Field Gulls FanPulse: Comparing Seahawks fans’ score predictions with reality

Welcome to SB Nation FanPulse — a survey of fans across the NFL, powered by SurveyMonkey. Each week, we send 32 polls to 100+ plugged in fans from each team. Seahawks fans, sign up HERE to join FanPulse.

We’re doing something a little different this week for FanPulse results. The graphic below takes a look at how Seattle Seahawks fans fared in predicting wins, losses, and margin of victory/defeat this season. The white line graph is for predictions, the blue line features the actual results.

The breakdown is as follows:

Week 1 at Denver Broncos

• Seahawks fans predict: Win by 4 points
• Actual result: Lose by 3 points

Week 2 at Chicago Bears

• Seahawks fans predict: Win by 2 points
• Actual result: Lose by 7 points

Week 3 vs Dallas Cowboys

• Seahawks fans predict: Win by 3 points
• Actual result: Win by 11 points

Week 4 at Arizona Cardinals

• Seahawks fans predict: Win by 10 points
• Actual result: Win by 3 points

Week 5 vs. Los Angeles Rams

• Seahawks fans predict: Lose by 10 points
• Actual result: Lose by 2 points

Week 6 “at’ Oakland Raiders in London

• Seahawks fans predict: Win by 9 points
• Actual result: Win by 24 points

Week 8 at Detroit Lions

• Seahawks fans predict: Win by 5 points
• Actual result: Win by 14 points

Apart from the Los Angeles Rams game, Seahawks fans have predicted wins, wins, and more wins. That won’t change for the Los Angeles Chargers, with a point spread set at 5. If only our positivity reflected reality, or else Seattle would be challenging for a first-round bye.

Funnily enough, the two biggest misses on the year were the loss to the Rams not being a two-score defeat, but instead a back-and-forth thriller that the Seahawks nearly won, and then the utter pasting of the Oakland Raiders that exceeded expectations.

The most accurate fanbase are the Dallas Cowboys, while the Oakland Raiders are the least accurate, having predicted wins in five of seven games this year, including against the Rams. They’re going for a 1-point victory versus the San Francisco 49ers, which seems fair, but as a whole it’s taken them awhile to realize just how awful their team actually is. The most pessimistic fans are unsurprisingly the Buffalo Bills, who’ve predicted defeats in every game except the Indianapolis Colts, who blew them out 37-5.

We do not have confidence poll graphs this week, but the Seahawks percentage moved up from 78% to 86% after the win over the Detroit Lions. Of note? Much of the confidence Lions fans had has torpedoed, as they went from 86% to 36%, near the bottom of the league, but a ways from the league-low Jacksonville Jaguars, who are at 3% confidence.