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Seahawks NFL Draft: 3 plausible trade down scenarios

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That don’t involve dealing away Earl Thomas

Indianapolis Colts Introduce Frank Reich Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images

If the Seattle Seahawks aren’t going to trade Earl Thomas in the last year of his contract, they’ll need to devise a way to turn 1.18 into more selections. As it stands, John Schneider & Co. are without a pick between the 18th and the 120th spot. It’s a gap the Seattle front office has never faced in a draft before. If you think they’re going to sit on their hands for 100 picks while players fly off the board, well, it’s a free country.

For those of us who expect the Seahawks to give themselves something to do on Friday besides scroll through Instagram, here are three quick scenarios that could net them more selections, like two, three or four more.

(I mean, it’s possible that a player they can’t pass up presents himself at 1.18. It’s possible that changes the dynamic and they decide to take the plunge with someone they covet, and bank on their quartet of fifth-rounders — 5.141, 5.146, 5.156 and 5.168 — to carry the day.)

But listen to Schneider himself, as he told Gregg Bell of the News Tribune: “We take a lot of pride in our relationships with other clubs where we can just call somebody up really quick and make a deal to move around.”

All point computations are from; other tools exist.

The Indianapolis Imposition

IND sends SEA 2.36 and 2.49 (950 points)

SEA sends IND 1.18 and 5.151 (936 points)

What’s in it for the Colts: They can spend 1.18 on a quarterback hedge for Andrew Luck after grabbing a difference-maker with the sixth pick. They would still have 2.37 left. Indy is maneuvering this week with a ton of draft capital, including three (!) second-rounders.

What’s in it for the Seahawks: 2.36 is still at the top of the second round. Getting two second-rounders instead of just one allows them to flip one of them later on for even more picks. 2.49 is worth 3.76 and 3.77, via the chart. No lie, squeezing a second and two thirds out of 1.18 would feel like a victory. And you don’t have to fleece Jim Irsay to do it, though that’s also within the realm of possibility.

The Cleveland Cleanout

CLE sends SEA 2.35, 2.64, 4.114 and a 2019 fifth (approx. 910 points)

SEA sends CLE 1.18 (900 points)

What’s in it for the Browns: They are ridiculously flush with capital, including two high firsts and two high seconds. If there’s a time to move up and get the playmaking receiver to pair with Baker Mayfield, and have them grow together relatively cheaply, under team control for up to five years, that time is now.

What’s in it for the Seahawks: four picks. There’s a reason this is called the Cleanout.

Sidenote here is that Cleveland is sitting on a historically large draft chest.

The Browns’ current collection of draft assets represents the third-most draft capital dating back to 1970, with only the 1991 Dallas Cowboys and 1982 New England Patriots having possessed more.

The New York Two-Step

In this daydream, the Giants have flipped 1.2 to a desperate team, and sit on assets greater than what they currently possess. New York drops four spots to pick up Denver’s 1.6, for which the Broncos pay a second this year and a second next year. Teams do this. The Jets just paid the Colts three second-rounders to move up three spots. They’re the Jets, and that explains a lot. But other teams can be just as rash.

NY sends SEA 2.34, 3.66, 4.108 and 5.139 (934 points)

SEA sends NY 1.18, 5.156, 5.168 and 7.226 (953 points)

What’s in it for the Giants: They still have 2.40 and Denver’s future second but net another high pick at a time of rebuilding. Their draft ends right now with 5.139, so the three later selections acquired from Seattle gives NY more activity on Saturday.

What’s in it for the Seahawks: A pick for every round. When players you like start to disappear in the middle rounds, a trade is hard to pull off if the gap between selections is too large.

There are many more possibilities, of course, especially involving the Saints, who have an aging quarterback and might be fearful that his replacement will no longer be there at 1.27. Or the Patriots, who pick 23rd and 31st. But devising a scenario in which Bill Belichick trades up feels like strictly an intellectual exercise and a waste of everyone’s time.

So of course, brace yourself for New England hopping into 18 to take Lamar Jackson and groom him for the third decade of their dynasty.