In this video, I wanted to look at Bradley Chubb, defensive end out of North Carolina State. As a prospect, he is very strong and he has an excellent motor to chase ball carriers down the field. He also has a good burst off the line of scrimmage and pairs that with a variety of pass rush moves. My one concern though is that he ran a 7.37 3-cone time. While many of the combine metrics don’t matter, running a slow 3-cone time is a symptom of having stiff hips which definitely show on tape. As a pass rusher, stiff hips will seriously limit your upside and your ability to produce sacks. Have there been productive players with slow 3-cone times? Yes. It’s definitely not the mark of death, but it’s an important factor to consider.
For his pro comparison, Chubb reminds me of Chris Long out UVA. Both players were fundamentally sound coming out of college with good hands and the ability to be good edge defenders in the pros. Long was never a dominant pass rusher and based on Chubb’s hip flexibility, I feel like he’ll have a similar career trajectory as him. What’s interesting to note is that Long actually ran a better 3-cone time as well (7.02 seconds vs 7.37 seconds). This is fairly significant considering that recent pass rusher success has come from guys like Joey Bosa (6.89 sec) and Khalil Mack (7.08 sec). Overall, I still think he is still worth an early first round pick in this draft based on his run defense and his effort on the field, though.
How this might affect the Seattle Seahawks
Realistically, Chubb should get picked somewhere in the top 5 or 6 in the first round. If he somehow fell to the Seahawks at 18, they obviously should take him. Schematically, Chubb would actually make for an interesting strongside defensive end in Pete Carroll’s defense. I feel like he could also jump inside and play defensive tackle in their nickel or third down packages as well.
Since 2000, 48 defensive ends and outside linebackers have run a 3-cone time of 7.3 or worse and a 40-yard dash time of 4.7 or better. It’s an odd combination to search but with Chubb, it’s what he is: a great athlete who was fast in straight-line speed but less so in the three-cone. Among those 48, there were seven first round picks: Ernie Sims, Aaron Maybin, Quinton Coples, Charles Grant, Marcus Smith, Takkarist McKinley, and Keith Bulluck. The best of those was Bulluck, though I think he’s being miscategorized as an “edge” player here and in the NFL he was a full-time middle linebacker.
Grant had a couple of good years and McKinley was only drafted last year, but in general, this is a list of “busts.”
The second round picks of these players is: Everette Brown, Levar Fisher, Quentin Groves, and Courtney Watson. All of those picks disappointed.
The third round starts off poorly with Sio Moore, then a highlight in Michael Johnson, though Johnson was drafted probably right where you’d hope to get a solid-but-not-a-star player. Then at the bottom of the list, with the undrafted players, you get your true diamond: Chris Clemons.
So with Marcus Smith and Clemons, you see a couple of players that the Seahawks obviously like. I’m sure they’d like Chubb too, but the only time they might be able to see him is if he disappoints and is available in three or four years down the line.
I don’t see Chubb making it past the Indianapolis Colts at pick 6. I could also see him getting picked by the Cleveland Browns at number 4, and some even have him mocked to the New York Giants at number 2. I still feel strongly that the Giants will take a quarterback (Josh Rosen is my guess), so my money right now is on the Colts at 6.
Predict Bradley Chubb’s career! (out of 10)
This poll is closed
Good, but not great. (7-8)