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Could the Seahawks go quarterback with their first pick? If they do, let’s look at the options

Could they? Should they? Would they dare?

Stanford v Washington Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images

I promise that I am not trying to “stir the pot” or “kick the hornets nest” or whatever phrase you prefer to use. This is, I believe, a legitimate question.

Could Seattle take a quarterback with their first pick in the 2021 NFL Draft?

Or, to expand on that ever so slightly . . . Could they? Should they? Would they dare?

Personally, I think the answer to Could they? is, “Yes,” because the current regime has a, shall we say “historical tendency to ‘surprise’ people with their selections” in each and every draft.

Should they? is a trickier question.

Would they dare? is as close as I’m going to come (today) to referencing the offseason drama involving our franchise QB.


Let’s start with what should be an obvious statement: Seattle is not going to make a move that lands them one of the consensus “top five” quarterbacks in this year’s draft.

So no Trevor Lawrence, no Zach Wilson, no Justin Fields, no Trey Lance, and no Mac Jones for Seattle.

Why?

Two reasons.

Reason 1: Jacksonville, New York, and San Francisco are locked in at the top of the draft and all 3 are virtually guaranteed to take a QB. That leaves only 2 of the top 5 QBs available for other teams to fight over . . . and plenty of QB-needy teams that are (or at least should be) willing to fight.

Reason 2: The draft capital that it would take for Seattle to get into position to take one of the remaining two “top five” QBs (a) is likely more than Seattle has - including their 2024 selections which become available when the 2021 NFL Draft opens; and (b) would absolutely bankrupt the Seahawks for years to come.


There are other quarterbacks in the draft though - and most (all?) of them will be available on Day Two. At least one of them will probably come off the board before Seattle gets on the clock at #56, but which one(s) is anyone’s guess.

For the purposes of this discussion, we’re only considering “the next five” QBs - which will disappoint my son because he’s a fan of Texas QB Sam Ehlinger.

Personally, I think the list is actually only 3 names if we’re considering QBs that might be selected in Round 2, but we’ll keep it at 5 since we’re using a “top 10” list, minus the top 5.

Our “official” options are:

Note: All of the above links are for the player’s PFN profile.

In what is a bit of a departure from the norm for me, I’m not going to provide any commentary on any of those players or do anything else that could influence anyone’s vote. I’m not a scout and we all have access to the internet and there is A LOT of information on each of these players available - some of it from actual scouts.

What I will do is share the cost of selecting a QB (or any player) with the 56th pick in this year’s draft. I will also list the QBs that are currently on our roster behind RW3 - and share relevant information about each of them.


Rookie contract breakdown, #56

This is the exact cost for a player selected at #56 in the 2021 NFL Draft - regardless of position:

  • Total cost, 2021 to 2024: $5,953,522
  • Signing bonus: $1,689,832
  • Annual bonus proration: $442,458
  • Base salary, 2021: $660,000
  • Base salary, 2022: $930,615
  • Base salary, 2023: $1,201,230
  • Base salary, 2024: $1,472,845
  • Annual salary cap hit: Base salary + bonus proration ($1,082,458 in 2021)
  • 2021 cash flow: Signing bonus + base salary ($2,349,832)

Seattle’s current QBs

These are the QBs currently on Seattle’s roster (excluding Russell Wilson) and relevant information for each of them:

Geno Smith

  • When drafted: 2013, Round 2, #39 overall (by NYJ)
  • Signed through: 2021 (will be a UFA in 2022)
  • 2021 contract info: $1,075,000 base, $137,500 signing bonus, $987,500 cap hit
  • 2021 cap savings if released: $850,000
  • 2021 cap difference compared to #56 pick: $232,458 less expensive
  • 2020 stats: 1 appearance, 0 starts, 4 of 5 for 33 yards, 96.3 rating
  • Career stats: 41 games, 31 starts, 527 of 911 for 6,215 yards, 29 TDs, 36 INTs, 72.9 rating, QB record of 12-19

