According to Adam Schefter, the Tennessee Titans have "already received offers for the fifth overall pick and are contemplating a trade." The most likely trade partner, in my opinion, is the Cleveland Browns. According to BleacherReport, "Hue Jackson loves Mitch Trubisky" and they were debating drafting him at first overall. Assuming the North Carolina quarterback falls to the fifth pick - some reporters think the San Francisco 49ers or the Chicago Bears might take him second or third, respectively - then they can still grab Myles Garrett with the first overall pick and potentially draft their franchise quarterback with the Titans’ pick.
So, what would it cost Cleveland to trade up for him assuming this is the potential trade partner? The Browns currently hold these picks among others in the first three rounds:
- Round 1, Pick 1 (#1)
- Round 1, Pick 12 (#12) - Philadelphia Eagles’ pick used for Carson Wentz
- Round 2, Pick 1 (#33)
- Round 2, Pick 20 (#52) - Tennessee Titans’ pick used for Jack Conklin
- Round 3, Pick 1 (#65)
Looking at the NFL Trade Chart, the fifth overall pick is worth 1700 points, while the 12th overall pick is worth 1200 points. That means the Browns would need to give up 500 points to make up the difference. The 33rd pick is worth 580 points, while the 52nd pick is worth 380 points.
Depending on how many offers Tennessee currently has for the pick, the Browns might need to give up the 33rd overall pick in order to make the trade happen. If I was the general manager for Cleveland, I would try to trade the 52nd pick and maybe a future 2nd or 3rd round pick. In my opinion, the first pick in Day 2 is too valuable since there are always projected first round picks that fall out of the first round.
While it’s very possible that the Browns love Trubisky, I am personally not the biggest fan. In my scouting report, I noted that he has three major red flags that I am concerned about and I gave him an early second round grade.
If you are the Browns, would you make this trade? The Titans could easily keep the pick and draft someone like Mike Williams from Clemson, Marshon Lattimore from Ohio State, or Jonathan Allen from Alabama if they stay at that selection. All three would be an immediate upgrade to their team.