The Seattle Seahawks got a much-needed win over the Jacksonville Jaguars to go to 3-5 on the season, with the expectation that we’ll see Russell Wilson back immediately after the bye week for the team’s pivotal road trip to the Green Bay Packers.
If there’s some good news for Seattle beyond the obvious knowledge that regular seasons are now 17 games and the wild card has expanded to three teams, it’s the fact that the NFC is very top-heavy. The top three teams have just a single loss, the next three have two losses, then the current 7th seeded Carolina Panthers are a mediocre 4-4. Everyone else below Carolina is under .500.
FiveThirtyEight has the Seahawks at a 23% chance to make the playoffs, which is grim but up from 17% last week. Seattle does not have tiebreakers on either the New Orleans Saints or Minnesota Vikings, but the Vikings loss to the Dallas Cowboys could prove huge. Minnesota’s next three games are at Baltimore, at Los Angeles Chargers, and home to the Packers.
DraftKings Sportsbook’s latest odds on the Seahawks making the playoffs are -280 to miss and +225 to make it. In other words the Seahawks are favored to miss the postseason for the first time since 2017, but those odds can always change on a week-to-week basis. Seattle sits at 12th in the NFC overall but they’re just one full game out of a wild card spot.
If you’re so unreasonably optimistic that you think Seattle can overcome a 4-game deficit on both the Los Angeles Rams and Arizona Cardinals, the latest DraftKings Sportsbook odds have the Seahawks at +3500 to win the NFC West. Another way to say it is these are 35-to-1 odds, which in simpler terms means a massive longshot. Seattle hasn’t finished 3rd in the NFC West since the 2011 season, which is also the last time they had a losing record.