Alex McGough

  • When drafted: 2018, Round 7, #220 overall (by Seattle)
  • Signed through: 2021 (will be an ERFA in 2022)
  • 2021 contract info: $780,000 base salary; $780,000 cap hit*
  • 2021 cap savings if released: $780,000*
  • 2021 cap difference compared to #56 pick: $302,458 less expensive*
  • 2020 stats: N/A
  • Career stats: N/A

Danny Etling

  • When drafted: 2018, Round 7, #219 overall (by New England)
  • Signed through: 2021 (will be an ERFA in 2022)
  • 2021 contract info: $660,000 base salary; $660,000 cap hit*
  • 2021 cap savings if released: $660,000*
  • 2021 cap difference compared to #56 pick: $422,458 less expensive*
  • 2020 stats: N/A
  • Career stats: N/A

Note: The asterisks are because neither Alex McGough nor Danny Etling currently count against Seattle’s salary cap as they are below the “Top 51” cutoff.



Poll time!

Poll #1: Could they, should they, would they dare?

Poll

Should the Seahawks use their first selection in the 2021 NFL Draft on a quarterback?

This poll is closed

  • 5%
    Yes, they should take a QB at #56.
    (59 votes)
  • 12%
    Yes, they should take a QB with their first pick - but they should trade back 5, 10, maybe 20 spots and add picks first.
    (128 votes)
  • 81%
    No, they should not take a QB with their first pick in this year’s draft.
    (845 votes)
1032 votes total Vote Now

Poll #2: Would you welcome the selection of Florida QB Kyle Trask?

Poll

Would you welcome the selection of Florida QB Kyle Trask with Seattle’s first pick in this year’s draft?

This poll is closed

  • 12%
    Yes
    (104 votes)
  • 72%
    No
    (611 votes)
  • 14%
    Maybe
    (126 votes)
841 votes total Vote Now

Poll #3: Would you welcome the selection of Wake Forest / Georgia QB Jamie Newman?

Poll

Would you welcome the selection of Wake Forest / Georgia QB Jamie Newman with Seattle’s first pick in this year’s draft?

This poll is closed

  • 5%
    Yes
    (41 votes)
  • 86%
    No
    (666 votes)
  • 8%
    Maybe
    (66 votes)
773 votes total Vote Now

Poll #4: Would you welcome the selection of Texas A&M QB Kellen Mond?

Poll

Would you welcome the selection of Texas A&M QB Kellen Mond with Seattle’s first pick in this year’s draft?

This poll is closed

  • 25%
    Yes
    (206 votes)
  • 56%
    No
    (451 votes)
  • 17%
    Maybe
    (137 votes)
794 votes total Vote Now

Poll #5: Would you welcome the selection of Stanford QB Davis Mills?

Poll

Would you welcome the selection of Stanford QB Davis Mills with Seattle’s first pick in this year’s draft?

This poll is closed

  • 17%
    Yes
    (132 votes)
  • 68%
    No
    (522 votes)
  • 14%
    Maybe
    (107 votes)
761 votes total Vote Now

Poll #6: Would you welcome the selection of Arkansas QB Feleipe Franks?

Poll

Would you welcome the selection of Arkansas QB Feleipe Franks with Seattle’s first pick in this year’s draft?

This poll is closed

  • 7%
    Yes
    (53 votes)
  • 85%
    No
    (618 votes)
  • 7%
    Maybe
    (56 votes)
727 votes total Vote Now

Poll #7: If the Seahawks were to use their first pick on a quarterback, which quarterback would you prefer they pick?

Poll

If the Seahawks were to use their first pick on a quarterback, which quarterback would you prefer they pick?

This poll is closed

  • 23%
    Florida QB Kyle Trask
    (172 votes)
  • 3%
    Wake Forest / Georgia QB Jamie Newman
    (25 votes)
  • 50%
    Texas A&M QB Kellen Mond
    (365 votes)
  • 17%
    Stanford QB Davis Mills
    (127 votes)
  • 5%
    Arkansas QB Feleipe Franks
    (39 votes)
728 votes total Vote Now