Three days before the Seattle Seahawks and Carolina Panthers faced off on Sunday night, I took a look at the history of Russell Wilson and Cam Newton and their statistical performances when they play against each other's respective defenses. Let’s take a look back and see how they performed against the historical trend and what I was projecting.
Here’s Russell’s final stat line:
Wilson was much more efficient, completing 72% of his passes compared to 63% and 68% historically. He only had 10 incompletions out of his 36 attempts, and at least four were throwaways, with having three straight throwaways in the red zone with goal to go. Converting touchdowns in the red zone is still his bugaboo this year, only converting two of six Sunday night. Regardless, he was still pin point accurate as usual.
His yards per attempt dropped, however, down to 7.7 from the averages of 9.8 and 8.4, but it is still a good number. He would prefer it to stay above eight, but I'm sure he'll take it.
I projected Wilson to throw two touchdowns and one interception. Well, he got one and one, and it should have been one (or more) and none. The interception he threw, he was targeting Jermaine Kearse and was just a flat out terrible decision. It seems as though Wilson has been having those a bit too frequently lately. The defense looked like they were in a cover-1 robber but disguised as cover-two and Wilson didn’t see the safety. However, even if the safety wasn’t there, there were three other defenders around Kearse, and the throw was well behind him.
Wilson also had three sacks, which I thought one of was on him. The one on fourth down was terrible, he needs to at least just chuck it downfield and give someone a shot, rather than taking a sack. That's what Jimmy Graham is for, to bail you out. His final rating was 92, which was 30 points lower than his average has been against Carolina in Seattle, but only eight points lower than his overall average against them.
What we did see from Wilson which was good to see, was that he continued to do damage on the ground for the second straight week. He only ran three times, but gained 29 yards, averaging 9.7 ypc, with the majority of it coming on a scramble. He doesn’t need to run a lot, but if he continues to be selective when he runs and gashes the defense for first downs, it only helps the offense out everywhere else.
Now on to the non-starting QB for the Panthers: