Welcome to SB Nation FanPulse — a survey of fans across the NFL, powered by SurveyMonkey. Each week, we send 32 polls to 100+ plugged in fans from each team. Seahawks fans, sign up HERE to join FanPulse.
We have another offseason edition of FanPulse coming your way. This one is a bit different as we have no graphic for you or anything about confidence levels. Instead, we’re talking Vegas over/under totals. Every fanbase was polled on whether they think their team will go over, under, or push (as long as the line isn’t at .5) on projected win totals heading into the 2019 NFL season.
The offseason is where optimism is at its peak, so of course almost everyone thinks their favorite team is going to kick ass and exceed expectations. Where do the Seattle Seahawks fall on that list? Well Vegas set the line at 8.5 wins (meaning no push option available), and 96% of Field Gulls respondents said “over.” By default, that means there are 4% who think Seattle will (barring another 2010 repeat) miss the playoffs.
Seattle has never finished worse than 9-7 under Russell Wilson, so this shouldn’t be a surprise.
Let’s have a look at all of the NFC West totals:
Los Angeles Rams: O/U of 10.5 wins —Over 95%/Under 5%/Push N/A%
Seattle Seahawks: O/U of 8.5 wins —Over 96%/Under 4%/Push N/A%
San Francisco 49ers: O/U of 9 wins —Over 65%/Under 31%/Push 4%
Arizona Cardinals: O/U of 5 wins — Over 63%/Under 30%/Push 7%
I must admit that this is refreshing honesty from 49ers fans, many of whom surely felt that they were in prime position for at least a wild card berth prior to Jimmy Garoppolo’s ACL tear. Instead, they finished 4-12 and wound up with the #2 overall pick in this year’s draft.
There are two teams in this survey whose fans did not vote “Over” by at least 50%. Unsurprisingly, they are the New York Giants (O/U of 6 wins - Over 48%/Push 29%/Under 22%) and the Miami Dolphins (O/U of 5 wins - Over 31%/Push 42%/Under 27%). For the team with the highest “Over” votes, that belongs to the Philadelphia Eagles at 99% Over/1% Under on 9.5 wins.
You can read the full table here.