FanPost

Seahawks playoff opponent scenarios

As usual, let's ignore the possibility of games ending in ties, other than that I'll note that a Bears-Packers tie works out the same as a Packers win and a Buccaneers-Falcons tie works the same as a Buccaneers win.

After each header, I've listed the probability of that outcome if you assume that both teams are equally likely to win each game and the outcome of different games is always independent. Those assumptions are false, but oh well.

Different scenarios are listed numerically under each heading, with the number basically to say that it's a new scenario and not a continuation of the previous one. There is no meaning to the order of the scenarios. Scenarios that lead to the same outcome are not necessarily mutually exclusive.

The Seahawks first round opponent will be:

Bye (1/8)

#1 Seahawks beat 49ers, Bears beat Packers, Panthers beat Saints

Buccaneers (5/32)

#1 Saints beat Panthers, Packers beat Bears, Rams beat Cardinals, Falcons beat Buccaneers

#2 49ers beat Seahawks, Rams beat Cardinals, Falcons beat Buccaneers

Rams (7/32)

#1 Seahawks beat 49ers, Packers beat Bears, Panthers beat Saints, Cardinals beat Rams

#2 Packers beat Bears, Saints beat Panthers, Rams beat Cardinals, Buccaneers beat Falcons

#3 49ers beat Seahawks, Rams beat Cardinals, Buccaneers beat Falcons

Bears (1/4)

#1 Seahawks beat 49ers, Bears beat Packers, Rams beat Cardinals, Saints beat Panthers

#2 Seahawks beat 49ers, Packers beat Bears, Rams beat Cardinals, Panthers beat Saints

#3 49ers beat Seahawks, Bears beat Packers, Cardinals beat Rams

Cardinals (1/4)

#1 Seahawks beat 49ers, Saints beat Panthers, Bears beat Packers, Cardinals beat Rams

#2 Packers beat Bears, Saints beat Panthers, Cardinals beat Rams

#3 Packers beat Bears, 49ers beat Seahawks, Cardinals beat Rams