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The Los Angeles Rams are having a fantastic 2017 season under the direction of Sean McVay, and over the weekend Jeff Fisher decided to pop his head up and attempt to take some of the credit for the Rams success this season.
Jeff Fisher Takes Credit For The Rams Success This Year; Blames Everyone Else for His Past Failures https://t.co/EoLU7dO9xU pic.twitter.com/pGwGFelWVv
— Robert Littal (@BSO) December 23, 2017
However, Fisher seems about as good at understanding how well he set the Rams up for 2017 as he was at getting the team to a record better than 7-9.
In any case, having seen the idea that the roster was largely unchanged from last season to this season multiple times, I decided it is time to finally put this myth to rest. Any way one wants to look at it, the LA roster is materially different from last season.
In the most basic method, one can compare the starters from Week 1 of 2016 to the starters of Week 1 in 2017, so here’s a table comparing the two. Luckily, to make things as easy a possible, the Rams started both seasons in a two-TE, one-RB set, and here are the starters for each season.
Turnover of Rams starting offense from 2016 to 2017
Position | 2016 Week 1 Starter | 2017 Week 1 Starter | Same/Different |
---|---|---|---|
Position | 2016 Week 1 Starter | 2017 Week 1 Starter | Same/Different |
QB | Case Keenum | Jared Goff | Different |
RB | Todd Gurley | Todd Gurley | Same |
TE1 | Lance Kendricks | Tyler Higbee | Different |
TE2 | Cory Harkey | Gerald Everett | Different |
WR1 | Kenny Britt | Robert Woods | Different |
WR2 | Tavon Austin | Sammy Watkins | Different |
LT | Greg Robinson | Andrew Whitworth | Different |
LG | Roger Saffold | Roger Saffold | Same |
C | Tim Barnes | John Sullivan | Different |
RG | Cody Wichmann | Jamon Brown | Different |
RT | Rob Havenstein | Rob Havenstein | Same |
Now, of course, the Rams did not start the same players for the entirety of the season, with Case Keenum taking a seat on the bench in the second half and Jared Goff taking over as the starting quarterback, as well as changing the starter at right guard for roughly half the season. However, from the above table we see that only three of eleven starters were the same from year to year, and even if half credit is given for the midseason changes at quarterback and right guard, that only makes four of eleven starters the same.
Either way one wishes to look at it, it’s a lot of turnover, but it’s obviously very imprecise because there are 176 games started by an offense over the course of the season, and this evaluation narrows the changes down to a sample of just 11 of those starts. Thus, it’s on to the next step of looking not just at Week 1 starters, but at the snaps played by players over the course of the season.
The Rams ran 960 offensive plays in 2016, including 536 pass attempts, 375 rushes and 49 sacks. Multiply those 960 plays times 11 to account for the number of players on the field on each play, and there are 10,560 snaps played by the Rams offensive personnel in 2016.
Then, taking a quick look at the offensive players that left and the snaps they played, here’s a table of only those who recorded 240 or more snaps and are no longer on the roster.
Offensive snaps lost from 2016 by Los Angeles Rams
Position | 2016 Player | 2016 Snaps | 2017 Snaps Lost |
---|---|---|---|
Position | 2016 Player | 2016 Snaps | 2017 Snaps Lost |
QB2 | Case Keenum | 596 | 596 |
TE1 | Lance Kendricks | 827 | 827 |
WR1 | Kenny Britt | 786 | 786 |
WR3 | Brian Quick | 691 | 691 |
C1 | Tim Barnes | 1004 | 1004 |
G2 | Cody Wichmann | 594 | 594 |
T1 | Greg Robinson | 892 | 892 |
OL7 | Andrew Donnal | 297 | 297 |
That is over 5,600 snaps lost just from players who played more than 25% of the Rams offensive snaps. There were a handful of other players no longer on the roster who played more snaps than that, and no matter how one wants to look at it, the 2017 LA Rams no longer have personnel who played more than 50% of their offensive snaps in 2016.
There are several other ways one can analyze roster turnover from season to season, but by any method one wishes to compare the 2017 Rams to the 2016 Rams, the roster turnover easily exceeds 50%.
In short, during the offseason Los Angeles did far more than simply change their head coach and their scheme. They drastically overhauled their roster as well, and Fisher’s claim that he left the Rams in pretty good shape is rather preposterous given the actual facts of the situation.