, even the best rookie quarterback in football."

2012 NFC West offense ranks thru Week 10 - NFC West Blog - ESPN
Every NFC West offense but San Francisco's lags in league-wide rankings through Week 10 despite recent gains for St. Louis and especially Seattle.

Seahawks getting major contributions from top picks - Blog -
The Seahawks' first three selections in the 2012 draft were all met with varying degrees of surprise and scrutiny.

Jerramy Stevens not charged after altercation involving fiance Hope Solo - UW Blog articles -
Jerramy Stevens, a former University of Washington and Seahawks tight end, was not charged after appearing in a Kirkland Municipal Court Tuesday following his arrest on suspicion of assaulting his fiance, U.S. women's soccer team goalkeeper Hope Solo, according to reports.

Seahawks review: Likes and dislikes about the 28-7 victory over the Jets | The Brewery | The Seattle Times
Here are my highs and lows from the Seahawks' 28-7 victory over the New York Jets on Sunday:

Rookie QB Ranks: Andrew Luck, Russell Wilson shine -
The kid throws such a pretty deep ball. Watch the long scores to Golden Tate and Sidney Rice in the clips below. Wilson has 11 touchdown tosses and no interceptions at home this year. His running was a big positive in this win over the New York Jets. Wilson only got edged out for the top spot because of a lackluster first half.

Six NFL quarterbacks enter Week 11 with perfect playing-time percentages | Shutdown Corner - Yahoo! Sports
This year, the National Football League has added "Playtime Percentage" to the Gamebooks that are found in the "Game Centers" at That information is not always updated on the public end, but it is updated the morning after each game on the NFL Media site. I've been tracking that data throughout the season for Shutdown Corner, and here are a few observations through Week 10:

ReFo: Rams @ 49ers, Week 10 |
With the first sister-kissing game in four years, which performances stood out?

ReFo: Jets @ Seahawks, Week 10 |
The Seahawks, backed by the '12th-man', may have taken the points here, but not all is well in Seattle.

Offensive Line Rankings: Week 10 Update |
25. Seattle Seahawks (28th) PB = 21st, RB = 17th and PEN = 31st Penalties have been a big problem for the Seahawks, though it would be foolish to write this without mentioning how they’ve improved as the season goes on. With Russell Wilson holding onto the ball for so long they have a tougher job than most, but with a more settled lineup, are upward trending.

Race For Rookie of the Year, Week 10 |
2. Russell Wilson, QB, SEA (+16.8) Want to know what really bugs me? When people promote the winning record of one player, and dismiss it of another. Wilson has led the Seahawks to a 6-4 record and, much like the other rookie quarterbacks, has been a part of creating that record. He’s not a dink-and-dunk guy (second-highest percentage of attempts over 20 yards in the air) and he’s at 15 touchdowns already. He’s doing more than just hand the ball off to Marshawn Lynch, and has helped bring Sidney Rice back from the dead.

PFF Team of Week 10 |
Cornerbacks: Richard Sherman, SEA (+4.8) and Adam Jones, CIN (+4.6) Sherman, a legit All-Pro candidate, was thrown at four times and the end results were zero completions, one pick and two pass deflections. Jones forced a big fumble of Ahmad Bradshaw and also broke up three of the 10 balls into his coverage.

Scheduling for Success - Football Daily Dose -
The following is a service for teams coasting toward the fantasy playoffs. The first six rounds of your draft went something like Arian Foster, Adrian Peterson, Brandon Marshall, Matt Ryan, Eric Decker and Stevan Ridley. You stole Owen Daniels late. You took a last-round "why not" pick on the Bears D/ST. In other words, you’re now 9-1, 8-2 or 7-3 and the playoffs are a cinch. Life is good.

The Daily Norseman Interview With Warren Moon - Daily Norseman

One on one with the Hall of Famer about the All State hometown heroes program, his time with the Vikings, and the good and bad in today's NFL.

Hard Work Is the Ansah - Evaluations -
What if I was to say one of the most efficient American football factories was African? No, not African-American; African. From the "Nigerian Nightmare" Christian Okoye to the Liberian leopard Tamba Hali, African-born athletes have had astounding achievements on the grandest gridiron. The reason, to put it simply, is that they work hard. The novel concept of working hard doesn’t ring in all players’ ears, consequently realizing only failure and not potential, but it does so in the ears of Africans. Allow me to elaborate.

Ben Roethlisberger crucial to Pittsburgh Steelers' success -
I hated how the New York Jets' offense -- and not just Mark Sanchez -- played. I realize the Jets have major talent issues on both sides of the ball, but this offense is still tough to watch, from design to execution. The Jets gave the boot to former coordinator Brian Schottenheimer last year, but has his replacement, Tony Sparano, made them better? Take a look at the Jets roster from three years ago. Since then, every time they've lost a player, the Jets have failed to replace him with someone of equal or better ability, and this team has steadily declined over that period. Reality had better set in for head coach Rex Ryan, who actually thinks this is the best team he has coached.

49ers film review vs. Rams
After re-watching all 75 minutes from the 49ers' 24-24 tie against the St. Louis Rams, here are a few observations, as well as some stats compiled by Pro Football Focus . . .