Week 3 In Review
If you aren't familiar with my methods yet, I'll put myself on a "PASS" or "FAIL" scale, which is based on flex options scoring above or below double digit fantasy points. Above 10 points would be a PASS, and obviously below 10 would be a FAIL. So here we go once again, let's see how I did for you, folks.
Matt Jones, 1.8 Points -- FAIL
Chris Ivory, 0 Points -- DNP
John Brown, 9.2 Points -- FAIL
Stevie Johnson, 7.6 Points -- FAIL
Dion Lewis, 17.7 Points -- PASS
I took a grenade to the face last week -- this though, my friends, is a byproduct of trying to make bold calls. No excuses, I just won't make the obvious picks in this article. However, I will field those type of questions on twitter and get back to everyone promptly.
Week 4: '5 Must-Start Fantasy Sleepers'
5. Marvin Jones CIN WR
Andy Dalton, or as his close friends know him "The Red Rifle" has been absolutely lording opponents of late. With AJ Green's ascension back up to "king of the mountain" in Cincinnati, someone else must step forth and assist him on the other side -- cue Marvin Jones.
After missing all of 2014, Jones has finally gotten his stride back and his timing couldn't be better. In a Week 4 match up with the Kansas City Chiefs at home (CIN), look for Dalton to air it out again. Luckily for Jones, he won't be facing tough rookie corner Marcus Peters, however he will be facing one of the league's most demolished RCB's in Jamell Flemming. In 3 games this season Jamell has already allowed 18 catches, for 237 yards and one touchdown. Marvin is coming off a hot performance vs Baltimore where he went 5-95-1 on 8 targets. He's looked every bit the part of Dalton's #2 wide receiver and it won't slow down in week 4.
Out-snapping Mohamed Sanu 67-58 in Week 3, Jones is getting the work in two-wide sets. Expect a respectable outing from Marvin as the Kansas City Chiefs sound the air raid alarms attempting to cover AJ Green.
4. Travis Benjamin CLE WR
Travis Benjamin. Two first names, small -- this is the most anybody knows of him. Yet in Week 4 against the San Diego Chargers that should change.
Benjamin has made a living this year beating secondaries on the deep ball. With long catches of 54 & 60 through just two weeks, and 4 touchdowns, it's clear that he's become a much needed home run threat in Cleveland. Additionally, in Week 3, Travis Benjamin came off a career high in targets with 10, but unfortunately that was only good for a 4-45-1 performance. The bright side is that he's being used heavily, featuring on a team high 50 passing snaps last week -- 8 more than Andrew Hawkins. Volume equates to production, and Benjamin's volume is rising.
The truth is that the San Diego defense is stout but not unbeatable. Even though the thought of Josh McCown makes me want to barf, the idea that Benjamin is a good bet for a deep ball doesn't. Look for another afternoon where Travis takes one to the house.
3. TJ Yeldon JAC RB
Let's just jump right into this one. TJ Yeldon has been really up and down thus far and I can understand people's hesitation in starting him, but this week is a good matchup. In a game that should churn up major garbage time points, Yeldon will find a way to cash in.
The Indianapolis Colts defense has really been putrid against the run over the first three weeks of the NFL season. They've allowed a grand total of 334 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns in their first three games to open the year. Look for Jacksonville to attempt to control the pace of this game by feeding Yeldon the rock a ton. In his three NFL starts, Yeldon has seen rushing attempts of: 12, 25, & 11 -- game flow permitting he should push for near 20 touches. Even if the Jaguars get behind (which is expected), Yeldon should benefit from plenty of checkdown work as Bortles struggles to play catch up. The Colts defense has faced the Buffalo Bills, the New York Jets, and the Tennessee Titans -- which makes the rushing yards put up on them just staggering.
I realize there is a serious doubt in Yeldon for some owners but I wouldn't let the thought of the Colts defense detour you. In PPR leagues, TJ could be in for a big day, so set your lineups accordingly.
2. Michael Crabtree OAK WR
Of course I wanted to put Amari Cooper here -- but that would have been too obvious. Wait for it... Michael Crabtree is averaging over 10 targets a game through the first three weeks of the NFL season. I know, I had to look it up to be sure, and I am still laughing hysterically about it. In Week 4, the Oakland Raiders are taking on the absolutely dismantled Chicago Bears defense.
Face it, Derek Carr clearly doesn't suck and that is a good thing for the cast surrounding him. Cooper is set to be Derek's guy, but based on Crabtree's average targets and an absolutely horrific Bears secondary, there should be extreme confidence in starting Michael in Week 4.
There's really not much to say here. The Bears stink and just traded away two big defensive pieces. Derek Carr is on fire and taking his talents to Soldier Field to rip someone a new one. Don't be that someone -- start Crabtree.
1. Karlos Williams BUF RB
Whether LeSean McCoy plays or not, look for Karlos Williams to get his shots. Williams, a rookie out of Florida University has already flashed on the big stage and this Sunday (vs NYG) has gets his chance to lead Buffalo as the primary back. The question is, do the fantasy gods think he has a shot?
Impressively, Karlos has scored a touchdown in every game this season. Then, last week, Karlos went out and absolutely disrespected LeSean McCoy's production by posting 120 yards on just 12 carries (9.2 YPC) verses LeSean's meager 16 yards on 11 carries (1.5 YPC). The New York Giants have been very stout against the run this year but they haven't faced a team like Buffalo yet. Tyrod Taylor is forcing teams to not only respect his legs, but his arm as well -- this is good news for Williams. Defensive personnel will be on their heels trying to predict Tyrod's moves and this should give Karlos a lot of opportunity between the tackles. Let's not forget his ability to catch passes out of the backfield as well, he's a PPR gold mine in Week 4.
With LeSean set to miss Week 4 this makes Karlos Williams an absolute must-start RB. Rex Ryan loves a hammer at running back, and Karlos Williams is certainly that. No dancing this week (sorry Shady). Prepare for Karlos to keep the streak alive and take one to the house again.
Good luck in Week 4 to everyone! Again if you have sit/start questions or anything else find me on Twitter.
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