clock menu more-arrow no yes mobile

Filed under:

FiveThirtyEight Week 1 NFL odds: Seahawks are biggest favorite of opening weekend

NFL: Preseason-Seattle Seahawks at Oakland Raiders Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

Stats website FiveThirtyEight has made some great advancements in using numbers to predict outcomes over the last few years and their ELO rating for the NFL has also been quite successful. That’s why it’s worth noting that as they released their ELO ratings and odds for Week 1, no team has a greater chance of victory in the season opener than the Seattle Seahawks.

The Seahawks are 82% likely to beat the Miami Dolphins.

If you’re looking around the NFC West, the Arizona Cardinals are 60% likely to beat the New England Patriots, the LA Rams 53% likely to lose to the San Francisco 49ers on Monday Night Football.

As for the season forecast, Seattle is projected at 10.4 wins over an average simulated season, second only to the Denver Broncos at 10.9. They are 69% to make the playoffs, 66% to win the division, and 10% to win the Super Bowl. The only games they are currently projected to lose are Week 7 at Arizona, Week 10 at New England, Week 14 at Green Bay.